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Dan Orlovsky, Week 15 Picks And Preview, Bucs Horrendous Loss On TNF, Sherrone Moore Fired At Michigan + Fyre Fest Of The Week

Friday, December 12, 202517 takes

The Bucs have an all time loss on Thursday Night Football to the Falcons and the Panthers are now on the precipice of a t-shirt and hat game (-). Michigan HC Sherrone Moore fired on Wednesday and ends up in jail after a wild 24 hours in Ann Arbor (-). Week 15 Picks and Preview, Patriots big game against the Bills, is Joe Burrow sending us a message, Lions vs Rams and can the Chiefs win a game to save their playoff hopes (-). Best bets and Jerry's fantasy minute (-). We then welcome on Dan Orlovsky to talk teams he thinks can win the Super Bowl, quarterback play around the league, what does he like about the Seahawks, are the Patriots for real and more (-). We finish with Fyre Fest of the week (-).

Dan Orlovsky on Super Bowl Contenders and the End of Sherrone Moore

The vibes in the studio were electric as we stared down a Week 15 slate that feels like the real start of the playoffs. Between the chaotic fallout in Ann Arbor and a legendary quarterback coming out of retirement to play for a coach who might be his best friend, the board is officially messy. Big Cat and PFT started things off reacting to a Thursday Night Football game that proved Kirk Cousins has a specific set of skills when it comes to destroying the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Void
Dec 12, 2025
#7210
Big CatBig Cat

Kirk Cousins would get another $200 million contract if he only played the Buccaneers

Kirk Cousins might have another a hundred million dollars, $200 million contract if he could just play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers because in the last three starts against [them], he has thrown for 1,158 yards, 11 touchdowns, and one interception.

Based on actual stats provided in the quote, the 'dominance' claim is correct, but the contract claim is hyperbolic/subjective.

While the Bucs are spiraling, PFT is officially on Panthers watch. With the way the NFC South is shaking out, the prophecy of Bryce Young leading a home playoff game is becoming dangerously real. PFT even ran the numbers through the old ESPN simulator to prove how close we are to a t-shirt and hat game in Charlotte.

Win
Dec 12, 2025
#7211
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If the Panthers beat the Saints, next week's game against the Buccaneers is for the NFC South

With a win over the Saints on Sunday, the Carolina Panthers can make next week's game a clinching game... If the Panthers beat the Saints this weekend in New Orleans, that makes next week's game, which I believe is in Charlotte against the bucks that would be for the NFC South.

The math correctly reflected the state of the NFC South race in late 2025 where the Panthers surged.

The conversation shifted to the absolute insanity at Michigan. Sherrone Moore went from a National Championship-winning high school hero to being fired for cause and ending up in jail in a 48-hour span. The guys debated the timing, wondering if Michigan waited until after National Signing Day to keep the class together before the "Michigan Man" facade crumbled. Naturally, PFT thinks the search should start at the top of the food chain.

Loss
Dec 12, 2025
#7215
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kalen DeBoer would pick up the phone if Michigan called him for their head coaching vacancy

I do think Kalen DeBoer would pick up the phone. Obviously he's got his hands full right now with the playoffs.

DeBoer remained at Alabama; the Michigan job went elsewhere.

Week 15 Picks and the Return of the King

The biggest news of the week isn't even a current NFL player. Philip Rivers is back, moving his eleven children to Indianapolis (presumably) to save Shane Steichen's season. PFT is so moved by the potential of a 44-year-old grandfather slinging sidearm heaters that he’s putting his vocabulary on the line.

Loss
Dec 12, 2025·Picks
#23536
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I will stop cussing for the rest of the season if Philip Rivers beats the Seahawks

If Philip Rivers, if they win, I won't cuss for the rest of football season. Yeah. I'm gonna stop cussing. It would be that magical of a moment.

Philip Rivers (playing for the Colts, not Chargers) did not beat the Seahawks. Seattle won 18-16 on a Jason Myers 56-yard field goal with 29 seconds left. Since Rivers lost, PFT's conditional bet (stop cussing if Rivers wins) was never triggered, but the underlying prediction of a Rivers victory was incorrect.

Big Cat isn't quite as sentimental about the return. While everyone is celebrating the "animal champion warrior legend" vibes, there is a very real possibility that a very good Seahawks defense sees a stationary target in the pocket and decides to end the comeback before it starts.

Win
Dec 12, 2025·Picks
#7220
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are going to 'kill' and 'fuck up' Philip Rivers in his return

But the Seahawks are probably gonna fuck him up probably... This is a I'm worried about him getting hit. That's the problem... I think the Seahawks are gonna maybe kill him. Seahawks are really fucking good.

Rivers struggled in his return and was hit frequently, as predicted.

Hank and PFT also got into a heated debate about the Patriots and the Bills. Hank is standing firm on his "torch passing" theory, refusing to let Josh Allen back into the conversation regardless of what happens on Sunday. Meanwhile, PFT has finally found a way to stop being a hater by comparing this Patriots squad to the 2021 Titans.

Win
Dec 12, 2025·Picks
#7217
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mike Vrabel should be Coach of the Year

I'm super impressed with the Patriots this year. I think that the Patriots, Mike Vrabel is a great coach. He should be coach of the year.

Mike Vrabel won both PFWA and AP NFL Coach of the Year for the 2025 season.
Void
Dec 12, 2025·Picks
#7216
HankHank

The 'torch' has been passed to Drake May and it cannot be passed back to Josh Allen

The torch has been passed and that's it. It's over... Drake may has the torch and then it will go until we pass it to someone else... It can't go back.

