PMTPMT DB

Takes

Void
Take Slip·Nov 19, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1119-10710
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm betting on Lamar Jackson because he plays better with diarrhea

Another important thing to note is that Lamar Jackson has been out two days this week with diarrhea. Again, he's the most diarrhea quarterback in the NFL and he always plays great. He plays lighter when he's at diarrhea. So this is a big time intestinal bug issue for the Ravens and for Lamar Jackson. So I'm going to bet on Lamar Jackson.

Lamar Jackson ended up being inactive for the game due to his illness. The Ravens won with Tyler Huntley, but PFT's specific bet on 'diarrhea Lamar' playing didn't happen.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 12, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1112-5477
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If the Chiefs lose this weekend, they are done as contenders

I think if the Chiefs lose, I'm taking the 'Dunn' chain out. I'm thinking about throwing it on the Chiefs... I'm done thinking the Chiefs are just going to flip the switch and become the Chiefs of two years ago.

The Chiefs won this game (41-14 over the Raiders) and eventually made the AFC Championship game.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 12, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1112-5479
HankHank

The Patriots will win the Super Bowl if they beat the Browns convincingly

As I've said the whole season, last week was going to decide how I feel about the rest of the season. They won. I'm now in 'soupy' mode. So if they're going to go to the 'soupy', they've got to win this game [against the Browns] convincingly.

The Patriots did win this game (45-7), but they lost in the Wild Card round to the Bills.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 12, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1112-5481
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL covered up Aaron Rodgers ignoring COVID protocols for ratings

I'm pretty sure that the NFL, according to their own rules, should have suspended Aaron Rodgers. Should have fined him. And they're covering up the fact that he just ignored all the protocols because he's Aaron Rodgers and the rules don't apply to him. And they're like, 'You know what? We could have Aaron Rodgers sit out for multiple weeks, but I really like ratings.'

While the NFL did fine Rodgers, the claim of a 'cover up' for ratings is a subjective interpretation of league business, though the fine was notably small.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 5, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1105-16726
HankHank

Tom Brady killed the Chiefs dynasty before it even started

The Chiefs are so bad... Tom Brady killed the Chiefs. I think not enough people are talking about it. He ended their dynasty. It wasn't really a dynasty, though... He snuffed out, he traveled back in time, baby Hitler'd the Chiefs dynasty.

While Brady did beat them, the Chiefs went on to win two more Super Bowls (LVII, LVIII) after this take, proving their dynasty was very much alive.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 29, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1029-19026
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Detroit Lions will beat the Philadelphia Eagles outright

I agree with you, Hank. I think the lions are going to win outright... I'm strictly viewing this game as a matchup between Dan Campbell and Nick Sirianni. And I feel like, I feel like Dan Campbell just takes a shit all over Nick Sirianni's brain.

The Eagles blew out the Lions 44-6 in this game.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 22, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1022-19988
Big CatBig Cat

The Cincinnati Bengals will be officially elevated to a good playoff team if they keep it close or beat the Baltimore Ravens

If the Bengals can keep this close or possibly win this game, they are officially elevated to a good team playoff team. Like, and I think they're right there. I think their defensive played very well.

The Bengals went on to win this game 41-17 and eventually made the Super Bowl, proving this take entirely correct.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 22, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1022-19981
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am officially on my 'last straw' with the Washington Football Team's organization

My announcement is I am officially on my last straw. Washington football team last straw. In fact, I went out, I bought a straw... If it gets anything bad, happens to the point where I, I lose faith in this organization again. Well, what, what Hank you, what else could they do that during my soul to you? They're only good players dead. And they fucked up his retirement ceremony.

PFT remained a fan through various name changes and the sale of the team, showing the 'last straw' is a recurring theme for him rather than a final break.
Push
Take Slip·Oct 15, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1015-11819
Big CatBig Cat

The Bills are the #1 team in the league right now

My current BCS rankings have the Cardinals and the Bills, one and two. [But] the fun fact about the Bills, they have double the point differential than the second team not named the Cardinals... The Bills are plus 108. They are fucking killing people. We can agree. Bills should be at the top.

The Bills finished 11-6 and lost in the Divisional round, while the Rams won the Super Bowl and the Packers had the best record. The Bills were elite but arguably not #1.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 15, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1015-11820
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Cowboys -3.5 at the Patriots is my favorite bet of the week

My favorite favorite is Cowboys, minus three and a half at the Patriots... I like the Cowboys in this one. Patriots are going to have a long Sunday. I've been looking at the rat lines for the last few weeks and just betting the square side of the rat lines. And it's been a pretty successful strategy for me so far.

