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Takes

Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kirk Cousins has been 'activated' by Kevin O'Connell's new offense

I think cousins has been activated... Kirk cousins this year has the glowing red eyes. He's ready to go. He's ready to take off.

Cousins had a very good year, leading 8 fourth-quarter comebacks and the Vikings to a 13-4 record.
Loss
Julian EdelmanJulian Edelman

The Raiders will win the AFC West

Raiders are winning the AFC west. I'm a believer in the ecosystem that they have over there. I think Derek Carr is, I think he's a good football player... with McDaniels and you know, Davante Adams going over there... They got Waller. They got Hunter Renfrow. Who's a stud... their offense is really good.

The Raiders finished 6-11 and 3rd in the division, while the Chiefs won the AFC West and the Super Bowl.
Win
Julian EdelmanJulian Edelman

The Vikings will win the NFC North

I like Minnesota winning the north. Kevin O'Connell... always a smart guy, always knew Xs and Os. I like, I like, I liked them. I think Jefferson is, is outrageous... I think there's a little trouble in, in Green Bay.

The Vikings finished 13-4 and won the NFC North for the first time since 2017.
Win
Julian EdelmanJulian Edelman

The Rams will struggle this year; the Super Bowl hangover is real

I think the Rams are gonna struggle. I think, I think the hangover's real. And something's up with Stafford's elbow. The elbow did not—that doesn't look good... he's got the sleeve on there... that's there for medical.

The Rams finished 5-12, the worst record ever by a defending Super Bowl champion, and Stafford missed significant time with injury.
Loss
Julian EdelmanJulian Edelman

The Bills will win the Super Bowl over the Buccaneers

Bills versus the Bucks, but the Bills are gonna win. Bills are winning it... If they stay healthy, they're gonna be a problem.

The Super Bowl was Chiefs vs. Eagles. The Bills lost in the Divisional round and the Bucs lost in the Wild Card.
Loss
Julian EdelmanJulian Edelman

The Chiefs' offense will be condensed and struggle more without Tyreek Hill

It's gonna be interesting to see them without Tyreek Hill... [Hill] opens up the field in so many different ways with that speed... When you lose that, it condenses the offense... I want to see if [Mahomes] got better at those things [throwing inside the pocket], because you're gonna have to do that. He's gonna have to have these long methodical drives.

While the offense did change, Mahomes won MVP and the Chiefs won the Super Bowl with the #1 scoring offense in the league.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Giants are 'big stinky poop' and will lose to the Titans

Titans minus five and a half at home against the Giants. I think the Giants are big stinky poop... I think that the Titans, we have a bad taste in their mouth from them from last year in the playoffs... Ryan Tannehill is good enough to beat the Giants who I think are gonna be very bad this year by six points at home.

The Giants won this game 21-20 and went on to make the playoffs, while the Titans missed them.
Loss
Jake MarshJake Marsh

Baker Mayfield is ready to beat the Browns in a revenge game

Mine is also a revenge game. It is Carolina minus one and a half against the Browns. Baker is ready. We all know Baker, so we don't know what to expect... Baker is the one guy that I will probably always bet on in a revenge game because he does take it way more seriously.

The Browns won 26-24 on a late Cade York field goal.
Win
HankHank

The Bears will be frisky and cover +7 against the 49ers

I'm just gonna take the biggest [underdog]. The Bears. Seven points week one is a lot... There's a lot of turmoil in San Francisco. Trey Lance, Jimmy G you don't know what's going on... Seven points is the lot in the NFL.

The Bears won the game outright 19-10 in a rain-soaked upset.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Cardinals are a must-bet in the month of September

I'm gonna change my underdog to the Cardinals. Cause I did tell you all off season. I have to bet the Cardinals in September... I have the reminder again today. So I'm gonna in that game, we didn't talk about Cardinal's Chiefs is gonna be a very fun afternoon game.

The Cardinals were blown out 44-21 by the Chiefs and finished September with a 1-3 record.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Denver Broncos will be the most disappointing team in the AFC in 2022

The Broncos will be the most disappointing team I'm and, and it's not because of Russell Wilson... I think their offensive line has issues and, and they have a couple other issues on defense.

The 2022 Broncos were an absolute disaster, finishing 5-12 and firing Nathaniel Hackett mid-season. Prisco nailed this despite being wrong about it not being Wilson's fault.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Houston Texans will be better than people expect in 2022

I'll give you a team. That's gonna be a little bit better than everybody thinks. They'll be the Texans... I'm a big Davis Mills guy... I think the Texans are gonna, they're not gonna win 10 games, but they're gonna be better than you think they are.

