PMTPMT DB

Takes

Win
Take Slip·Mar 24, 2025
#PMT-2025-0324-14500
Big CatBig Cat

Dusty May is a premier tournament coach

Dusty May is just a hell of a coach. He said it on our show. He's like, we needed a reset... What have they done since then? They won the Big 10 tournament and now they're in the Sweet 16... I'm putting him in like tournament coach.

Michigan made the Sweet 16 in 2025 under May after a late-season surge.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 24, 2025
#PMT-2025-0324-14501
Big CatBig Cat

Tom Izzo is the God of March

Tom Izzo now 16th Sweet 16... His expected wins are 27.6. He has 39 wins... that's an 11.4 difference. The next closest on this chart is Cal with six wins above expected. Tom Izzo very good tournament coach.

Izzo's record of reaching Sweet 16s as a lower seed is statistically unmatched.
Void
Take Slip·Mar 24, 2025
#PMT-2025-0324-14502
Big CatBig Cat

Texas Tech is officially a basketball school

Here's the Texas Tech, maybe a basketball school stat... They have gone to four Sweet 16s over the last seven tournaments with three different coaches. Pretty impressive. To do it with three different coaches in that short of amount of time. That's culture.

Subjective label based on tournament success vs football pedigree.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 24, 2025
#PMT-2025-0324-14503
Big CatBig Cat

John Calipari is finally back to his underdog roots

Kentucky made him soft. Now he's going Arkansas... now he's kind of the underdog. 40 minutes himself. He's feeling himself again... he was too luxurious in Lexington for him. Now he's gotta get back to his roots and coach basketball.

Calipari reached the Sweet 16 in his first year at Arkansas in 2025.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 24, 2025
#PMT-2025-0324-14504
Big CatBig Cat

Shaka Smart is not a good tournament coach

In his last nine NCAA tournament trips, Shaka Smart has been eliminated by a team at least three seed lines worse seven times... Still a good coach but not a good tournament coach right now.

The stats regarding his seed-based losses are accurate historical data.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 24, 2025
#PMT-2025-0324-14505
HankHank

Duke will win the national championship

I think it's just gonna be Duke. Duke. I think Duke's gonna win it all.

Duke did not win the 2025 national championship. They lost to Houston in the Final Four. Florida won the title.
Void
#PMT-2025-0324-14506
Big CatBig Cat

Hammocks are the most overrated thing in the world

I have a hammock take they suck. Most overrated thing in the world... It's thinking about getting out of a hammock. Getting out of a hammock sucks... They're uncomfortable. You're not taking naps in the hammock.

Purely a matter of comfort preference.
Void
#PMT-2025-0324-14507
HankHank

Nice furniture does not belong outside

Nice furniture should not be outside... the maintenance is not worth the comfort. It's fucking outdoors.

Subjective opinion on lifestyle and cost-benefit analysis.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 21, 2025
#PMT-2025-0321-13806
Big CatBig Cat

McNeese State dominated Clemson despite the close final score

McNeese State I think leads the, leads the storyboard because what a day for Will Wade... and gives us a classic 12 5 upset where I know it looks like a two point game, but they were dominating Clemson for, for the majority of the game.

The speaker is recapping a game that occurred in the fictionalized/future context of the episode (2025).
Void
Take Slip·Mar 21, 2025
#PMT-2025-0321-13808
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Will Wade being honest about leaving for NC State is better than coaches who lie

I'd rather will Wade be transparent about it. Yeah. It's awkward that he took a new job before his team even played in the tournament... I'd rather have the Will Wade where you're just upfront about it and saying, yeah, I'm talking to NC State. Oh yep. I got a new job.

This is a subjective moral judgment on coaching behavior.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 21, 2025
#PMT-2025-0321-13812
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Bill Self is on the hot seat after losing in the first round as a preseason number one

Is Bill Self on the hot seat? I don't know if he's on the hot seat... Kansas also, they became the second AP preseason number one to lose in the first round of the NCAA tournament. Obviously Bill self not on the hot seat, but it's fun to have the conversation.

