PMTPMT DB

Takes

Loss
Take Slip·Sep 30, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0930-2563
Big CatBig Cat

Nick Chubb could rush for 2,000 yards this season

Nick Chubb. Could he do 2,000 yards this year? I think Nick Chubb is probably, he might be my favorite running back in the NFL. He's maybe not the best overall, he's definitely top five, but I think he's my favorite to watch. It would be crazy if Nick Chubb did it while also sharing carries with Kareem Hunt.

Nick Chubb finished the 2022 season with 1,525 rushing yards, a career high but well short of 2,000.
Void
Take Slip·Sep 30, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0930-2564
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Adrian Peterson ruined the 2,000-yard rushing benchmark for everyone else

Adrian Peterson ruined the 2,000 yards because he did it right after he was coming off an ACL surgery. So everybody else from that point, if you got an ACL injury, it's like it's not that bad.

Peterson's 2012 season is widely considered one of the most miraculous recoveries in sports history, setting unrealistic standards for others.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 30, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0930-2565
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Commanders actually beat the Eagles in three out of four quarters

I went back, I looked at the tape from last week, 24-8 against the Eagles, the Commanders, they actually only lost one quarter. So as we know it's a game a quarter, much like the NBA. And they lost the second quarter 24 to zero. They won the rest of the quarters cumulatively eight to zero. Sounds like the Commanders really beat the Eagles three times out of four to me.

Hot TakeFootballHotSarcastic
The literal statement about the score by quarter is a fact claim, though the conclusion that they 'beat' them is satirical.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 30, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0930-2566
Big CatBig Cat

The Jaguars are being overrated due to beating two injured teams

I'm taking the Eagles here just because I think everyone, I like the Jaguars, nice team. But like put it into perspective, they beat a beat up Colts team that they always beat in Jacksonville and then they beat up a very beat up Chargers team. Then have to fly all the way across the country and play an Eagles team that's rolling. I think it's gonna be a little market correction.

The Eagles beat the Jaguars 29-21 on October 2, 2022, confirming Big Cat's 'market correction' take for that week.
Push
Take Slip·Sep 30, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0930-2568
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens might be fraudulent

I just got baited. Yeah, you take the [over]. The Ravens defense sucks. Their defense, they're really bad. Like I'm, for the first time in my life, I'm considering using the word fraud. I think this Ravens team might be fraudulent. I think their defense is just that bad.

The Ravens finished 10-7 and made the playoffs, but their defense did struggle significantly in late-game situations throughout the season.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 30, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0930-2567
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens purple jerseys are a brighter shade this season

I have noticed one thing about the Ravens, I think, and I don't think this is just me being weird about it. Their jerseys are brighter this year. Their purple jerseys. I think it's actually a completely different purple.

There was no official change to the Ravens' primary purple Pantone color for the 2022 season, though lighting on broadcasts can vary.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 30, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0930-2569
HankHank

The Packers are not that good

The Packers are not that good. Brian Hoyer is due for a win. They'll, no, they won't be in the hungry dog because I'm not putting the Patriots in anymore.

The 2022 Packers were indeed 'not that good,' finishing 8-9 and missing the playoffs.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 23, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0923-4693
Big CatBig Cat

The Bengals are a lock as my 'Game of the Month' against the Jets

Bengals minus five. It's my game of the month on the Jets. I'm terrified of how much I love the Bengals. It is like a panic button game if they lose this game... they have to win this game.

The Bengals won 27-12, easily covering the spread.
Void
Take Slip·Sep 23, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0923-4696
Billy FootballBilly Football

Kyler Murray looks like a toddler running around with a stolen phone

The greatest description I saw of Kyler Murray is that he looks like a toddler running around with a stolen phone.

This is a subjective humorous comparison that became a standard meme for Murray.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 23, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0923-4697
Big CatBig Cat

Betting the under on NFL prime-time games is a proven winning strategy

My under I'm gonna do the Broncos Niners under 44 and a half. Tommy gave us a stat. It was something like the last 45 prime time games, it's 30 and 15 to the under. And I was like, oh, that's why I lose all my money. So I'm done. I'm gonna try to ride the wave now.

The 2022 season was historically low-scoring, and prime-time unders were a massive winner (nearly 60% hit rate). The specific game (Broncos-Niners) finished 11-10, easily hitting the under.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 23, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0923-4698
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Raiders and Derek Carr are on different pages regarding 'how to win'

I think we might have a little bit of Josh McDaniels and Derek Carr on different pages watch... Josh McDaniels says 'you can't win until you learn how not to lose.' But now Derek Carr last week said 'we have to learn how to win.' It feels like they're on different pages. It's a red flag.

The McDaniels-Carr relationship ended poorly with Carr being benched and released later that season, validating the early 'red flag' observation.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 16, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0916-10405
HankHank

I'm taking the Broncos -10 over the Texans because of the altitude advantage

Denver Broncos minus 10 makes no sense to me and therefore I'm gonna take it. The Broncos lost in September at home... they're covering machines because of the altitude and the heat... that combo is a killer.

The Broncos won 16-9, failing to cover the -10 point spread.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 16, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0916-10395
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kyler Murray will play poorly because of the Modern Warfare II beta release

I'm taking the Raiders in this one because this weekend we've got Modern Warfare II's beta coming out. So it's the first weekend where people can play the next Call of Duty dropping... Kyler is gonna have to spend a lot of time on the sticks this weekend... Kyler is gonna play with whatever version of a video game hangover that he plays with.