The Texans finished 3-13-1, which was effectively as bad as everyone expected. Davis Mills did not have a breakout year.
Push
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will disappoint and miss out on winning the NFC South

I think the Bucs are gonna be a little disappointing... I don't think they're gonna win the division... Brady when he has interior pressure... he doesn't move that well. And he really doesn't like it... I think Tampa might be the going in the wrong direction team.

The Bucs finished 8-9. They actually *did* win the division because the rest of the NFC South was worse, but Prisco's prediction of them being disappointing and 'wrong direction' was spot on.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Buffalo Bills will beat the Green Bay Packers in the Super Bowl with Josh Allen as MVP

It's the Buffalo Bills beating the Green Bay Packers and Josh Allen will win the MVP... he'll win the MVP. I like one thing though. Just make sure that 13 seconds doesn't blow your chances this time around.

Neither team made the Super Bowl. Josh Allen did not win MVP (Patrick Mahomes did).
Loss
Stu FeinerStu Feiner

The Detroit Lions will finish the season 1-16

I have the Detroit Lions going 1-15... excuse me 1-16... I'm gonna be rooting against him every fucking game for rest of my life because of Tom Kennedy... fuck them where they bring this scumbag back.

The Lions were actually much better than this, finishing 9-8 and nearly making the playoffs.
Loss
Stu FeinerStu Feiner

The Kansas City Chiefs will miss the playoffs entirely in 2022

Chiefs 10 and 7 do not make the playoffs. Okay. So fuck the Chiefs. They're the most overrated team ever. They suck.

The Chiefs won the Super Bowl and went 14-3 in the regular season.
Loss
Stu FeinerStu Feiner

The LA Rams over 10.5 wins is the biggest bet anyone should ever make

Rams over 10 and a half should be the biggest bet anyone's ever made in their life... over 10 and a half on the Rams is stealing money. Stealing cash. I mean, why even talk about it? It's like stealing fucking money.

The Rams finished 5-12. This was a catastrophic miss.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

The Minnesota Vikings will make it to Championship Sunday

I think the Vikings will be dark horse... I think they're gonna win the NFC North. I think they're gonna make it to championship Sunday... against the Eagles. The Eagles are gonna fucking demolish them.

The Vikings won the NFC North (13-4) but lost in the Wild Card round to the Giants. They did not reach the Championship game.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

You are a scumbag if you don't bet the over on the Bills-Rams season opener

You're scumbag if you don't bet this over... I've been saying the over since they announced the game... I'm taking the over no matter what.

The Bills won 31-10. Total was 41. The over/under was 52. The under hit.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Stetson Bennett would be great on a good NFL team

I'm kind of kind of thinking Stetson Bennett. It might be a pro, even though he's got like the best team around him, he, he looked awesome. Put him on a really good NFL team, then he'll be great.

Stetson Bennett has not been given a real opportunity on a good NFL team. The take remains unverifiable.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Tom Brady will win Gisele back by winning another Super Bowl

I think you have to take the Bucs for the season because if we know anything about Tom Brady, he's like, I'm gonna win her back by winning another Super Bowl.

PredictionFootballHotSarcastic
Brady did not win the Super Bowl (lost in the Wild Card), and the couple officially divorced shortly after.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Patrick Mahomes will regret the 10-year contract he signed with the Chiefs

As first reported on Pardon My Take, I think the day that Patrick Mahomes signed his contract, he's going to regret that contract in like three years.

While Mahomes' average annual value was surpassed by newer contracts (Wilson, Murray, Rodgers), he remains the best player in the league and hasn't expressed regret, nor has the deal hindered his winning.
Loss
Jerry O'ConnellJerry O'Connell

The Denver Broncos will be an offensive powerhouse in 2022

I believe the Broncos are going to have a pretty epic season. I think it's going to be an offensive powerhouse. I also have a theory about the Broncos because the air is thin up there, they just air it out... and Wilson is just throwing it in the air and the ball travels farther.

This was catastrophically wrong. The 2022 Broncos had one of the worst offenses in the NFL and finished with a 5-12 record.
Win
Jerry O'ConnellJerry O'Connell

Do not draft any Los Angeles Rams players for fantasy football

No Rams, no Rams at all. Not one... I have never met a Rams fan ever until about seven months ago. And it's just at Los Angeles, they're just, it's a town of bandwagons. It just drives me crazy.

Accidentally correct for the wrong reasons. The 2022 Rams were decimated by injuries to Stafford, Kupp, and Donald, becoming the first defending champ to miss the playoffs with a losing record. Kupp was still great when healthy, but as a whole, Rams were fantasy busts.
Win
Jerry O'ConnellJerry O'Connell

Jalen Hurts is the only player worth drafting from the NFC East

Only Jalen Hurts. No one else in the NFC East, only Jalen... I think he's going to have a good season. Drafted before Joe Burrow, you believe that?

