PMTPMT DB

Takes

Loss
#PMT-2018-0829-17575
HankHank

The Chiefs' new parking lot policy is the beginning of the end for tailgating

The Chiefs have started a new policy where after the game starts, they're just going to start kicking people out of the parking lot. I feel like it could just be the beginning of the end... They're going to slowly outlaw tailgates.

Tailgating has remained largely intact as a staple of NFL culture, though policies vary by stadium.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 29, 2018
#PMT-2018-0829-17578
Rob RiggleRob Riggle

Patrick Mahomes will be a good quarterback

Yes [Mahomes will be a good QB]... because I'm a Chiefs fan... He's got a howitzer hanging off his shoulder. Now, therefore, with the right coaching and the right opportunity... I feel very confident.

Mahomes became an MVP, multiple-time Super Bowl champion, and one of the greatest QBs ever.
Loss
Take Slip·Aug 29, 2018
#PMT-2018-0829-17579
Big CatBig Cat

I bet Patrick Mahomes will not be a good quarterback

I am going to be on the, I don't think Patrick Mahomes is going to be a good quarterback side of history. So I'm going to stamp my, I'm going to put my flag in.

Mahomes is a first-ballot Hall of Famer. Big Cat's 'flag' was firmly on the wrong side of history.
Push
Take Slip·Aug 27, 2018
#PMT-2018-0827-337
Big CatBig Cat

The NFL is trending toward eliminating the preseason in favor of a 19 or 20-game regular season

This is now how it chips away that we're going to maybe go no preseason 19-20 games. Regular season. McVay's doing that, too. McVay benched all his good players. So, I mean, I would be, you know, take away a couple preseason, give us a couple more regular season. I'd be okay with that. Why not? More football that way.

The NFL expanded to a 17-game regular season in 2021 and reduced the preseason to 3 games, proving Big Cat's intuition about the shift correct, though the specific number (19-20) hasn't been reached yet.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 27, 2018
#PMT-2018-0827-340
John LynchJohn Lynch

My career as a safety warrants a Pro Football Hall of Fame induction

I really believe that the way I played warrants me being in there... I tell you, and that's my true feelings that I'm humbled every time. But I do want in that thing.

John Lynch was officially inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame in the Class of 2021.
Loss
Take Slip·Aug 27, 2018·Null
#PMT-2018-0827-341
HankHank

The 'Green Zone' on-field graphic will save the NFL's TV ratings

Breaking moves. I think the NFL has figured out how to save their ratings in their league. The green zone. It's a new feature they rolled out tonight. It's on third downs. It shows you how far players will have to go at any point during the play to get a first down.

Hot TakeFootballHotSarcastic
The Green Zone was a polarizing feature that didn't single-handedly 'save' ratings, though ratings did trend upward in the following seasons for various reasons.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 27, 2018·Null
#PMT-2018-0827-342
Big CatBig Cat

NFL ratings will be insane this season despite hater predictions

All you fucking haters out there who say the NFL... Guess what? The NFL's back, and there's a shitload of us watching it. We love it... Ratings are going to be insane.

The 2018 NFL season saw a 5% increase in viewership, reversing a two-year decline, validating Big Cat's prediction.
Void
Take Slip·Aug 24, 2018
#PMT-2018-0824-13381
Artie LangeArtie Lange

Brett Favre and Chad Ochocinco were the real reasons 'Joe Buck Live' was a disaster

Now look, the real culprits to me are fucking Chad Ochocinco and Brett Favre. They were the first 45 minutes of an hour show... and they were boars. They're typical like Dennis Rodman type stuff where they think just because they have orange hair or they change their name they could sit there... but they're just boring people.

The show is widely remembered for Artie, not the boring interviews, making this a classic contrarian Artie take.
Win
#PMT-2018-0822-18981
Big CatBig Cat

Paxton Lynch's days in the NFL are numbered

My hot seat is Paxton Lynch. I think I'm just going to put him on my hot seat until he's out of the NFL ... Paxton Lynch, your days are numbered, bucko.

Lynch was cut by the Broncos shortly after this and never became a regular starter in the NFL again.
Void
#PMT-2018-0822-18989
Big CatBig Cat

It is way too soon for Baker Mayfield to be doing underwear commercials

I think this is way too soon for Baker Mayfield. ... I actually think he's going to be a good quarterback, but it's still the Browns. You still have to win a couple games. Otherwise, this all is going to look ridiculous.

