PMTPMT DB

Takes

Win
Take Slip·Jan 15, 2025
#PMT-2025-0115-4990
Big CatBig Cat

The Vikings will not commit to Sam Darnold long-term after this season

This might be a long-term positive because you are not gonna give Sam Darnold the long-term contract. You might still franchise tag him just 'cause that gives you flexibility... But in a weird way, this is actually a positive where it's like you're not gonna give, you're not gonna commit to Sam Darnold Long term after how this season ended.

The Vikings did not sign Sam Darnold to a long-term deal. Darnold left in free agency and signed with the Seattle Seahawks for $100.5 million over 3 years.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 15, 2025
#PMT-2025-0115-4995
MaxMax

The Eagles will win 29-10 against the Rams on Sunday

If Saquon Barkley does what the rest of the NFL wants him to do, the Eagles win that game 29 to 10 on Sunday.

The Eagles beat the Rams 28-22 in the Divisional Round, not 29-10 as Max predicted. The score and margin were both off.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 15, 2025
#PMT-2025-0115-4991
Big CatBig Cat

Mike McCarthy will be the next head coach of the Chicago Bears

I've thought long and hard about it. I've made a list of spin zones... The walls are talking. What are the walls saying? Walls are, he's gonna be the Bears head coach. The done deal in this.

Mike McCarthy was NOT hired by the Bears. The Bears hired Ben Johnson. McCarthy went to the Dallas Cowboys but that didn't work out either — the Cowboys hired Brian Schottenheimer instead.
Void
Take Slip·Jan 15, 2025
#PMT-2025-0115-4992
MemesMemes

I would take Mike McCarthy as the Jets head coach immediately

Oh yeah, I would, I would take him in a, in a second. Yeah. He, he three straight seasons of 12 and five. The Jets haven't had a winning record in 10 years.

Subjective opinion on coaching preference.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 15, 2025
#PMT-2025-0115-4993
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Ben Johnson will be the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders

And this is Ben Johnson going to the Raiders under this assumption. Yep.

Ben Johnson was hired by the Chicago Bears, not the Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders hired Pete Carroll.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 15, 2025
#PMT-2025-0115-4994
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Deshaun Watson will never return to the level of play he showed with the Texans

There's no reason to pretend there's gonna be anything different. Like Deshaun Watson's not gonna come back from double Achilles surgery. Yeah. And horrendous last four years and all of a sudden be Deshaun Watson from the Texans. He wasn't even Deshaun Watson from the Texans right after he was off the Texans. Right. He was, he's been bad from the get go.

Deshaun Watson did not return to his Texans-level play. He didn't play a single game in 2025 due to a re-ruptured Achilles and was not activated from the PUP list all season.
Void
Take Slip·Jan 15, 2025
#PMT-2025-0115-4996
Booger McFarlandBooger McFarland

Jalen Hurts is like a burger with no cheese or condiments — he's missing the 'extra' factor

It's like having a a, a hamburger with no cheese on it and no condiments... it's a burger. Everybody loves burgers. But is the burger really that good without the condiments?... Unless you're five years old, nobody really eats a plain burger. I think that's Jalen Hurts. Like Jalen Hurts is like the burger, but we just continue to wait when we are gonna get the toppings... we haven't got the in and out double double animal style since the Super Bowl.

Purely subjective comparison based on performance style.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 15, 2025
#PMT-2025-0115-4997
Booger McFarlandBooger McFarland

Ohio State will win comfortably against Notre Dame in the National Championship

To me, if Notre Dame plays at their best... this is still a two score game. Oh. And and I think yeah. Even if they play their best because there's there's such a disparity I think when it comes to talent... I think this is gonna be a comfortable Ohio State win.

Ohio State beat Notre Dame 34-23 in the National Championship on January 20, 2025. Booger McFarland correctly predicted a comfortable Ohio State win (11-point margin qualifies as comfortable).
Void
Take Slip·Jan 15, 2025
#PMT-2025-0115-4998
Booger McFarlandBooger McFarland

Jaden Daniels is already a top 10 quarterback in the NFL

To me Jaden Daniels is already top 10. He's already a top 10 quarterback.

Subjective ranking, though noteworthy given Daniels' rookie status.
Void
Take Slip·Jan 15, 2025
#PMT-2025-0115-5001
Dana WhiteDana White

Power Slap is the most successful business I have ever been part of in such a short time

The most successful business I've ever been a part of in such a short amount of time. [Power Slap]

Hard to verify without internal financials, but Dana has consistently staked his reputation on this claim.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 15, 2025
#PMT-2025-0115-4999
Dana WhiteDana White

Conor McGregor will return to the UFC in the fall of 2025

Hopefully Conor McGregor returns in the, in the fall Okay. Of this year.

