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Void
Big CatBig Cat

Win probability stats are bullshit and shouldn't be trusted

I think win probability is bullshit. Computers and robots will never beat us for this simple fact: They actually think that the Falcons have a 98% chance of winning a game that we know as human beings, that's not true. Computers don't do stereotypes... For the Falcons there should be a cap on it.

Inherently subjective and part of the show's ongoing 'nerds vs. eyeball test' bit.

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Loss
Oct 26, 2020
#5488
Big CatBig Cat

The eyeball test tells me that DK Metcalf is the fastest human being to ever step foot on grass

DK Metcalf is the fastest human being alive... [PFT: He's very fast but he's not faster than Usain Bolt]. I think he might be. The eyeball test tells me that DK is the fastest human being to ever step foot on grass. It's terrifying how fast he is.

Literally incorrect, as Metcalf is not faster than Usain Bolt, but he recorded one of the fastest speeds ever by a player in pads.
Void
Oct 26, 2020
#22107
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are the pinnacle team in the NFL right now because no matter the situation, things are going to get weird

The Seahawks are just insane... they are the pinnacle team in the NFL right now where no matter what the situation is, you're like, 'It's gonna get weird.' If they're up by ten, shit's going to get weird. They're down by 10, shit's going to get weird.

This remained true for much of the 2020 season, as the Seahawks frequently played in one-score games and high-variance situations.
Win
Oct 26, 2020
#22108
Big CatBig Cat

The Falcons genuinely invent new ways to lose a football game every single week

We have joked that the Falcons invent new ways to lose every single week. It is not a joke. The fact that they lost the game by Todd Gurley his momentum taking him into the end zone... It is incredible that they lost that way. If Todd Gurley just goes down, they win that game.

The 2020 Falcons were infamous for this, blowing multiple 95%+ win probability leads (Cowboys, Bears, and now Lions).

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Open
Big CatBig Cat

The Giants will make the playoffs

In the NFC I have ... the Rams. And then my wild card teams are the Seahawks, the Lions and Cowboys, the New York Giants.

The 2026 NFL playoff field has not been determined as of the episode date.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

The Bills will beat the Eagles in the Super Bowl

It is going to be the Buffalo Bills defeating the Philadelphia Eagles. ... Buffalo Bills over the Philadelphia Eagles.

The 2026 Super Bowl has not occurred as of the episode date.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

Deshaun Watson will get even worse

I think Deshaun Watson's gonna get worse. I think he's gonna get even worse. I think it's gonna be comically bad.

Watson's 2026 season performance has not been resolved as of the episode date.