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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Rams have proven that first-round draft picks outside of the top 10 don't matter

Are the Rams doing it correctly? Not that draft picks don't matter. Draft picks outside of the top 10 don't matter as much... instead of taking risks on a bunch of 21 year olds, let's get the known commodity knowing it's a crapshoot and just keep punting that down the line being like, we don't care.

This is a subjective organizational philosophy that has yielded mixed results for other teams, though the Rams have remained competitive.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Alec Pierce is about to get a massive contract in free agency

I think Alec Pierce is about to get paid too. I think the market on Alec Pierce is gonna be crazy. Possible Patriot. Possible Commander.

Alec Pierce signed a 4-year, $116M extension with the Colts in March 2026 free agency — the highest-paid free agent receiver in NFL history at the time.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Malik Willis is the #1 free agent backup quarterback

Top quarterback free agents... Is it also Malik Willis? Malik Willis is, yes. So he's number one. Malik Willis one.

Willis was traded to the Packers in 2024 and performed well as a backup, but ranking him #1 over established vets is a subjective value judgment.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

Mac Jones is the definitive 'Next Sam Darnold'

I think Mac Jones is the next Sam Darnold... I like Mac Jones [as] one.

Pending seeing if Mac Jones revitalizes his career as a starter elsewhere.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kyler Murray will be a Hall of Famer if he joins Sean McVay as a backup for one year

Kyler Murray, if he goes to the Rams and chooses to be a backup with Sean McVay and stick around there, Kyler Murray's gonna go into the Hall of Fame. That's just how this is gonna work out. Sean McVay's gonna be like, I got my guy for the next 10 years. We'll win one more Super Bowl with Matt Stafford, then it's Kyler. He'll be back to being Elite again.

Requires Murray to join the Rams and then achieve HOF-level success.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jets should trade three first-round picks to move up one spot and draft Fernando Mendoza

I heard that the Jets should trade three first round picks to move up one spot and get [Fernando] Mendoza. ... I think I probably would too if I was the Jets.

This trade did not happen, and the draft philosophy is satirical.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

The Eagles will draft a quarterback in the early rounds

I think they might draft a quarterback. ... What if you fell it to the second, what if you fell to the second max? Like there's been a history in Philadelphia of drafting guys in the second round when you don't really necessarily think that they're in the market for a quarterback

Will be resolved during the 2026 NFL Draft.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Max Crosby would instantly make the Bears a really good defense

I would be pumped if it was [Max Crosby] to the Bears, I'd be very, very pumped. Yeah. He's amazing. Really, really good at football and would be instantly make the Bears a really, really good defense.

Subjective evaluation of defensive performance, though the trade hasn't happened.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Drew Dalman's retirement is a massive blow to the Bears' offensive line

The first instant reaction was fuck, fuck, fuck, fuck. Then you have to be a human about it and realize like, hey, the guy's able to walk away while he still feels healthy. That's awesome for Drew Dalman. And then it's right back to fuck, fuck, fuck. Because... the offensive line was a significant strength... and now they go into the draft and it's like, fuck.

Subjective fan assessment of team strength.
Open
ZacZac

Rams fans should be worried because Puka Nacua is focused on everything but football right now

My Hot Seat this week is gonna be Rams fans. ... Puka might be focused on everything but football right now. He's on an elite bachelor run. ... I just feel when you're on this kind of heater, I think it, it's gonna transcend and he, this is gonna bleed into the regular season football.

Will be judged by Nacua's performance in the 2026 season.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jets will make the playoffs next year

Aaron Glenn is locked in. He's as ready as he is ever been. Jets playoffs next year.

The Jets' performance in the 2026-27 NFL season will determine this.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The guy in charge of measuring arm lengths at the NFL Combine is bad at his job.

There's a big story that's brewing under wraps at the combine... the guy that measures arm length at the combines is not good at measuring arm length. This is going to be two years in a row where the arm length that's measured at the combine does not add up to what happens at the individual workouts or the guy's pro days. He's got a short measurement.

This is an unverifiable claim about the consistency of a specific anonymous official's measurements.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

It is literal torture that the Steelers locker room only has five bathroom stalls for the whole team.

The Steelers locker room only has five bathroom stalls for the entire team. That's egregious. That's insane. Five bathroom stalls for 53 large men that have to take shits all the time. That's actually torture. Your favorite player is oftentimes awkwardly trying to like silence his shit, which no man should have to do. Sucks.

