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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Lincoln Riley and Brian Kelly moved because it's easier to win a national title at USC and LSU

I really do think both of these moves were about finding a place where it's easier to win the national title than where you're at. ... This is more about winning the playoff than getting in the playoff because you have two guys who could get in the playoff, but couldn't win it.

The take is subjective analysis of coaching intent, but the results (rebuilding USC and winning early at LSU) support the idea that these programs have higher 'ceilings'.

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Loss
Dec 1, 2021
#28566
Big CatBig Cat

The Washington Football Team is 'good-ish' and trending toward being a genuinely good team

I actually think that if you're talking about the entire teams of this show, we are the Roy G. Biv, we're the colors of the rainbow in terms of football teams. ... I think the Washington football team is good-ish. ... I do think the Washington football team, if they are good, they are not good like yet. I think if they win next week... they're good. Good-ish trending towards good.

The 2021 Washington team finished 7-10 and missed the playoffs, failing to sustain the 'good-ish' momentum.
Win
Dec 1, 2021
#18371
Big CatBig Cat

Russell Wilson is no longer a top five NFL quarterback

It's just very bizarre to me that like Russell Wilson, he's not a top five quarterback right now. ... If you're talking about like the guys that are difference makers weekend and week out, he's not that. He hasn't been that for a little bit right now.

Russell Wilson's performance continued to fluctuate and eventually led to a disastrous trade to Denver, confirming he had fallen from the elite top-5 tier.
Loss
Dec 1, 2021
#18372
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I would rather have Taylor Heinicke on my team moving forward than Russell Wilson

I would rather have Taylor Heinicke on my team right now, moving forward than Russell Wilson, which it sounds insane to say, especially thinking back like four or five weeks ago when he looked so bad, but he's, he's legitimately fun to watch.

Heinicke had a decent run but never became a franchise starter, whereas Wilson, despite his Denver struggles, remains a much more accomplished and generally more valuable asset, making this a classic PMT 'of-the-moment' hot take.

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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Boise State can win the Pac-12 and make the playoff

If Boise State can do that in Eugene, they can probably beat Memphis this week. They can probably beat Western Michigan. They can probably win the Pac-12.

Boise State's 2026 conference and playoff outcomes have not yet been resolved.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

LSU is Andy's projected No. 1 playoff seed

LSU looked like one of the best teams in the country. I'd let that projected playoff again—because I'm taking the preseason stuff out of it—I put them as the one seed. Now are they gonna stay there? Probably not. But why not? Let's ride, let's ride the expectations.

LSU's 2026 playoff seeding and championship path remain unresolved.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Clemson could finish 6-6 or 7-5

Clemson is probably more talented than most of the teams left on their schedule. But I don't know if they're gonna be better than seven and five or six and six. If they look like that, if that's what they're gonna roll out there, they're gonna lose more games.

Clemson's 2026 final record is not yet resolved.