Skip to content
PMTPMT DB

Takes

Open
Mitch TrubiskyMitch Trubisky

Patrick Mahomes will be the best quarterback of all time

Mahomes is probably going to be the best quarterback of all time and that's like, you don't get to pick where you're drafted for sure. Then just decides like, Hey, I'm going to be the best of all time. Oh, cool. Just runs up the score every week.

Mahomes is widely considered to be on a GOAT trajectory with multiple MVPs and Super Bowls.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Zach Wilson will win a Super Bowl for the Jets

I was watching the highlights again today and I was like, Zach Wilson wins the Super Bowl for the Jets. I'm going to convert to Mormonism.

Zach Wilson was eventually traded from the Jets after several disappointing seasons and did not win a Super Bowl.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Falcons are going to be really, really bad this season

One team that I kind of forgot about... the Falcons are going to be really bad, like really, really bad. They were bad last year. And they got rid of their best player [Julio Jones].

The Falcons finished the 2021 season 7-10 and missed the playoffs.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Nick Sirianni is going to stink as a head coach

I'm ready to say that. I think Nick Sirianni is going to stink as a head coach. I think he's going to be, because he's only, he's trying to do the thing he thinks that he's Belichick already... You can already see him like trying to play the games. He did the whole rock paper scissors thing, which seemed like he was outsmarting himself a little bit.

Sirianni led the Eagles to a Super Bowl appearance in his second season and made the playoffs in each of his first three seasons.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Mitch Trubisky is one of the best handoff quarterbacks in the NFL

I've given you a lot of credit in the past because I think that you are like one of the best handoff quarterbacks. Like really? You have a very quick step. You extend the arm. There's a, there's an art to handing the ball off isn't there?

This is a subjective and humorous evaluation of a basic quarterback skill.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Washington Football Team should keep 'Football Team' as their permanent name

If they make the playoffs, it has to stay football team. Teams need mascots. I'm okay to be a football. I like Red Hogs. I like Red Wolves. I also think that they might just say this is a fake list and bring back Sentinels.

The team eventually rebranded to the Commanders in February 2022.
Loss
EdEd

The Buffalo Bills will win the Super Bowl this year

Lifelong Buffalo guy. Bills through and through. Is this the year? Yep. Done. I just won Super Bowl, you know. I mean, watching four in a row go down, I was just so heartbroken.

The 2021 Bills lost in the Divisional Round to the Chiefs (the 13-second game).
Win
Brian DabollBrian Daboll

Nick Saban dresses better than Bill Belichick

They're both a little different. I'd say Bill's kind of dry humor. Nick will get you some zingers in there. I'd say Nick definitely dresses better than Bill. That's probably the big difference between the two.

Given Belichick's penchant for cut-off hoodies, this is widely accepted as true.
Void
Josh AllenJosh Allen

Bad football plays can turn out good because 'negative times negative is positive'

Really, my perspective is just try to make a play. When I get in those situations where I'm 10 yards behind the line of scrimmage, I'm like, I can't take a sack here. I've got to do whatever I can to get out of this. They say negative times a negative is positive. That's kind of my mindset.

While a joke, it accurately describes the 'Josh Allen experience' of turning disasters into highlights.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Design downfield laterals are the future of football

Design downfield laterals. That's the future of football. Yeah, we'll set up a Zoom. But honestly, the Hail Mary on like second down, they'll never see it coming.

While some teams have experimented with laterals (e.g., the Kelce to Perine play in 2023), they have not become a standard 'future of football' tactic.
Win
Josh AllenJosh Allen

I expect myself to progress and get even better this year

I noticed that when you signed the contract... the bar I set for myself is higher than anything anyone else can set for me. I mean, I expect that too though yeah it's something I set for myself as well.

Allen continued to play at an elite level, remaining in MVP conversations for the following seasons.
Void
Josh AllenJosh Allen

Buffalo is 100% a 'we' town for sports fans

Fans should be allowed to say, like, we kicked their ass yesterday, right? Right? That's totally fine to say. Do you take offense? No, we're all one big family here. Absolutely we. They're 100% we.

Subjective validation of fan culture by a star player.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

A visor has never won a Super Bowl

You're not going to wear that visor in the regular season, right? Oh, yeah. What the fuck, dude? Please talk me down from that ledge. Don't do that. You don't want me to wear it? No. A visor has never won a Super Bowl. Ever.

This is factually incorrect. Jim McMahon wore a visor when the Bears won Super Bowl XX. Many other players have won while wearing visors.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Dak Prescott is probably going to miss the whole year with his shoulder injury

They can't show it [on Hard Knocks] because they don't want to tell us that [Dak Prescott's] shoulder's fucked up and he's probably going to miss the whole year.

