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Big CatBig Cat

Statistics are flawed because they ignore actual distribution (the chicken math analogy)

It's like if you and me went for a picnic. We take a chicken and I eat all of it and you have none. But statistically, you have eaten half of the chicken. This is why I don't look at statistics... you can't really do the stats when you don't know who actually ate the chicken.

The logic of the analogy is a standard critique of the arithmetic mean in statistics, which ignores variance.

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Loss
Feb 23, 2018·Picks
#6209
Big CatBig Cat

Josh Allen will be the number one overall pick in the 2018 NFL Draft

We now have a place for all you Josh Allen fans out there to learn more about Josh Allen at draftjoshallen.com. I, for one, feel bullish about where we're going with this website... [Mel Kiper] putting Josh Allen at number one on his big board. Twice, though.

Baker Mayfield was the #1 overall pick. Josh Allen was selected #7 overall by the Buffalo Bills.
Void
Feb 23, 2018·Brain Dump
#6210
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

A bar should be composed of multiple mini-bars with different themes and living room seating

What I'm thinking of doing with my idea is it's a bar, but there are like 10 different... Well, it's a bar slash restaurant, but there are 10 different bars that you go up to and you sit down at those bars. So instead of waiters and waitresses walking all around... It's just mini bars everywhere... You can have couches. You can have lazy boys.

This is a subjective business concept.
Void
Feb 23, 2018·Brain Dump
#6211
Big CatBig Cat

We can make millions of dollars using bait-and-switch YouTube videos

Why don't we do that? We could be making millions. We need to create the fake YouTube account and then be like, oh, my God, check out the biggest play from the Super Bowl. And then it's just us pitching Pardon My Take at draftjoshallen.com and Bitcoin to Jen... I think we could actually make a lot of money off the bait and switch on YouTube.

While potentially profitable, it is largely a comedic bit about troll marketing.

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Big CatBig Cat

The Giants will make the playoffs

In the NFC I have ... the Rams. And then my wild card teams are the Seahawks, the Lions and Cowboys, the New York Giants.

The 2026 NFL playoff field has not been determined as of the episode date.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

The Bills will beat the Eagles in the Super Bowl

It is going to be the Buffalo Bills defeating the Philadelphia Eagles. ... Buffalo Bills over the Philadelphia Eagles.

The 2026 Super Bowl has not occurred as of the episode date.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

Deshaun Watson will get even worse

I think Deshaun Watson's gonna get worse. I think he's gonna get even worse. I think it's gonna be comically bad.

Watson's 2026 season performance has not been resolved as of the episode date.