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Bethenny Frankel, NFL Warren Sharp, And Weekend Preview

Friday, October 9, 202019 takes

We start with a time travel prediction and recap of Thursday Night Football. (-) Weekend preview of NFL Week 5, picks and Can’t Lose Parlay.(-) Fantasy Fathers.(-) Warren Sharp joins the show to talk about winners and losers through 4 weeks, Haskins, Trubisky and surprise offenses. (-) Entrepreneur, Businesswoman, and former Real Housewives star Bethenny Frankel joins the show to talk about business, reality television, being a boss and much more. (-)We wrap up with Fyre Fest of the Week`(-51-)

Bethenny Frankel and Warren Sharp on the Bears, NFL Trends, and Reality TV

The vibes in the studio are immaculate because we are officially time traveling. Big Cat and PFT recorded the open before Thursday Night Football but spliced in their post-game reactions after the Bears took down Tom Brady and the Bucs. It was a rollercoaster of emotions that saw Big Cat go from pre-game anxiety to full-blown delusion regarding Nick Foles.

Win
Oct 9, 2020
#14442
Big CatBig Cat

I think the Bears will beat the Buccaneers and Nick Foles will look good.

I like Nick Foles in this. There's not a lot to like, it's Tom Brady and Nick Foles. I've seen this movie before... I feel like the Bears are going to have a great effort tonight... maybe not the perfect game but we just went toe-to-toe. We beat the Bucs and Nick Foles looks good.

The Bears defeated the Buccaneers 20-19.

Before the game, PFT was calling for a weird night from the kickers, and while he didn't get a total meltdown, the outcome was even better. Billy Football actually nailed the prediction of the night, calling for a Tom Brady mental lapse that saw the GOAT hold up four fingers on fifth down.

Win
Oct 9, 2020
#14444
Billy FootballBilly Football

Tom Brady will make a mental blunder that costs the Buccaneers the game.

It's going to come down to whether Brady's been aging, whether we see Brady's age physically and kind of mentally... maybe he gets slower as you age... you know all he's like supposed to be like the smart quarterback, but like, you know, you're not always with it.

In the Bucs' 20-19 loss, Tom Brady notoriously lost track of downs on the final drive, thinking it was 3rd down when it was 4th, which cost them the game.

With the Bears sitting at 4-1, PFT is officially ready to lean into the chaos. He’s looking at the way they’re winning these games and seeing something spiritual in the water in Chicago.

Loss
Oct 9, 2020
#26026
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bears are a team of destiny and I'm not using the word Super Bowl lightly.

It's very weird almost like team of Destiny Vibes. Like I don't use the word Super Bowl lightly... This is team of Destiny stuff for sure and Nick Foles... he's got ice water in his veins.

The Bears finished the season 8-8 and lost in the Wild Card round; they were not a team of destiny.

Sharp Angles and Betting the Board

Warren Sharp joined the show to breakdown what he's seeing through the first month of the season. He pointed out that while some teams look like contenders on paper, the underlying data tells a different story. He's particularly skeptical of the Titans despite their undefeated start and thinks the Eagles are better than the mess we've seen on the field.

Loss
Oct 9, 2020
#14447
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

The Tennessee Titans are not as good as their 3-0 record suggests

A team that's worse than what their record is... it's the Tennessee Titans. This is not a team that is undefeated three and oh in the NFL. They're a team that barely was able to come back and beat the Denver Broncos, beat the Minnesota Vikings... I don't think that this team is as good as what their record indicates right now.

The Titans finished the season 11-5 and reached the playoffs, suggesting they were a legitimately good team despite Sharp's skepticism.

Warren also touched on the Dwayne Haskins situation in Washington. It turns out the benching might have had more to do with the meeting room than the highlight reel. Sharp explained that the coaching staff's lack of allegiance to Haskins, combined with a perceived lack of growth in his film study, made the move to Kyle Allen inevitable.

