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Nate Silver and Sam Dekker

Wednesday, April 19, 201718 takes

NBA/NHL Playoffs and the guys are buying a Conversion Van ( - ). Panic Button time for various teams across the country (- ) . Hot Seat/Cool Throne featuring a spirited Alex Jones and JNCOS discussion ( - ). Nate Silver joins the show to finish off his interview, mean tweets are read and we ask whether or not the Matrix exists( - ). Houston Rockets Forward Sam Dekker joins the show to talk about the Russ Westbrook/Patrick Beverly feud, Aaron Rodgers, and what it's like guarding James Harden in practice ( - ). Segments include Mike Greenbergs Dumb Rules, Hmmmmm, Witch Hunt, Bad Visual for Tiger Woods' cargo pants, PR 101 for Carmelo Anthony impregnating a stripper, Sabermetrics, and a thats enough internet for today.

Nate Silver and Sam Dekker on NBA Playoffs, PLAGIARISM, and the Matrix

The vibes are high because Big Cat and PFT are officially entering their conversion van era. After Hank worked tirelessly to secure the tax refund, the guys are heading to Queens to drop $800 on a vessel that will eventually be covered in under-the-table advertisements and metal truck nuts. It is the ultimate investment for the bad boys of podcasting, even if PFT’s parents previously banned him from owning one because they knew he’d be a "party hound."

Panic Button Season

While the van is a dream, the sports world is a nightmare. PFT is so distraught over the Capitals that he woke up with a vague memory of urinating on his "clutch" overtime JNCOs in the toilet. The Stanley Cup playoffs have become a game of who can disappoint their fans more: the Capitals or the Blackhawks. Big Cat is ready to bury his own team, but he's got a strategy for the Caps to stay out of the headlines.

Win
Apr 19, 2017
#22256
Big CatBig Cat

The Capitals need the Blackhawks to win some games so they aren't the only story of disappointment in the first round

The Capitals need the Blackhawks to win at least a couple games because the Blackhawks, as it stands right now, getting swept, will be the story of the first round in terms of disappointment and people laughing at something.

The Blackhawks were indeed swept by the Predators, becoming one of the biggest stories of the first round. The Capitals eventually won their series against the Leafs in 6 games.
Win
Apr 19, 2017
#19124
Big CatBig Cat

The Blackhawks will not come back against the Predators

The Blackhawks are the worst team by far in that series. The Predators have taken it to them every single period. Nine out of ten periods, they've just dominated them. So that's one of those ones like, Blackhawks aren't going to come back. They're not.

The Blackhawks were swept 4-0 by the Nashville Predators in the first round of the 2017 playoffs.

On the hardwood, the Celtics look absolutely shell-shocked. Hank is firmly pressing the panic button as the Bulls continue to defy all logic, mostly because the Celtics' engine isn't firing on all cylinders.

Loss
Apr 19, 2017
#19127
HankHank

The Celtics look lost without a 100% focused Isaiah Thomas

But for Isaiah Thomas, who's clearly the Celtics' number one option in the heart and soul of the entire team, for him to not be 100% focused and 100% there for obvious reasons... it just makes the team look lost. You can just tell they're not fully in sync.

The Celtics actually rebounded to win the next four games and the series 4-2.

Hot Seat/Cool Throne

Hot Seat belongs to Oakland fans, mostly because Derek Carr is out here calling them out for not wanting to move their entire lives to the desert. PFT isn't buying the entitlement.

Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Oakland is a bad sports town

Oakland's a bad sports town. Derek Carr said that fans that don't follow the Oakland Raiders to Las Vegas aren't good fans. ... You have to admit that he's right. ... Oakland has... a big enough sense entitlement as it is. ... Oakland come on get your shit together.

Subjective opinion on fan loyalty and city status.

Big Cat has rivalries on the Hot Seat, specifically the one Paul George thinks he has with the King. It’s a bold move to declare a rivalry with a guy who might not even know you're in the building.

