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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am 60% sure Jayden Daniels will not play against the Vikings.

I still don't know [if Jayden Daniels is playing]. ... I'm at like 60% that he's not gonna play. ... Big picture, if he gets hurt, I'm gonna be like, why the fuck was Jayden Daniels playing in this game?

Jayden Daniels was cleared and did start the Week 14 game against the Vikings on December 7, 2025. PFT said he was 60% sure Daniels would NOT play, but Daniels did start (though he left the game early with an elbow injury in the 31-0 loss).
Open
Big CatBig Cat

Now is the perfect time to buy stock in JJ McCarthy.

I actually think this might be where you wanna buy some nine [JJ McCarthy] stock. ... I'm gonna buy some nine stock this week. ... This might be nine week.

Depends on JJ McCarthy's performance in the upcoming games.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I would rather see Jayden Daniels play and risk injury than sit him for the rest of the season

Big picture, if he gets hurt, I'm gonna be like, why the fuck was Jayden Daniels playing? Counterpoint: Good football players want to play football when they're healthy. I would really like to see Jayden Daniels play this weekend. I don't care. I like watching him play football.

This is an opinion on team management and fan enjoyment.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Riley Moss has the most pass interference calls against him in the entire NFL.

Do you know who has the most pass interference calls against them in the entire NFL... defensively against them? ... Riley Moss is number one by far. He's got, I believe, seven. Next closest guy has four.

Multiple sources confirm Riley Moss led the NFL in defensive pass interference penalties during the 2025 season. Through the time of the episode (Week 13/14), Moss had seven DPI calls, the most in the league, with the next closest player at four. This matches PFT's claim exactly.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Matthew Stafford's 31 career pick-sixes is actually a complimentary stat

Matthew Stafford has 31 [pick-sixes]. Brett Favre has 32. And you're like, 'Ooh, that's a bad stat.' And then you realize... that means you're very, very good because you played long enough that it didn't actually matter. It's actually kind of a compliment that the rest of your game is so good that 31 pick-sixes are completely irrelevant.

This is a subjective interpretation of a statistic.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The Texans' defense is the best singular unit of any team in the AFC.

The Texans might be the best singular unit of any team in the AFC. ... Their defense is for real. And it's, it's like, shit, man. They, they beat the fuck—what they did to Josh Allen a couple weeks ago was like, oh man.

Subjective ranking, though advanced stats could support it.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Week 14 is an elimination game for the Chiefs

The Chiefs season kind of comes down to three-game schedule at home... If they lose this game [against the Texans], I think it's gonna be very hard for them to make the playoffs. This is an elimination game pretty much for the Chiefs today.

The Chiefs went 6-11 and missed the playoffs for the first time since 2014. Losing key games late in the season, including to the Broncos on Christmas Day, sealed their fate. It was indeed an elimination stretch.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Colts -4.5 vs. Texans is a suspiciously low line that favors the Colts

I'm gonna take the Colts minus four and a half. I feel like the, that that's, that's a field goal line. Why is it four and a half? They know something.

The Colts beat the Texans 24-21, failing to cover the -4.5 spread.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Colts will beat the Chiefs this weekend

I think I like the Colts this weekend. Gimme the Indianapolis Colts plus three and a half... gimme the hook, gimme the Colts and nuke it. Nuke City.

PFT took the Colts +3.5 against the Chiefs in Week 12. The Chiefs won 23-20 in overtime, a margin of exactly 3 points. Since the Colts had +3.5 and lost by only 3, the Colts covered the spread. PFT's bet was correct.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

I bet the Cowboys to cover +3 against the Eagles

I'm gonna take the Cowboys plus three... I think the Cowboys are gonna cover the spread. The Eagles can win the game.

Cannot verify the specific Cowboys vs Eagles Week 12 2025 spread result. The Cowboys beat the Commanders on Christmas Day, but this was a different game.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Sauce Gardner is exactly the type of player the Colts secondary needs

I think that [Sauce Gardner] is exactly what the Colts need in terms of a football player... he's exactly what the Colts need in terms of a football player [after the trade].

The outcome is pending the performance of Gardner in this hypothetical Colts season.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Lane Kiffin won't take the Giants job because it's too cold in New York

Lane Kiffin has officially taken his hat out of the running to be the Giants next head coach 'cause of coldness. [Kiffin] said not interested, too cold up there.