Hot TakeCBBHotSarcastic
Bill Self is objectively not on the hot seat despite the loss.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 21, 2025
#PMT-2025-0321-13810
Big CatBig Cat

Kansas was not built for a long tournament run this year

I think most Kansas fans saw this coming in the fact that they just weren't built for a long run... Moreover, they won one tournament NCAA tournament game in this time there. [Hunter Dickinson] is done.

Kansas's performance in the 2025 tournament is part of the show's context.
Void
Take Slip·Mar 21, 2025
#PMT-2025-0321-13814
Big CatBig Cat

T. Higgins signed a fake one-year contract that is essentially a mega-franchise tag

This is a fake contract. Well he is getting a lot of money this year over what would've been the franchise tag... essentially he got mega tagged. Yeah, he got mega tagged.

The interpretation of a contract as 'fake' or a 'mega tag' is an analysis of its structure.
Void
Take Slip·Mar 21, 2025
#PMT-2025-0321-13816
Big CatBig Cat

TV networks must fix scoreboard spoilers that show scores ahead of the live broadcast

I don't understand how it's still an issue... if you're watching four games at once, half the time you see the scoreboard on one game and it will be ahead of the actual game you're watching... figure it out. Don't let it spoil us.

This is an opinion on broadcast quality.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 21, 2025
#PMT-2025-0321-13818
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

Mississippi State will beat Baylor because Hubbard can shoot over the zone

I'll stick with the SEC. I'm gonna go Mississippi State. [Hubbard] leads, I think he shoots nine over nine. Threes a game and [Baylor] plays zone over 20% of the time and Hubbard will just shoot over it.

Baylor defeated Mississippi State 75-72 in the first round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 21, 2025
#PMT-2025-0321-13820
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

Take Colorado State to upset Memphis

I still think, you know, as a player, like I said, I, I have Maryland advancing anyway. I would just take the 12 here. So you have your 12 5.

Colorado State defeated Memphis 78-70 in the first round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament, confirming the upset pick.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 21, 2025
#PMT-2025-0321-13821
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

BYU is a legitimate threat to win the National Championship

BYU's a team that everyone's picking against, but they they were on the list. [PFT: BYU can win the national title?] Yes.

BYU was eliminated in the second round (beat Wisconsin but lost in the Sweet 16). They were not a legitimate championship threat.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 21, 2025
#PMT-2025-0321-13822
Stanford SteveStanford Steve

Alabama and Tennessee are the two best bets to win the National Championship

I'll give you a they're on the same side. Alabama and Tennessee. I do feel different about Tennessee... they're better offensively. It's not even a question.

Neither Alabama nor Tennessee won the championship. Alabama lost to Duke in the Elite Eight, and Tennessee lost to Houston in the Elite Eight. Florida won the title.
Void
#PMT-2025-0321-13823
HankHank

Bill Chisholm is a smart business mind and will be a great owner for the Celtics

Clearly a very smart business mind. And I'm excited to, to see what he's got in store. Hopefully he likes the Celtics and isn't doing this as a business.

Subjective opinion on a business figure's potential as a sports owner.
Loss
#PMT-2025-0321-13824
HankHank

Helly is going to kill her father in the Severance Season 2 finale

I want death. I want multiple deaths. Oh, I think Helly's gonna kill her dad. No, I mean, she's showed... she tried to kill herself. They think that she's her daughter who's like the whatever of the company, but they don't know Hellie down there.

In the Severance Season 2 finale, Helly lunges at her father Jame Eagan with a pen but does not kill him. The finale focused on Mark rescuing Gemma and innie Mark choosing to stay with Helly on the severed floor.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 19, 2025
#PMT-2025-0319-16959
MaxMax

Ryan Odom will not be the head coach at VCU next year

This will be his last time at VCU no matter what... I'm reporting this. He will either be going to Villanova or Virginia after this year. He will, this is his last ride with VCU.

Ryan Odom left VCU after the 2025 NCAA Tournament to become the head coach at Virginia, not Villanova or Virginia as Max predicted. He went to Virginia, which was one of the two destinations Max named.
Void
Take Slip·Mar 19, 2025
#PMT-2025-0319-16960
HankHank

The NCAA selection committee accidentally swapped Memphis and Louisville

Memphis, I am choosing to believe this because it is crazy... people are saying that the committee, they accidentally swapped him. Louisville has a better net RPI, KenPom, T-Rank and higher in the ESPN BPI rankings in every category. But Memphis is the higher seeded team. I choose to believe that too because it makes no sense other than they just accidentally messed it up.