Conor McGregor did not return to the UFC in the fall of 2025. He has not fought since breaking his leg against Dustin Poirier in 2021. His return keeps being delayed.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 15, 2025
#PMT-2025-0115-5000
Dana WhiteDana White

The UFC is working on a major fight for the fall that nobody will see coming

What I was talking about in December... I would imagine it's probably gonna happen and it's gonna happen in the fall, a fight that I'm working on... [And we'll never see it coming] Nope.

Conor McGregor did not fight in the UFC in the fall of 2025. While Dana White teased a major fight, McGregor has not competed in the UFC since 2021 and his return keeps being pushed back.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 13, 2025
#PMT-2025-0113-9546
Big CatBig Cat

The Houston Texans' defense won them the Wild Card game against the Chargers

That Texans defense, holy shit, did they bring it on Saturday? They were so goddamn good. And not only were they so good, I thought that game was decided by the fact that the Chargers came out like basically a perfect start... if the Texans defense doesn't play their balls off to start the game... that game could look totally different.

The Texans beat the Chargers 32-12, largely on the back of defensive dominance and forcing turnovers.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 13, 2025
#PMT-2025-0113-9548
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chargers' offense over-relied on Lad McConkey

I think the Chargers ran into an acute case of building their entire offense out of Lad McConkey. Lab McConkey had 197 yards. The other wide receivers had 45... They just couldn't do anything that wasn't Lad McConkey.

Verified by the box score; McConkey had nearly 200 yards while the rest of the receiving corps was neutralized.
Void
Take Slip·Jan 13, 2025
#PMT-2025-0113-9550
Big CatBig Cat

I'm buying all the Justin Herbert stock right now

I'll say this right now, and this isn't me defending Justin Herbert because he was terrible on Saturday. I will buy all the Justin Herbert stock right now... If you think that he's just like a terrible quarterback, that's fine. I still think he's pretty good.

Herbert is widely considered a top talent despite the poor playoff showing.
Void
Take Slip·Jan 13, 2025
#PMT-2025-0113-9552
HankHank

The Chiefs aren't as good as their 15-win record suggests

The Chiefs could lose this game [against the Texans]. They're not as good... They're not as good as their record says they are... if you stacked 'em up against the other teams that had similar records over the course of history, like they would be the worst one.

The Chiefs finished 15-2 but had several close wins; however, they remained the #1 seed.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 13, 2025
#PMT-2025-0113-9554
Big CatBig Cat

It is time for the Steelers to move on from Mike Tomlin

I do think that it probably is time to move on to something different... There is a point though, where it feels like the message is getting lost and there isn't growth... Sometimes the message gets lost and you have to change something. You have to shake something up because it's actually almost like a curse to have Mike Tomlin as your coach still, because you're never bad enough to pick at the top of the draft to get a franchise quarterback.

Tomlin returned for the 2025 season, making this take technically incorrect regarding the immediate future.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 13, 2025
#PMT-2025-0113-9556
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Steelers should trade two first-round picks for Sam Darnold

Two 18 overall picks or 17 overall picks for Sam Darnold. I think I might do that if the Vikings tag them... I think Arthur Smith can get something good outta Sam.

The Steelers did not trade for Sam Darnold. Darnold signed with the Seattle Seahawks in free agency. The Steelers signed Aaron Rodgers instead.
Void
Take Slip·Jan 13, 2025
#PMT-2025-0113-9558
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Khalil Shakir is a top-tier wide receiver

I think we need to start respecting Khalil Shakir a little bit more. Because he is, I love him, he is a top tier wide receiver. He doesn't get talked about like he is because his name wasn't Stefon Diggs... but he can play.

Shakir has high efficiency metrics, though calling him 'top tier' is subjective.
Void
Take Slip·Jan 13, 2025
#PMT-2025-0113-9562
Big CatBig Cat

Jordan Love is a good quarterback but isn't on the Hall of Fame trajectory yet

I do think Jordan Love is like, I for everyone was like, oh, he is the next in line. Like, I, I don't, I don't see it. He's good. He's not... Rogers and Favre. I don't think that one of those three is like the other... I'm not like, holy shit, this guy's insane.