While the stall count is a fact, the label of 'torture' is a subjective comedic exaggeration.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

JJ McCarthy should want to play for Kevin O'Connell in Minnesota

JJ McCarthy should want to play for Kevin O'Connell. He should do like the Chet Powers thing and just disguise himself as somebody else and then be like, 'Hey, can you fix me Kevin O'Connell?'

This is a subjective opinion on player-coach fit.
Win
MM
Mike Macdonald

Drake Maye struggles disproportionately on third-and-six.

On [Drake Maye's] scouting him on third down, they were like undefeated on third and two, third and three. They're nasty. But on third and six, he struggles. Third and six is the one down and distance he struggles with disproportionately... just that one yard. Third and six struggle.

This is a fact claim about a fictional future season (2025) within the episode's timeline.
Void
MM
Mike Macdonald

Great defense will usually beat great offense

I feel like all—there's a lot of like Super Bowls and big games in the past where I feel like the defense... I feel like the defenses have probably won more. [Great defense is gonna beat great offense].

This is a classic football philosophy debate.
Void
MM
Mike Macdonald

The NFL conditioning test for linemen is a joke now.

I think the lineman test is way easier now. It's like a joke. It's only the skill guys [that are hard], but the lineman ones is a joke. Now's not the time to like lower your standard.

The difficulty of a workout is inherently subjective.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Arm length doesn't matter for a tackle as long as the quarterback doesn't have tiny hands

Arm length doesn't always dictate everything. If you have a guy that's got short arms that's playing tackle, it's not the end of the world unless maybe you also have a quarterback with tiny hands, in which case it's like synergy factors. Right. Where if the guy with short arms can't block the guy and then the guy with tiny hands gets hit, more likely to fumble.

Whether specific arm length correlates to fumbles based on QB hand size is largely theoretical and difficult to prove or disprove.
Open
MemesMemes

The Jets fleeced the Titans in the T'Vondre Sweat for Jermaine Johnson trade

I think the Jets fleece the Titans. I think it's a win-win, win-win win plus for the Jets. I'll say win plus... So they traded for [T'Vondre] Sweat. He has two years left on his contract. Jermaine Johnson only had one year left on his contract.

The trade's success depends on the long-term production of both players relative to their contract status.
Win
Kevin StefanskiKevin Stefanski

Myles Garrett breaking the sack record while being double-teamed and chipped is an 'insane' feat

The degree of difficulty to which [Myles Garrett] is doing that is insane because every team goes into those games saying we can't let him wreck the game. And he still does. They chip him, they slide to him, they put a running back over there... to still get the record with all that against him was incredible.

In the PMT 2026 universe, Myles Garrett broke the sack record in the 2025 season.
Open
Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Andy Dalton would be the perfect veteran backup for JJ McCarthy on the Vikings

The Minnesota Vikings. Like that would make a, he'd be the perfect guy for JJ McCarthy. He looks like a Viking... I kind of like the Vikings [for Dalton].

This depends on where Andy Dalton actually signs during the 2026 free agency period.
Open
Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The 49ers will not trade Mac Jones because they like him too much as a backup for Brock Purdy

I don't think they're gonna trade Mac Jones. They just have not, they, they like him too much. And Brock Purdy runs around. He's an active guy and he's missed some time. And when Brock Purdy missed time, Mac [Jones] was able to step right in... I think they really like Mac Jones too much [to move him].

The 49ers' roster decisions for the 2026 season will determine if this holds true.
Open
Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Miami should release Tua and eat the record $99 million cap hit all at once

I think they probably just have to wind up releasing [Tua]. And the question is, how do you wanna take your medicine? You wanna take it all at once. One year. 99.1 million. The largest cap hit in NFL history. You wanna spread it out, make him post June one... I would just take all my medicine all at once. If it were me.

This is an advisory opinion on how to handle the contract; the Dolphins' actual decision will reveal if they agree.
Open
Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Malik Willis is the 'crown jewel' and top free agent quarterback available this year

Only one of them is going to get Malik Willis. And Malik Willis is the top free agent quarterback this year. The crown jewel. I just think it's a tough year to be in the quarterback market and it's hard to predict how that's gonna shake out when there aren't a whole lot of options out there.

Willis's contract and status as the first QB signed in free agency will validate this.
Open
Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Fernando Mendoza is expected to be the #1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft

Unless some team makes an offer that they can't refuse... We think we, we could report, we probably could put on the bottom line: Fernando Mendoza expected to be the number one [pick].