The Cowboys won 35-29, covering the -3.5 spread.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 15, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1015-11821
Big CatBig Cat

The Browns will beat the Cardinals and hand them their first loss

My favorite favorite is the Browns, minus three... I also just think the Cardinals are due for – they've been flirting with it. They're due for a loss, and they're due for the Browns to run the ball down their throat. I do think the Browns are going to beat them. I think the Browns are going to man up on them.

The Cardinals beat the Browns 37-14, moving to 6-0.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 15, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1015-11822
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears will cover +4.5 against the Packers

I actually think the Bears might win, but Bears plus 4.5... I have a feeling their defense is playing well... By the end of the week, I'm like, we're going to fucking win this game. Jalen Johnson's going to lock down Davante Adams. If the Bears win this game, they are now officially a borderline playoff team.

The Packers won 24-14, beating the 4.5-point spread.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 15, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1015-11823
Big CatBig Cat

The Raiders will bounce back with interim coach Rich Bisaccia

I am all in on this Rich Bisaccia guy... Crying about your men and your opportunities, that's football guy stuff. I think they're gonna bounce back here for a couple weeks and it's gonna be a few weeks before they fall back to earth but I think they're gonna get something out of this guy... the Raiders and interim Rich and I'm in. I'm all in.

The Raiders won their first two games under Bisaccia and eventually made the playoffs with a 10-7 record.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 8, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1008-14531
HankHank

The Packers will dominate the Bengals by 10 points

My favorite's going to be the Packers. Minus three against the Bengals. I see this being a 10-point, never in doubt, Aaron Rodgers kind of dominates game.

The Packers won 25-22 in overtime, so they did not win by 10 points or dominate, though they did win the game.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 8, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1008-14532
Big CatBig Cat

I am officially 'standing my ground' on the Steelers against the Broncos

My personal stand my ground game where if the Steelers don't win this game, I am done not only with the Steelers this season, but done betting on them, just pretending they don't exist. This is the game that if they have any pulse left, it's a pulse check. If they have any pulse left, they will win this game.

The Steelers won 27-19, so they passed the pulse check and Big Cat's stand-his-ground bet was correct.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 8, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1008-14533
Billy FootballBilly Football

The Dolphins might beat the Buccaneers outright

I'm going with Buccaneers versus Dolphins. They're minus 10. I think they're going to cover. I think the Dolphins might win outright. Seriously.

The Buccaneers won 45-17. The Dolphins did not come close to winning outright.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 8, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1008-14534
Big CatBig Cat

The Bills will beat the Chiefs in their Sunday night revenge game

I do think the Bills are going to win this game because I think the revenge factor and also this is one of those games where it's like, which team do you trust more to get a stop? And I would put that on the Bills.

The Bills won 38-20, so the prediction was correct.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 8, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1008-14535
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Browns vs. Chargers game will be a high-scoring over

My over is going to be Browns at Chargers, 47. I like a lot of points in this game.

The final score was 47-42 (89 total points), easily clearing the 47-point total.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 8, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1008-14536
Jake MarshJake Marsh

The Browns and Chargers will stay under the total (The 'Lunder')

I'm with Hank and Liam. I am calling this a Lunder. Lunder 45. Lunder, yes.

The game exploded for 89 points, making this an 'incorrect' prediction and fitting the 'Lunder' title perfectly.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 8, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1008-14537
Big CatBig Cat

The Cowboys are currently #2 in the NFL if we used BCS rankings

If we did BCS rankings for the teams right now, I think the Super Bowl would maybe be the Cardinals versus the Cowboys because the Cowboys have the best loss. I think the Cowboys might be number two in the BCS.

This is a subjective ranking based on a hypothetical system.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 1, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1001-16258
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mac Jones might be overwhelmed by the moment of Tom Brady's return to Foxborough

The moment might actually be too big for Mac Jones because he's obviously a rookie quarterback and he feels like he's got a lot of responsibility... just knowing that he's been entrusted to try to take over that legacy from Tom Brady, but then getting to see it up close and personal.

Mac Jones held his own against Brady, completing 31 of 40 passes for 275 yards and 2 TDs in a narrow 19-17 loss. The moment did not appear too big for him.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 1, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1001-16259
Big CatBig Cat

Mike Tomlin is a lock to cover or win as a 6+ point underdog

I'm taking the Steelers plus seven. I realized Mike Tomlin as an underdog... Mike Tomlin is a six plus point underdog is nine, three, and one against the spread. I think they win this game outright.

The Steelers lost 27-17 to the Packers, failing to cover the +6.5 or +7 spread.
Push
Take Slip·Oct 1, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1001-16260
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kirk Cousins will turn back into a 'pumpkin' on Halloween against the Cowboys

I've actually identified exactly when [Kirk Cousins] is going to turn back into old Kirk Cousins... Halloween. I think he's going to have the entire month of October this year, and then on Halloween he's playing in against the Cowboys and he's got some tougher defenses that he's going to be going up against.