Based on the internal logic of the show's news reporting, Kiffin has removed himself from consideration.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are legitimate Super Bowl contenders

The Seahawks are really fucking good. They're Super Bowl contenders.

Big Cat said the Seahawks were legitimate Super Bowl contenders. The Seahawks went 14-3 in the 2025 regular season, won the NFC West, earned the No. 1 seed, and won Super Bowl LX, defeating the Patriots 29-13. They were indeed Super Bowl contenders — they won it all.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Kyler Murray made the correct financial decision choosing the NFL over MLB

I'll say that. Even if [Kyler Murray] never is a good starting quarterback in the NFL and never gets another bonafide shot, he made the correct choice because he's made $170 million.

This is a subjective evaluation of career success based on earnings.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Lions are going to destroy the Commanders this weekend

I think we're gonna get destroyed. I think Dan Campbell is going to have his team just salivating ready to destroy us. It's gonna be an ass kicking.

PFT predicted the Lions would destroy the Commanders in Week 10. The Lions won 44-22, a 22-point drubbing -- exactly the 'ass kicking' PFT predicted.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Shane Steichen is a top three candidate for Coach of the Year

I think Steichen, he's like top what? Definitely in the top three for coach of the Year so far this year.

Whether Steichen finishes in the top three of COTY voting is pending the end of the season.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm 'Falcons heavy' and taking the points (+6.5) against the Colts in Berlin

Gotta take the Falcons. Gotta take the Falcons. I'm Falcons heavy. Yeah. It's my play of the week actually. [The line is] Colts minus six and a half.

PFT took the Falcons +6.5 against the Colts in Berlin. The Colts won 31-25 in overtime, a margin of exactly 6 points. Since the Falcons had +6.5 and lost by only 6, the Falcons covered the spread. PFT's bet was correct.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears vs. Bengals game is a 'must look good' game for the Chicago offense

This is a must look good on offense game. The Bears offense has not, has been up and down this year... If you can't light up the Bengals defense, then I'm gonna start having some doubts creep in.

This is a subjective standard for success set by the speaker.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Aiden Hutchinson is a lock for NFL Comeback Player of the Year

I was looking at the Comeback Player of the Year stats. I love Aiden Hutchinson for that right now. I think he's like five to one. I think that's a good bet. I'm gonna bet that right now actually.

Hutchinson suffered a broken leg in Week 6 and is out for the regular season, making this take technically impossible for this season, though PFT might be looking at future odds or is misinformed about the return timeline.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Jordan Love is on a trajectory to be an all-time great based on his first 40 starts

Jordan Love is one of three NFL quarterbacks to post in his first 40 career starts, 70 plus passing touchdowns, 25 or fewer interceptions. The other two quarterbacks are Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. Although he is really good and it's bad, I think there's a chance he plays well into his forties.

The stat claim is correct. The prediction of him playing into his 40s is pending.
Void
HankHank

The Patriots will blow out the Falcons

I'm going blowout... I'll do nine and a half... Gillette's gonna be rocking... I think it's gonna be a blowout.

Cannot verify the specific Patriots vs Falcons Week 9 2025 game result or whether it was a blowout.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Colts are the best team in football right now

The Colts who are the best team in football... Their offense is absolutely electric. They are like, they're just well-rounded all the way through.

In the real world, the Colts aren't led by Daniel Jones nor the best team, but within the transcript's logic, it's a bold claim.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Shane Steichen is the frontrunner for NFL Coach of the Year

Shane Steichen feels like maybe Coach of the Year. Right? And I don't really like, the Colts are just really, really good.

Steichen did not win Coach of the Year. Vrabel won. The Colts collapsed from 8-2 to 8-9.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Broncos will beat the Texans because of their defensive front matching up against Houston's line

I think the Broncos are gonna win this game... I'm going off the same reasoning I had last week... when they [Texans] play pass rushes that are good, they struggle. Broncos are one of them. I'm gonna take the Broncos defense.

The Broncos beat the Texans 18-15 on November 2, 2025. Big Cat correctly predicted the Broncos would win based on their defensive front. Denver outscored Houston 11-0 in the final quarter including a game-winning field goal as time expired.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Broncos and Texans will go under 39.5 points

I think that both these defenses are very, very good... I think the Broncos defense is gonna frustrate the absolute fuck out of the Texans defense. I'm taking the under in this game.

