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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Jaguars traveling to New England on January 2nd will be the biggest quit spot of all time

If the Patriots have any meaning in that game, they need to win that game. That spread can not be big enough, honestly... That Jaguars team going to New England on January 2nd... that has to be the biggest quit spot of all time. Urban Meyer is going to get hypothermia on the sidelines.

The Patriots beat the Jaguars 50-10 on January 2nd, 2022. It was a massive blowout, just as Big Cat predicted.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

TJ Watt is the Defensive Player of the Year

TJ Watt is defensive player of the year. And I know there's a lot of guys out there that could probably win it. He had three and a half sacks today... TJ Watt now has played 10 games this year. He has 16 sacks in 10 games. That's insane... TJ Watt definitely has moments where he just completely takes over a game... There's my vote.

TJ Watt won the 2021 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award, tying the single-season sack record.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Taysom Hill is probably not the Saints' quarterback of the future

Yeah, Taysom Hill probably not, probably not the quarterback of the future, but he's still, I still like Taysom.

Correct. Taysom Hill eventually transitioned back into a utility/tight end role under Dennis Allen, and the Saints moved on to Jameis Winston and later Derek Carr.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Saints' season is officially over

I think [the Saints'] season is officially over just because we've... they've kind of kept in a lot of these games, even though they haven't... but man, they like that Taysom Hill is just the whole entire offense, Kamara not being there, Michael Thomas just retiring early, which sucks, the whole thing just feels like it's falling apart.

Correct. The Saints finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs in 2021.
Void
Billy FootballBilly Football

Taysom Hill is the Nate Diaz of quarterbacks

Billy's take on Taysom Hill, by the way, was like, he's the Nate Diaz of quarterbacks where he's... he may not win, but you respect them... like he'll just straight up get his ass kicked... then afterwards you're like, he didn't stop running.

Subjective comparison between a quarterback and an MMA fighter based on 'grit' and lack of traditional polish.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Micah Parsons is now the best defensive player on the Cowboys, surpassing Trevon Diggs

[Trevon Diggs] is now no longer the best defensive player on the Cowboys. Micah Parsons is insane. Yeah. I saw a stat that Micah Parsons, he's already surpassed all of Chase Young's defensive rookie of the year stats and we still have five games left.

Correct. Micah Parsons became a perennial DPOY candidate and is widely considered one of the best defensive players in football, whereas Diggs is seen as a high-variance playmaker.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Lions will beat the Vikings moneyline this week

I want the Lions to win, but I'm not... I would not touch them with actual money. Nope... I'll take them Moneyline.

Correct. The Lions defeated the Vikings 29-27 on Dec 5, 2021, for their first win of the season.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Washington's lucky streak is going to run out against the Raiders

Raiders by two and a half... Well, I think, you know, Washington's, time's gonna run out... time's up. You've been kind of getting lucky.

Incorrect. Washington beat the Raiders 17-15 on Dec 5, 2021, extending their win streak to four.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Chargers vs. Bengals will end in a tie

You know what this guy makes me think of right here? This game absolutely makes me think. Tie. Yeah. I predict a tie... My numbers are telling me this is going to be a tie this week.

Incorrect. The Chargers won the game 41-22.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Russell Wilson is no longer a top five NFL quarterback

It's just very bizarre to me that like Russell Wilson, he's not a top five quarterback right now. ... If you're talking about like the guys that are difference makers weekend and week out, he's not that. He hasn't been that for a little bit right now.

Russell Wilson's performance continued to fluctuate and eventually led to a disastrous trade to Denver, confirming he had fallen from the elite top-5 tier.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I would rather have Taylor Heinicke on my team moving forward than Russell Wilson

I would rather have Taylor Heinicke on my team right now, moving forward than Russell Wilson, which it sounds insane to say, especially thinking back like four or five weeks ago when he looked so bad, but he's, he's legitimately fun to watch.