While analytically true that Louisville is better, the committee usually claims seeding is based on their own criteria, and 'clerical error' is speculative.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 19, 2025
#PMT-2025-0319-16958
Big CatBig Cat

The disparity between Georgia's football and basketball success is the biggest in sports

Of the 10 college football national champions since 2002, seven out of 10 of them have been to a final four. All, all 10 of them have been to an elite eight... and Georgia has not won a [tournament] game. Combined 154 tournament wins for all other programs that have won a national title in football. And Georgia has had zero since 2002.

The statistics regarding Georgia's lack of NCAA tournament wins since 2002 compared to other football champions are factually accurate.
Void
#PMT-2025-0319-16962
Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers is repeating the Brett Favre path exactly

Aaron Rodgers... it is Cats in the Cradle with Brett Favre. He's just learning everything from [him] and he hated Brett Favre for it too. It's perfect.

The parallel is a narrative interpretation of their career paths.
Void
Take Slip·Mar 19, 2025
#PMT-2025-0319-16951
Mark TitusMark Titus

North Carolina's inclusion in the tournament is the most egregious committee decision ever

I thought North Carolina, at no point in the season did they look like an NCAA tournament team. They, they, yeah. They, their, their, their highs weren't very high. Their lows were pretty damn low. And I was, I was stunned. I was, in all the years of, you know, that's how the bracket works. It comes out, we, we lose our minds about teams that got in that didn't deserve it. We, we feel bad for the teams that were left out. This is the most egregious example that I've ever seen.

Whether UNC 'deserved' to be in is subjective, but Titus's claim that they didn't look like a tournament team is a strong opinion on their 2024-25 performance.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 19, 2025
#PMT-2025-0319-16952
Mark TitusMark Titus

The 2025 National Champion will be a 1 or 2 seed

I think the national champion is in that group [of 11 teams meeting KenPom criteria]... I have a really good feeling that it was gonna be a one or a two. 'Cause if you watched all season, it just felt like these teams are just way better than everybody else. I feel that way this year for the first time since 2015. I have that same feeling again.

Florida, the #1 seed, won the 2025 NCAA Championship. In fact, all four #1 seeds made the Final Four, only the second time that has happened.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 19, 2025
#PMT-2025-0319-16957
Mark TitusMark Titus

Michigan State will make the Final Four as a quintessential Tom Izzo team

I settled a, so I have Michigan State going to the final four because I think Auburn's gonna get tripped up somewhere... I do think Michigan State's gonna go to the final four. I think I settled on, they are on a, a typical Michigan State tournament run, but it just started in November.

Michigan State lost to Auburn 70-64 in the Elite Eight and did not make the Final Four.
Void
Take Slip·Mar 19, 2025
#PMT-2025-0319-16955
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

It's disrespectful to make UConn an 8-seed after back-to-back titles

I gotta admit, it's disrespectful that UConn is an 8-seed, Mark, because they won, I don't know if you know this, they won the last two national championships... and now you're just relegating them to an 8. You're throwing 'em out like the trash. Gimme a fucking break.

Seeding is based on current season performance, but the 'disrespect' narrative is a common PMT trope.
Void
Take Slip·Mar 19, 2025
#PMT-2025-0319-16961
Mark TitusMark Titus

Dan Hurley is an asshole, but he is important to the college basketball ecosystem

Dan Hurley's an asshole and I think that's fair... Dan Hurley is the heel... I think it's great for the sport if [Duke and Hurley] make it there... I would've been upset if college basketball lost him [to the Lakers].

The value of a 'heel' in sports media is a matter of opinion.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 19, 2025
#PMT-2025-0319-16956
Mark TitusMark Titus

St. John's will make the Final Four

I picked St. John's as the final four. I do believe in that... I do believe this St. John's team is special... When the clock hits zero and you think you've beat them, you better make damn sure you've actually beat them.