Jordan Love's career trajectory is still early to compare to two Hall of Famers.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 13, 2025
#PMT-2025-0113-9563
MaxMax

I'd rather the Eagles play the Rams than the Vikings next week

If you had to tell me that I had to pick a team, I would, I would pick the Rams. We handled the Rams in that first game. Their defense could not stop at the run... and they would've to travel from LA to Philly in the cold.

Max said he'd rather play the Rams than the Vikings, and the Eagles did face the Rams in the Divisional Round and won 28-22, advancing to the NFC Championship. The preference was validated.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 13, 2025
#PMT-2025-0113-9566
Big CatBig Cat

The Commanders have 'Team of Destiny' voodoo energy

The Commanders have the most voodoo and it's a good thing they just have like, I don't wanna say Team of Destiny, but I watching that game... they're gonna go down the field and they're gonna win this game with a walk off field goal. I said it to Jerry, I said it in my head.

The Commanders won on a 50-yard field goal that hit the upright and went in.
Void
Take Slip·Jan 13, 2025
#PMT-2025-0113-9569
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jaden Daniels is the best 'team' I've ever rooted for

I think Jaden Daniels is the best team I've ever rooted for in my life. He's a really good team... The moment's never too big for Jaden. Which is crazy to say as a rookie, but he is, he's going to be him.

Daniels won Offensive Rookie of the Year and his first playoff game.
Win
#PMT-2025-0113-9574
HankHank

I'm back on the Patriots bandwagon because of the Mike Vrabel hire

My who's back of the week are the New England Patriots... they signed Mike Vrabel and they're back. They're, they're, they're on the path. The path of glory is back.

The Patriots went 14-3 under Vrabel, reached the Super Bowl, and Vrabel won Coach of the Year.
Loss
#PMT-2025-0113-9577
MemesMemes

Mike Vrabel is a fraud who relied on Prime Derrick Henry

Mike Vrabel is proof that one smart clock management moment in a nationally televised game buys you five to 10 years of NFL media thinking you're a great coach... Prime Derrick Henry is not walking through the Patriots door... He was a Derrick Henry merchant.

Vrabel was hired by the Patriots, went 14-3 in his first season, won AP Coach of the Year, and reached Super Bowl LX. Definitely not a fraud.
Win
#PMT-2025-0113-9580
Big CatBig Cat

The NFL should not change the playoff format to strip division winners of home games

NFL might change the playoff format where division winners get an automatic entry but not necessarily home field in the first round. This would suck. NFL is what makes the NFL great. Winning your division should mean a lot. Don't overreact to one year.

The NFL has not changed this rule as of the current season.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2025
#PMT-2025-0110-2277
Big CatBig Cat

Drew Allar was horrific against Notre Dame

Drew Allar was horrific. Drew Allar threw three interceptions today. And he was so bad that even the last lateral of the game, he overthrew and threw out of bounds. But I like Drew Allar was, was horrific.

Allar threw 3 interceptions (though some were negated by penalties) and finished with a poor passer rating as Penn State lost to Notre Dame.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2025
#PMT-2025-0110-2278
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Taking away Tyler Warren effectively ends Penn State's passing threat

I actually think that a big impact on this game was when Tyler Warren got taken out. When you take Tyler Warren away from Penn State, then you take away all the threat of their, their physical passing because they're wide receivers. Can't catch a ball.

Warren is widely considered Penn State's best offensive player and his absence/injury clearly hampered their production.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2025
#PMT-2025-0110-2279
Big CatBig Cat

Marcus Freeman is a top-tier coach after beating Kirby Smart and Penn State

Marcus Freeman was incredible. I thought he coached a great game. Marcus Freeman, I'm a believer, like he last game when he, when he pants Kirby Smart. This game, how they came outta halftime... I think he's coached in incredible playoffs.

Freeman led Notre Dame to the National Championship game in 2025, validating the 'believer' status.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0110-2280
Big CatBig Cat

Only five teams can realistically win the Super Bowl

I have five teams... Philadelphia Eagles, the Detroit Lions, the Baltimore Ravens, the Kansas City Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills.

Big Cat named five teams that could win the Super Bowl: Eagles, Lions, Ravens, Chiefs, and Bills. The Eagles won Super Bowl LIX, so one of his five teams did win it.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0110-2281
Big CatBig Cat

The Chargers will beat the Texans in the Wild Card round

Everything we just have said is just like, you should just take the [under]... I do think the Chargers win. I'm a little nervous about three just because it does feel like it's going to be a low scoring knockdown, drag out fight.

