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Pete Prisco

Pete Prisco

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2018 — Present
34W·43L·5P·5 open
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All Takes

Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Trevor Lawrence will be one of the top 3-5 quarterbacks in the league in a couple years

Trevor Lawrence is gonna be special. He's gonna be a special quarterback. He's gonna be one of the five, six best quarterbacks in this league. Maybe in a couple years he'll be one, two or three. That's how good he can be.

Trevor Lawrence has not become a top 3-5 quarterback. In 2024, he was injured (concussion, shoulder surgery), played only 10 games with modest stats, and the Jaguars went 4-13.
Void
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Urban Meyer is the worst coach in the history of the NFL

Doug Peterson... had to exercise the demons of the moron that was in front of him. I mean, that's the worst coach in the history in the National Football League. Urban Meyer with his bullhorn and his sophomore high school ways. Gimme a break. That thing was a disaster last year.

While subjective, Meyer is widely cited as one of the worst hires in NFL history due to his 2-11 record and numerous off-field scandals.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Special teams only account for 14% of a football game

It's not a third of the game either. It's a great myth. It's about 14% of the game. Punt the ball out of bounds. Kick the ball out of the end zone. Don't worry about any of that return crap... Make your damn kicks. It's your only damn job.

Based on snap counts, special teams usually make up 15-20% of plays, so 14% is a reasonably close estimate to prove his point.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Jaguars are guaranteed to play in the Saturday afternoon wildcard window

I'll tell you what, they're not that great on defense. ... Guaranteed Jacksonville plays the early game first game in the wildcard round. I went back and looked since 2010. The AFC South champ or team has played in that spot every year except one.

The Jaguars actually played the Saturday NIGHT game (8:15 PM ET) against the Chargers, while the Seahawks vs. 49ers was the Saturday afternoon game. Prisco's guarantee failed.
Void
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Bryce Young's small stature is a major concern for his NFL prospects

Bryce Young is five nine. I mean he five 10. I love the way he throws a football. But can you take, you know, he was standing next to Mark Ingram the other day and he looked like the same size. ... He's not a big guy.

Young was officially measured at 5'10 1/8" at the combine. His height has been a recurring issue during his early struggles with the Carolina Panthers.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Lamar Jackson will not get a fully guaranteed contract like Deshaun Watson's

No, you're not gonna fully guarantee. You can give him a lot of guaranteed money... He wants the Deshaun Watson deal. From what I heard and that they're not gonna fully guarantee. The owners in this league don't want to fully guarantee contract. They were all mad that they did that in the first place.

Lamar Jackson signed a five-year, $260 million deal in April 2023 with $185 million guaranteed, but not the fully guaranteed contract he was reportedly seeking like Watson's.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Super Bowl will feature the Buffalo Bills against the San Francisco 49ers

Are you sticking with your Super Bowl prediction? ... [Prisco]: I, I mean, I, yeah, no, I'm gonna take the bills in the 49ers. ... They play the Vikings in week one at Minnesota... they would win that game and they'd go play the one seed.

The Super Bowl was Chiefs vs. Eagles. The Bills lost in the Divisional round and the 49ers lost in the NFC Championship.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Minnesota Vikings are frauds

I've said that word [frauds] before and I heard it got back to him and they weren't real happy about it. ... I think there's a glazed look that comes over [Kirk Cousins'] face in moments and when it does, you know it's happening.

The Vikings lost at home as the 3-seed to the 6-seed Giants in the Wildcard round, largely validating Prisco's 'fraud' label.
Open
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Fred Taylor belongs in the Hall of Fame

It's Fred Taylor time. I think Fred has a legitimate chance to get in... if you ask the players like Derek Brooks and Ray Lewis, they all think he should be in. It's definitely Fred Taylor time.

As of the 2024 voting cycle, Fred Taylor has been a finalist but has not yet been inducted into the Hall of Fame.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Bengals are the best team in the AFC North

The Bengals... they're definitely in the mix. I think they're the best team in that division... The offensive line is gonna be better. I mean, that kid [Burrow] got brutalized last year. He got sacked and hit and they still put up points... they're gonna be much better.

The Bengals won the AFC North in 2022 with a 12-4 record.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Denver Broncos will be the most disappointing team in the AFC in 2022

The Broncos will be the most disappointing team I'm and, and it's not because of Russell Wilson... I think their offensive line has issues and, and they have a couple other issues on defense.

