PMTPMT DB

Takes

Push
Take Slip·Nov 6, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1106-229
Big CatBig Cat

Keeping Adam Gase is the smartest move for the Jets because he is a 'tank' that can't be accused of tanking

Keeping Adam Gase is the smartest thing you can do is GM because... it actually Adam Gase is your tank like he is your tank but not tanking. You can't be accused of tanking, but you are tanking when you have Adam Gase there.

The Jets did nearly secure the #1 pick but accidentally won two games late in the season, losing out on Trevor Lawrence to the Jaguars.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 6, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1106-230
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Seahawks defense will start turning a corner and stop being a liability within five weeks

Jamal Adams is going to be back. I think that the Seahawks defense is going to start turning a corner here playing well and it's going to take a little bit of time for people to catch up to it. But like in like three four weeks we're going to be sitting here being like, you know, who's really playing well to Seahawks defense.

The Seahawks defense actually did improve significantly in the second half of the 2020 season, allowing fewer than 20 points per game in their final 8 games.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 6, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1106-231
Big CatBig Cat

Ryan Tannehill is a great quarterback, but he still actually stinks

Ryan Tannehill still stinks. I don't have anything beyond my eyes that told me that he still deserves not to be honest my guts right. It's my guts that are telling me that he still stinks. I just I still don't trust him. I've never trusted Ryan Tannehill... he is just been delaying the stinking.

Tannehill finished 2020 with 33 TDs and 7 INTs, leading the Titans to an 11-5 record. He was objectively very good in 2020, making this take factually incorrect.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 6, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1106-232
Big CatBig Cat

The 'Christian Doctrine': NFL teams are actually harder to stop when their star player is out because of unpredictability

When a good player goes out or is traded the team does better I think we called the Christian doctrine... when a defense plans and you know Christian McCaffrey out there, you know, he's going to touch the ball like half the time when he's not you don't know where the balls going.

While the Panthers remained competitive without McCaffrey, they finished 5-11. The doctrine is more of a psychological observation than a winning formula.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 6, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1106-233
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Daniel Jones is JaMarcus Russell 2.0 because of his turnover rate

Daniel Jones and JaMarcus Russell had the same player in terms of turnovers... I will bring you know what I want. I will bring that exact same energy starting this weekend Daniel Jones. I'm going to run with that but is he is JaMarcus Russell 2.0.

While Jones struggled with turnovers, he eventually led the Giants to a playoff win, far exceeding JaMarcus Russell's career achievements.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 6, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1106-234
Big CatBig Cat

Antonio Brown joining the Buccaneers will not end well because he is a 'legit psycho'

I'm calling my shot on this Antonio Brown is a legit psycho. You're hot right now because essentially your shots are... it's not going to end well now it's just not. I'm calling my shot on this Antonio Brown is a legit psycho... Big big-time bad news.

Though they won a Super Bowl together, it ended with Brown stripping his jersey off and walking off the field mid-game in January 2022.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 30, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1030-16411
Big CatBig Cat

Take the Vikings to cover because the Packers are 0-6 straight up on Daylight Savings weekends

The Packers have lost the six six times in a row on daylight savings we can... I think I won six straight out. I thought it was against the spread. I don't know. What is it Jake find it whatever it is. I'm fall forward happened... you probably going to want to take that stat into your real to your play Barstool app picks.

The Vikings did indeed beat the Packers 28-22 on Nov 1, 2020. The 'Daylight Savings' trend held.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 30, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1030-16413
Big CatBig Cat

The Rams are winning the Super Bowl

the biggest winning Super Bowl the revs winning the Super Bowl. Yeah, I want on the record. Really. Yeah. Wow, but you don't like golf. I love Jared go. You said you hated to no one of my best friends in this world... Jared has the experience. Aryans he's been there before this time. He's gonna get revenge.