St. John's did not make the Final Four. The 2025 Final Four consisted of all four #1 seeds: Florida, Duke, Houston, and Auburn.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 19, 2025
#PMT-2025-0319-16953
Mark TitusMark Titus

Duke is the best team in the country and has no weaknesses

I believe Duke is the best team in the country. I believe Duke has no weaknesses... I think that they're a little bit better than every other team in this field. So I, I'm, I I, I have Duke coming out of the east and I have Duke winning the national championship.

While Duke was very strong and made the Final Four, they lost to Houston 70-67 in the semifinal, proving they did have vulnerabilities.
Void
Take Slip·Mar 19, 2025
#PMT-2025-0319-16954
Mark TitusMark Titus

Cooper Flagg's hype is actually lower than it should be given his dominance

I think Cooper Flagg has had, I, I don't, I, for some reason he, the, the hype is somehow there, but it's also, I feel like it's not as great as it should be for this kid. 'Cause he is unfucking believable. He had an, an insane amount of hype coming in. He's delivered on all of it. He leads Duke in every single category.

Whether hype is 'correctly' calibrated is subjective.
Void
Take Slip·Mar 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-0317-15963
Big CatBig Cat

The NCAA Tournament bracket reveal is the best non-sporting sporting event of the year

I actually think that this is the best non-sporting, sporting event of the year. I think that bracket reveal is the best sporting event that does not actually contain sports of the year. Oh, it's, it's incredible.

Void
Take Slip·Mar 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-0317-15964
Big CatBig Cat

UNC getting into the tournament over West Virginia and Indiana is a result of committee member Bubba Cunningham being the UNC AD

UNC got into the tournament with one quad, one win. And Bubba Cunningham, who is part of the selection committee is also the ad at UNC. What I would say to that is that doesn't fucking matter at all [that he recused himself] because you spend an entire weekend hanging out with this people... Everyone in that room has to decide on UNC and then have him come back in the room and he's gonna be like, so how we looking?

Void
Take Slip·Mar 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-0317-15966
Big CatBig Cat

The NCAA selection committee stopped working on Friday night

The committee. It's very clear they stopped working on Friday night. Maybe that's why Leonard's been sleeping because it makes no sense that UNC is in this tournament. It makes no sense that Michigan got a five. It makes no sense that Louisville got an eight.

Loss
Take Slip·Mar 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-0317-15968
Big CatBig Cat

Louisville will beat Creighton in the first round because Chucky Hepburn will stifle Steven Ashworth

Louisville being an eight seed, but if Louisville wins their first game, which I actually kind of like them to win that game. 'Cause I think Chucky Hepburn's gonna put Steven Ashworth in a torture chamber.

Creighton defeated Louisville 89-75 in the first round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament. Creighton shot 57.1% from the field and hit 11-of-24 threes.
Push
Take Slip·Mar 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-0317-15970
Big CatBig Cat

Michigan has turned the corner and is a dangerous team after winning the Big 10 tournament

Michigan obviously beat Wisconsin Big 10 title today. Dusty May called it correctly. He was like, our team needs a reset. They got their reset and then they won the big 10 tournament and they looked really good doing it. So maybe they've turned the corner and gotten that reset they needed.

Michigan did make the NCAA Tournament after winning the Big Ten tournament and reached the Sweet 16, losing to Auburn. However, they were not a deep threat as hoped.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-0317-15972
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Michigan State will win the South region

I have Michigan State winning this bracket [South Region].

Auburn won the South region, defeating Michigan State 70-64 in the Elite Eight. Michigan State did not win the region.
Push
Take Slip·Mar 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-0317-15974
Big CatBig Cat

Florida will crush UConn by a hundred if they meet in the second round

I'm rooting for UConn just so that I can bet Florida against UConn. Everyone's gonna be like, watch out for UConn and Florida's gonna beat 'em by a hundred... Florida will kill him. Very. Florida's would be, that would be my take on that.

Florida did beat UConn in the second round 77-75, snapping UConn's 13-game tournament winning streak, but it was a very close game, not a blowout as predicted.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-0317-15976
MemesMemes

St. John's is going to win the National Championship

St. John's win it all. I filled out my entire bracket. It's kind of, it's a weird final four... Michigan State. St. John's. BYU. Kentucky.

