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NBA Draft With Ryen Russillo, The Bears Suck, And Guys On Chicks

Wednesday, November 18, 202019 takes

The Bears make football terrible. We clean up MNF and the death of the Bears 2020 season ( - ). Theo Epstein steps down from his job with the Cubs and PFT has a new idea ( - ). Hot Seat/Cool Throne including Big Cat retiring from predicting injuries ( - ). Ryen Russillo joins the show to talk NBA Draft, how much Billy lifts, and whats going on with the NBA right now ( - ). We finish with guys on chicks.

Ryen Russillo on the NBA Draft, James Harden, and Bench Pressing Billy

The Chicago Bears are officially making football a chore to watch. After a miserable Monday Night performance that featured roughly zero offensive highlights, Big Cat is finally ready to admit that the house of cards has collapsed. Between an offensive line that can't block and a quarterback room that inspires no confidence, the five-and-one start feels like a lifetime ago.

Win
Nov 18, 2020
#10374
Big CatBig Cat

Nick Foles is not a consistent starting quarterback in the NFL

Nick Foles... He's not good. He's not good at playing football. Like, he's not good at being a quarterback. It's just... Objectively, he's just not. He's just found himself in a couple good situations. Right. He's reached incredible heights, and he's had incredible moments. But, like, game to game, he is not a consistent starter in the NFL.

Foles was benched shortly after this and never reclaimed a permanent starting role in the NFL, serving as a backup for the rest of his career.

The frustration in Chicago isn't just about one bad game; it’s about the long-term damage of a missed evaluation at the most important position in sports. Big Cat is looking at a decade of pain thanks to the Mitch Trubisky era.

Push
Nov 18, 2020
#10375
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears will be chasing the mistake of drafting Mitch Trubisky for a decade

These are the repercussions of missing. When you take a swing for the fences on a quarterback in the first round and you miss, you feel it for a decade going forward. The Bears will be chasing that mistake for a very long time.

The Bears struggled for years to find a QB, eventually moving on to Justin Fields (who also failed) and then Caleb Williams in 2024. The 2017 miss defined the Pace/Nagy era.

PFT Commenter tried to offer some solace by pointing out that the defense is still elite, though even they can’t win games when the offense struggles to cross the fifty-yard line.

Void
Nov 18, 2020
#24819
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bears' defense is good enough to win a Super Bowl if they were paired with even an above-average offense.

The defense is good. I think the Bears' defense, it's still... Oh, it's very good. It's a defense that you could definitely win a Super Bowl with if you had an above-average offense. But [the Bears] don't.

While the 2020 Bears defense was top-tier, the offense was never even 'above-average', making this difficult to prove. However, the 2020 Bucs won with a balanced attack, and the Bears' D was statistically comparable to elite units.

Theo Epstein and the Tired Idea of the Week

Theo Epstein is stepping down from the Cubs a year early, and Big Cat thinks he might be eyeing a much bigger seat in the sports world. With Rob Manfred currently at the helm of MLB, the bar for improvement isn't exactly in the stratosphere.

Open
Nov 18, 2020
#10376
Big CatBig Cat

Theo Epstein will be the next MLB Commissioner

I actually think he'll be the next commissioner. He should be the next commissioner. I think Manfred's got to be nervous because Theo Epstein's a fucking genius, and everything he does turns into being great.

Rob Manfred is still Commissioner as of 2024, though Epstein did eventually join the MLB league office in a consultant role.

PFT also introduced a "tired idea" regarding social media's obsession with copying features. As Twitter rolls out "Fleets," everyone seems to be chasing the high of an app that actually understood the format.

Void
Nov 18, 2020·Tired Ideas
#10377
Big CatBig Cat

Vine was the perfect social media app

Vine, it was the most perfect app that's ever been invented. Vine was everything that TikTok and Instagram stories and fleets always wanted to be. Vine was the perfect app. Six seconds. It also, Vine was like the greatest, because TikTok, anyone can do anything... Having to be funny in six seconds or less is very hard to do.

This is entirely subjective.