Win
Big CatBig Cat

Paul George's rivalry with LeBron James is completely manufactured

All rivalries pale in comparison to the Paul George-LeBron James rivalry. ... Paul George said that his rivalry with LeBron James is for the culture. ... a crazy rivalry that I don't think anyone including LeBron James knew existed. ... it's kind of like what we're doing with that snowflake cuck Mark Cuban just creating a rivalry out of nowhere.

While they had many playoff battles, LeBron rarely acknowledged Paul George as a primary career rival on the level of his peers like Wade or Carmelo.

Nate Silver Part 2

Nate Silver returned to finish his interview and things got much weirder than just polling data. We finally got an answer on whether the Matrix is real (it’s pending a 16-seed winning the NCAA tournament) and why LeBron James might be following the 2014 Heat blueprint.

Win
Apr 19, 2017
#22257
Nate SilverNate Silver

The 2017 Cavaliers stunk in the regular season and look like the Heat team that lost the Finals in five games

This is not a very good team the way they've played down the stretch run. They are no longer the number one seed in their conference... it kind of feels like [LeBron's last year in Miami] is a scenario we could wind up this year, too.

The Cavs did make the Finals but were dominated by the Warriors, losing in five games, exactly as Nate suggested the 2014 Heat parallel would imply.

Nate also waded into the GOAT debate, giving LeBron fans a rare win from the analytics community.

Void
Apr 19, 2017
#19130
Nate SilverNate Silver

LeBron James should be in the GOAT conversation with Michael Jordan

I'm one of these guys who says that LeBron should be in the conversation with Jordan. ... Michael Jordan, probably the best NBA player of all time... but [LeBron] should be in the conversation.

Highly subjective and ongoing debate in sports media.

Beyond the NBA, Nate is trying to fix baseball by introducing the "Goose Egg" stat because he believes modern managers are completely botching how they use their best arms.

Win
Apr 19, 2017
#19131
Nate SilverNate Silver

Closers in baseball are used incorrectly by only pitching the ninth inning

Closers are not used well today. It's stupid to only come in the ninth inning. It's because you have the statistic 'the save' that actually measures things badly. ... You should be using them in the most high-leverage situation of the game.

The 'high-leverage' relief pitcher role has become a standard analytical strategy in modern baseball since 2017.

Big Cat, however, countered with the only sabermetric that actually matters: the "Richie Incognito" toughness scale.

Void
Apr 19, 2017
#22258
Big CatBig Cat

Offensive linemen who don't wear sleeves in the cold are tougher than the ones who do

My favorite sabermetric stat is offensive linemen that don't wear sleeves are tougher than the ones that do. Especially in the cold weather. If you wear sleeves, you're a pussy.

Toughness is subjective and cannot be measured by clothing choice.

Sam Dekker on the Rockets and Rodgers

Houston Rockets forward Sam Dekker joined the show while recovering from a broken left hand. He gave us the inside scoop on Patrick Beverley's "crazy person" energy in practice and what it's really like trying to keep your hands off James Harden.

Win
Apr 19, 2017
#19132
Sam DekkerSam Dekker

James Harden has perfected the ability to get fouled whenever he wants

James has this unique ability to actually get fouled whenever he wants. It's unbelievable. He's asking for it. I don't know how he does it, but he has perfected it. ... If we're playing situational games in practice... I'll stick my arm out and he'll run through it and he can stop and start so quick... he does look for his little angles in practice to perfect it in a game.

Harden's high free-throw rate and the 'rip-through' or drawing contact on shots became a defining (and eventually rule-changed) part of his game.

Being a Wisconsin guy, Sam is also the primary source for all things Aaron Rodgers. While the rest of the world is focused on the Olivia Munn breakup, Sam is just happy his guy is focused on the gridiron.

Win
Apr 19, 2017
#19133
Sam DekkerSam Dekker

I'm a Packer through and through and Aaron Rodgers is excited about the team's new weapons

He's back in Green Bay getting ready for the season. He's been enjoying himself... He's excited. He likes the weapons we're getting. I'm a Packer through and through.