Subjective opinion on rookie marketing timing.
Loss
#PMT-2018-0822-18988
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Cleveland Browns are going to win the AFC North

I'm just going to lean into my own stupidity and say I think the Browns are going to win the division. I'm with Hank now.

The Browns finished 7-8-1 in 2018, finishing third in the AFC North. The Ravens won the division.
Loss
Take Slip·Aug 20, 2018
#PMT-2018-0820-15693
Big CatBig Cat

The NFL is dead because of the new preseason penalty rules

Today is Monday, August 20th, and the NFL's dead. Yeah, it's absolutely, there's no reason to watch the games this year, because everything's a flag. Yep, preseason football has shown us. We're not overreacting, guys. I saw a couple clips on Twitter. It's over.

The NFL did not actually die; ratings remained high and the league continued normally despite the rule changes.
Loss
Take Slip·Aug 20, 2018
#PMT-2018-0820-15694
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

NFL referees should have a finite amount of flags to throw per game

How about the refs get a certain amount of flags? So there's a finite amount of flags that they can throw. So they each get like five flags. And once they're out, it's just – and you know it. The players know like, okay, that ref has thrown – let's say the guy who's reffing the secondary has thrown all five of his flags in the fourth quarter. Just fucking do whatever you want because you can't throw anything.

The NFL never implemented a limit on official flags.
Push
Take Slip·Aug 20, 2018
#PMT-2018-0820-15695
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Betting the over early in the NFL season is a smart move due to the high volume of penalties

What do you think about betting a lot of overs early in the season? ... I talked myself into that big time last night.

In 2018, the first few weeks of the season saw high scoring, but betting strictly based on penalties is a volatile strategy.
Loss
Take Slip·Aug 20, 2018
#PMT-2018-0820-15696
Big CatBig Cat

Teddy Bridgewater is not a better quarterback than Blake Bortles

Can I just say fuck everyone for thinking that Teddy Bridgewater is better than Blake Bortles? ... Blake had a bad wrist last year, and he got it cleaned up. And he was a quarter away from the Super Bowl, so everyone just shut up.

Bortles was benched later in the 2018 season, while Bridgewater eventually revived his career as a starter and high-end backup, suggesting Bridgewater was the superior talent.
Loss
Take Slip·Aug 20, 2018
#PMT-2018-0820-15697
Big CatBig Cat

Dak Prescott stinks out loud

Oh, Dak Prescott stinks. He stinks out loud. ... August 20th, and the Dallas Cowboys are dead. Dead. Dead on arrival. Sorry, Jerry.

Dak Prescott and the Cowboys actually won the NFC East in 2018 and won a playoff game.
Loss
#PMT-2018-0820-15704
Big CatBig Cat

The Eagles will miss the playoffs because Nick Foles and Carson Wentz are both injured

So when I'm doing the math, I think the Eagles just have two hurt quarterbacks for the entire year, and they're going to miss the playoffs. Hot take.

The Eagles finished 9-7 and made the playoffs as a Wild Card in 2018.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 17, 2018
#PMT-2018-0817-13473
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Marcus Mariota or Jameis Winston will officially be labeled a bust this year

One of those two guys [Mariota or Winston] is going to suck again and we go bust, bust, bust.

Both players eventually lost their starting jobs with their original teams. Winston was replaced after 2019 and Mariota was benched for Tannehill in 2019.
Loss
Take Slip·Aug 17, 2018
#PMT-2018-0817-13478
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jared Goff is a front runner for the 2018 NFL MVP

Jared, a lot of people are saying MVP candidate this year. I'm putting it out there right now. I think I said front runner MVP for 2018, right?

Goff had a great year (Pro Bowl), but Patrick Mahomes won the MVP in 2018.
Push
Take Slip·Aug 17, 2018
#PMT-2018-0817-13474
Big CatBig Cat

Jalen Ramsey will have a major, high-profile mistake this season due to 'karma'

I'm saying Jalen Ramsey is going to have a big fuck up in a big game this year. And people are going to have a roast show on Twitter.

Ramsey had a good season individually, but the Jaguars went 5-11 and the hype around him turned to frustration before his eventual trade.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 17, 2018
#PMT-2018-0817-13477
Jared GoffJared Goff

The Rams will make the Super Bowl this season

[Are you guys going to the Super Bowl this year?] Man, we better. We've got a good team. We've got good pieces in place.

The Rams did reach Super Bowl LIII in the 2018 season.
Void
Take Slip·Aug 17, 2018
#PMT-2018-0817-13480
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Big Ben believes the helmet is literally part of his head

I think Big Ben is dumb enough where he actually believes that the helmet is part of his head. And he's like, I've been decapitated.