Dak Prescott did not miss the whole year; he played 16 regular season games in 2021.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

John Mara is the driving force behind the NFL's new 'anti-fun' taunting penalty

Co-owner John Mara was the driving force behind the new taunting penalty in the NFL... It's honestly stupid... Mr. Mara, he is the man. He is the machine that needs to be raged against. He looks like when you die, if you still have a boss, that's what he looks like.

It was widely reported that John Mara was a key member of the Competition Committee that pushed for the taunting point of emphasis.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Tim Tebow tight end experiment was a farce and he sucked

My hot seat is anyone who likes Tim Tebow because he got cut and the farce of Tim Tebow actually trying out for the Jacksonville Jaguars and being a tight end... I'm just sick of Tim Tebow, especially the fact that he was asked to be a tight end like 10 years ago when he was still in the NFL said no. And now he tried again and he sucked.

Tebow was indeed cut after showing very little promise in the preseason as a tight end.
Open
Jake MarshJake Marsh

NFL jerseys will eventually have advertising patches like the NBA and NHL

The NHL, like the NBA, is adding advertising to the front of the jerseys in 2022. I feel like it's inevitable for NFL.

While not yet on game jerseys, NFL teams already have sponsor patches on practice jerseys, and league momentum suggests it is pending.
Void
Ron RiveraRon Rivera

Special defenses are led by the defensive line setting the tone

One thing I will say is that each one of those teams [85 Bears, 06 Bears, current WFT]... it started with the defensive line setting the tone for the defense more so than anything else... When you look at those guys that were up front, there was something about those guys that set the tone and the tempo for who we were going to be as a football team.

Subjective coaching philosophy.
Win
Ron RiveraRon Rivera

A defense that makes big plays at the right time will win the Super Bowl

A defense that can make plays at the right time will win the Super Bowl.

General football philosophy that is largely supported by historical outcomes.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Downfield laterals are the next revolution in football

Design downfield laterals... a receiver catches the ball, have a guy trailing them... that's going to be a chunk play every time. That's going to be the next revolution in football... it's the future of football.

While some teams have used more laterals (like the Travis Kelce lateral), it has not become a widespread 'revolution'.
Win
David BakerDavid Baker

Larry the Goldfish is officially admitted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame archives

We can certainly put him in the archives... we will take good care of it. Preserve it... he will be included in the archives of the Hall of Fame.

David Baker made this commitment on air and Larry 2's betting record was indeed sent to the archives.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The NFL preseason should have a full Sunday slate with RedZone to help fans practice for the regular season

I think that the preseason should mimic the regular season and that we should have a full Sunday of football with a red zone to get us ready because the random start times... Give me, let me actually practice what it feels like to get up on a Sunday and get my body ready and watch every team play.

The NFL has not changed the preseason schedule to a uniform Sunday block; it remains spread across various days and times.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The NFL's new taunting rule is going to be brutal and should be complained out of the league

The taunting rule fucking sucks. It's going to be brutal and we're going to all... It is the dumbest rule ever. We need to [complain it away].

The rule was heavily criticized and enforcement was somewhat softened in subsequent seasons, though it remains on the books.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mac Jones might win NFL Rookie of the Year

I think I'm going to Zig while everybody's eggs. I think Mac Jones might be the rookie of the year... If Mac Jones gets in week four, then how many games? 13 games. If he goes nine and four, see, I think he gets rookie of the year.

Ja'Marr Chase won the 2021 Offensive Rookie of the Year. Mac Jones finished second in the voting.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Saints should start Jameis Winston over Taysom Hill

There was one article that said that Taysom Hill is the assumed starter for the year. It is bullshit. Hashtag start Jameis bullshit. Give me Jameis, feed me Jameis. How can you start Taysom Hill? Cause then you can't use him for the gadget plays.

Jameis Winston was indeed named the starter for the 2021 season.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

Cowboys fans should be freaking out about Dak Prescott needing a second MRI

But QB Dak Prescott is planning on getting another MRI... if you're a Cowboys fan, you have to be freaking out right now.

While Dak did miss the preseason and some time later in the season (calf), he started 16 games in 2021. The 'freak out' over this specific shoulder MRI proved to be slightly overblown as he played Week 1.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Dak Prescott should have teammates tackle him in practice to stop overthinking his injury

If I'm Dak... even if my shoulder is still not good to go right now, I would still have people do, like, tackling drills against me in practice where I would get hit because you've got to get that first hit out of your system to stop thinking about it all the time. I would just have people, like, tackle me into a big mat so I didn't hurt my shoulder falling on it.

Dak Prescott did not do this. He returned to play in Week 1 against the Bucs and threw for 403 yards, showing the 'psychological' hurdle was handled through traditional rehab.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

I will quit my job if Sam Ehlinger has a better NFL career than Trevor Lawrence

Billy, if Sam Ehlinger has a better career than Trevor Lawrence, I will quit my job. My only job in life would be to be your PR agent to just remind people... That's my promise to you.