The Packers had just signed Martellus Bennett and drafted several players; Rodgers was publicly optimistic, though the season ended with his injury.

Before letting him go, we gave Sam the floor to absolutely incinerate the city of San Antonio. Turns out, the River Walk isn't all it's cracked up to be.

Void
Apr 19, 2017
#19134
Sam DekkerSam Dekker

The San Antonio River Walk is overrated and trashy

They are very proud of Alamo and a river that has trash in it. ... The river walk's overrated. ... Every building is gray and it's never sunny.

Subjective opinion on a tourist destination.

Segments

Mike Greenberg is back at it with the dumb rules, this time advocating for more ties in baseball. Big Cat has a much better solution involving the radar gun and the entire starting lineup.

Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The MLB should use a radar gun to decide tied games after 13 innings

Just have a radar gun and just each team gets 10 throws. Fastest throw wins. Fastest combined average score. ... all nine players on the field have to throw. So whoever in the game... you get to see fun shit like first baseman throw and stuff.

Hot TakeBaseballFireSarcastic
The MLB did not adopt this; they eventually went with the 'ghost runner' on second base for extra innings.

In a very suspicious "Hmm" moment, LeBron James claimed Coachella looked fun despite supposedly being on a social media blackout. The math isn't mathing, and Big Cat thinks he knows why.

Void
Apr 19, 2017·Hmm
#19136
Big CatBig Cat

LeBron James has a fake Instagram account for creeping on people

LeBron said that Coachella looked fun, but LeBron isn't on any social media. ... ZeroDark3023. So no Twitter, no Instagram, but Coachella looked fun. ... LeBron James has a Finstagram out there that he uses to creep on people. He has a fake Instagram. ... Shocker. LeBron James, not on social media, but says that Coachella looked fun. Hmm.

While not definitively proven, many athletes are known to have 'burner' or 'finstagram' accounts. LeBron's claim that it 'looked fun' implies he saw it on social media.

Finally, the Witch Hunt is out for Aaron Rodgers. It’s one thing to be a quirky guy; it’s another to steal Jack Handey’s Deep Thoughts without so much as a hat tip.

Win
Apr 19, 2017·Witch Hunt
#19137
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Aaron Rodgers is plagiarizing Jack Handey SNL quotes on Twitter

I'm going to read you a tweet that Aaron put out yesterday. 'If trees could scream, would we be so cavalier about cutting them down? We might if they screamed all the time for no good reason.' ... Guess what? It's actually plagiarism, bro. That's Jack Handey. That was from SNL Deep Thoughts. No attribution given whatsoever.

The quote is indeed a word-for-word famous 'Deep Thought' by Jack Handey from Saturday Night Live.

Remember to buy PFT's new e-book and keep an eye out for our conversion van on the streets of New York.

nflnba-playoffsnhl-playoffssabermetricsraidersrocketspackers

More Takes

Win
Apr 19, 2017
#19125
Big CatBig Cat

The Capitals will still win their series against the Maple Leafs

I still think the Capitals are going to win the series. I do. I really do. ... I watched the Capitals versus the Leafs and I was like, the Capitals are the better team. They turtled at the end there. They look like the better team.

The Capitals won the series 4-2.
Win
Apr 19, 2017
#19126
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Maple Leafs play hockey like kids having sex

I will say this about the Maple Leafs. They... play hockey like their kids, like the same way that kids have sex. ... kids get out there and they start fucking and they're like, I'm going to go a million miles an hour and just go fast and score. That's what the Leafs do. So they come out and they skate too fast and they go a hundred miles an hour. They'll burn out.

The young Maple Leafs did eventually lose the series to the more experienced Capitals.
Loss
Apr 19, 2017·PR 101
#19138
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The US has never bombed a country that could play basketball (The NBA War Theory)

We've never bombed a country that could play basketball. It's true. It's the NBA war theory.

While humorous, several countries involved in conflicts with the US (like Serbia/Yugoslavia) have very strong basketball traditions and many NBA players.

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