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NFL Week 11, Warren Sharp, And James "Buster" Corley The Creator Of Dave & Buster's

Friday, November 20, 202023 takes

Seahawks get their shit together against the Cardinals and Kyler is hurt (maybe) ( - ). Quick NBA Draft talk and Joe Judge maybe getting in a fight ( - ). NFL Week 11 preview, Cant Lose Parlay, and Fantasy Canadians ( - ). Catching up with Warren Sharp on which teams are frauds and which teams are for real plus a couple picks from him for Week 11 betting ( - ). James Buster Corley, the creator of Dave & Busters joins the show to talk about how he founded the greatest restaurant of all time, his favorite games and stories, and the famous Busters guy ( - ). We finish with Billy's stupid parlays and Fyre Fest of the week.

Warren Sharp on Fraud Teams, Week 11 Picks, and Dave & Buster's Creator

The Seahawks finally decided to play defense on Thursday night, and it only took getting Carlos Dunlap and facing a slightly banged-up Kyler Murray to do it. Big Cat and PFT opened the show breaking down the NFC West showdown, specifically the coaching performance of Kliff Kingsbury. While Kyler Murray clearly wasn't himself, Big Cat thinks the bigger issue was the decision-making on the Cardinals' sideline when the game was on the line.

Void
Nov 20, 2020
#22117
Big CatBig Cat

Kliff Kingsbury is a 'mimbo' who doesn't understand late-game clock management

It was more of a, I think we're right that Kliff Kingsbury's kind of a mimbo. I don't really understand what Kliff Kingsbury was doing at the end of the game. I don't know why they were throwing to the end zone three times in a row when all they needed was to just keep moving.

Kingsbury was frequently criticized for his late-game management throughout his tenure with the Cardinals, which eventually led to his firing.

The guys also marveled at DK Metcalf’s physical dominance, noting that even if he drops a pass, you probably shouldn't try to engage him in combat. PFT is genuinely concerned for the well-being of any defensive back who thinks they have a shot at winning a fistfight against a guy who looks like he was carved out of granite.

Void
Nov 20, 2020
#22118
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Anyone who tries to fight DK Metcalf should be suspended for their own safety

If you try to fight DK Metcalf, you should be suspended just for your own health. Because you need to get your brain examined at that point. [Metcalf] is a scary big dude who's very, very muscular.

This is a comedic opinion about the physical danger of engaging with one of the NFL's most athletic players.

NBA Draft and News-Breaking Highs

Transitioning to the NBA, Big Cat expressed some concern over the #1 overall pick, Anthony Edwards, admitting he likes football more than basketball. It’s the kind of honesty you don't necessarily want from the guy your franchise is banking on. Meanwhile, LaMelo Ball going to Charlotte means we are one step closer to the inevitable one-on-one match between Michael Jordan and LaVar Ball, a game Big Cat is confident will end in tears for the Big Baller Brand founder.

Void
Nov 20, 2020·NBA Draft
#12923
Big CatBig Cat

Michael Jordan will make LaVar Ball cry when they finally play one-on-one

Oh, that is awkward that [LaMelo Ball] is going to Charlotte and LaVar Ball said that he can beat Michael Jordan one-on-one. I mean, they've got to play one-on-one. They have to play one-on-one. And Michael Jordan will make LaVar Ball cry.

The game never officially happened, so it remains a subjective projection of Jordan's dominance over an amateur player.

Hank tried to claim a "news-breaking high" for reporting the Klay Thompson injury on a different podcast, which led to a discussion about whether or not the crew needs to have a unified front on breaking news. It also led back to the NFL and the New York Giants, where Joe Judge reportedly got into a physical altercation with offensive line coach Marc Colombo. Big Cat views this as a definitive sign that the culture in East Rutherford has officially shifted.

Loss
Nov 20, 2020
#12927
Big CatBig Cat

Joe Judge has officially changed the culture of the New York Giants

So Joe Judge, just the idea that Joe Judge would possibly go at an offensive lineman, a former offensive lineman, now offensive line coach, means that Joe Judge has officially changed the culture for the New York Giants, and they are a goodish football team.

Joe Judge was fired after the 2021 season with a 10-23 record, and the 'culture change' was widely considered a failure as the team stagnated.

Warren Sharp on NFL Frauds and Alex Smith

Warren Sharp joined the show for his monthly check-in to look at the betting landscape and identify which teams are actually legitimate. The Seahawks defense was the first target, with Sharp being brutally honest about the lack of talent on that side of the ball for Seattle.

Push
Nov 20, 2020
#22122
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

There is no fix for the Seahawks defense because their personnel is simply bad

It's tough on that side of the ball. I really don't know if there is a legitimate fix because their personnel are bad. So I don't know really what you can do to fix your personnel issues.