Win
Oct 9, 2020
#14449
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

Dwayne Haskins was benched because he wasn't responding to coaching, not just performance

The bigger issue for Dwayne Haskins is simply was he responding to the coaching... it's about doing what the coaches are asking you to do and having some accountability... I'm hearing Dwayne Haskins was not able to respond to the coaching... at some point they're like, I don't know if this guy's ever going to 'get it'.

Haskins was eventually released by Washington later that season following continued performance and off-field maturity issues, supporting the claim that it was a coaching/culture mismatch.

Before letting him go, Sharp highlighted how the league-wide shift toward fourth-down aggression is fundamentally changing the way we look at over/under totals. If you're a fan of points, you're a fan of coaches who have the balls to keep the punter on the sideline.

Win
Oct 9, 2020
#26029
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

Fourth down aggression almost always benefits bettors taking the over.

From a betting perspective. It makes a lot of sense because... when a team decides to go for it on fourth down it almost always is beneficial to [the over] because what they're not doing is punting the ball... regardless of what happens on that fourth down play. Somebody's getting the ball probably close to Midfield, which is a lot for Less distance to travel to score points.

Analytical data supports that 4th down attempts increase the expected point total of a game regardless of conversion.

The Queen of the Pressure Cabin

In a legendary pivot, Bethenny Frankel hopped on the show to discuss her new podcast and her time as the focal point of the Real Housewives universe. She brought a level of intensity that caught Big Cat and PFT off guard, explaining that her business success is rooted in being unapologetically herself. She isn't here to make friends; she's here to build an empire.

Void
Oct 9, 2020
#14450
Bethenny FrankelBethenny Frankel

It is better to be polarizing and polarizing than to be untrusted

It's better to be—there's no gray in this life. I mean, so it's black or white and polarizing and that's okay. It would be worse for me—it's okay if I'm not liked, it would be bad if I were not trusted. So that would really bother me, but I'm definitely trusted.

This is a subjective personal philosophy.

She gave a fascinating behind-the-scenes look at how reality TV actually functions, particularly those infamous cast trips. While fans see luxury vacations, Bethenny sees a calculated exercise in psychological warfare designed to create maximum toxicity for the cameras.

Win
Oct 9, 2020
#26033
Bethenny FrankelBethenny Frankel

Reality show cast trips are designed as 'pressure cabins' to force toxic conflict.

The trips are designed to put you in a pressure cabin together with everybody. To work through and bring up every issue... it's like a little mini forest fires that with any luck from production begin a big giant one big fire for the finale... it wouldn't matter where you are because it's going to be the most disgusting experience of arguments and toxicity.

This describes the standard operating procedure for reality TV production design.

Bethenny also walked the guys through her massive philanthropic efforts with BeStrong and hinted that she might just be the only person capable of fixing the government because she refuses to play the typical political games.

Void
Oct 9, 2020
#26034
Bethenny FrankelBethenny Frankel

I would be the only honest politician and could successfully run the country because I don't bullshit.

I'd be the honest politician and be able to figure out how to play the game without being corrupted not bullshitting everybody a hundred percent... if you want to get things done and be wise and be strategic, I'm very good at that that I'm an Executor... doing the right in the country. I think I could absolutely do. I mean I know I could have.

This is a subjective claim about her own potential as a leader.

Weekend Preview and Fantasy Fathers

To wrap things up, the guys ran through the Week 5 slate. Big Cat is putting the Cowboys on notice, while PFT is still trying to wrap his head around how the NFC East is somehow the most entertaining dumpster fire in sports history.

Push
Oct 9, 2020·Picks
#26028
Big CatBig Cat

If the Cowboys don't cover the spread against the Giants, they aren't a real team.

If the Cowboys don't cover the nine and a half against the Giants. I'm just going to cross them off as not real team. So it's like a statement game you either. Tell me that you're real or not. But otherwise, I'm moving on.

The Cowboys won 37-34 but failed to cover the 9.5 point spread, and Dak Prescott's season-ending injury in that game effectively confirmed they were no longer a real contender.

We also got a fresh edition of Fantasy Fathers, where the dads discussed the importance of raking leaves, keeping the thermostat at a reasonable level, and avoiding the dangers of power tools. Fyre Fest of the week featured PFT being investigated by Airbnb for $40,000 in pool damages, which he maintains is a total scam because he filled the pool with a hose every single day.