Heinicke had a decent run but never became a franchise starter, whereas Wilson, despite his Denver struggles, remains a much more accomplished and generally more valuable asset, making this a classic PMT 'of-the-moment' hot take.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears vs. Packers Sunday Night Football game in Week 14 will be 'fucking terrible'

They put out the schedule for week 14 and they're not flexing bears, Packers Sunday night football. So that's going to be fucking terrible. ... It's going to be so miserable.

The Packers beat the Bears 45-30. While it had points, it was a typical Bears loss to Rodgers, fulfilling Big Cat's dread.
Loss
Mitch SchwartzMitch Schwartz

The New England Patriots are playing the best football in the NFL right now

The team right now that's playing probably the best football overall is New England. I don't think they're going to... I mean, the Chiefs have one of the easier schedules for the last five or six weeks... but yeah, New England definitely lives up to it.

The Patriots' streak ended shortly after, and they lost badly in the first round of the playoffs to the Bills.
Loss
Mitch SchwartzMitch Schwartz

Sean McVay does not adjust as well as other teams do in the second half of the season

There's some interesting stats on like McVay teams after week nine, just like completely taking a nosedive. I guess the prevailing theory is that like he's awesome in the off season and figuring out what to do for the upcoming season. ... And he doesn't adjust as much as teams adjust to him.

This specific season, McVay and the Rams adjusted significantly and won the Super Bowl, arguably disproving the take for the 2021 season.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Justin Tucker would be a first-round draft pick today

If Justin Tucker was in the draft tomorrow, he has to be first rounder. And I know that sounds crazy. Someone has to, some stat nerd has to do like a deep dive on just the amount of points that the Ravens get in terms of edge wise. The fact that they're the minute they get past the 50 yard line, it's like, alright. As long as we don't turn the ball over, it's an automatic three points.

While Tucker is a Hall of Famer, no kicker has been drafted in the first round in the modern era (since Sebastian Janikowski in 2000).
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Colts are the 'AFC Vikings'

The Colts are just the AFC Vikings at this point where every single game you watch it. And you're like, this team is good. They can beat anyone, but they will eventually find a way to fuck up at the worst possible time.

The Colts finished 9-8 and famously missed the playoffs in Week 18 against the Jaguars, fulfilling the 'choke' prophecy.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Rob Gronkowski is the most important player on the Buccaneers' offense

I think this puts to rest the conversation of who's the most important player on that Bucs offense. I think it's Gronk. Because they can do this without AB. They still looked not great in that first half.

While Gronk was vital, Brady led the league in passing yards and TDs that year. It's a matter of opinion.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Patriots officially won the Brady-Belichick divorce if they win the Super Bowl with Mac Jones

I think we can officially declare that the Patriots won the Tom Brady bill Belichick divorce [if Mac Jones wins a Superbowl as a rookie]. Again getting a super bowl incredibly non COVID year. Credible.

The Patriots did not win the Super Bowl; they lost in the Wild Card round. Brady had already won a Super Bowl with the Bucs the year prior.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Cam Newton is no longer an NFL-caliber quarterback

We thought that maybe he was back, even though we had an entire year plus of cam Newton to watch and be like, this guy isn't really a quarterback anymore. today, he had five completions. He was five for 21 for 92 yards and two picks.

Cam Newton never started another NFL game after the 2021 season and essentially retired.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Ben Roethlisberger is definitively washed

This felt like a torch game, not for big Ben passing anything to Joe burrow, but more just the Steelers torch, getting snuffed out. this iteration of the Steelers, big Ben just, just kill them on the field. Just euthanize them. It was so sad to watch. He looked like a horse with a broken leg, trying to run down the stretch.

Roethlisberger retired at the end of the 2021 season after a clear decline in play.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Falcons might be the worst team in history to make the playoffs

The Falcons have a pretty good chance of making the playoffs. I'm rooting for the Falcons to make the playoffs this year. Because I think they actually, they might be the worst team in the history, the NFL to make the playoffs if they do make the [playoffs].