Trevor Lawrence became a franchise QB and led his team to a playoff win; Ehlinger has remained a career backup/spot starter. The prediction is looking very safe.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am officially in on the Chicago Bears and betting on them for the 2021 season

By the way, I think I'm in on the Bears this year. The clips that have been coming out of training camp are incredible. No, I'm serious. I bet on them. I put a future down... Let me be the first to say the Bears are back.

The 2021 Bears finished 6-11 and were definitely not 'back'. Justin Fields struggled as a rookie and Matt Nagy was fired at the end of the season.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Dallas Cowboys are going to win the Super Bowl this year

I can't see a world that Dallas don't win at least 15 games and CD Lamb should be a first rounder and Amari Cooper should be a first rounder and Dak Prescott... should be a first rounder... they are going to win the Super Bowl.

The 2021 Cowboys won 12 games and lost in the Wild Card round to the 49ers. They did not win the Super Bowl or 15 games.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

A head coach finding out their star quarterback is injured is the most devastating news possible

I need every head coach to be miked up when they get that type of news, because it is absolutely devastating. It's like stuff... I'm talking, you could tell them their family just got kidnapped and they'd be like, all right, well, we'll figure out after practice, but [the trainer] walking up being like, 'Hey, it's a muscular thing. We don't know.'

Subjective hyperbole about the relative importance of football vs personal life for NFL coaches.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Micah Parsons looks too small for a linebacker wearing number 11

Michael Parsons wearing number 11. It's going to take a lot of getting used to... I was watching it. I was like, this guy weighs 205 pounds and he's a linebacker. And then I looked up his stats and he's like 6'2" and 250 pounds. The 11 totally screwed me.

This is a subjective aesthetic opinion about jersey numbers.
Void
Jake MarshJake Marsh

The NFL's new taunting rules are bad for the game of football

I see it as taunting. So the NFL came out with new rules... I love this. [Sarcastic] Oh yeah, no fuck for the game. No, no, no, no, no. I love this.

The taunting emphasis was widely panned by media and fans throughout the 2021 season.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Sam Ehlinger will be a better NFL quarterback than Trevor Lawrence

Sam Ehlinger has been taking reps with the first team offense... Sam Ehlinger was going to be better than Trevor Lawrence. That was a 12-1 upset [in my bracket].

Trevor Lawrence became a franchise QB and Pro Bowler for the Jaguars, while Sam Ehlinger remained a career backup for the Colts.
Win
Gable StevesonGable Steveson

I want to have a trial with an NFL team

I would hope one day that I can get a trial with the NFL. And I mean, there's some teams that have came and have mentioned me to some, some agents and stuff that have sparked interest to me. So, I mean, it'd be cool to go out there and play football and be in NFL for a little bit.

Steveson did eventually get a trial and sign with the Buffalo Bills in May 2024, confirming his goal.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Peyton Manning will become the Commissioner of the NFL

I thought that Peyton Manning's speech points us in one direction only, and that is that he wants to follow in the footsteps of his dad and become commissioner of the NFL. So that when Arch [Manning] gets to the league, he can implement some weird draft rule.

Peyton Manning has focused on media (Omaha Productions) and shows no immediate signs of seeking the commissioner role, though it remains a theoretical future path.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

N'Keal Harry is a great late-round fantasy football sleeper for 2021

N'Keal Harry is doing amazing, apparently. So that would be a good late round fantasy pick.

N'Keal Harry had a very disappointing 2021 season with only 12 catches for 184 yards and zero touchdowns, making him a wasted fantasy pick.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm taking the Cowboys to win the Hall of Fame Game because Mike McCarthy wants to set a tone for Hard Knocks.

For that reason, I'm going to take the Cowboys in the game tonight just because I think that McCarthy, he knows that Jerry Jones has his, like, emperor palpatine breath breathing down his neck all the time. So he wants to set a tone, and he knows that he's on hard knocks.

The Cowboys lost to the Steelers 16-3 in the Hall of Fame game on August 5, 2021 (the night before this podcast aired, though the hosts recorded just before the game).
Void
Mike TannenbaumMike Tannenbaum

If Justin Herbert had played in the SEC, he would have been the number one overall pick.

I scouted [Justin Herbert] for two years. I go to ESPN, and I'm standing on the table like, I want this guy... And I said it, which was if Justin Herbert played in the SEC, he would have been the number one pick in the draft. But he's quiet. He's in Oregon.

This is a hypothetical claim that cannot be proven, making it subjective.
Loss
Mike TannenbaumMike Tannenbaum

I am betting against the Los Angeles Rams' 'stars and scrubs' roster model paying off.