Satirical characterization.
Void
Take Slip·Aug 17, 2018
#PMT-2018-0817-13481
Big CatBig Cat

It's a sad day when Roethlisberger, Rivers, and Eli Manning retire

I'm going to really be disappointed when Big Ben retires. He's one of those guys, I don't want to get doom and gloom here, but Big Ben, Rivers, Eli Manning, all these guys retiring is going to be so sad.

Subjective emotional take.
Win
#PMT-2018-0815-2237
Big CatBig Cat

Paxton Lynch is the worst draft pick of all time

Paxton Lynch is going to totally get off the hook here. People will just forget he existed, but I will not let him off the hook because... Paxton Lynch stinks, and he's going to probably end up making whatever it was, $15 million for being a first-round pick. That guy needs to be like – someone needs to write a book. Paxton Lynch stinks.

Lynch is officially one of the biggest QB busts in Broncos history, failing to start over even mediocre competition before being released.
Loss
#PMT-2018-0815-2236
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Swag Kelly is the most talented quarterback on the Denver Broncos roster

Billy Football first reported that [Swag Kelly] is the most talented quarterback on that roster. Yes. And I love kind of the wildcard-ness that Swag brings. His name's Swag Kelly. He is the epitome of a wildcard.

Kelly was released in October 2018 after a trespassing incident and never became a starter in the NFL, while Keenum started the whole season.
Void
Take Slip·Aug 15, 2018
#PMT-2018-0815-2244
Ndamukong SuhNdamukong Suh

I hate Sam Bradford and Aaron Rodgers most among quarterbacks

Probably most well-known is Sam Bradford because he went number one over me. But Aaron Rodgers is for sure up there. [Bradford]'s a good player. He's obviously done it for many years... but it's always enjoyable to get sacks and interceptions off of him.

Subjective personal feelings of the guest.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 15, 2018
#PMT-2018-0815-2246
Ndamukong SuhNdamukong Suh

The firing of Jim Caldwell in Detroit was mind-boggling

That was a funny situation, especially for a guy being so successful and being one of the winningest coaches for the Lions... biased, I'm a huge fan of him. Had a tremendous year underneath him. So a little mind boggling with that situation.

Hindsight has looked kindly on Caldwell, as his replacement Matt Patricia was a disaster and the Lions' winning culture collapsed until Dan Campbell's arrival.
Push
Take Slip·Aug 13, 2018
#PMT-2018-0813-14981
Peter KingPeter King

Jason Garrett is on a toasty hot seat in Dallas

I'm going to see the Dallas Cowboys in Oxnard, California. [Jason Garrett's hot seat?] I think it's toasty. It's toasty.

Garrett survived the 2018 season but was eventually fired after the 2019 season.
Void
Take Slip·Aug 13, 2018
#PMT-2018-0813-14982
Kyle ShanahanKyle Shanahan

A team's closeness and culture is a tangible advantage on the field

I always feel the tighter team, the closer team, has an advantage over the team that's not as tight. And the only way you do that is by hanging here, spending time together. I like to put ping pong tables in there just so people kick it and they don't go home right away.

Locker room culture is a widely accepted but unquantifiable advantage in pro sports.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 13, 2018
#PMT-2018-0813-14983
Kyle ShanahanKyle Shanahan

Defenses never actually 'caught up' to the zone read; execution and health just failed

Personally don't think [defenses] ever did [catch up]. It was the lack of being able to continue doing it... There's no hey defense learned how to stop it. Yeah, they just have to play simpler which allows you to open up everything else.

The continued success of mobile QBs like Lamar Jackson and Jalen Hurts using these concepts suggests Shanahan was correct that the scheme remains viable.
Void
Take Slip·Aug 13, 2018
#PMT-2018-0813-14984
Kyle ShanahanKyle Shanahan

Jimmy Garoppolo is an elite thrower with exceptional release speed

Jimmy, he's an elite thrower. I think everyone can see his arm talent, how quickly he can get rid of the ball. Even if you don't block very well, he can speed it up so fast that it's very hard to get to him.

Garoppolo's quick release was statistically verified, though his 'elite' status as a thrower became highly debated.
Void
Take Slip·Aug 13, 2018
#PMT-2018-0813-14985
Kyle ShanahanKyle Shanahan

Having a fullback allows the offense to dictate the game to the defense

I like to dictate what the offense wants to do. And when you don't have a fullback in the game, the defense can dictate it a lot... When you have a fullback in the game, it doesn't matter what the defense does. If you want to run it, you can, and they know that.