The Rams lost in the Divisional Round to the Packers in Jan 2021. They won the Super Bowl the following year (2021 season) with Matthew Stafford, not Jared Goff.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 30, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1030-16415
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Seahawks defense is soft

I'm going to say that I think that the the Seahawks defense I'm going to use the S word. I think they're soft. I'll link their sauce sauce. Yeah. Yeah. I'm sorry, you know, what's terrible, you know, I'm doing right now. I'm giving side I to I'm throwing shade. Yeah all the s words for Seattle's defense know they're really I think that the Niners come out and just absolutely take their soul from them.

The Seahawks beat the 49ers 37-27 that weekend, though their defense was statistically one of the worst in the league for much of the 2020 season.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 9, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1009-14445
Big CatBig Cat

I love the Panthers to beat the Falcons

Panthers-Falcons, start there. Falcons, this could be the end for Dan Quinn. I have said many times I'm going to respect Teddy Bridgewater more and that's why I love the Panthers in this game.

The Panthers beat the Falcons 23-16, and the Falcons fired Dan Quinn the next day.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 9, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1009-14446
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Eagles will win the NFC East with a losing record like 3-5-1

The Eagles win the NFC East at like 3-5-1. The Eagles, they should have stopped playing right now. Yes, 1-2-1 is good enough to get you top of the NFC East this season.

The Washington Football Team won the division with a 7-9 record. The Eagles finished 4-11-1.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 2, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1002-4567
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears will beat the Colts

Colts-Bears, Nick Foles baby... I don't know why the Bears are underdogs, but we're doing this... I think that the Bears are gonna win this game.

The Colts defeated the Bears 19-11 on October 4, 2020.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 2, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1002-4568
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Dolphins will upset the Seahawks in a low-scoring game

I think something funny is going to happen here... I think that the Dolphins could do this, they could win and like a 19 to 14 game.

The Seahawks won 31-23. The score was high and the Dolphins did not win.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 2, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1002-4569
Big CatBig Cat

I am officially out on the Eagles

The Eagles are just, they're so sad. I'm done. I'm done. You're pulling the cord on him? Yeah, right. I can't. I'm thinking that they are the same team that won the Super Bowl and I'm just done, I'm done.

The Eagles finished the 2020 season 4-11-1, vindicating Big Cat's decision to 'pull the cord.'
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 25, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0925-18725
Big CatBig Cat

I will cut off the tip of my pinky if the Houston Texans win the Super Bowl this year

If the Houston Texans win the Super Bowl this year, I will cut off from the nail up tip of my pinky left hand. It's on.

The Houston Texans finished 4-12 and did not win the Super Bowl. Big Cat kept his pinky.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 18, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0918-18559
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears will beat the Giants by 10 points in Week 2

I'll say it for you. I think the Bears win this game by 10 points. I'm very nervous for this game. But I'm nervous for every Bears game.

The Bears won 17-13, a margin of 4 points, failing to meet the 10-point prediction.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 18, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0918-18561
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jets are the 'disgusting' underdog pick of the week against the 49ers

I kind of like the Jets here... Once having the same thought and everyone's betting the 49ers... this is going to be my dog of the week. It's the hold your nose. This is disgusting. You're going to hate yourself at like 1:35 on Sunday when it's 17 to three 49ers, but you're not dead yet.

The 49ers blew out the Jets 31-13. The Jets did not cover the +7 spread.
Push
Take Slip·Sep 18, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0918-18562
Big CatBig Cat

Tom Brady will have a massive 'get right' game against the Panthers

I think Tom Brady's going to eat this week and everyone's like, oh my God Tom Brady's back. Yeah Bruce Arians did the classic Bruce Arians thing where he just spent the entire week making fun of Tom Brady.

The Bucs won 31-17; Brady was solid (217 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT), though Leonard Fournette did most of the scoring 'eating'.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 18, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0918-18563
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tyrod Taylor is a 'rebound' quarterback who provides stability but never wins games

He is the epitome of an average Quarterback, but he's somehow worse than average Quarterback... He doesn't make the mistakes that bad quarterbacks make... He just won't do anything... Tyrod is the rebound quarterback. They take right after you get done with a crazy person that just fucked your brains out.