Hopefully Billy remembers to actually pick up that hedgehog he put a down payment on before it finds a new home.

nflchicago-bearsreal-housewivesbettingfantasy-footballtom-brady

More Takes

Win
Oct 9, 2020
#26025
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bears offense will look good and put up about 250 yards against the Buccaneers.

I think the Bears offense go look good... I think they're going to have 200 yards... 250, maybe.

The Bears offense finished with 243 total yards, making PFT's 250-yard prediction nearly perfect.
Win
Oct 9, 2020
#14443
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Something weird will happen with the kickers in the Bears vs. Buccaneers game

Something weird is going to happen tonight. It's gonna be weird kicker night... I'm thinking Cairo Santos might do something good. I'm thinking... suck up [Ryan Succop] is going to do something weird. Whether it's missing three field goals, maybe missing an extra point.

Cairo Santos hit a game-winning 38-yard field goal with 1:13 left. Ryan Succop made all 4 of his field goals, but the prediction of kicker importance was correct.
Win
Oct 9, 2020·Picks
#14445
Big CatBig Cat

I love the Panthers to beat the Falcons

Panthers-Falcons, start there. Falcons, this could be the end for Dan Quinn. I have said many times I'm going to respect Teddy Bridgewater more and that's why I love the Panthers in this game.

The Panthers beat the Falcons 23-16, and the Falcons fired Dan Quinn the next day.
Loss
Oct 9, 2020·Picks
#14446
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Eagles will win the NFC East with a losing record like 3-5-1.

The Eagles win the NFC East at like 3-5-1. The Eagles, they should have stopped playing right now. Yes, 1-2-1 is good enough to get you top of the NFC East.

The Washington Football Team won the division with a 7-9 record; the Eagles finished last at 4-11-1.
Win
Oct 9, 2020·Picks
#26027
Big CatBig Cat

Joe Burrow is the Spread God of the NFL season.

Joe Burrow this year the Bengals are not going to be good, but I'm actually no I'm yeah, I know Joe Burrow is four and zero against spread. So Joe Burrow is our Spread god of the season so far.

Joe Burrow was indeed 4-0 against the spread entering Week 5 of the 2020 season.
Loss
Oct 9, 2020
#14448
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

The Eagles are better than their record indicates and will improve when healthy

A team I think that's easy to say is better than what the record is is the Philadelphia Eagles because of how injuries have derailed them and the performance of Carson Wentz thus far... when they get their offensive lineman back healthy... I think they're a team that's definitely better than what the record is.

The Eagles did not improve; they finished 4-11-1 and Carson Wentz was benched for Jalen Hurts.
Win
Oct 9, 2020
#26030
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

Mike McCarthy lied on his job application to Jerry Jones about studying every play of his season off.

The guy openly lied on his job application to Jerry Jones. He completely admitted to the fact he goes in and says I watched every play. I watched the film. I studied the analytics in the offseason then his opening press conference. He comes back and says, by the way, I lied about all of that. I just wanted to get the job coaching the Cowboys.

Mike McCarthy admitted in a press conference that he didn't actually watch every play as he told Jerry Jones in his interview.
Win
Oct 9, 2020
#26031
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

Cam Newton is not a long-term answer at quarterback due to his injury history and physical playstyle.

I do think that there is a school of thought that [Cam Newton] you might get a year or two or three out of Cam but the injuries and the way he plays football might compound upon one another. That's it. He's not your long-term answer at quarterback.

Newton's career as a starter effectively ended shortly after this season; he was benched in 2020 and struggled in a 2021 return to Carolina.
Void
Oct 9, 2020
#26032
Bethenny FrankelBethenny Frankel

Reality show 'friends' are not actually friends; they are produced to be friends for the camera.

It's been more manufactured over the years... people aren't really friends, but they have to sort of produce them as if they're friends... you're living in this world and the things that you're arguing about are very important to you within this microcosm. But in no other situation of your life would they be important.

This is a widely supported industry observation from many former reality stars, though inherently subjective.

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