The 2022 Broncos were an absolute disaster, finishing 5-12 and firing Nathaniel Hackett mid-season. Prisco nailed this despite being wrong about it not being Wilson's fault.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Houston Texans will be better than people expect in 2022

I'll give you a team. That's gonna be a little bit better than everybody thinks. They'll be the Texans... I'm a big Davis Mills guy... I think the Texans are gonna, they're not gonna win 10 games, but they're gonna be better than you think they are.

The Texans finished 3-13-1, which was effectively as bad as everyone expected. Davis Mills did not have a breakout year.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Packers will win the NFC behind a dominant defense

The Packers are gonna win it [the NFC] in my mind. And not because of their offense this time around, I think their defense is a chance to be nasty. I mean that secondary might be the... best secondary in the league... Rogers will get it going. So they're gonna be really good.

The Packers went 8-9 and missed the playoffs entirely, while the Eagles won the NFC.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Saints will win the NFC South

I think new Orleans is gonna be way better than people [expect]... In fact, I think they win the division. I don't think the Bucs win the division... that defense my gosh, across the board, they have so much talent on defense everywhere.

The Buccaneers won the NFC South (8-9), while the Saints finished second (7-10).
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Eagles will win the NFC East

I think the Eagles are the best team in that division. I think they win the division... Jalen Hurts is much better. Last year he was going through his reads, he didn't always get through 'em. Well, now he's going through the progressions and he's getting through 'em.

The Eagles won the NFC East with a 14-3 record and reached the Super Bowl.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Trey Lance isn't the guy in San Francisco and Jimmy Garoppolo will take his job back

Bringing Garoppolo back was a hedge. That's what that was. They're not convinced about Trey Lance. I don't believe 'em... If things don't go well for Trey Lance early, then I think you could see Jimmy Garoppolo back in the lineup... if they don't believe in Trey Lance, I think Garoppolo could be back in as the starter.

Lance struggled in Week 1 and broke his ankle in Week 2, leading to Garoppolo starting the rest of the season as Prisco predicted.
Push
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will disappoint and miss out on winning the NFC South

I think the Bucs are gonna be a little disappointing... I don't think they're gonna win the division... Brady when he has interior pressure... he doesn't move that well. And he really doesn't like it... I think Tampa might be the going in the wrong direction team.

The Bucs finished 8-9. They actually *did* win the division because the rest of the NFC South was worse, but Prisco's prediction of them being disappointing and 'wrong direction' was spot on.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Buffalo Bills will beat the Green Bay Packers in the Super Bowl with Josh Allen as MVP

It's the Buffalo Bills beating the Green Bay Packers and Josh Allen will win the MVP... he'll win the MVP. I like one thing though. Just make sure that 13 seconds doesn't blow your chances this time around.

Neither team made the Super Bowl. Josh Allen did not win MVP (Patrick Mahomes did).
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Urban Meyer will not finish the season as the Jaguars head coach

Is this going to end Urban Meyer's career in the NFL before the season's over? I think it's more Bobby Petrino than Nick Saban. I really do. I think this is bad, man. And it's not just because of this. There's been so many other things that have gone on... I think it puts Urban Meyer in a position where maybe he would resign. Maybe they work out a little bit of a settlement.

Urban Meyer was fired on December 16, 2021, before the end of his first season.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Buffalo Bills will face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl LVI

Well, my Super Bowl matchup before the season was Buffalo and Tampa Bay. And I think I'll stick with that for now... I think the Bills are the best team in the AFC. And the Cardinals are playing well, but I think Tampa Bay will get it together and start playing really well on defense.

Super Bowl LVI featured the Los Angeles Rams and the Cincinnati Bengals.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Buffalo Bills will beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Super Bowl

And it's the Buffalo Bills winning it all, beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Neither team made the Super Bowl; the Rams beat the Bengals. The Bills lost in the divisional round and the Bucs lost in the divisional round.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Joe Tryon will be the Defensive Rookie of the Year

I think defensively, I think Joe Tryon is going to be the rookie of the year. That kid's unblockable. ... of all the guys I saw in training camp, he was the most impressive rookie of all of them.

Micah Parsons won Defensive Rookie of the Year unanimously. Tryon-Shoyinka had 4 sacks and was not in the running.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Lions will have the number one overall pick in the 2022 draft

Which team will be picking first in next year's draft? The Lions.

The Jaguars actually finished with the worst record (3-14) for the second straight year. The Lions finished with the 2nd pick (3-13-1).
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Patriots will make the playoffs because their offensive line and coaching are superior to the Dolphins

Dolphins or Patriots, one of those teams makes the playoffs, which one are you picking? Patriots. ... because I think their offensive line is significantly better. ... and Belichick knows defense ... they're going to be a playoff team.