Tyrod Taylor's career continued to follow this exact trajectory (Bills, Browns, Chargers, Texans, Giants) as a bridge/backup starter.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 18, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0918-18564
Big CatBig Cat

Bill O'Brien general manager should fire Bill O'Brien head coach

Bill O'Brien general manager of the Texans is firing Bill O'Brien head coach of the Texan. I would love to see it... It's the opposite of Bill Parcells when he was in Dallas and said if you're going to ask me cook dinner, then at least let me shop for the groceries.

Hot TakeFootballHotSarcastic
Bill O'Brien was fired from both roles just a few weeks later in October 2020 after an 0-4 start.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 11, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0911-19775
Big CatBig Cat

Social media will bully Pete Carroll into letting Russell Wilson throw more this year

The Seahawks are going to be an interesting case this year because we might have the first time ever in the NFL that social media bullies Pete Carroll into actually letting his MVP caliber quarterback throw the ball more. I'm calling it 'Let Russ Cook'.

The Seahawks did open up the offense significantly in the first half of 2020, with Wilson throwing 28 TDs in the first 8 games, though they reverted to a more conservative style later.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 11, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0911-19774
Big CatBig Cat

The Bills will go 13-3 and win the AFC East

What if the bills go like 13 and 3 and win the AFC East and maybe even get a first round bye? But it's so fucking sad think about like the fans in Buffalo not being able to be in the stadium.

The Bills went 13-3, won the AFC East, and earned the #2 seed (though only the #1 seed got a bye in the new format).
Push
Take Slip·Sep 11, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0911-19780
Big CatBig Cat

The Buccaneers and Patriots Week 1 results will be a referendum on Tom Brady's legacy

What has to happen is we need the Buccaneers to win and the Patriots to lose or the Patriots to win the Buccaneers to lose so we can really hammer into that story. Storylines cannot be taken back. This weekend is a referendum on the life-altering change of course that Tom Brady made.

The Patriots won their opener while the Bucs lost theirs, leading to a week of 'Brady was the problem' takes before the Bucs eventually won the Super Bowl.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 11, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0911-19777
Big CatBig Cat

The 'Can't Lose' Parlay: Eagles, Colts, and Bills money lines will all hit

I have my can't lose parlay the first one of the year. It cannot lose. Eagles, Colts, Bills money line. There's no chance that loses. It says it right in the name. I'm telling you right now there is no way it loses.

Both the Eagles (lost to Washington) and the Colts (lost to Jacksonville) lost outright in Week 1, making the parlay an immediate failure.
Push
Take Slip·May 8, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0508-13354
Big CatBig Cat

I will bet on any NFL team that was bad the previous year in Week 1

My week one strategy is just basically bet on the teams that sucked last year.

The strategy had mixed results in Week 1 2020, with teams like Washington and Jacksonville winning outright as big underdogs, but others like the Jets and Browns getting blown out.
Void
Take Slip·Mar 30, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0330-14761
Billy FootballBilly Football

To be a successful NFL quarterback, you have to be an 'absolute weirdo'

To be a good quarterback in the NFL, you got to be an absolute weirdo. Okay, cool guys burn out. You can't be cool... real swag is no swag... winning multiple Super Bowls makes you weird.

This is an entirely subjective personality assessment that has become a recurring meme in PMT lore.
Loss
Take Slip·Feb 14, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0214-3960
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I might get an NFL call-up as a 'camp leg' based on my XFL kicking film

I'm also thinking that there's an outside chance that with what I've put on film already and what I will continue to put on film, maybe I get a call for a training camp for an NFL team. Maybe I'm a camp leg... They need camp legs. I'm not worse than Vinatieri. I'm a better kicker than the greatest kicker of all time.

PFT did not receive an NFL training camp invite.
Push
Take Slip·Jan 31, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0131-4967
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chiefs will win Super Bowl 54 and Tyrann Mathieu will have a turnover

I'm also taking the Chiefs. I have a lot of conviction in that bet... The Honey Badger is making the difference in this game. He's going to have at least one turnover. He has been the key to the Chiefs defense stepping up.