The Falcons finished 7-10 and missed the playoffs.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Chargers are not actually a good team despite the hype

Every time I watch [the Chargers], I'm like, they're not really that good. Their offensive line has major issues. And Justin Herbert, who I like, has like big time bonehead plays. they've been bad for a month and a half. and I turn on the TV on Monday, it's like 'the chargers watch out for the chargers'. it feels like every time you turn on a chargers game, they're down a score and Justin Herbert's running for his life.

The Chargers finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs after losing a winner-take-all game to the Raiders in Week 18.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 49ers are the 'don't look now' team in the NFC

The Niners though, I, they are the team, I would say right now in the NFC, like if you're, if you're discounting the top three teams. they're my 'don't look now' team. Don't look now, but the 49ers, a certain play real football.

The 49ers went on a tear, beating the Cowboys and Packers in the playoffs to reach the NFC Championship Game.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Rams are frauds and Matt Stafford is struggling against winning teams

Last game, Packers, Rams. Rams stink. they won the week three Superbowl against the Bucs. And then every team that they've played, that's good. Since then, they've lost. Like, that's just a fact. Matt Stafford is eight and 67 all time when playing against the team that finished above 500.

This is a classic 'Freezing Cold Take'. The Rams went on to win Super Bowl LVI with Stafford playing exceptionally well in the playoffs.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Peyton Manning got Jason Garrett fired because the ManningCast predicted his play calls

I actually think that Peyton Manning got Jason Garrett fired today because when Peyton Manning predicted that call on fourth and short... Peyton Manning just buried his head in his hands... I guarantee you Gettleman watched that and was like, 'fuck, I can't have Peyton Manning predicting my calls.'

Jason Garrett was indeed fired on November 23, 2021, following the Monday Night Football loss where the ManningCast was notable.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tim Boyle should not be in the NFL

What the fuck is Tim Boyle? Why is Tim Boyle in the NFL? ... He wasn't even good at UConn. He actually sucked at UConn. And then he transferred to Eastern Kentucky and had a breakout season his senior year where he threw for 11 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. After sucking at UConn, he sucked at Eastern Kentucky, and now we've just agreed that he's going to be an NFL quarterback?

Boyle's career stats are objectively poor, but he remains in the league, often attributed to his 'good in the room' qualities.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am betting on the Lions moneyline because Tim Boyle is so bad it's funny

After all that shit that I talked about Tim Boyle, I'm going to bet on the Lions' money line. I'm betting on Tim Boyle, the worst quarterback maybe ever to play in the NFL.

The Lions lost to the Bears 16-14 on Thanksgiving 2021.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I am betting the over 41.5 in the Bears-Lions Thanksgiving game

I'm also going to take Tim Boyle. I'm going to take the over 41 and a half in that game. It's the dumbest pick I've ever made... Wouldn't it be cool if it was a Tim Boyle-Andy Dalton shootout?

The final score was 16-14 (30 total points), comfortably under.
Void
Frank GoreFrank Gore

Jim Harbaugh will not work with you if he thinks you are a pussy

Coach Harbaugh was a badass, man... If you're a pussy, he's not fucking with you. You got to be good at sports. If you're not good at sports, he don't want to hear nothing from you.

This is a widely reported personality trait of Jim Harbaugh confirmed by multiple former players.
Void
Frank GoreFrank Gore

Sean Taylor was the best all-around football player I have ever been around

Sean probably one of the best football players I've ever been around, man. I'm being real, bro. Like, Sean could play any position on the football field. Like running back, receiver, linebacker, safety, corner. Anything you put him, he going to be fucking real good at it.

Highly subjective, but widely supported by anyone who played with Taylor at Miami.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Falcons will beat the Jaguars because bird teams are due to move ahead of cat teams all-time

My favorite is going to be the Atlanta Falcons. ... All time in the NFL, bird teams against cat teams are exactly 500. I think it's 209 to 209 and one. They've tied one game. This is going to be the week that it swings in favor of the bird teams.