Shanahan's offenses have consistently been top-tier while utilizing Kyle Juszczyk as a focal point.
Void
Take Slip·Aug 13, 2018
#PMT-2018-0813-14986
Kyle ShanahanKyle Shanahan

I regret throwing the ball on 2nd and 10 in field goal range during Super Bowl 51

The one regret I had is after we got down there was throwing it on second and 10. I wish I just ran it. But I also didn't plan on us getting a sack. We got four guys out, thought we could end it right there, and I thought if it wasn't, we'd throw it away, and we didn't.

This is a personal regret about a historical event.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 13, 2018
#PMT-2018-0813-14987
Kyle ShanahanKyle Shanahan

Johnny Manziel was set up to fail by being drafted higher than his production warranted

I thought Johnny, you know, he was put in an unfair situation where I thought he was taken higher than what he could produce. And that's a lot of pressure on a guy... I think he was set up to fail from the beginning.

Manziel's NFL career was short and unsuccessful, aligning with Shanahan's 'set up to fail' assessment.
Open
Take Slip·Aug 10, 2018
#PMT-2018-0810-2179
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Saquon Barkley is a future Hall of Famer

Saquon Barkley, future Hall of Famer. His legs look even bigger in pads.

While Saquon has had a productive career and won a Super Bowl ring later, it is far too early to declare him a Hall of Famer based on one preseason game.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 10, 2018
#PMT-2018-0810-2181
Ryen RussilloRyen Russillo

Most sports media coverage of NFL contracts is based on lies because they don't look at the real numbers

I can't believe how bad everybody still is with contracts. NFL contracts, the first headline's a lie. and then it's the guaranteed money, and then it's what's paid out in the first three years. So if Odell's asking for a certain number, what he's really doing is manipulating the media because the media doesn't seem to want to put in the time to figure out what's really being asked for in the contract.

He is objectively correct about how NFL contract reporting works; 'total value' is almost always a misleading figure compared to the guaranteed money.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 8, 2018
#PMT-2018-0808-19381
Joe ThomasJoe Thomas

Bob Wiley will be the breakout star of Hard Knocks with the Browns

If I had to guess, [Bob Wiley] is the guy, in my opinion, that's the most interesting. He's the most funny, gregarious. He's the most seasoned coach on that staff. He kind of looks a little bit like a walrus. And he's just the nicest guy with the most funny jokes. I think people are going to fall in love with him.

Bob Wiley became the undisputed breakout star of the 2018 Hard Knocks, specifically for his 'stomach moving' technique and personality.
Push
Take Slip·Aug 8, 2018
#PMT-2018-0808-19382
Joe ThomasJoe Thomas

Hue Jackson will be the face of Hard Knocks because players love him and he has a boatload of personality

I think outside of Bob Wiley, I think Hue Jackson will probably be that next guy that becomes the face of the Browns Hard Knocks because he's got a lot of personality. He loves talking off the cuff. He's very passionate. He really loves his players, and he shows it. Players love him.

While Hue Jackson was featured heavily, he was often seen as ineffectual or mocked by fans following the show, making the 'players love him and he'll be a star' take somewhat questionable in hindsight.
Void
#PMT-2018-0808-19383
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

No ugly quarterback has ever won a Super Bowl

I was on the radio with recurring guest Fred Smoot today... we were talking about who's going to win the MVP this year, and he came out with an awesome take. He said that no ugly quarterback has ever won a Super Bowl. I think it's a trick question because once you win a Super Bowl, you become attractive. You get the glow up.

Attractiveness is subjective, but many Super Bowl winning QBs (Ben Roethlisberger, Eli Manning, etc.) have been called unattractive before or even after winning.
Void
#PMT-2018-0808-19384
Big CatBig Cat

Tom Brady won his first three Super Bowls before he had his 'glow-up'

Even Tom Brady won the majority of his Super Bowls before the glow-up. He won three Super Bowls before he had the glow-up. He definitely looks a lot different than he did. He's gotten hotter with age.

This is a subjective observation of Brady's physical transformation over his career.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 6, 2018
#PMT-2018-0806-2110
Big CatBig Cat

Ray Lewis' Hall of Fame speech was the most ridiculous ever while being exactly what we expected

Ray Lewis just now finished his Hall of Fame speech, which was the most ridiculous Hall of Fame speech while also being exactly what we all expected from Ray Lewis. I actually was getting upset, but I couldn't stop watching because it was so ridiculous.

