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CFB Bowls With Tom Fornelli, Zach Wilson Sucks, Week 16 Picks & Preview + Fyre Fest

Friday, December 23, 202216 takes

Zach Wilson is very bad and we recap TNF and Billy finally comes to grips with what this Jets team is and how much Zach Wilson has ruined it (-). We talk Week 16 with picks and preview for every game on Saturday and Sunday and then do Fantasy Dabo's (-). Tom Fornelli joins us to talk about Bowl Season, his favorite plays, plus a CFB playoff preview (-). We finish the show with Fyre Fest of the week (-).

Tom Fornelli on Bowl Season, Zach Wilson's Jets Disaster, and Week 16 Picks

The vibes around the New York Jets have officially hit rock bottom after a Thursday Night Football performance that saw Zach Wilson benched for Chris Streveler. Big Cat and PFT were in mourning for Billy Football, who has finally surrendered his position as the world’s last Zach Wilson defender. Watching Wilson miss wide-open receivers while the MetLife crowd booed him into oblivion was the final straw for the crew.

Win
Dec 23, 2022
#13596
Big CatBig Cat

Zach Wilson is completely lost mentally and is likely irredeemable

Zach Wilson is so bad. ... he can't, I don't think he, he's redeemable at this point because you've now benched him twice for two different quarterbacks. ... I think Zach Wilson is completely lost. ... he's, he's completely lost mentally.

Wilson was benched for Chris Streveler in this game and later lost the starting job permanently as the Jets traded for Aaron Rodgers.

Billy was particularly disgusted, noting that he saw concepts he ran in high school being read incorrectly by a professional quarterback. It got so bad that Billy reached a level of confidence usually reserved for professional athletes themselves.

Void
Dec 23, 2022
#13598
Billy FootballBilly Football

I could have made some of the throws Zach Wilson missed against the Jaguars

I was watching the fucking game and looking at concepts that I ran in high school that he was reading wrong. I'm serious. And I like my arm talent. It's not fucking pro arm talent, but I could have made some throws and just get it to guy to make play.

Billy is a former high school quarterback; comparing himself to an active NFL starter is inherently hyperbolic and subjective.

While the Jets are falling apart, Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars are doing the exact opposite. Big Cat is ready to book their playoff tickets right now after back-to-back wins over the Cowboys and Jets.

Win
Dec 23, 2022
#13597
Big CatBig Cat

The Jaguars are going to the playoffs

The Jaguars are going to the playoffs, like, I'm gonna say it right now, the Jaguars are going to the playoffs because they just went and they beat the Cowboys and the Jets back to back weeks... I think the Jaguars are going to the playoffs.

The Jaguars won the AFC South in Week 18 to make the playoffs.

Week 16 Picks and Preview

With a massive Saturday slate and Christmas Day games on the horizon, the board is loaded with weather-affected totals and playoff implications. Hank is looking to fade his own team, the New England Patriots, citing the demoralizing presence of Matt Patricia on the sidelines.

Win
Dec 23, 2022·Picks
#13599
HankHank

The Bengals will beat the Patriots because Matt Patricia is a demoralizing coordinator

This is entirely the Patriots. Our joke, there's season's over demoralized. Matt Patricia's still the offensive coordinator. ... So why not just fire him now? ... it literally cannot [get] worse.

The Bengals won 22-18, beating the 3-point spread.

PFT isn't so sure about that, thinking Bill Belichick might have spent the entire week making the team watch the Jacobi Meyers lateral on a loop until they were ready to win out of pure spite.

Loss
Dec 23, 2022·Picks
#23129
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Patriots will win outright against the Bengals

I think the Patriots might win this outright. I that's what I'm saying. Yeah. It's a double look ahead. ... I like the Patriots a lot this weekend.

The Bengals beat the Patriots 22-18.

Speaking of spite, the crew turned their attention to the Christmas Day matchup between the Broncos and Rams. PFT noticed that Russell Wilson looks a little different this year, and it isn't just the lack of touchdowns.

Void
Dec 23, 2022·Picks
#23128
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Russell Wilson has gotten fat this season

Is Russell Wilson fat? ... I think he's gotten fat. ... I think he's thick. He's fatter this year than he was last year. ... I think he's gotten chubby now.

Subjective physical observation, though Wilson's mobility and play were widely criticized that year.

Big Cat is looking for a little holiday magic in Miami, betting on Aaron Rodgers to keep the Packers' slim playoff hopes alive against the Dolphins.

Win
Dec 23, 2022·Picks
#23130
Big CatBig Cat

The Packers will cover +4 against the Dolphins and make the playoff race interesting

My underdog is going to be the Green Bay Packers plus four. ... My spidey sense is saying the Packers are gonna make these things, make this stretcher run interesting.

The Packers beat the Dolphins 26-20 on Christmas Day.