The Falcons beat the Jaguars 21-14 on November 28, 2021.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am done with the Seahawks; they are a miserable team of has-beens and losers

I think that the Seahawks are just a miserable football team filled with has-beens and losers. ... I hate watching the Seahawks on television. It's probably way worse in person.

The Seahawks finished the 2021 season 7-10 and traded Russell Wilson in the following offseason, validating the 'has-been' sentiment.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

The Buffalo Bills are fraudulent right now

The bills have a issue, a fundamental issue that I'm worried about for bills fans. I'm trying very, very hard not to say the F word, but they seem fraudulent right now because they got, we talked about tough teams and man football teams. The culture that the bills are not right now.

The Bills struggled in mid-2021 but recovered to win the AFC East and made the Divisional Round, where they lost the '13 seconds' game to the Chiefs.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Colts are the team that nobody wants to play right now

I would say the Colts are the team that nobody wants to play right out officially. Like they're number one. If I'm looking at my rankings of teams that you don't want to play, I put, it's usually a team like the Colts.

The Colts were a dangerous team until a late-season collapse, including a Week 18 loss to Jacksonville that kept them out of the playoffs.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Justin Jefferson is a top five wide receiver in the NFL

Kirk cousins played well, Justin Jefferson, I don't know where you want to rank him, but he, if you don't have him in your top five wide receivers, then you're just not watching football anymore because he's incredible.

Jefferson finished the 2021 season with 1,616 yards and 10 TDs, cementing his status as an elite receiver.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Taylor Heinicke will be the Washington Football Team starter in Week 1 next year

I'm starting to talk myself into Taylor Heinicke being the guy again... I've got three straws now. And I feel like he's probably going to be the starting quarterback going into next year, regardless of what happens in the draft. Let's just say that we took Kenny Pickett or somebody like that in the draft. I still think that Taylor would be starting week one next year.

Washington traded for Carson Wentz in the 2022 offseason, and Wentz started Week 1. Heinicke did not start until Wentz was injured later.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Bills vs. Saints Thanksgiving game is 'Loser Leaves Town' for their seasons

I'm declaring Thursday night, Thanksgiving night, loser leaves, town Saints, Bills. Loser if you lose that game and you're, if you're the bills and you lose that game to a hobbled saints team, it's over. And if you're the saints and you lose that game, it's probably over it.

The Bills won 31-6. The Saints went on a massive losing streak and missed the playoffs. The Bills stayed in the race, so the 'loser leaves town' aspect held true for New Orleans.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Trevor Lawrence has 'bust smells' coming from him

This is just, it's becoming a situation where it's impossible to evaluate them. I'm going to need at least three years of tape on Trevor Lawrence before I make a definitive declaration. But he's, there's some bus smells coming from him.

While Lawrence struggled mightily as a rookie, he led the Jaguars to a playoff win and a division title the following year (2022), proving he wasn't a bust.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Lions will get their first win against the Bears on Thanksgiving

I have thought for the entire, you guys have heard me saying it... I think that the lions are going to get their first win against the bears on Thanksgiving day. I just say it every week. I'm like, it's gonna happen. It's gonna happen. It's gonna happen in front of everyone.

The Bears won a close game 16-14 on Thanksgiving. The Lions did not get their first win until Week 13 against the Vikings.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Dolphins will be .500 by Christmas

The dolphins are four and seven home Panthers, home giants by home jets. Whoa, seven and seven at Christmas. They could get, they could get it.

The Dolphins won all those games and reached 8-7 by December 27th, surpassing the .500 mark by Christmas week.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

I am a full-on Tua Tagovailoa believer now

I'm a full on to a believer now I've been gaslit to just being like this guy rules... I'm now to the two of fans. I don't know if we're going to build, finish this podcast. The two fans are, this is major issues.