The Chiefs won the Super Bowl, but Tyrann Mathieu did not record an interception or fumble recovery in the game.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 31, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0131-4968
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Deebo Samuel will score the first touchdown of Super Bowl 54

I'm also going to make a bold prediction. I think that the Niners are going to hit them with a play-action bomb on the first drive... It's going to Debo [Samuel]. He's going to Debo for six. First score Debo Samuel for six points.

The first touchdown of the game was scored by Patrick Mahomes on a 1-yard run. Deebo Samuel did not score a touchdown in the game.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 31, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0131-4969
HankHank

The Chiefs will win and the game will go under the point total

My official prediction is basically a repeat of last year. The old-timer is going to beat the new guy. Under and the Chiefs.

The Chiefs won 31-20 (51 points). The Over/Under was 53.5, so the Under hit. Andy Reid also won his first Super Bowl.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 17, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0117-9806
Big CatBig Cat

The Chiefs and the Titans game will hit the over on 53 points

I'm taking the over and I don't care because I actually, when you're looking at this game, I feel like both offenses match up perfectly with both defenses... Give me the over. 53. I don't care.

The Chiefs beat the Titans 35-24 on January 19, 2020. The total was 59 points, which hit the over of 53.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 17, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0117-9807
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Packers have no chance to beat the 49ers in the NFC Championship

The Packers' defense cannot stop the 49ers' offense, and the Packers' offense cannot stop the 49ers' defense. I don't see a way that the Pack win this game. I really don't.

The 49ers defeated the Packers 37-20 on January 19, 2020, to advance to the Super Bowl.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0110-7331
Big CatBig Cat

The 49ers, Ravens, and Chiefs money line parlay is a can't-lose bet

The 49ers, the Ravens, the Chiefs. Parlay them all, plus 105 on BetMGM, even money everywhere else... How does that lose? I don't see a way that it does.

The Ravens lost to the Titans (28-12) the very next day, busting the parlay.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0110-7333
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Titans will win if they have a single drive over 11 minutes long against the Ravens

If the Titans have a single drive that's over 11 minutes long, then they will win this game.

The Titans won 28-12. While they didn't have an 11-minute drive, they dominated time of possession in the second half and successfully used the 'keep Lamar off the field' strategy.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0110-7335
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chiefs will blow out the Texans because Houston are frauds

I got Kansas City. I think they're going to blow them out. I think Houston, they reveal themselves to be frauds. That game against Buffalo... Buffalo lost that game more than the other way around.

The Chiefs won 51-31 after trailing 24-0. It was a blowout victory for KC in the end, and Houston's collapse supported the fraud narrative.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0110-7336
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Russell Wilson is not good in cold weather

The only thing I'm worried about is I don't think Russell Wilson can play in the cold. I don't think he's a cold guy... his record and his stats in the cold, he's not good. He gets spooked.

Statistically, Wilson has historically performed slightly worse in games under 35 degrees, and the Seahawks lost this specific cold-weather game in Green Bay (28-23).
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0103-11838
Big CatBig Cat

The Buffalo Bills will beat the Houston Texans 17-10 on Saturday

The final score will be 17 to 10. Yep, and the Buffalo Bills will win. Whoo. Okay, put it in stone.

The Houston Texans won 22-19 in overtime.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0103-11839
Big CatBig Cat

The Patriots will beat the Titans easily and make everyone look stupid

This feels like one of those games where everyone is going to talk themselves into the Patriots being done... they're going to beat the Titans easily and everyone's be like damn we feel stupid.

The Titans defeated the Patriots 20-13, marking Tom Brady's final game as a Patriot.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0103-11840
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Ryan Tannehill is not afraid of Tom Brady and the Titans will win

I'm taking the Titans. Okay, I think that Tannehill is the one quarterback that is not afraid of Tom Brady. He's beaten him four times... now we got Tannehill he's going to go in there. I think that the Titans are going to win.

The Titans won 20-13.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0103-11841
Big CatBig Cat

The Eagles are my lock of the year against the Seahawks

I'm taking the Eagles because it's Tony's it's my Tony Danza lock the lock of the Year. Okay. I mean, I'm not an idiot. I'm going to also take Tony Danza.

