Jon Anik on UFC 281, NFL Week 10 Picks, and Billy’s Technical Meltdown
The energy is high as we hit the double digits of the NFL season. Big Cat and PFT start things off by looking at a Thursday Night Football matchup between the Falcons and Panthers that only a mother could love, though PFT is seeing visions of a divisional takeover.
The Falcons will win the NFC South and beat the Panthers 28-17
I think the Falcons are going to win 28 to 17. And I think that, you know, the Falcons will end this weekend in first place of the NFC South.
Before getting into the full Sunday slate, the guys talk about the Barstool Invitational in Philly. Big Cat is ready to see Jelly Walker light up the scoreboard, and he’s putting his money where his mouth is for the early tip-off.
Hammer the over in the Toledo vs. UAB game
Hammer the over in the first game. Toledo plays up and down UAB Jelly Walker, we talked about it.
NFL Week 10 Preview and Underdog Fever
There is a strange aura around the Week 10 board where everyone seems to love the dogs. Billy is leading the charge for the Texans to keep it close against the Giants, mostly because he doesn't respect Big Blue's ability to pull away.
The Texans won't lose to the Giants by more than 10 points
I don't think the Giants are a team that beats teams by more than, you know, a field goal. ... I don't think that the Texans lose by more than 10 points ever. ... they lost by 11 to the Eagles, but that was covering, I'm counting that as less than 10. I feel like the Texans are a chippy team. The Giants are, they're probably gonna win this game by like four points.
Things get heated when discussing the Cowboys and Packers. Hank is laying the points with Dallas, but PFT is wary of Mike McCarthy having too much time to think during a bye week, suggesting that a "medium" effort McCarthy is actually the most dangerous version.
Mike McCarthy is a worse coach when he has extra time to prepare
I wonder what his [Mike McCarthy's] stats are like off of bye week. ... I feel like if you give him too much time to cook something up, he really gets in his own head. He starts breaking out all the tricks, but not the good tricks. ... Mike McCarthy is a great head coach when he's trying medium. ... When he's really dialed in... it will be detrimental to everything you want to do.
Big Cat is pivoting to the international stage for his favorite play. While the world is watching Tom Brady in Germany, Big Cat is focused on the Tampa Bay defense to stifle a surging Geno Smith.
I'm hammering the Bucs against the Seahawks because of their defense
I'm going with the Bucs. ... The Bucs. It's not never a bet on Tom Brady. The relapsing, It's a bet on their defense. I still think their defense is very good. I think their defense gives the Seahawks a lot of problems.
For the marquee Bills-Vikings matchup, the status of Josh Allen’s elbow is the only thing standing between PFT and a mathematical lock on the total.
There is an 80% chance the over hits in the Bills vs. Vikings game if Josh Allen plays
It's a mathematical almost certainty this hits, I put it at 80%. Wow. That the over hits. And here's why... if Josh Allen plays in this game over 44 is a guaranteed winner.
Jon Anik Joins the Booth
The voice of the UFC, Jon Anik, stopped by the studio to get everyone ready for UFC 281 at Madison Square Garden. Between his love for gambling and his proximity to Joe Rogan, Anik fits right in. He’s particularly hyped for the Adesanya-Pereira main event, noting that the history between these two kickboxers makes it a powder keg.
Israel Adesanya vs. Alex Pereira could be one of the greatest fights ever if Adesanya is aggressive
Israel Adesanya... has never lost at 185 pounds, but as a kickboxer he lost twice to this man [Alex Pereira] and once was knocked out rather violently. ... If he approaches this with a more aggressive tenor, this could be one of the greatest fights of all time.
Anik also isn't afraid to go against the betting public when it comes to Barstool's own Meatball Molly McCann. He thinks the oddsmakers are giving her opponent way too much credit.
The betting line for Molly McCann vs. Erin Blanchfield is out of whack
I will though just say that the Molly McCann price to me seems out of whack. Erin Blanchfield's a great grappler but minus 400 given what Molly has done of late, that surprises me.
Outside of the Octagon, Anik remains a die-hard NFL fan with some very strong opinions on the current state of the New England Patriots. As a Boston guy, he didn't hold back on the limitations of Mac Jones.
Mac Jones is definitively not the guy to lead the Patriots long-term
I would put a tattoo bet on it right now that [Mac Jones] is not gonna realize anything resembling long-term NFL success. ... everybody locally in Boston understands that he has a C arm at best. Like he's a good leader of men... but that only goes so far.
This led to a broader discussion about the 2018 QB class and how so many teams managed to talk themselves out of Lamar Jackson despite the obvious eye test. Anik and the guys are still baffled that Bill Belichick passed on a guy he compared to Michael Vick.
Lamar Jackson is better than Michael Vick
I don't need Michael Vick to tell me that this dude [Lamar Jackson] is gonna be better than Michael Vick. And was there no room for improvement for Lamar once he got to the league? Like how did so many teams fucking miss on that?
Fantasy Fuccbois and Fyre Fest
Fantasy Fuccbois featured a heavy dose of Italian energy and some bold predictions for the Chargers-Niners game. PFT is all-in on Austin Ekeler having a career day in primetime.
Austin Ekeler will score three touchdowns against the 49ers
I'm going to again say that Austin Ekeler is going triple dick. This shit out of him. The Niners are gonna be airtight triple dick. Let's go.
Fyre Fest of the Week took a dark turn when Billy Football had to explain a "mishap" involving a breath-holding contest and a control board switch. Apparently, Billy’s competitive drive is so intense that when he loses a contest, the surrounding electronics pay the price. He allegedly hit a switch that corrupted the video files for the entire episode, leading to a frantic recovery effort by the production crew. To make amends, Billy has been sentenced to a three-hour solo podcast—a punishment that might be worse for the listeners than for Billy.
Just remember to take a snapshot of your Saturday couch sessions, because regular season Saturdays are a finite resource.