Hurts had an MVP-caliber season and led the Eagles to the Super Bowl. While other NFC East players were good (Saquon, CD Lamb), Hurts was the crown jewel.
Loss
Jerry O'ConnellJerry O'Connell

Davis Mills and Brandin Cooks will have a breakout year together

I believe Davis Mills who went to Stanford... Davis Mills and Brandin Cooks could have that Braylon Edwards/Derek Anderson year that no one was expecting. They're super cheap. I love a bargain.

Davis Mills was benched during the season and Brandin Cooks had a down year as the Texans finished 3-13-1. No breakout occurred.
Win
Jerry O'ConnellJerry O'Connell

The Jacksonville Jaguars are officially back

The Jags are better. The Jags are back. I like the Jags again. I love Etienne. I think he comes at a bargain. I love Trevor Lawrence and my sleeper this season: Evan Engram.

Spot on. The Jaguars won the AFC South, Lawrence took a massive leap, and Evan Engram had a career year.
Win
Jerry O'ConnellJerry O'Connell

Tom Brady won the legacy battle; Bill Belichick needed Brady more

Brady won. Bill Belichick needed Brady. Bill Belichick needed Brady. It's as simple as that.

Brady won a Super Bowl without Bill immediately. Bill's record without Brady continued to decline in 2022 and 2023.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tom Kennedy will be cut by the Lions and signed by the New England Patriots

Tom Kennedy is going to be cut and then he's going to be signed by the New England Patriots. Not only does he fit the bill for New England Patriots... Bill Belichick, he opens his eyes, he looks at Tom Kennedy, he's like, that's my next Wes Welker.

Kennedy was cut by the Lions but he was signed back to their practice squad, not the Patriots.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Josh Johnson will play for at least two more NFL teams this year

Josh Johnson got cut. He's played on 14 teams now. He'll probably play for at least two more this year. I love the fact that he's the guy that you call when you don't have another guy.

Johnson was on the Broncos and then signed with the 49ers later in the season, playing for two different teams.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Raiders' first-round draft picks carry a permanent 'stink' and are high-risk assets

I've always said that even when you're doing a trade with a team like the Raiders, if you're taking their picks, they still have some of the stink of the Raiders on them... giving them more picks is like giving JPP [Jason Pierre-Paul] more fireworks.

Based on the Raiders' historical struggles with first-rounders (Leatherwood, Ruggs, Arnette), this is a widely supported critique.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears should sign Alex Leatherwood because he's a former first-rounder

I'm not shaming Alex Leatherwood because he is under my first-round theory. The Bears should go get him because he's still a great player... Once he gets to another franchise, then his stock is immediately up.

The Bears did claim Leatherwood off waivers the following day. However, his stock did not 'immediately go up' as he was eventually waived by them as well.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Baker Mayfield will 'fuck up' the Cleveland Browns in Week 1

My hot seat are the Browns. Baker Mayfield... was quoted saying 'I'm going to fuck them up' in regards to the Browns. That's my hot seat Baker.

Baker Mayfield and the Panthers lost to the Browns 26-24 in Week 1. He did not 'fuck them up' in the box score.
Void
Bruce AriansBruce Arians

Rumors of friction with Tom Brady were completely false

It was a big one [the rumor of friction]. It's nothing could be further from the truth. We have a great relationship... Tom, he's asking more questions and I throw him in the golf cart and he's old enough and I can drive him off the field.

While media speculation persisted, Arians consistently denied it. Short of a confession, his word is the primary source.
Void
Bruce AriansBruce Arians

Tom Brady is throwing the ball better at age 45 than he did two years ago

He's throwing better now. It's crazy... he's got great mechanics. He's one of those full body throwers. He's not using all just arm. Tom, he's an amazing human being... he's throwing the ball better and I've ever seen him throw it.

Brady did lead the league in passing yards and TDs in the prior season (2021).
Void
Bruce AriansBruce Arians

Andrew Luck was the best quarterback I ever coached, even just as a rookie

Andrew Luck. Number one. Really? I only had him as a rookie, but he was unbelievable. Skilled wise is off the chart, but mentally he was right there with Peyton and Andrew and Tom.

High praise from a credible source, though inherently subjective.
Loss
Bruce AriansBruce Arians

Tom Brady will likely play for a couple more years but not five

Nothing surprises me with Tom. I don't know about five [more years], but a couple for sure. He's throwing him all better than he did when he two years ago.