On Halloween 2021, the Vikings lost to the Cowboys 20-16. Cousins had a mediocre game with 184 yards and 1 TD, but it wasn't a total 'pumpkin' collapse, though they lost at home to Cooper Rush.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 1, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1001-16261
Big CatBig Cat

Dak Prescott is a great value bet at 13-1 to win the MVP

Dak Prescott, 13 to one to win the MVP because you got to look at the narrative comeback. Everyone wants, you know, America, especially the, the writers want the Cowboys to be good so they can talk about it.

Aaron Rodgers won the 2021 MVP. Dak finished tied for 9th in voting.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 1, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1001-16262
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Washington Football Team's season is over if they lose to the Falcons

If the football team loses [to the Falcons], season done. Done. Because they have the hardest scheduling. And we just have, we have to get to December within like four games of 500.

Washington beat the Falcons, so the condition for the season being 'done' wasn't met. However, they finished 7-10 and missed the playoffs anyway.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 1, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1001-16264
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Panthers vs Cowboys Under 51.5 is my lock of the year

My under, this is almost a lock for me actually. In my Billy metrics. This is my first, my lock of the year so far. Panthers Cowboys under 51 and a half... every single game that the Panthers have played in this year, the total has been exactly 33.

The final score was 36-28 Cowboys, totaling 64 points. The under lost by 12.5 points.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 1, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1001-16263
Billy FootballBilly Football

The Chiefs will 'clown' the Eagles and make them look like a clown show

My favorite is the Chiefs minus seven against the Eagles. They're going to absolutely clown [them]. No, literally they're going to make the Eagles look like clowns. Mahomes is going to run around like throw some fucking deep bomb.

The Chiefs beat the Eagles 42-30. While Mahomes threw 5 TDs, the game was relatively high scoring and not a total defensive shutdown, but a clear Chiefs win.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 24, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0924-825
Big CatBig Cat

The Las Vegas Raiders are the most fraudulent 2-0 team in the NFL.

The Raiders are the most fraudulent 2-0 team... I don't know if they're that good. I think they're okay. They're not that good.

The Raiders finished 10-7 and made the playoffs, which usually disqualifies 'fraudulent 2-0' status.
Void
Take Slip·Sep 24, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0924-826
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jalen Ramsey is the only cornerback who can physically cover Rob Gronkowski.

Jalen Ramsey is really the only person who fits Jalen Ramsey's description of a quarterback that can cover Gronk. Cause Jalen is a big dude. He's strong, he's got coverage skills and he can tackle.

Subjective football analysis about player matchups.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 24, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0924-827
Big CatBig Cat

NFL teams should sit their starting quarterback when playing against Aaron Donald to avoid injury.

Anytime a team plays Aaron Donald, they should sit their starting quarterback.

While funny, teams do not actually do this.
Void
Take Slip·Sep 24, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0924-828
Billy FootballBilly Football

Zach Wilson's interceptions were caused by a groin injury.

The groin really impacts your ability to drive your hips into throws. Those last two interceptions were both just short arms, short throws that got picked off.

Wilson was dealing with various ailments, but attributing specific picks to a groin injury is speculative.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 24, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0924-829
Big CatBig Cat

The Chicago Bears defense will successfully slow down the Browns' running game.

The one thing that I'm at least a little confident about is that the bears do, they will be able to like slow down the run game.

The Browns ran for 215 yards against the Bears in this game (Sept 26, 2021).
Win
Take Slip·Sep 17, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0917-14372
HankHank

The Texans +12.5 is way too many points in an NFL game

The Texans... Plus 12 and a half. That's a lot of points in the NFL, especially in week two, especially coming off a win.

The Browns beat the Texans 31-21. The Texans covered the +12.5 spread.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 17, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0917-14373
Billy FootballBilly Football

The Jets will upset the Patriots in Week 2

Jets are going to win. It's going to be upset. [Zach Wilson] is a guy who can beat the Patriots.

The Patriots beat the Jets 25-6. Zach Wilson threw 4 interceptions.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 10, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0910-19141
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I will bet heavy on the Chargers this year to hedge against my own Washington expectations

I'm going to bet heavy on the Chargers. ... Because I regrettably have expectations for the Washington football team. But I'm going to bet against them because I've made the decision in my brain of how many dollars I'm willing to pay for a win.

The Chargers finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs in 2021, while Washington went 7-10. The 'heavy bet' on the Chargers likely didn't pay off as they missed postseason expectations.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 10, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0910-19142
Big CatBig Cat

The Eagles will be in contention for the NFC East in mid-November

I feel like that's where they're going to be, I don't know, somewhere in that 7-10. 7-9-1 area where there will be a moment where they're competing for the NFC East sometime in mid-November.