The Chargers defeated the Texans 24-10 in the Wild Card round.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0110-2282
Big CatBig Cat

I love the over in the Bills vs. Broncos game

I think I love the over in this game. I love it. Love it, love it. I think that the, I mean the weakness of the bills is their defense has not been great... And Josh Allen has been playing out of his mind and I think that he will not be stopped either.

The Bills beat the Broncos 38-17. The total was 55, which went over the pre-game line of 46.5.
Push
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0110-2283
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jaden Daniels will run all over the Buccaneers

I think Jayden is going to run the fuck outta the football. And I think Austin Eckler is gonna run the fuck outta the football. I think that Todd Bowles is going to, if he tries to blitz Jayden the way that he did in week one, it's not gonna end up well for him.

Daniels had a solid rushing day but the Commanders lost the game to the Buccaneers.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2025
#PMT-2025-0110-2285
Dan OrlovskyDan Orlovsky

Denver over Buffalo is the most likely Wild Card upset

I really do think it's Buffalo Denver because one, I think it's the game that most makes me feel like a real upset could actually happen... I think Denver's got a guy that could be the defensive player of the year in Surtain... it would be a massive upset, but I, I honestly don't think I, I would be surprised.

The Bills won comfortably 38-17, so the upset did not happen.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2025
#PMT-2025-0110-2286
Dan OrlovskyDan Orlovsky

Kyle Hamilton saved the Ravens' season

Kyle Hamilton saved their season... What they did was they say, okay, the worst part of our defense is the secondary, let's take our best player and move him back there... he communicates at such a high level, he gets everybody in the right positions.

The Ravens defense improved drastically in the second half of the season following tactical changes involving Hamilton.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2025
#PMT-2025-0110-2287
Dan OrlovskyDan Orlovsky

Jaden Daniels will have an 80% completion rate against Tampa Bay

I'm gonna take Washington. I think Jaden Daniels sniffs 80% completion in that game. I just don't think Tampa Bay's defense is good enough on the perimeter. Hold up with them.

Daniels completed roughly 65% of his passes in the playoff game, falling well short of 80%.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2025
#PMT-2025-0110-2288
Dan OrlovskyDan Orlovsky

The Chiefs will beat the Lions in the Super Bowl

I'm gonna pick Kansas City and Detroit in the Super Bowl. And I'm gonna say Kansas City does it... I'm afraid of not picking Mahomes... 15 finds a way, man.

The Super Bowl was Eagles vs. Chiefs (not Chiefs vs. Lions), and the Chiefs lost 22-40. The Lions lost in the Divisional Round.
Void
#PMT-2025-0110-2284
HankHank

The Super Bowl marks the official end of winter

I'm keeping [the Christmas trees] up till after the Super Bowl. Super Bowl is the end of winter, as far as I'm concerned. That's the end of our season... that's the sign of spring to me.

Subjective opinion on how to live one's life and define seasons.
Push
Take Slip·Jan 8, 2025
#PMT-2025-0108-6406
Big CatBig Cat

The Giants GM and coach will overspend in free agency to save their jobs in 2025

What is the GM gonna do? He's probably gonna spend as much money as he possibly can at in free agency... now you have the coach and GM in their Hot Seat years. Gonna just try to spend as much money as possible and hope that that keeps their job.

The Giants were aggressive in free agency, signing defensive backs and making trades. Brian Daboll was fired midseason after a 2-8 start, while GM Joe Schoen was retained. They did spend in free agency but the results were still bad (4-13 record).
Win
Take Slip·Jan 8, 2025
#PMT-2025-0108-6407
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Giants will likely start a rookie quarterback early in the season to save their jobs

If they get Cam Ward or Shedeur or somebody like that and they wait around for four weeks into the regular season and he doesn't look great in practice, they're going to be more likely to be like, fuck it, let's just pull the emergency start rookie quarterback lever so that we can save our own job.

The Giants started rookie Jaxson Dart in Week 4, early in the season, after going 0-3 with Russell Wilson. Dart was drafted 25th overall and took over as the starter.
Void
#PMT-2025-0108-6408
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Sean McDermott is under more pressure than any other individual in the NFL playoffs

My one-one is Sean McDermott... because Josh Allen has been an alien this year... the playoff losses, you can look at all of them and say, that's not really on Josh... So who gets the blame for those losses? Sean McDermott. I think deservedly.

This is a subjective assessment of 'pressure.'
Win
#PMT-2025-0108-6409
Big CatBig Cat

Mike Tomlin is under immense pressure because he hasn't won a playoff game since 2016

I think Mike Tomlin has a ton of pressure because Mike Tomlin, he hasn't won a playoff game since 2016... his last 14 years in Pittsburgh, he's three and eight... this is just another year where it's like, hey, you have not won a playoff game then we're gonna be going on almost a decade of you not winning a playoff game.