Hot Seat/Cool Throne

On Hot Seat, Big Cat is retiring from the injury prediction business. After being very "woke" about Drew Brees having a secret shoulder injury, it turns out Brees actually had about five broken ribs and a punctured lung. Meanwhile, PFT is standing firm on his stance regarding Twitter features and the sanctity of the original post.

Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Twitter should not add an edit button; I prefer to live my life by the seat of my pants and 'fire and forget.'

For the record, I don't want an edit button. No. I live my life by the seat of my pants. I just fire off. I fire and forget. I don't want to have to go back and edit shit. Everyone says give me an edit button. I'm team not edit button.

This is a purely subjective preference about platform design.

Billy Football also defended his betting spreadsheet, claiming that his parlay system is basically a foolproof way to manage your finances, despite going 0-5 on his recent picks.

Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

It is mathematically impossible to lose all your money in my parlay system.

Is it possible to lose all your money in your parlay system? No, you can't lose all of it. It's impossible. Impossible to lose all of it. You can lose some of it. You can win a lot more, but you can't lose all of it.

If you bet your entire bankroll on a single parlay that loses, you lose all your money. Billy's logic relies on the idea of always having a 'counter-bet', which is just bad bankroll management.

Ryen Russillo on the NBA Draft and Harden

Draft expert Ryen Russillo joined the show to help navigate an NBA Draft that feels a bit light on star power. Russillo isn't sugarcoating it; while there might be depth later in the first round, the top of the board lacks the surefire franchise alterers we usually see.

Loss
Nov 18, 2020
#10379
Ryen RussilloRyen Russillo

The 2020 NBA Draft might be historically bad at the top

It's a bad draft at the top, and it may be historically bad. I know the closer we get to this, it happens every year where it'll be a bad draft... But at the top, you always hope every year there's maybe one or two guys that can really impact a franchise... And this one has a chance to have zero.

While initially panned, the 2020 draft produced Anthony Edwards, LaMelo Ball, and Tyrese Haliburton, all of whom became All-Stars and franchise cornerstones, making the 'zero impact players' take incorrect.

Despite the weak class, Russillo still has his favorites, particularly James Wiseman, who he believes has the physical tools and touch to be a force if he can put it all together.

Loss
Nov 18, 2020
#10381
Ryen RussilloRyen Russillo

James Wiseman is the best player in the 2020 NBA Draft

I like Wiseman... I like him this much in comparison to everybody else... The thing I like about him is yes the size and all that stuff he catches everything... Wiseman also has another level that I don't know if he's going to get to, but he'll show it with his handle. He'll show a really soft touch where he almost has some of these offensive small forward skills that you start to get really, really excited about.

Wiseman struggled with injuries and development, eventually being traded by the Warriors. Anthony Edwards, Tyrese Haliburton, and LaMelo Ball have far surpassed him.

The conversation shifted to the blockbuster rumors surrounding James Harden and a potential move to the Brooklyn Nets. Russillo broke down why Harden's box score stats in Houston might be a bit deceiving when considering how they would translate to a team with other superstars.

Push
Nov 18, 2020
#10383
Ryen RussilloRyen Russillo

James Harden's production is inflated by about 25% due to the Rockets' system

I also think Houston's style is almost like the best Instagram filter... where when you go play in Houston's system when it's Harden... you're 25% better... it's very clear, at least to me, and I don't know why more people don't say this, that you almost have to shave off like 25% of it [Harden's production].

Harden's scoring dropped significantly after leaving Houston (from 34-36 PPG to 21-24 PPG), though his playmaking remained high. His role changed, validating the idea that the system maximized his volume.

Man Strength and Guys on Chicks

Things took a turn for the weird when the topic shifted to lifting. Billy Football tried to flex on Russillo, only to realize he was bringing a knife to a gunfight. Russillo casually dropped his bench numbers, proving that man strength is a very real phenomenon that hits around age 28.

Win
Nov 18, 2020
#10382
Ryen RussilloRyen Russillo

I benched 315 pounds for three reps today just messing around

Fucking put the microphone down. I put up 315 three times today fucking around. Get back to me in a couple years.