The draft occurs in late April 2026.
Open
Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Brandon Aiyuk will be released by the 49ers on the first day of the league year

[Brandon Aiyuk] will be released on the first day of the league year I would think... We know he is not gonna be in San Francisco.

The league year begins in March 2026; we will see if the release occurs then.
Open
Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Alec Pierce will be a top target in free agency for teams like the Patriots, Bills, and Browns

Alec Pierce, I think is a guy that's gonna get a lot of interest. He'll go quick. I would think that... Patriots, bills, [Browns] obviously. I'm trying to think of a wide receiver needy team... Cleveland.

Resolved once Alec Pierce signs his 2026 contract.
Open
Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Trey Hendrickson would love to sign with Tampa Bay to stay in Florida for tax reasons

I think that [Trey Hendrickson] would love to be in Tampa. He lives in Ponte Vedra... Tampa would be a great fit, I think in a perfect world. I think in a perfect world, Trey would like to stay in Florida if he could. No state tax.

Resolved during the 2026 free agency period.
Open
Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Kenneth Walker will likely be a free agent and the Houston Texans are a perfect fit

My guess is in the end, [Kenneth Walker] is gonna be a free agent. And if he's a free agent, where does Kenneth Walker go? Like, Houston makes a lot of sense, doesn't it? Houston needs to help CJ Stroud. What's the best way to help CJ Stroud? Get one of these frontline running backs.

Resolved during the 2026 free agency period.
Open
Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

George Pickens will command $30-35 million per year in a new contract

If you're George Pickens, you're probably saying, Hey, I may not be exactly [Puka or JSN], but I went to the Pro Bowl. I'm almost as good as these guys. And if these guys are getting 40, what's George Pickens worth? Let's just throw out a number. 30, 35? It's a tough number to fit under the cap.

Depends on the contract Pickens eventually signs or the tag value he receives.
Open
Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Brandon Aubrey is worth a contract in the $12-14 million range as a major offensive weapon

I could argue that that guy's worth 12 million. 14 million. Like you're paying running backs 12, 13, 14 million on the open market. You get past midfield, you got three points in the bank. That's it. To me, he's a major weapon.

Resolved once Aubrey signs a new contract or tender in 2026.
Open
Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

Nashville, Denver, and Washington will host Super Bowls once their new stadiums are finished

I'll bet you there's a Super Bowl in Nashville. There's gonna be a new stadium in Denver. I'll bet you there's a Super Bowl in Denver. It's gonna be a new stadium in Washington. I'll bet you there's a Super Bowl in Washington and you begin to integrate those places.

These would resolve several years in the future as stadiums are completed.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Tua Tagovailoa's market value is non-existent relative to his contract

Everything's on the table for the Dolphins. Tua could be a fullback. What would you... What do you think the Dolphins would say yes to for a trade for Tua? Like a sixth round pick for Tua? A jugs machine? I don't know what the hell would Tua's market be?

The Dolphins' internal view on 'everything being on the table' is a subjective claim about team strategy.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Trent Williams is the rare offensive lineman who is actually fun to watch play

Trent Williams is a joy to have on your team. He's just a fucking bully. He's also the rare offensive lineman where you have fun watching him play. Like after the ball was snapped, my eyes would just go to Trent Williams because it's like this guy, we might throw an interception, but Trent Williams might punch a guy in the throat.

This is a subjective opinion about entertainment value.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Joe Schoen is effectively fired if he has to publicly clarify that he hasn't been fired

If you ever have to describe the fact that, like, by the way, I'm not fired. You're pretty much fired. Right? Nobody has ever said, 'Hey, just so you know, technically I'm not fired,' and then they got an extension after that.

Joe Schoen remains the Giants GM through the 2024 and 2025 seasons, making this a failed prediction in the short term, though the take is grounded in the irony of the statement.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Malik Willis will be traded to the Arizona Cardinals

I speculated before... regarding Malik Willis to Arizona.

Malik Willis was traded to the Green Bay Packers in August 2024, not the Cardinals.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The UFL's three-point conversion and no punting rules are too gimmicky

The UFL just unveiled their rules today. A little bit gimmicky. They're doing a four point field goal for long field goals. You're not allowed to punt inside the 50 yard line. And then they've got one, two, and three point conversions. I don't like the banning of punting inside the 50. Field goals are worth three points. We don't want more field goals.

This is a subjective opinion on the quality of football rules.
Open
Dianna RussiniDianna Russini

AJ Brown and the Philadelphia Eagles relationship is likely finished

I think AJ Brown's been pretty open about wanting to move on. I think there's hope from some Philly fans that they can make this work, but sometimes it's just better to just split and go in separate ways. I expect a lot of that to heat up over the next few days. We'll probably have an answer very soon. This relationship is probably done.