For the degenerate gamblers, Hank is looking at the Saints and Browns game, where the weather is expected to be a mix of snow and 60 mph wind gusts. Naturally, he's taking the over because he thinks a total of 32 is just too low for any two professional teams.

Loss
Dec 23, 2022·Picks
#13600
HankHank

The Saints and Browns will go over the 32-point total despite historically bad weather

I'm going lowest to the low. Ground Saints 32. Deshaun Watson unders have been the easiest bet since he started three, three easy unders. He's due for an over. And weather doesn't matter.

The final score was 17-10 (27 points), meaning the game went under.

Bowl Season with Tom Fornelli

Friend of the program Tom Fornelli joined the show to help navigate the chaos of Bowl Season. Between the transfer portal, opt-outs, and NIL, betting on bowls has become a game of "vibe checks" and "quit watches." Tom highlighted the Alamo Bowl as a sleeper must-watch, specifically because of Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr.

Void
Dec 23, 2022
#13602
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

Michael Penix Jr. has a stronger arm than Josh Allen

Michael Penix was convinced to come back to Washington... he's not Josh Allen as far as total overall skillset as far as the size. But as far as arm strength is concerned, this kid might have a stronger arm than Josh Allen. ... you can't believe a human is able to throw a football that hard on a line like that.

This is a matter of biomechanics and scouting opinion, though Josh Allen's arm strength is legendary in the NFL.

Turning to the College Football Playoff, Tom thinks the public is being too hard on Ohio State after their loss to Michigan. While Georgia looks like a juggernaut, Tom isn't ready to call it a blowout just yet.

Win
Dec 23, 2022
#13603
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

Ohio State is being written off as a bad team prematurely after the Michigan loss

I think that there's been a large overreaction to Ohio State losing to Michigan. I think that Ohio State suddenly sucks in the mind of a lot of people because they lost to Michigan two years in a row. ... I think the Buckeyes are still very good. They could win this game [against Georgia].

Ohio State lost 42-41 to Georgia in a game that came down to a missed field goal, proving they were indeed very competitive.

Big Cat agreed that the pressure is squarely on Ryan Day. The standard at Ohio State doesn't allow for losing to Michigan and getting embarrassed in the playoff in the same season.

Void
Dec 23, 2022
#13605
Big CatBig Cat

Ryan Day is effectively on the hot seat if Ohio State gets blown out by Georgia

I think this game's really important for Ryan Day. ... I don't think they have to win it, but I think if they get blown out after coming off the Michigan [loss]... he's kind on the hot seat now. ... You can't lose to Michigan if you're the Ohio State coach. Not anymore.

Day remained the coach after a narrow loss to Georgia, though pressure intensified further in 2023 after another loss to Michigan.

Before letting Tom go, he gave out one final lock for the bowl slate. He expects plenty of points in the Cotton Bowl when USC takes on Tulane.

Win
Dec 23, 2022
#13604
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

The Tulane vs. USC game is a lock to go over the point total

My favorite bet, honestly, the over in Tulane USC. ... Way too low. They're gonna get in seventies for this one.

Tulane won 46-45, for a total of 91 points, easily clearing the total in the low 60s.

Fyre Fest of the Week

To wrap up the show, Big Cat shared his personal struggle with the mirror. After shaving his beard and seeing a few too many bad camera angles, he’s declaring that the end of football season will mark the beginning of a transformation.

Push
Dec 23, 2022·Fyre Fest
#23133
Big CatBig Cat

I am going to lose more weight than you can imagine after football season

I'm gonna lose so much fat fast. ... I'm just saying I'm gonna lose more weight than you could even imagine. ... Once football's over, I'm back.

Big Cat's weight fluctuates annually with his 'diet season' and 'football season' cycle, but he rarely loses 'more than you can imagine.'

Hopefully, the gym has better AC than the Jets' offensive meetings.

nflcollege-footballjetszach-wilsongamblingbowl-season

More Takes

Loss
Dec 23, 2022·Picks
#23131
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jared Goff will win his first career game in cold weather against the Panthers

Jared Goff has never won a cold game. ... And I think this is the week that he does it. I think Jared slowly become like a Detroit guy.

The Lions lost to the Panthers 37-23 in Charlotte.
Loss
Dec 23, 2022·Picks
#13601
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I will give Billy $10,000 if the Buccaneers beat the Cardinals 14 or 15 to 12 exactly

I will give you $10,000 if that's what happens in this case... 14 or 15 to 12 Bucks. Beat the Cardinals. Yes. For $20,000. Christmas.

The Buccaneers beat the Cardinals 19-16 in OT.
Loss
Dec 23, 2022·Picks
#23132
Big CatBig Cat

The Giants defense will allow a big explosive run to Dalvin Cook

We should have Dalvin Cook in our Mount Rushmore because the Giants defense gives up big explosive runs.

Dalvin Cook's longest run in that game was 13 yards; he did not have an 'explosive' run per typical definition (20+ yards).

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