Brady retired in February 2023, so he only played one more season after this take, not 'a couple for sure'.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers should be in jail for his admissions on Joe Rogan

Aaron Rodgers should be in jail. He went on Joe Rogan... he admitted to playing games on Percocet... I'm going to have a lawyer go through the transcript and just get an entire list of all the things that are felonies that he admitted to.

Rodgers was not jailed and his admissions did not lead to criminal charges.
Void
Billy FootballBilly Football

Tom Brady looks gaunt following his mystery absence

I'm going to be honest. I think [Tom Brady] looks gaunt like the definition of the word gaunt.

This is a subjective observation about Brady's appearance in late 2022.
Loss
Jason McCourtyJason McCourty

The Eagles will not make the Super Bowl this year

We had Aaron Schatz come on the show and he picked the Eagles to go to the Super Bowl this year. I'm saying, I don't see that happening. I think Jalen Hurts is good. I think he'll take another step. I don't think that step is going to be to the Super Bowl.

The Eagles reached Super Bowl LVII, making this prediction incorrect.
Loss
Jason McCourtyJason McCourty

The Vikings are a Super Bowl dark horse over the Eagles

I think the Vikings, I would go with them as Super Bowl dark horse over the Philadelphia Eagles. ... I think Kevin O'Connell going over there, what he can do, I mean, we've already heard Justin Jefferson say, Hey, like I see what Cooper Kupp was able to do in that offense. I'm fired up to see what I can do.

The Vikings went 13-4 and won the NFC North but lost in the Wild Card round, while the Eagles went to the Super Bowl.
Loss
Jason McCourtyJason McCourty

The Buffalo Bills will win the Super Bowl behind Josh Allen

I'm going with the Buffalo Bills and Josh Allen. I see him this, and this is also my reasoning with him. ... I feel like Josh Allen's trajectory is gone that way.

The Bills lost in the Divisional round to the Bengals.
Loss
Jason McCourtyJason McCourty

The Cowboys will make the Super Bowl out of the NFC

On the NFC side, oh man, I think I'm going to go... I'll go to the Dallas Cowboys, put them in a Super Bowl. I'll go on Twitter and whoever reads this is going to kill me.

The Cowboys lost in the Divisional round to the 49ers.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Mike McCarthy is extra dumb because he is also overweight

I'm just going to say that's what Big Cat's thinking. We all think it, Mike McCarthy is a dumb-dumb. And it's also just a fact as a bigger guy myself, like when you're overweight and you're dumb, you're extra dumb. Like, it just there's something about it where it's just like, well, he's really dumb.

This is a subjective and comedic insult.
Void
Mark WahlbergMark Wahlberg

I wouldn't give up watching football even to double my net worth

[Speaker 4]: Would you double your net worth if it meant that you were no longer allowed to watch NFL football? [Wahlberg]: No, I don't think so. I don't think it distracts me or it takes away from what I'm doing in my primary business on my job.

Subjective personal choice.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Hard Knocks episode three is when you realize you're just ready for real football

That feeling of Hard Knocks episode one is one of the best feelings in the calendar because you're like, we want football. And then you get to episode three and you're like, okay, I wanna play real games.

This is a subjective sentiment about the sports calendar.
Loss
HankHank

Saquon Barkley's 'kill mindset' quote will be used against him as soon as he has a bad game

My cool throne is the Giants fantasy people that are gonna draft Saquon Barkley. He said, it's kill mindset now. It's like, fuck everybody. I'm sure that won't be like a quote that gets turned around when it's like that quote and then him going like, 14 rushes for 60 yards.

Saquon Barkley had a highly successful 2022 season, silencing doubters and justifying his confidence.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Desmond Ridder 'is him' and is already NFL ready

My hot seat is Marcus Mariota... I watched the Jets Falcons game last night. I think Desmond Ridder is that guy. I think he is him... I think I'm ready to say based off watching him one time in the preseason that this is gonna be a guy that I will believe in for the next four years.

Ridder failed to secure the Falcons' starting job long-term and was eventually traded after several benchings.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Falcons do not have their quarterback of the future on their current roster

I think the Falcons don't have their quarterback of the future on the roster right now.

The Falcons moved on from both Ridder and Mariota and addressed the position via free agency (Cousins) and the draft (Penix) in 2024.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Geno Smith should be a first-half specialist and Drew Lock should be the closer

Geno Smith, I think plays pretty well based on recent experiences in like the first half. And then Drew Lock is good in garbage time. So I think they should put Geno Smith in, in the first half as the first half specialist. Drew Lock comes in as the closer.

Hot TakeFootballHotSarcastic
Geno Smith became the full-time starter and NFL Comeback Player of the Year, making this two-QB system unnecessary.