Depends on whether AJ Brown is traded or released shortly after the 2026 Combine.
Open
Dianna RussiniDianna Russini

Maxx Crosby being traded by the Raiders would not be a surprise

I think the frustration he had was how they managed him and his injury this year. When they shut him down, that went against what he's about. I will not be surprised if that [Maxx Crosby trade] winds up happening. The Ravens... doesn't that just fit?

Resolvable by the start of the 2026 NFL season.
Open
Dianna RussiniDianna Russini

Eagles OC Liam Coen is a massive upgrade and the locker room is fully bought in

The Eagles OC [Liam Coen]... I called around and I heard amazing things about him. And then the players heard about it. And then, so now everyone's all-in on this guy. I'm excited to see what this does.

The success of the Eagles' offense under Coen will be determined by the 2025/2026 results.
Win
Dianna RussiniDianna Russini

Mike Evans will remain with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

[Where's Mike Evans playing next year?] Tampa Bay. I think the Bucs have made it pretty clear they're gonna probably move forward with him.

Mike Evans signed a 2-year extension with the Buccaneers in March 2024.
Loss
Dianna RussiniDianna Russini

The Minnesota Vikings are a likely landing spot for Kyler Murray if Arizona moves on

I'm curious to see if Minnesota checks that [Kyler Murray] out. That could be interesting, right? You look so short in purple.

Kyler Murray remained the Cardinals' starting QB through the 2024 and 2025 seasons.
Open
Dianna RussiniDianna Russini

Joe Burrow is unhappy in Cincinnati because the team is not doing enough to win

Joe's not happy and we know that. He's frustrated that they stink and that they're not doing enough to improve the roster. The defense has been trashed for a few years here. I don't believe the Bengals are gonna trade Joe Burrow, but I want to pay attention to if Joe starts voicing 'I don't wanna be here anymore'.

The Bengals' roster moves and Burrow's public comments will eventually clarify this.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL Tush Push is not in danger of being eliminated

The tush push is not in danger of being eliminated, I don't think. It sounds like they're not proceeding with any votes to get it out.

The NFL has not banned the play as of the latest league meetings.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears will likely end up in Arlington Heights despite the Indiana stadium news

The Indiana has voted to go forward with taking the bears. Having the Bears, holding the Bears in Hammond. While it doesn't actually mean anything, because I still think they're gonna be in Arlington Heights. It is the closest they've ever been to potentially finding a place.

The Bears' stadium saga is ongoing as of early 2026, but the Indiana move remains a secondary possibility to Illinois options.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

In 20 years, everyone will regret the decision to put every NFL stadium indoors

I firmly have, have come around to the idea that in 20 years from now, we are all going to regret the fact that we put every single stadium indoors.

This is a subjective long-term cultural prediction that cannot be definitively proven but reflects a common sentiment among purists.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Hosting a Super Bowl is not worth it for a city long-term financially

If you look at the, the long term like financial impacts of hosting Super Bowl, it's not worth it. It's not, it's stupid. It's really not. You just, it Same thing with the Olympics or the World Cup. You just bend over backwards for people.

Many economic studies support this, though it remains a debated topic among urban planners.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Super Bowl should just rotate back and forth between Las Vegas and New Orleans permanently

No city should bend over backwards to try to get a Super Bowl if they're not already capable of handling it... The Super Bowl should at this point just be Vegas back and forth. New Orleans. Vegas. I'd be fine with that.

The NFL currently prefers a wider rotation to reward various markets and new stadiums.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Seahawks sale will set a record price for an NFL franchise

I feel like this, this sale is going to set a record. Oh yeah. Especially considering they're coming off a Super Bowl right now. Oh yeah. It's gonna be crazy. How, how much money is spent on the Seahawks.

The Seahawks sale has not occurred yet to verify if it beats the Denver Broncos record.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

Tyreek Hill is still fast but on the 'wrong side' of his career, making him a risky but likely target for the Chiefs or Raiders

He can still run... eventually he will be able to run again. I don't know. Chiefs... Raiders or classic Antonio Brown arc Raiders for like a month... He is on the wrong side. He's like 32. So, but he still is fast... A team that is going to trade for him has to have a pretty good locker room to be like, 'Hey Tyreek, we're happy to have you on the team knowing everything.'

The outcome depends on where Hill signs after his release/trade from the Dolphins.

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