The Patriots finished 10-7 and made the playoffs as a Wild Card. The Dolphins finished 9-8 and missed out.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The 49ers will win the NFC West regardless of who plays quarterback

I think the 49ers are going to win the division no matter who plays quarterback, and I think it's going to be Jimmy Garoppolo. It should be Jimmy Garoppolo. I think the 49ers will win that division.

The Rams won the NFC West (12-5). The 49ers finished third in the division (10-7) but did make a deep playoff run to the NFC Championship.
Void
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

You either have 'it' as a quarterback or you don't; sitting and learning doesn't help

You either have it or you don't. ... Everybody always says, well, Aaron Rodgers got the watch for a couple years before he played, and it really helped make him a better quarterback. No, it didn't. You either have it or you don't.

This is a fundamental scouting philosophy debate that is inherently subjective.
Void
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Alvin Kamara is going to have a monster year because Sean Payton will use the running backs more without Drew Brees

Kamara is going to have a monster year. I think they should give him more carries. ... If you go back and look at his history, when [Sean Payton] didn't have wide receivers, he used the tight ends in the running back.

Kamara had a productive year with 1,337 total yards in 13 games, though his touchdown total (9) was a significant drop from his 21-TD season in 2020.
Void
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Andy Dalton is a better quarterback than Mitchell Trubisky

He's better than Mitchell Trubisky. ... Because he is. He's a better player. ... [Mitchell Trubisky] looked good in the preseason, but there's some guys that when they're playing with as the starter, the pressure is too much for him.

This is a subjective comparison between two quarterbacks who were both moving into backup or bridge roles shortly after this take.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Washington will win the NFC East even if the Cowboys' offense stays totally healthy

Washington's winning it [the NFC East]. ... [Even if Dallas' offense stays healthy] because they still have defensive problems.

The Cowboys won the NFC East with a 12-5 record, while Washington finished 3rd at 7-10.
Push
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Justin Jefferson will be the best receiver in the league by the end of the year

Justin Jefferson is going to be the best receiver in the league by the end of the year.

Jefferson was Second Team All-Pro in 2021 with 1,616 yards. Cooper Kupp won the Triple Crown and OPOY, making Kupp the consensus 'best' that specific year, though Jefferson was elite.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Tim Tebow signing with the Jaguars is a 'big joke' and he can't play tight end

This is an interesting signing, and it's a stupid signing. And I will absolutely say that this is a big joke because he can't play. He couldn't play quarterback. He was a terrible quarterback. He hasn't played since 2012. He's going to be 34 years old, and he has no suddenness to his game. He can't play tight end.

Tebow was released by the Jaguars on August 17, 2021, after one preseason game.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Tim Tebow has a 0% chance of making the Jaguars roster

Zero [percent chance]. Zero. I'd go even lower if I could go.

Tebow was cut during training camp and never made the final 53-man roster.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Aaron Rodgers will be on the Packers Week 1

He will be. They're dug in, and they should be dug in. Why would you trade him?

Rodgers reported to camp and played the entire 2021 season for Green Bay.
Void
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Quarterbacks should not have input on personnel decisions or hiring

Quarterbacks should not be making decisions as it relates to personnel and who should be hired. I said that all along with Deshaun Watson.

Subjective philosophy on team management.
Void
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Justin Fields was the second-best quarterback in the 2021 draft class

Lawrence is the clear one. Justin Fields, in my mind, is the two... He's accurate. He's smart. He's tough. He's athletic. He's big. He will be a darn good quarterback.

This is a subjective evaluation of a player's draft prospect status compared to peers.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Zach Wilson is a gunslinger but I am concerned about his small frame and injury history

He's a gunslinger. If you want a gunslinger, a guy's going to rip it, take chances, and throw it in tight windows, take him. My concern with him is he's little... I'm talking about his body, his frame. And he's been injured a couple of times already. That's always a concern.

Wilson struggled significantly with injuries and durability (and performance) throughout his Jets tenure.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

A coach trying to be someone they aren't, like Bill Belichick, is what hurts them most

Trying to be who you're not hurts you. If you try to be Bill Belichick, there's only one Bill Belichick. You can't be that guy. So if your team is practicing outside, when you have an indoor practice bubble, even though it's freezing outside and the players hate it, you're trying to be Belichick. You're not being Matt Patricia. Be who you are.

