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Billy FootballBilly Football

A parlay strategy involving five underdogs has a 50% likelihood of profit

I plugged in 32 outcomes, and then once each outcome happens, you see how much money you stand on winning in that moment... this actually has a 50% likelihood of being positive.

Standard gambling math shows that multi-leg parlays are negative expected value bets. Billy's specific formula was widely debunked by listeners following the episode.

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Push
Nov 20, 2020
#12917
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jadeveon Clowney is no longer a good football player

Like Jadeveon Clowney in college, I was like, that guy's not going to be good at the next level because he wears number two. I was right. He's not good anymore.

Clowney struggled significantly in 2020 with zero sacks in 8 games for the Titans, though he later had a resurgence with the Browns and Ravens.
Void
Nov 20, 2020
#22117
Big CatBig Cat

Kliff Kingsbury is a 'mimbo' who doesn't understand late-game clock management

It was more of a, I think we're right that Kliff Kingsbury's kind of a mimbo. I don't really understand what Kliff Kingsbury was doing at the end of the game. I don't know why they were throwing to the end zone three times in a row when all they needed was to just keep moving.

Kingsbury was frequently criticized for his late-game management throughout his tenure with the Cardinals, which eventually led to his firing.
Void
Nov 20, 2020
#22118
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Anyone who tries to fight DK Metcalf should be suspended for their own safety

If you try to fight DK Metcalf, you should be suspended just for your own health. Because you need to get your brain examined at that point. [Metcalf] is a scary big dude who's very, very muscular.

This is a comedic opinion about the physical danger of engaging with one of the NFL's most athletic players.

More from Billy Football

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Win
Billy FootballBilly Football

I lied about destroying Vanny Woodhead; I have been keeping it for years

Technically it's destroyed. Legally it's chopped up. But I kind of... I didn't have the heart to chop it up, so I just been keeping it... I was like, every time it was an excuse I used to not follow through with chopping it up.

Billy is confessing to a past lie; the fact that the van still exists (as proven by the photos) makes his claim that it's 'not destroyed' correct.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Zach Wilson's ceiling is literally Patrick Mahomes

Come on, Zach Wilson, his ceiling is literally Patrick Mahomes. That's a fact. If he plays to the best of his ability.

Zach Wilson was benched later that season and eventually traded, proving his ceiling is nowhere near Mahomes.
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Billy FootballBilly Football

Al-Qaeda is the only one who could have written the Monday Night Football script

Running out with the flag... hard knocks... there was so much hope and hype. And, you know, talking about the NFL script, the only one who could have written that script is Al-Qaeda.

This is a satirical dark humor comment, not a factual claim.

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