The Broncos-Texans game finished 18-15, for a total of 33 points. PFT took the under on 39.5 total points, and the final total of 33 was well under that line.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Dolphins are running out the clock on Mike McDaniel and Tua Tagovailoa

It just seems like the Dolphins are running out the clock here on the season on Mike McDaniel on Tua... the Picks are happening whether you can see it or not. Maybe just try to do some blind plays.

The Dolphins did run out the clock. They went 7-10 and Mike McDaniel was fired on January 8, 2026. The Dolphins' season ended in disappointment.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tua Tagovailoa has 'low eyes' which causes him to miss linebackers

I feel like this is why in the draft you measure quarterbacks up to the eyeballs. You don't measure 'em to the top of the head. Tua's got a lot of wasted space in the forehead. Makes him a little bit taller on paper than he really is. He's got low eyes.

Inherently absurd anatomical observation used to explain performance.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kirk Cousins will play well for the Falcons and then be traded to another team this season.

I hope that at some point this season we get a Kirk Cousins game. I want to see Kirk Cousins. I want him to go out there. I want him to play well and then I want him to be traded to another team this season.

Kirk Cousins was not traded during the 2025 season. He served as backup to Michael Penix Jr. and stepped in when Penix tore his ACL in November, going 5-2 as a starter. He was released by the Falcons in March 2026, not traded during the season.
Void
MemesMemes

The Jets are experiencing 'below rock bottom' dysfunction

This is just total dysfunction. This is the rock bottom we were talking about under the rock bottom. It's below the rock bottom. And now it's only up from here. Hopefully.

Subjective assessment of team morale.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Shado Sanders is ready to start based on his recent progress in practice.

Mary Kay Cabot said in practice Shado Sanders has been making a ton of progress. He looks really good... It sounds out there, it sounds like Shado is ready.

The quality of Sanders' play once he starts will determine if he was truly 'ready'.
Push
HankHank

Drake Maye is a 'total package' and a 'cover two killer'

He's efficient. Accurate. Total package... Cover two killer. [I've] been watching a lot of film. Knows cover two.

Drake Maye had an excellent 2025 season (4,394 yards, 31 TDs, 72% completion rate), but 'total package' and 'cover two killer' may overstate his abilities at this point. He led the Patriots to 14-3 but lost the Super Bowl.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

AJ Brown feels 'used' by the Eagles because they only target him when they desperately need to win.

I think he looks at his relationship with a football team and every time they go to him and they try to exploit a weakness in the defense... he feels like he's being used, like they wouldn't pass him the ball if they didn't need him to win. So fuck them. It's like, you're just using me so that you can win.

This is a subjective theory on a player's mindset.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The Ravens removing their ping pong tables means they will beat the Bears

The Ravens removed their ping pong tables... Harbaugh said that the vets did it. I have a hard and fast rule when a team removes a ping pong table from, I mean, that, that means they're ready to win... I'm going into this game thinking the Ravens might kill the Bears.

Cannot verify the specific Ravens vs Bears Week 8 2025 result. The 'ping pong table' logic is a humorous superstition, not a verifiable prediction methodology.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Texans defense will win them the game against the 49ers

I like the Texans in this game. Not, obviously not because of their offense... I'm more gonna bet the Texans because their defense is the best unit on the field. And the 49ers Mac Jones looked good, but this is a different defense. This is a top defense.

The Texans beat the 49ers 26-15 in Week 8. The Texans defense was the best unit on the field as Big Cat predicted.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Rams against the spread are a must-bet because they are 11-3 in their last 14 games

The Rams are just knocking people out against the spread recently... they're 11 and 3 against the spread in their last 14 games. Yep. One of those was the blocked field goal by the Eagles... they should be 12 and 2 at that point.

The Rams went on to have a mediocre season following this, but the specific 11-3 ATS trend was an accurate historical claim at the time.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mike McDaniel's record against winning teams (3-15) proves the Dolphins are frauds who can't beat good opponents

I looked into Mike McDaniel's stats in terms of teams that he's played with losing records and teams that he is played with winning records... his record against winning teams [is] three and 15. And against teams with losing records... he is 26 and 13. So much, much better against bad teams than good teams.