Allen remains a top-tier QB while May is a rookie; most analysts would disagree that the torch is permanently moved.

Dan Orlovsky on the Tape

Friend of the program Dan Orlovsky joined the show to help make sense of a league where the Chiefs might actually be dead. Dan didn't hold back, pointing to the salary cap and a regression in their identity as reasons why the dynasty might be taking a multi-year nap. He’s much higher on the Cowboys' infrastructure, which is a sentence that usually causes physical pain to Eagles fans.

Win
Dec 12, 2025
#7223
Dan OrlovskyDan Orlovsky

The Chiefs are more 'dead' for the future than the Cowboys

I think it's the Chiefs. I think it's the Chiefs for the now and for like the immediate future... They're $32 million over the cap for next year. How do you rebuild the offensive line... The defense has fallen off the face of the earth... I just think like this is a, a little bit, I don't know if it's just a snap my fingers and all of a sudden we're back... where it's like, if you're Dallas offensive line's really good and cheap, the the receivers are ridiculous.

The Chiefs went 6-11 with Mahomes' ACL tear, $32M over the cap. They are in worse shape than the Cowboys for the immediate future.

Dan also broke down why the current trend of living in the shotgun is ruining the art of the play-action fake. It turns out the "meatheads" yelling at their TVs about lining up under center actually have a point according to the film.

Void
Dec 12, 2025
#7222
Dan OrlovskyDan Orlovsky

Running the football in shotgun formation all the time stinks

I line up under center, every play is available to me... every direction is available to me. There's very little tendency or tell... when I'm in the shotgun, there's a smaller option of what I can do... When I'm under center, I turn my back to you in a play action fake. You cannot see the ball and the gun. You can all the time.

This is a tactical philosophy held by many NFL analysts and coaches.

We wrapped up with Fyre Fest of the week, featuring Hank getting absolutely extorted by his local mechanic and PFT fighting back against the "health and safety" concerns regarding his JMU Dukes taking on Oregon in the playoffs.

If Philip Rivers wins this game, the swear jar is going to be very empty on Monday.

nflmichigan-footballphilip-riversfantasy-footballcollege-football

More Takes

Open
Dec 12, 2025
#7212
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kyle Pitts will sign with the Kansas City Chiefs and become a first-team All-Pro

My prediction was that Kyle Pitts signs with the Kansas City Chiefs and becomes a first team all pro.

Pitts is still with the Falcons as of late 2025; this prediction remains pending for his free agency.
Loss
Dec 12, 2025
#7213
Big CatBig Cat

Kyle Pitts will eventually have 20 touchdowns in one season

I predicted that Kyle Pitts will have the greatest year of any tight end of ever in year 20 in the NFL. He'll have 20 touchdowns. That's a fact.

This is a comedic bit based on a pattern, highly unlikely to happen literally.
Win
Dec 12, 2025·Picks
#7218
Big CatBig Cat

I bet the Chiefs beat the Chargers because it is a massive trap spot for the public

I love the Chiefs in this game and I am saying that from a point of, I'm not someone who's been chasing the Chiefs every single week... This feels like a huge trap. Everyone watched the Chargers win on Monday night. Everyone watched the Chiefs lose on Sunday night. Now the Chargers are getting five and a half points... I think Mahomes is going to maybe do the dink and dunk down the field. I like the Chiefs in this game.

The Chiefs did beat the Chargers in this specific Week 15 matchup.
Void
Dec 12, 2025·Picks
#7219
Big CatBig Cat

Jalen Hurts is Russell Wilson 2.0 (and that is a good thing)

I said Jalen Hurts is Russell Wilson 2.0... I said Russell Wilson was a very good quarterback. I think Jalen Hurts is a very good quarterback. They, they're not the top three guys in the league, but they're somewhere after that where if their team is good around 'em, they're winning a Super Bowl.

This is a player comparison and archetype evaluation that is inherently subjective.
Void
Dec 12, 2025·Picks
#23535
Big CatBig Cat

The 49ers are the 'lurking' team in the NFC that no one is talking about enough

I will say this about the 49ers, they feel like the team that not a lot of people are talking about and they're kind of just lurking there... 49ers are right there. Yeah, they're right fucking there.

Subjective assessment of team status, though their playoff success would validate the 'lurking' claim.
Push
Dec 12, 2025
#7221
Dan OrlovskyDan Orlovsky

The Rams are a top Super Bowl contender because their QB/WR connection is 'stupid'

Teams that I truly believe can win at number one Rams... there's no quarterback wide receiver group right now that sees it the same way consistently. The throws and the catches are stupid right now.

The Rams were top contenders (12-5, NFCCG) with Stafford winning MVP. But they lost in the NFCCG to Seattle.
Void
Dec 12, 2025
#23537
Dan OrlovskyDan Orlovsky

Caleb Williams has absolutely stopped creating problems for himself

What do you have to see from Caleb to feel good going into 2026 and beyond? I would tell you number one, stop creating problems for yourself. He's absolutely done that now... He's more in structure, he's playing more in rhythm and timing.

Technical football opinion from an expert, can be evaluated against Williams' performance stats through the end of 2025.
Win
Dec 12, 2025·Fyre Fest
#7224
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The James Madison vs. Oregon playoff game is not a health and safety issue

Bud Elliot said that it was possibly a health and safety issue... he was like, I'm worried for the health and safety of JMU playing against Oregon... Stop saying it's a health and safety issue. Okay... fuck it, let's go win the game.

Oregon did win by a large margin, but no significant injuries occurred, making the 'health and safety' claim hyperbole.

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