PredictionFootballHotSarcastic
The Seahawks won 17-9.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 26, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1226-7587
Big CatBig Cat

I'm taking the Packers, Cowboys, and Broncos in a can't-lose parlay for Week 17

My can't lose parlay this week is the Green Bay Packers, the Dallas Cowboys, and the Denver Broncos.

The Packers beat the Lions 23-20, the Cowboys beat the Redskins 47-16, and the Broncos beat the Raiders 16-15.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 26, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1226-7589
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks will beat the 49ers on Sunday Night Football

I feel like I don't have faith in either of those teams. But that just feels like a Seahawks win. You close your eyes and you just see it's probably drizzling.

The 49ers won 26-21, stopping the Seahawks inches short of the goal line in the final seconds.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 20, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1220-8833
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chicago Bears will beat the Kansas City Chiefs outright

I like Chicago. I like the Bears to win outright. How do you think they will ya fuck with me? I that's my entire logic behind. This is to just give you a victory that you can't do anything with.

The Chiefs crushed the Bears 26-3 on Sunday Night Football.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 13, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1213-17881
Big CatBig Cat

Kirk Cousins cannot win games in California

Cousins can't play on the Left Coast though. He is something like 0-8 in California.

The Vikings beat the Chargers 39-10 in Carson, CA, just two days after this episode, ending his winless streak in the state.
Push
Take Slip·Dec 13, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1213-17880
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Ryan Tannehill is peaking and will never play better than he is right now

We're in the process of watching Ryan Tannehill as good as he's probably ever as good as his body is capable of playing football. That's how he's playing. The best will ever get it's probably not going to get any better than this.

Tannehill continued to play well in 2020 (33 TDs, 7 INTs), which arguably rivaled his 2019 efficiency, though 2019 remains his highest yards-per-attempt and passer rating season.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 13, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1213-17883
Big CatBig Cat

The Cowboys are the new Falcons: high talent, low results

I finally realized what the Cowboys are: the Cowboys are the new Falcons. They are a team with a ton of talent that we say 'well, they haven't played their best game, it's coming.' You can name all these guys on the team... They're just not good. They're average to below average throughout the season.

The 2019 Cowboys finished 8-8 and missed the playoffs despite having the #1 total offense in yards, mirroring the 'empty stats' reputation of the Falcons.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 6, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1206-16970
Big CatBig Cat

The Rams will beat the Seahawks because Sean McVay owns Pete Carroll's defense

Here's Sean McVay's offenses against the Seahawks the last four times: 29 points, 33 points, 36 points, 42 points. The Rams for whatever reason it is can figure out how to attack Pete Carroll's defense... I'll take the Rams.

The Rams beat the Seahawks 28-12 on December 8, 2019.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 6, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1206-16967
Big CatBig Cat

The Buccaneers will finish 8-8 and franchise tag Jameis Winston

My favorites the Bucks. I think the Bucks are going to finish 8-8 I do. I think Jameis is going to get franchise tagged. I do, I hope so I really do.

The Bucs finished 7-9 and Jameis Winston was not franchise tagged; they signed Tom Brady instead.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 27, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1127-17032
Big CatBig Cat

I love the over in Bills vs. Cowboys on Thanksgiving

Fellas, I love this over. This is going to be my over of the day. Because you've got to have at least one over on Thanksgiving. It's a lot going against Buffalo. Buffalo on the road. Different defense at home. Very good defense on the road. Maybe not as good. And also, teams have been able to run a little bit on the Bills. Guess who the Cowboys have? Zeke.

The Bills beat the Cowboys 26-15. Total points: 41. The over/under was 46.5, so the under hit.
Push
Take Slip·Nov 27, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1127-17034
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The New Orleans Saints will blow out the Atlanta Falcons

I think that the wonky game already happened with the Saints and the Falcons. I think the Saints are going to blow them out.

The Saints won 26-18. While they won, an 8-point margin is hardly a 'blowout', though they controlled the game.
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