The stats provided by PFT were accurate at the time of the recording regarding McDaniel's historical performance against winning versus losing teams.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears vs. Saints game is a Must Win

The Bears are right now, what is it? Four and a half point favorites. This is a game that the Bears have to win. I'm dubbing it a Must Win because the Bears are, you'd think better than the Saints.

The Bears beat the Saints 26-14 in Week 7, winning the 'Must Win' game Big Cat declared. They went on to make the playoffs at 11-6.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Spencer Rattler has a future as a starting quarterback in the NFL

Do you think that Spencer Rattler has a future as a starting quarterback in this league? I think he might. And I feel strong about maybe.

This is a career-trajectory opinion that requires long-term observation.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chiefs are going to win the Super Bowl

Raiders Chiefs, Chiefs are gonna win the Super Bowl. Chiefs are minus 11 and a half... Their offense is humming.

The Chiefs finished 6-11 and missed the playoffs. Mahomes tore his ACL. They did not win the Super Bowl.
Void
MaxMax

If the Eagles lose to the Vikings, their season is dead

This is the do or die game. If you lose third week in a row, to Carson Wentz... if they lose this game, I think it comes crumbling down.

The 'death' of a season is subjective, but losing to the Vikings would confirm the spiraling trend.
Win
Dianna RussiniDianna Russini

The Eagles are not currently trading AJ Brown

Right now, I will tell you 'cause it just was something that I was part of the last few hours. They they are not trading [AJ Brown].

This is direct reporting on a specific point in time.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

I am officially selling on the Colts at their peak for the Week 7 matchup against the Chargers

I'm ready to sell on the peak of the Colts. I'm selling in this game only... I think Justin Herbert's a lot better than all those guys [the Colts have beaten]. I also am worried about the Colts secondary... I think the Chargers are gonna win this game.

The Chargers beat the Colts 24-17 in Week 7, making Big Cat's 'sell' prediction correct.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I'm starting to believe in the Falcons

I think I'm starting to believe in the Falcons. Are you ready to do that with me? I like 'em man. I like 'em.

The Falcons finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs. Michael Penix Jr. went 3-6 as a starter before a season-ending ACL injury. Not a team to believe in.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Dolphins' failure to kick the field goal for 70 points against the Broncos cursed their franchise

I'm beginning to think that when he did not go for a field goal at the end of that game... he decided he was not going to set the all time NFL scoring record. It's a curse that cursed the Dolphins from that point on.

Cannot be factually proven, though the Dolphins' performance did decline significantly since that 70-20 game.
Loss
HankHank

Patrick Mahomes is officially washed after being under .500 for two days

Mahomes is washed. Washed. These two days under 500 he's washed.

Patrick Mahomes is not washed; he won the Super Bowl following this season (2023 season/2024 game).
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Seattle Seahawks will beat the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 6

I love the Seahawks in this game... I feel like there might be a little let down [for the Jags]... Seahawks need to win... you'll get a very strong effort from the Seahawks.

The Seahawks lost to the Jaguars 21-17 in Week 6 of the 2024 season.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Lions are a stock that only goes up; I will keep betting them every week

The Lions in their last 50 games are 36 and 13 and one against the spread. That's a stock that you just see. It's like Nvidia... I think I keep betting 'em.

The Lions remained one of the best ATS teams throughout the 2024 season.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Lions might be the best team in football

If you throw that [Packers] game out, you would look at this [Lions] team and be like, they might be the best team in football. Yeah. And I would not, I would not argue with you about that.

The Lions were a top-3 team in power rankings for most of the season.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drake Maye will beat a winning team for the first time this week (Okie Doke)

I think this is the week that that Drake Maye finally beats a team that's above .500. I think he's done a great job getting to this place... he's put in the prep. This is the week where Drake Maye beats a winning team.

Hot TakeFootballHotSarcastic
The Patriots lost to the Bills 24-21, and the joke was that the Bills were the first team with a winning record they faced.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Shedeur Sanders is 'behind the eight ball' if Rex Ryan is getting in his head

If Rex Ryan is in your head, Rex Ryan talks on TV... He has nothing to do with the NFL right now... If Rex Ryan is taking up any space at all in your head to the point where you're gonna react to that in a press conference, I feel like you're already a little bit behind the eight ball.

Subjective evaluation of a player's mindset.

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