The Steelers lost to the Ravens in the 2025 Wild Card round, extending his streak of no playoff wins.
Win
#PMT-2025-0108-6410
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Sam Darnold's playoff performance will result in a $100 million difference in his next contract

Sam Darnold was gonna be my next pick. Yeah. Because the, the difference in how much money he's going to make next year based on how he performs in the playoffs is there's probably a hundred million dollar difference. If he stinks, he could get franchise tagged... if he plays really, really well in the Playoffs now we're talking about like $150 million. Yes. 175, 200 million.

Sam Darnold signed a $100.5 million deal with the Seahawks after a strong 2024 season with the Vikings (4,319 yards, 35 TDs, Pro Bowl). The contract value was significantly influenced by his performance.
Void
#PMT-2025-0108-6411
Big CatBig Cat

Lamar Jackson is under more pressure than Josh Allen this postseason

I do think Lamar is under more pressure than Josh Allen... Josh Allen has not been the reason why the bills have lost in the playoffs... Lamar Jackson's two and four in the playoffs... four out of six of the games, he has not gone over 200 yards... Josh's elevated his game in the playoffs. Lamar has not.

Subjective comparison of pressure. However, Lamar Jackson defeated the Steelers in the 2025 Wild Card round, which alleviated some immediate pressure.
Void
#PMT-2025-0108-6412
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears broke the Packers in their recent matchup

The other two pressure teams I had, one was the Packers. That was simply because like there's word out that maybe the bears broke the Packers... I hope that's not the case. 'cause I want to have, I, I don't want to just be one of those teams that just beats their rival all the time.

The Packers lost their subsequent playoff game to the Eagles, potentially supporting the 'broken' narrative for the end of the 2024 season.
Push
Take Slip·Jan 8, 2025
#PMT-2025-0108-6413
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jaden Daniels will run all over the Buccaneers defense in the Wild Card round

I'm now back big time thinking that Jaden Daniels is gonna put on a crazy display where I'm talking. I think he's gonna run all over the bucks. Ooh, that's, and I know they have a good rush defense, but I think I know what Todd Bowles is gonna do. I think I'm one step ahead of Todd Bowles.

The Commanders lost to the Buccaneers 27-24 in the Wild Card round. Jaden Daniels had 12 rushes for 94 yards, which is a strong running performance but did not result in a win.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 8, 2025
#PMT-2025-0108-6414
Dianna RussiniDianna Russini

Anthony Weaver will likely be a head coach in this hiring cycle

Anthony Weaver is a name don't that I'm hearing a lot of teams are putting in for... people in Baltimore were, they think that this is gonna be the run he gets. This is the cycle. He'll be a head coach. Yeah. It, it's time.

Anthony Weaver did not become a head coach in the 2025 hiring cycle. He remained as a defensive coordinator.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 8, 2025
#PMT-2025-0108-6415
Dianna RussiniDianna Russini

Tom Brady has significant influence on the Raiders' decision-making process

The Tom Brady influence is bigger than I think people realize... He talks to Mark Davis all the time. And I think you're gonna see tons of Tom Brady ways and, and just influence on how this team's gonna run... the question that we probably need to consider is, is Tom Brady an Antonio Pierce fan? Does he like what he sees?

The firing of Antonio Pierce shortly after this discussion supports the claim of Brady's influence and preference for a more 'New England-style' culture.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 8, 2025
#PMT-2025-0108-6416
Brandon WalkerBrandon Walker

Penn State will beat Notre Dame in the College Football Playoff semifinal

I have Penn State winning this game because I think Penn State and Notre Dame are very, very, very similar... I think Penn State's a little bit better version of the team they're going for... great defense, better quarterback... I don't think Drew Aller is gonna make the mistakes the backup quarterback [for Georgia] made.

Notre Dame defeated Penn State 13-6 on January 9, 2025.
Push
Take Slip·Jan 8, 2025
#PMT-2025-0108-6417
Brandon WalkerBrandon Walker

Ohio State will beat Texas by two touchdowns in the semifinal if they stay aggressive

If Ryan Day and Chip Kelly don't hold this team back, if they call plays the same way they've been calling plays, I think they win about two touchdowns... I don't know how you stop 'em.

Ohio State defeated Texas 38-34 on January 9, 2025. While they won, it was only by 4 points, not two touchdowns.
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