The Eagles actually finished 9-8 and made the playoffs as a Wild Card, though the Cowboys ran away with the division (12-5).
Loss
Take Slip·Jul 14, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0714-11891
Billy FootballBilly Football

Jameis Winston and Taysom Hill are on the same level and Sean Payton will tank

Whatever's happening at the Saints organization. I put Jameis and Taysom on the same level. I think Sean Payton is going to tank for a high draft pick.

The Saints did not tank; they finished 9-8 in 2021 and narrowly missed the playoffs. Sean Payton retired after the season.
Loss
Take Slip·Feb 5, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0205-4178
Big CatBig Cat

I'm betting the over on a half-interception for Tom Brady in the Super Bowl

Tom Brady over a half of an interception. So he's got to throw one. I think he's going to throw – I think Tom Brady's going to play well, but I also think he's going to take his shots.

Tom Brady threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions in Super Bowl 55.
Loss
Take Slip·Feb 5, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0205-4179
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tails never fails on the Super Bowl coin toss

I usually go with tails never fails. ... It's tails. I'm betting tails. There you go. Tails never fails.

The Super Bowl 55 coin toss was Heads.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 5, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0205-4180
HankHank

I am betting the biggest bet of my life on the Buccaneers to win the Super Bowl

You're going biggest bet of your life on the Bucs responsibly? Yep. I packed the vest. That's all you need to know. ... The man of vests is in the building.

The Buccaneers won Super Bowl 55, 31-9.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 22, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0122-752
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Packers will easily beat the Buccaneers because of the cold weather at Lambeau

I think Green Bay is going to be able to handle it pretty easily. The weather right now, it's scheduled to be 29 degrees and snowy in Lambeau Field. That, to me, that's a Packers win. God is on their side this week.

The Buccaneers beat the Packers 31-26 at Lambeau to advance to the Super Bowl.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 22, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0122-754
Big CatBig Cat

The Bills will win the AFC Championship, possibly convincingly

I said it on Monday, and I'm sticking with it. I think the Bills are going to win, and I wouldn't be surprised if they win convincingly.

The Chiefs beat the Bills 38-24 in the AFC Championship Game.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 22, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0122-755
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL will let Patrick Mahomes play in the AFC Championship regardless of his concussion status

I forgot that Roger Goodell was in charge of the NFL. Yeah. You thought for a second that we actually cared about player safety. Roger Goodell probably would delay the game by week... just to make Patrick Mahomes play... their star player is going to play and they'll find any way to spin it that it wasn't a concussion.

Fact ClaimFootballHotSarcastic
Mahomes was cleared from concussion protocol on the Friday before the game and played in the AFC Championship.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 11, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1211-11718
Big CatBig Cat

The Dolphins are not for real

Are the Dolphins for real? No. No, they're not.

The Dolphins finished 10-6 but missed the playoffs, making this take mostly accurate in terms of them not being contenders.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 11, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1211-11720
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the most talented team in the NFL

I'm going to go to my deathbed saying this. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the most talented team in the NFL.

The Buccaneers went on to win the Super Bowl that season, proving their talent was elite.
Push
Take Slip·Dec 11, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1211-11722
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bills are going to crush the Steelers

I think the Bills are going to crush them, actually.

The Bills beat the Steelers 26-15, which was a solid win but not necessarily a 'crushing' blowout.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 20, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1120-12930
Big CatBig Cat

I could definitely beat up Matt Nagy

I could beat up Matt Nagy for sure. I'd just be like, dude, your play calling sucks.

This is a purely subjective hypothetical based on Big Cat's frustration.
Push
Take Slip·Nov 20, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1120-12931
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Michael Thomas is a terrible fit for Jameis Winston's deep-passing skill set

I can't think of a wide receiver that fits Jameis Winston's skill set less than Michael Thomas. Just running slants, just going as close to linebackers as possible. Bad, bad. Yeah, just tell him, I know that your captain slant runs straight downfield. Go deep, go deep.

Michael Thomas dealt with major injuries during the Winston era, but in their limited time, the connection never reclaimed Thomas's 2019 levels of production.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 20, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1120-12936
Big CatBig Cat

Matt Patricia is the 'dumbest rocket scientist' in the world

I think that Matt Patricia is, without a doubt, the dumbest rocket science on the face of the earth right now.

Patricia was fired by the Lions shortly after this episode (following a Thanksgiving loss) with a career record of 13-29-1.
Push
Take Slip·Nov 20, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1120-12934
Big CatBig Cat

The 2020 Steelers are a 'fun' offensive team, not just a defensive juggernaut

I'm starting to embrace the fact that the Steelers are fun... the Steelers are a fun offensive football team, and it's taken me probably two and a half years of them actually being electric on offense for me to accept that fact.

The 2020 Steelers started 11-0 but the offense struggled down the stretch, leading to a first-round playoff loss. They finished 12th in scoring.
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