The struggles of the Belichick coaching tree (Patricia, McDaniels, etc.) are well-documented, supporting the idea that their imitation of Belichick's style failed.
Void
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Bill Belichick now enjoys draft building and roster construction more than coaching

Somebody in the league told me this. They said, I think Belichick enjoys the draft building part of the process now more than he does coaching. Which is weird, right? Because this was his best coaching job ever. This past year.

Inherently subjective as it concerns Belichick's personal preferences, though his personnel decisions often overshadow his coaching in later years.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Dwayne Haskins is the clear-cut #1 quarterback in the 2019 draft

Haskins is number one. Better than Kyler Murray. Clear cut, stand in the pocket, read the field quarterback.

Kyler Murray was drafted first and had a much better career than Haskins, who struggled in Washington and passed away in 2022.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Josh Allen will be the best quarterback from the 2018 rookie class

I'm all over Josh Allen. I think he's the best. I think he's going to be the best of the group.

Josh Allen developed into an MVP-caliber quarterback and is widely considered the best of his draft class (over Mayfield, Darnold, Rosen).
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Antonio Brown is a 'quitter' and I wouldn't give up more than a third-round pick for him

What would I give up for him? The third round pick. That's it? No more. I tend to agree with you. He quit. He quit. He's a quitter. Let me say it again. He's a quitter. If I'm on his team and the Steelers players weren't happy about it, he quit on them. So do you want that in your building?

Antonio Brown was traded to the Raiders on March 9, 2019, for a third-round and a fifth-round pick, almost exactly matching Prisco's valuation.
Void
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Eli Manning didn't play as poorly in 2018 as the media portrays

Eli didn't play that bad last year. He did not. He did not. Dude, sir. The team stopped. His line was awful. I said he didn't play as poorly as you guys are portraying.

Eli Manning's stats in 2018 (21 TD, 11 INT) weren't his worst, but the Giants went 5-11 and he was benched early in 2019, supporting the 'washed' narrative.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Patriots will win at Arrowhead and the Rams will win at New Orleans

I think both games will be lower scoring than expected, and I think both road teams are winning. I think the Rams are going to go in there and pound the Saints on the ground... [and] I think [the Patriots are] winning the game. I think they're going in the Arrowhead and winning.

Both the Patriots and the Rams won their respective road championship games, making Prisco 2-for-2 on bold road winner picks.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Todd Gurley will get many more carries than last week and run wild against the Saints

I think [Gurley] is going to get many more carries than he did a week ago, and he's going to run wild this weekend.

Todd Gurley had a disastrous game with only 4 carries for 10 yards, as he was effectively phased out for C.J. Anderson.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Marcus Peters is ripe to get beat by a double move early in the NFC Championship Game

You know what else [Marcus Peters] is ripe for early? Double move. Yeah, he's going to... because, you know, he'll try and jump it... and he'll throw the top on him.

While Marcus Peters had a shaky season, he wasn't specifically exploited by an early double move for a big play in the championship game.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Kyler Murray will be drafted after the 10th pick in the 2019 NFL Draft

[Kyler Murray will be drafted] After [the 10th pick]. 20th, 25, somewhere in there... I think, you know, this kid is in the same situation [as Lamar Jackson].

Kyler Murray was drafted #1 overall by the Arizona Cardinals in 2019.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Blake Bortles will be a backup somewhere next season

[Blake Bortles] is gone. They're cutting him... He'll be a backup somewhere... and then get some chance to start eventually.

The Jaguars released Bortles in March 2019, and he signed a one-year contract with the Rams to be Jared Goff's backup.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Chiefs are for real and will win the AFC West

The Chiefs are for real and they will stay there. The rest of that division, I mean, the chargers are okay, but the rest of that division is not very good.

The Chiefs finished 12-4, won the AFC West, and Mahomes won MVP.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Browns will be a playoff team in 2019

I don't think they're a playoff team this year. I think they'll push for 8-8 season, and then next year they'll be a playoff team. How about that early prediction? I think the Browns will be a playoff team next year.

The 2019 Browns went 6-10 under Freddie Kitchens and missed the playoffs. They didn't make the playoffs until 2020.
Push
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

NFL scoring will go down as defenses catch up to offensive gimmicks

Look what happened today. You know what happens? Everybody catches up with the gimmicks. The gadget plays. Offense is going to rule. Never again will the defense be able to stop them. Look at today. They started to slow them down today... Scoring will go down. It will not stay the same pace.

Scoring did fluctuate, but 2018 remained one of the highest-scoring seasons. Defensive adjustments happened (e.g., Belichick in SB LIII), but high scoring has largely remained the league norm.

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