The Seahawks defense was historically bad in 2020, though they did improve in the second half of the season as players got healthy and Dunlap integrated.

Sharp also looked at the Philadelphia Eagles, suggesting that their path to winning a terrible NFC East involves keeping things simple for Carson Wentz. He believes the Eagles are getting healthy at the right time and could be a dangerous out in the playoffs if they stop asking Wentz to do too much. On the flip side, Sharp isn't buying the hype on the Raiders, even after their win over the Chiefs earlier this season.

Win
Nov 20, 2020
#12938
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

The Raiders are not a legitimate postseason threat despite their 6-3 record

The Raiders are an interesting team... I still don't think that this team is a team that's going to go far in the postseason, even though they're 6-3.

The Raiders went 2-5 the rest of the way in 2020 and finished 8-8, missing the playoffs entirely.

One of the most interesting breakdowns involved the Washington Football Team and Alex Smith. Sharp thinks the formula for victory against the Bengals is getting the ball out quickly to Terry McLaurin rather than letting Smith take deep drops that invite pressure.

Win
Nov 20, 2020
#22125
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

Alex Smith will be more efficient if Washington uses quick drops and shorter passes to Terry McLaurin

Alex Smith... he's taken a lot of three and five step drops from shotgun. And those are very inefficient for him... The goal for [Washington] should just be to get the ball out of his hands quickly. It doesn't have to be deep balls down the field... get the ball out of his hands quickly to minimize the impact of his legs on the game.

Smith went 5-1 as a starter in 2020 by operating exactly this way—using a high-completion, low-depth passing attack that relied on quick decisions.

The Legend of Dave & Buster's

In an all-time interview, James "Buster" Corley, the man himself, joined the show to explain how you go from owning a restaurant in Little Rock to creating the premier adult playground in America. Buster talked about the early days of coin-operated machines and the "gypsies" who would travel from store to store trying to clean them out. He also shared his philosophy on entrepreneurship, which is basically that the only difference between a genius and a guy who loses everything is whether or not the idea works.

Void
Nov 20, 2020
#12942
James Buster CorleyJames Buster Corley

Success is the only thing that separates a visionary from a fool

The difference between being a visionary and a fool is success. If it happens, you're a visionary. You're brilliant, right? Well, if it doesn't happen, you're an asshole.

This is a subjective business aphorism.

Buster also addressed the "Buster guy" from the internet and confirmed that the famous black card—the Dave & Buster's gold standard—is indeed a real thing. Big Cat and PFT spent the rest of the interview trying to negotiate for lifetime access to the Skee-Ball machines.

Fyre Fest and Billy's Math

To wrap things up, the crew discussed Billy Football’s recent weightlifting claims. After Billy mentioned "hovering around 285" on his bench press, Big Cat called him out for the lack of progress given his years in organized strength programs.

Void
Nov 20, 2020·Fyre Fest
#12943
Big CatBig Cat

Billy Football's 285-pound bench press max is embarrassing

Billy actually said hovering around 285, which means he doesn't bench 285, which 285 is embarrassing... for a guy that spent four years in a weight program in high school and then three years in a weight program in college.

This is a subjective judgment on athletic performance benchmarks.

Billy then tried to explain a convoluted parlay system involving five underdogs that supposedly guarantees you don't lose all your money, even if most of the bets fail. It was a masterclass in the kind of logic only a vegetarian who loves spreadsheets could produce.

If you find yourself following Billy’s 32-outcome parlay spreadsheet this weekend, please remember that 1-800-GAMBLER is always an option.

nflseattle-seahawksbettingnba-draftdave-and-busters

More Takes

Push
Nov 20, 2020
#12917
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jadeveon Clowney is no longer a good football player

Like Jadeveon Clowney in college, I was like, that guy's not going to be good at the next level because he wears number two. I was right. He's not good anymore.

Clowney struggled significantly in 2020 with zero sacks in 8 games for the Titans, though he later had a resurgence with the Browns and Ravens.
Loss
Nov 20, 2020
#12920
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

No NFL quarterback wearing a visor will ever win a Super Bowl

My second hot take was, I don't think that quarterbacks with visors will win a Super Bowl ever. Has a quarterback with a visor won a Super Bowl ever?

Hot TakeFootballHotSarcastic
Jim McMahon won SB XX in a visor. Furthermore, Patrick Mahomes (who often wears a clear visor) won Super Bowls LIV, LVII, and LVIII.
Loss
Nov 20, 2020
#22119
Big CatBig Cat

Anthony Edwards saying he likes football more than basketball is a red flag for a #1 overall pick

That story that Anthony Edwards brought his own food to Benihana was hilarious. Also, all-time weird interview for Anthony Edwards to be like, yeah, I actually like football more because you can celebrate and stuff.