It's a huge calculated risk that may pay off, but if I had to bet, I'm betting against it... they're saying, F that. Like, we're going to get Jalen Ramsey, Aaron Donald. Like, we're going to go play five against 11. But our five are so good, we're going to win. I think when you look at their offensive line guys, they are paper thin.

The 2021 Los Angeles Rams went on to win Super Bowl LVI, proving the model was successful for that season.
Win
Mike TannenbaumMike Tannenbaum

Baker Mayfield is a height and speed deficient quarterback who should not be paid a top-of-market contract.

Baker Mayfield is a guy that is just objectively short and slow... you can't pay him $40 million a year because you've got to keep Chubb and Ward and all these other guys... In my opinion, he's somewhere between the 6th and 8th best quarterback in the AFC. How are you going to win a championship?

Mayfield's career subsequently declined with the Browns, leading to his trade. While he had a resurgence later with Tampa Bay, Tannenbaum's assessment that the Browns shouldn't pay him top market value proved accurate for Cleveland.
Win
Mike TannenbaumMike Tannenbaum

Carson Wentz is lacking the 'battlefield commander' leadership qualities needed to win championships.

If you're worried about Nick Foles as your backup, you've got the wrong guy. You think Brett Favre, Dan Marino, Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady cared who their backup was? No... And that's the part about Carson Wentz that he may be lacking.

Wentz's tenure in Indianapolis and later Washington was marred by leadership critiques and inconsistent play, eventually leading to him becoming a backup.
Win
Mike TannenbaumMike Tannenbaum

Josh Allen's massive jump in completion percentage is a historical aberration that is unlikely to be repeated by others.

He is a very good player, and historically he has done something that no one else has in terms of improving his completion percentage... People don't leave college football and become as accurate as he has... his increase in completion percentage is historically good. [It is an aberration].

Josh Allen maintained his high completion percentage and elite play for years after this take, confirming that while it was a rare development, it was a permanent change for him.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Giants aren't tough enough if their quarterback thinks he can swing in a training camp fight

I don't think that the New York Giants are tough enough if their quarterback is thinking that he's even able to swing on him... I say that I don't think that the New York Giants are tough enough if their quarterback is thinking that he's even able to swing on him.

Whether a team is 'tough enough' is purely subjective and can't be proven by a single training camp fight.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Dan Campbell is the most 'football guy' to ever coach in the NFL

Dan Campbell, man Campbell. He's alpha-ed the entire ranks of every – he's the most football guy to ever coach in the NFL, I think. He's starting to blur the line where he's no longer really a football guy. He's just kind of a football.

The definition of a 'football guy' is a specific PMT trope, and Campbell has become the poster child for it.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 49ers are only saying Jimmy Garoppolo is playing well to pump his trade value before sending him to the Colts

John Lynch went on Adam Schefter's podcast, said that Jimmy is playing his best football since he's been here, which sounds to me like a general manager pumping a guy up before they send him somewhere else, maybe to a place like Indianapolis.

Garoppolo remained with the 49ers for the entire 2021 season and was not traded to the Colts.
Open
Calvin JohnsonCalvin Johnson

Matthew Stafford will make the Hall of Fame if he wins a Super Bowl or has several consecutive winning seasons with the Rams

It all depends how much longer Matthew intends to play. And if he gets that ring out, he's out there. You know, if he goes out there and lights it up and has consecutive, like three, four or five consecutive winning seasons, even if he don't win the Super Bowl, I think he has a chance.

Stafford won the Super Bowl that same season (Feb 2022). While his HOF entry is pending his retirement, he met the criteria Calvin set.
Void
Calvin JohnsonCalvin Johnson

The NFL referees definitely have it out for the Detroit Lions

I don't know how many times I've said that, but... I don't want to say that and be wrong, but, I mean, everybody felt like that in Detroit. It's hard not to feel like that... Yeah, they got it out for us.

Officiating bias is subjective and impossible to prove definitively across all of NFL history.
Void
Calvin JohnsonCalvin Johnson

Al Harris was the toughest cornerback I faced because of his nastiness at the line of scrimmage

I'll give you two guys. When I first came in the league, nobody liked playing Al Harris... halfway through the game, they're switching over to me... as far as the aggressiveness that I came with, you know, to fight at the line of scrimmage, it was all tailored after playing against Al Harris.

This is Calvin's personal assessment of his opponents and his own development.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Aaron Rodgers is a diva for returning to the Packers and taking Blake Bortles' job

Aaron Rodgers decided that he was going to be a diva and take Blake Bortles' job. [Bortles] got cut, Aaron Rodgers un-retired. I know deep down I was like he's obviously gonna come back, but I also believed that maybe he would actually retire.

Rodgers did return to Green Bay and Bortles was indeed cut. The characterization of Rodgers as a 'diva' is subjective but widely debated.