Tua eventually became a Pro Bowler and led high-powered offenses in 2022-2023, though he remained controversial at the time of the take.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

I am officially done with the Seattle Seahawks

Cardinals, Seahawks. I am officially done with the Seahawks. I spent the majority of this game yelling at the TV, yelling at the Seahawks. Just do something, do something, do something, play football. Yeah. Get yards. Do something on offense. They do nothing on offense.

The 2021 Seahawks finished 7-10 and missed the playoffs for the first time in a decade, marking the end of the Wilson era.
Void
Julian EdelmanJulian Edelman

I want to see Mac Jones face some adversity to see if he is truly the guy

I want to see him [Mac Jones] face some adversity, see how he does with that... I want to see something go wrong. And I want to see the man he is in an adverse situation. Like that's when you see your best leaders, that's when you know the Tom Bradys. Everything looks great right now. He's looking like a really good quarterback. He's taking in the offense. He plays on time.

The Patriots went on to lose their final three games of the regular season and their playoff game; Mac Jones struggled significantly during this period, providing the adversity Edelman sought, though opinions on whether he was 'the guy' soured later.
Void
Julian EdelmanJulian Edelman

A truly tough football team can run the ball, stop the run, and cover kicks

This is what defines a tough football team. A physically tough football team, from what I was taught from some guy named Bill [Belichick], a tough football team can run the ball, can stop the run and can cover kicks. What teams do that the best? Baltimore, Patriots, Tennessee.

This is a coaching philosophy/definition of terms. While subjective in application, the claim that these are the three pillars of toughness is a verifiable statement of Belichick's philosophy as reported by Edelman.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Rams are a soft football team

My other side of the coin, I will make you say it, but I'll say it, the Rams are soft. The Rams are soft football team right now. And part of it, I think has to do with bringing a bunch of guys in. That's always gotta be hard, right? When you add guys mid season.

The Rams eventually won the Super Bowl this season, proving they were resilient and not 'soft' in the most critical moments.
Loss
Julian EdelmanJulian Edelman

I am riding with the Bills to beat the Packers in the Super Bowl

I'm going to ride with the bills. I mean, I got seen some things I got to start to see the offense needs to start getting it going... [Super Bowl prediction] I said, Bills and Green Bay.

The Super Bowl was Rams vs. Bengals. Neither the Bills nor the Packers made the Super Bowl.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks will win this week because you don't lose an 'end of an era' game

The big thing with this game is it feels like everyone is writing off, not just the Seahawks but an era. So when you have an era ending, the Pete Carroll, the Russell Wilson era, I feels like you got to take the Seahawks because you don't lose end of an era games.

The Seahawks lost to the Cardinals 23-13 that Sunday.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm betting on Lamar Jackson because he plays better with diarrhea

Another important thing to note is that Lamar Jackson has been out two days this week with diarrhea. Again, he's the most diarrhea quarterback in the NFL and he always plays great. He plays lighter when he's at diarrhea. So this is a big time intestinal bug issue for the Ravens and for Lamar Jackson. So I'm going to bet on Lamar Jackson.

Lamar Jackson ended up being inactive for the game due to his illness. The Ravens won with Tyler Huntley, but PFT's specific bet on 'diarrhea Lamar' playing didn't happen.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Rams are a basketball team playing football

The Los Angeles Rams are like a basketball team playing football... They're soft. They're a basketball team playing football. We know all their names and they'll be... like it's fantasy football.

Subjective comparison of team culture/style.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Rams are officially overrated and no longer a top-three NFC team

I'm officially moving the Rams off of a team that I feel strongly about... I am officially taking the Rams out of my [top three]. Cardinals are better than the Rams right now... I am officially taking them away from my top three teams in the NFC.

The Rams won the Super Bowl that season, proving Big Cat's 'moving them off' take definitively wrong.

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