St. John's did not win the 2025 NCAA Championship. Florida won the title. St. John's was eliminated before the Final Four.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-0317-15978
Big CatBig Cat

Duke is going to win the National Championship

I've come to the realization that I think Duke's gonna win the whole thing. Doesn't matter [about Cooper Flagg's injury]. They're so good. I they're gonna win it all. I've just come to accept that. I it would, they're just so well-rounded, so deep.

Duke did not win the 2025 NCAA Championship. They lost to Houston 70-67 in the Final Four semifinal. Florida won the title.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-0317-15979
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Oregon will beat Arizona in the second round and Caleb Love will shoot 3-for-21

I have Oregon, beating Arizona in the second round. Because that will be, I think that's gonna be the Caleb Love masterpiece. Yeah. I think he'll go three for 21 for 14 points.

Arizona defeated Oregon 87-83 in the second round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament. Caleb Love actually scored 29 points for Arizona, leading them to victory, not shooting poorly as predicted.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-0317-15980
Big CatBig Cat

Don't get cute with brackets this year; the one seeds are historically dominant

This is the year that don't be afraid to just do chalk. Only four teams since 2000 have entered the tournament [with a] plus 35 net rating... this year, four teams have 35 net rating or higher. Wow. So that's insane. Yeah. Like that, that just shows you that the one seeds this year are playing at such a high level and are so dominant... don't be afraid to just go chalk.

The factual claim about net rating is likely accurate based on KenPom data as of episode date; the strategy advice depends on tournament outcomes.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-0317-15981
HankHank

Alabama will beat Auburn in the National Championship game

In this bracket... I have Bama beating Wisconsin and then Duke on the way to the Final Four... And they're going to beat Auburn to win it all.

Alabama was eliminated by Duke 85-65 in the Elite Eight. Auburn made the Final Four but lost to Florida. Neither played each other in the championship.
Void
#PMT-2025-0317-15982
HankHank

Borgs (Blackout Rage Gallons) are ratchet

My other, who's back of the week is... Borg. Blackout rage gallon. Foul... I've seen... people name 'em and stuff... it's so ratchet.

Loss
#PMT-2025-0317-15983
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The sun was switched out 40 years ago for a new, worse sun

I found guys... that think that actually this is a different sun that was, that we switched the sun out like 40 years ago and it's the new sun and it's worse for you... I gotta do some more research on the new sun guys.

Hot TakeLifeScorchingSarcastic
Scientifically, there is only one sun and it has not been replaced.
Loss
#PMT-2025-0317-15984
Big CatBig Cat

Chernobyl was an inside job by Russia to discourage nuclear energy and protect their gas interests

I had one the other day that actually I completely believe that Chernobyl was on purpose. Everyone was doing nuclear power plants and Russia has a shitload of oil and gas and so they're like, Hey, let's blow up a nuclear PowerPoint plant and scare the fuck outta everyone about nuclear energy. And everyone stopped doing nuclear energy or inside job.

The generally accepted cause of Chernobyl is design flaws and operator error, not a state-sponsored conspiracy to sabotage the nuclear industry.
Void
Take Slip·Mar 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-0317-15985
Jon RothsteinJon Rothstein

UNC getting into the tournament is the biggest miscarriage of justice in 20 years

This is one of the biggest miscarriage of justices that I have seen in all my years covering college basketball... North Carolina was one and 12 against quad one opponents. That is just a fact of life... My heart breaks for West Virginia, it breaks for Indiana that North Carolina got this opportunity instead of them.

Void
Take Slip·Mar 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-0317-15986
Jon RothsteinJon Rothstein

Automatic Qualifiers (AQs) should always play on Thursday/Friday, while at-large teams play in the First Four

I think if you're good enough to get an automatic qualifier to the NCAA tournament, you deserve to partake in the Thursday and Friday of the first week... put the last eight at large teams in the first four, it would reward these programs again at the lower level and give them the NCAA tournament experience.

Loss
Take Slip·Mar 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-0317-15987
Jon RothsteinJon Rothstein

Tom Izzo and Michigan State will return to the Final Four this year

I've got Auburn against then Michigan State in a regional final Atlanta. And I've got Tom Izzo getting back to the final four.

Michigan State lost to Auburn in the Elite Eight (70-64) and did not make the Final Four. Auburn advanced instead.
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