The speech is widely remembered for its intensity and length, making the description of 'ridiculous but expected' a common sentiment among sports fans.
Loss
#PMT-2018-0806-2114
Big CatBig Cat

A healthy Blake Bortles is basically the Jaguars' best free agent signing

It's my favorite sports radio caller when a guy comes back from injury and they're like, well, we don't have to do anything in the free agent signings because we basically get the best free agent back. That's essentially what's happening with Blake Bortles. Now they have real Blake Bortles. Preseason MVP, let's book it.

Bortles was benched during the 2018 season and was not an MVP candidate; he was released by the Jaguars in early 2019.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 6, 2018
#PMT-2018-0806-2120
Big CatBig Cat

Jerry O'Connell is the worst fantasy football player of all time for drafting only Jets and Browns players

I'm going to pick up Tyrod Taylor. So you take Jets and Browns quarterbacks. You actually are the worst fantasy player of all time... Two Browns, two Jets. You are the worst fantasy football player of all time.

In 2017/2018, the Browns and Jets were bottom-tier offenses, making a strategy of stacking them objectively poor for fantasy production.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 6, 2018
#PMT-2018-0806-20163
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Donald Trump is officially on the stance of Joe Flacco being elite — he won a Super Bowl, so he'd say he's pretty elite

Donald Trump has also weighed in on the Joe Flacco elite debate. Somebody asked him that back in 2016, and his answer was he won a Super Bowl, so I'd say he's pretty elite. So yes, Joe Flacco — [Trump] is now officially on the stance of Joe Flacco being elite.

Fact ClaimFootballFireSarcastic
Trump did indeed say Flacco was 'pretty elite' because he won a Super Bowl when asked in 2016.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 3, 2018
#PMT-2018-0803-9473
Big CatBig Cat

Chase Daniel has robbed the NFL for 10 straight years

Chase Daniel has played in the NFL for 10 fucking seasons. He has made $24 million in cash earnings. We need to bring people to realize, hey, Chase Daniel has robbed the NFL for 10 straight years. He is one and one all time. So he's played two games in 10 years. That might be the greatest snake it till you make it fact of all time.

Chase Daniel played 14 seasons in the NFL, earning over $40 million despite only starting 5 games. Big Cat's point about his earnings vs. usage is objectively true.
Loss
Take Slip·Aug 3, 2018
#PMT-2018-0803-9474
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

2018 is officially the year of the fullback

The first two touchdowns were to fullbacks. It is the year of the fullback. You heard it here first.

The fullback position continued to decline in the NFL; there was no significant resurgence in 2018.
Void
Take Slip·Aug 3, 2018
#PMT-2018-0803-9477
Nate RobinsonNate Robinson

I would have been one of the greatest cornerbacks in NFL history

I'm not going to say Deion because Deion was such a great coach, but I would have been somewhere underneath primetime. I would have been right there at the primetime and playing the way that I play. I see myself as being one of the greatest corners to ever play the game.

This is subjective as he never played in the NFL, but he was a highly touted prospect at the University of Washington.
Push
#PMT-2018-0803-9483
Big CatBig Cat

The new NFL helmet tackling rule is going to kill football

The new helmet rule, the tackling helmet rule, is going to kill football. It's essentially every single hit in the NFL you can be like, is there going to be a flag? There should be a flag every single tackle. So we're kind of screwed.

The NFL did not die, but the rule led to significant confusion and inconsistent officiating for several seasons.
Void
#PMT-2018-0801-18393
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Roger Goodell should revoke David Tepper's ownership if he removes the NFL shield from the 50-yard line.

[David Tepper] is thinking about changing the midfield logo to a Panther. This would be the Panthers spitting in the face of Roger Goodell. I think Roger Goodell should think about revoking his charter as an owner.

Tepper did eventually change the logo to a Panther, and the NFL did not revoke his ownership. It remains a matter of opinion whether it was 'spitting in the face' of the league.
Loss
Take Slip·Aug 1, 2018
#PMT-2018-0801-18395
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Seattle Seahawks will finish the 2018 season with a 5-11 record.

When I tally it up, I look back at it and I go, how the heck did I get the Seahawks at 5-11? Because I didn't think they would be that bad either. But then I went back and looked at it. Their schedule is brutal. I mean, it is really, really tough. And I think those defensive losses are going to be felt.

The Seahawks went 10-6 in 2018 and made the playoffs, making this a very incorrect prediction.
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