Edwards has become one of the premier faces of the NBA and has repeatedly proven his commitment to the game, making the 'lack of love' concern incorrect.
Void
Nov 20, 2020·Picks
#22120
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I could definitely beat up Bengals head coach Zac Taylor

The only people that are on the list right now [of coaches I can beat up], I want to say Zac Taylor. I think I could beat up Zac Taylor.

This is inherently subjective and part of a comedic segment.
Void
Nov 20, 2020·Picks
#12930
Big CatBig Cat

I could definitely beat up Matt Nagy

I could beat up Matt Nagy for sure. I'd just be like, dude, your play calling sucks.

This is a purely subjective hypothetical based on Big Cat's frustration.
Push
Nov 20, 2020·Picks
#12931
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Michael Thomas is a terrible fit for Jameis Winston's deep-passing skill set

I can't think of a wide receiver that fits Jameis Winston's skill set less than Michael Thomas. Just running slants, just going as close to linebackers as possible. Bad, bad. Yeah, just tell him, I know that your captain slant runs straight downfield. Go deep, go deep.

Michael Thomas dealt with major injuries during the Winston era, but in their limited time, the connection never reclaimed Thomas's 2019 levels of production.
Win
Nov 20, 2020·Picks
#12936
Big CatBig Cat

Matt Patricia is the 'dumbest rocket scientist' in the world

I think that Matt Patricia is, without a doubt, the dumbest rocket science on the face of the earth right now.

Patricia was fired by the Lions shortly after this episode (following a Thanksgiving loss) with a career record of 13-29-1.
Win
Nov 20, 2020·Picks
#12934
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 2020 Steelers are a 'fun' offensive team, not just a defensive juggernaut

I'm starting to embrace the fact that the Steelers are fun... the Steelers are a fun offensive football team, and it's taken me probably two and a half years of them actually being electric on offense for me to accept that fact.

The 2020 Steelers finished 12-4 and were a top-10 scoring offense during the regular season.
Loss
Nov 20, 2020·Picks
#22121
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Tennessee Titans stink right now and the Ravens will beat them easily

I actually think Baltimore wins, and I think they win easily because the Tennessee Titans, they just stink. Listen, I got a lot of shit for saying that back in September. I was wrong. I'm mad enough to admit that I was wrong about the Tennessee Titans. They stink right now.

The Titans beat the Ravens 30-24 in overtime on November 22, 2020.
Win
Nov 20, 2020
#22123
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

The Ravens offense has become predictable because they don't allow Lamar Jackson to audible at the line

I do sense a little bit of the predictability... I wanted to see the start of the season, a little bit more ability for Lamar to come to the line of scrimmage and audible based upon how many men were in the box... But so often Lamar comes to the line and just, they just call the play that whatever's been called, regardless of how the defense appears to be matching up with them.

The 2020 Ravens offense was significantly less explosive than their 2019 version, and the predictability of the scheme became a major talking point throughout the year.
Push
Nov 20, 2020
#12939
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

The Packers defense is soft and will struggle in the late season

I think that their defense—I know they get a couple corners back, but I think their defense is somewhat soft and finesse a little bit. I think that you can have some success on this defense... they probably will have a little bit of difficulty when it gets late in the season.

The Packers defense held up well in the regular season but surrendered 31 points to the Bucs in the NFC Championship loss.
Loss
Nov 20, 2020
#22124
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

No NFC wildcard team will want to play the Eagles in Philadelphia once Carson Wentz simplifies his game

The other teams in the NFC playoffs are not going to want to go on the road... to Philly in the postseason when they're playing healthy... if you simplify life for Carson Wentz, reduce the amount of deeper drops where he's running all around in the pocket and trying to do all these complicated things just drop back and throw the ball.

The Eagles completely collapsed, Wentz was benched for Jalen Hurts, and they finished 4-11-1, missing the playoffs entirely.
Win
Nov 20, 2020
#12941
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

Justin Jefferson must be the centerpiece of the Vikings offense over Dalvin Cook

You can't throw the ball too little to Justin Jefferson, too much to Justin Jefferson. This dude is a complete freak. And it just sickens me... to see this offense run the ball first down after first down with Dalvin Cook picking up three yards... Just throw the ball more to [Jefferson] and stop running the ball on first downs with Dalvin Cook.

Jefferson finished with 1,400 yards as a rookie and became arguably the best WR in the NFL, while the Vikings eventually moved on from Cook.
Loss
Nov 20, 2020·Picks
#12944
Billy FootballBilly Football

A parlay strategy involving five underdogs has a 50% likelihood of profit

I plugged in 32 outcomes, and then once each outcome happens, you see how much money you stand on winning in that moment... this actually has a 50% likelihood of being positive.

Standard gambling math shows that multi-leg parlays are negative expected value bets. Billy's specific formula was widely debunked by listeners following the episode.

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