Russillo is well-known for his dedication to the gym; while unverifiable, it is widely accepted as true by fans of both shows.

We wrapped things up with Guys on Chicks, featuring a listener asking about the social ramifications of her boyfriend being moved from quarterback to wide receiver. Big Cat didn't stutter with his advice, noting that the status of a QB girlfriend is a heavy crown that shouldn't be traded for a special teams contributor.

Void
Big CatBig Cat

If your boyfriend switches from playing quarterback to wide receiver in college, you should dump him immediately.

How long do I have to wait to dump him without it being obvious it's not about him being a quarterback anymore? Do it now. Do it now. Because you know what? You don't actually love him. He said he's a wide receiver, but he's really just going to get in on a couple of random special teams plays.

OpinionLifeHotSubjectiveSarcastic
This is a satirical relationship advice take and cannot be factually proven.

If you need a racing pigeon, apparently anonymous bidders in China are willing to pay almost two million dollars for one.

nflnba-draftchicago-bearsjames-hardenfitness

More Takes

Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I will be addicted to Twitter Fleets within a month

We're actually really going to like fleets. I'm guaranteeing. Give me a month. I'll be addicted to fleets.

Twitter Fleets was a failure and was shut down by Twitter in July 2021 due to low usage.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

If a show host is constantly bragging about the growth and size of their show, it is probably not as big as they claim.

Not to break the fourth wall, but if someone is talking about how big their show is, like constantly, probably not. Yes. If they constantly can't stop talking about the growth of their show, probably not as big as they say.

This is an observation on human behavior and marketing within the media industry.
Win
Nov 18, 2020
#24823
Ryen RussilloRyen Russillo

The younger a prospect is, the higher their expected improvement and draft value should be.

How much stock do you put into the difference between a 19-year-old and a 22-year-old... I do. I do. There's just enough information that backs it up... the younger you are as a prospect... the expected improvement, and it's really not even debatable... the better players end up becoming the guys that are drafted when they're younger.

Analytics and historical draft data generally support that players who enter the league younger have higher ceilings and longer careers on average.
Loss
Nov 18, 2020
#10380
Ryen RussilloRyen Russillo

The Bucks trading multiple unprotected first-round picks for Jrue Holiday is irresponsible

When you look at the Bucs and say, wait, in 2027, part of that Drew Holiday deal is a 2027 unprotected pick? That, to me, is insane slash irresponsible... To think here we are seven drafts from now, there's this pick that's completely unprotected... I don't understand why people think this is like normal.

The trade immediately resulted in a 2021 NBA Championship for the Bucks, which most would argue makes the cost 'responsible' in hindsight for a small-market team.
Loss
Nov 18, 2020
#24824
Ryen RussilloRyen Russillo

Kyra Lewis from Alabama is a top 5 prospect in the 2020 NBA Draft.

I love Kyra Lewis from Alabama... I'm going to put him five [in my top five] just to be. So, you know, in a few years, if I kill it with this, he'd be like, oh, my gosh, I can't believe Russillo called that.

Kyra Lewis Jr. struggled to find a consistent role in the NBA and has career averages around 5 points per game. He is objectively not one of the top 5 players from a class that included Anthony Edwards, LaMelo Ball, and Tyrese Haliburton.
Push
Nov 18, 2020
#10384
Ryen RussilloRyen Russillo

Kyrie Irving might not want James Harden on the Brooklyn Nets

I'm wondering if Kyrie is signing off on this. Because you would – I mean, look, I can never forget trying to figure out Kyrie, but I could actually see him not loving it at all because now all of a sudden he's going to be off the ball a lot more.

While the three (KD, Kyrie, Harden) initially played well together, the experiment ended in disaster with Harden forcing a trade away from Kyrie and the Nets within 13 months.
Win
Billy FootballBilly Football

Camo Crocs are sick and making a comeback

Camo Crocs are sick. Crocs might be making a comeback.

Crocs saw a massive resurgence in popularity and stock price between 2020 and 2023, widely being considered 'cool' or ironic fashion.

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