The Cardinals actually beat the Raiders 29-23 in overtime that Sunday, and Kyler Murray had a spectacular second-half comeback and 2-point conversion, so the 'hangover' did not materialize.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 16, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0916-10398
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Commanders have a top three receiving core in the NFL

I think about the Commanders... I think they have a top three receiving core in the NFL. I think it's like, it's that fucking good.

While Terry McLaurin, Jahan Dotson, and Curtis Samuel were a solid group, they were not widely considered a top 3 unit in 2022, especially compared to teams like the Bengals, Dolphins, or Eagles.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 9, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0909-19390
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Giants are 'big stinky poop' and will lose to the Titans

Titans minus five and a half at home against the Giants. I think the Giants are big stinky poop... I think that the Titans, we have a bad taste in their mouth from them from last year in the playoffs... Ryan Tannehill is good enough to beat the Giants who I think are gonna be very bad this year by six points at home.

The Giants won this game 21-20 and went on to make the playoffs, while the Titans missed them.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 9, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0909-19394
Jake MarshJake Marsh

Baker Mayfield is ready to beat the Browns in a revenge game

Mine is also a revenge game. It is Carolina minus one and a half against the Browns. Baker is ready. We all know Baker, so we don't know what to expect... Baker is the one guy that I will probably always bet on in a revenge game because he does take it way more seriously.

The Browns won 26-24 on a late Cade York field goal.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 9, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0909-19392
HankHank

The Bears will be frisky and cover +7 against the 49ers

I'm just gonna take the biggest [underdog]. The Bears. Seven points week one is a lot... There's a lot of turmoil in San Francisco. Trey Lance, Jimmy G you don't know what's going on... Seven points is the lot in the NFL.

The Bears won the game outright 19-10 in a rain-soaked upset.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 9, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0909-19391
Big CatBig Cat

The Cardinals are a must-bet in the month of September

I'm gonna change my underdog to the Cardinals. Cause I did tell you all off season. I have to bet the Cardinals in September... I have the reminder again today. So I'm gonna in that game, we didn't talk about Cardinal's Chiefs is gonna be a very fun afternoon game.

The Cardinals were blown out 44-21 by the Chiefs and finished September with a 1-3 record.
Open
Take Slip·Apr 27, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0427-1366
Steven CheahSteven Cheah

Trayvon Walker will be a bust

I want to say Trayvon Walker, just because like I'm a traits over production guy and that's what the whole draft is... we haven't seen it on field... What are we doing here? ... I would say if I would pick one bust, it would be him.

While Walker hasn't been a superstar yet, 'bust' is a strong term for a starter on a playoff team. However, his production remains low relative to his draft slot.
Win
Take Slip·Apr 27, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0427-1367
Steven CheahSteven Cheah

Nakobe Dean will not be drafted in the first round

There's some medical things with linebackers right now. So I would say Nakobe Dean, who's probably the most productive player on Georgia's defense, the linebacker is not going to get drafted in the first round.

Correct. Dean fell all the way to the 3rd round (pick 83).
Win
Take Slip·Apr 27, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0427-1368
Steven CheahSteven Cheah

Quay Walker is a lock to be drafted in the first round and will go before Nakobe Dean

Quay Walker is whoa from what I'm hearing, like kind of a lock to be drafted in the first round. And he's a big, he had production, but he was, he's definitely traits over, over production guy.

Correct. Quay Walker went 22nd to the Packers, while Dean fell out of the first round.
Loss
Take Slip·Apr 27, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0427-1369
Steven CheahSteven Cheah

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win the Super Bowl this season

They're like record... Super bowl. Super bowl winner. Yes.

Incorrect. The Buccaneers lost in the Wild Card round to the Cowboys.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 28, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0328-2641
HankHank

Hank's parlay: Duke wins the title, Celtics win the championship

Duke Celtics championship future... Duke money line, Kansas money line and Celtics championship... 5,000 pays 115,000. That's it.

Neither Duke (lost in Final Four) nor the Celtics (lost in NBA Finals) won the championship in 2022.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 16, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0316-1451
Billy FootballBilly Football

Malik Willis is a hybrid of Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson

I think Malik Willis is going to have a really good NFL career... I think he's what they advertise him as he's Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson hybrid.

Willis has not reached the heights of either player, having been traded from the Titans to the Packers as a backup.
Open
Take Slip·Mar 16, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0316-1452
Billy FootballBilly Football

Malik Willis will either be a Hall of Famer or a complete bust

Like he could actually like, you know, it's either going to translate and he's going to be like Patrick Mahomes or it's not. One of those things where it's... so like hall-of-famer or bust. Exactly. Yep. I like that.

Too early to call 'bust' vs 'Hall of Famer' definitively, but the 'Hall of Famer' path looks extremely unlikely.
Void
Take Slip·Mar 11, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0311-12470
Billy FootballBilly Football

Malik Willis has the most fuckable spiral in the 2022 draft

Number one. Malik Willis. God damn moon bomb. And the thing is, I love how the ball turns over on his long balls. It points up when it's going up and when it's going down, it points down and it looks like an absolute cruise missile.

This is a subjective aesthetic judgment about the way a ball looks in the air.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 11, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0311-12469
Billy FootballBilly Football

Malik Willis is a combination of Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen

Malik Willis has been said to be, in my opinion, a combination of Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen. This is what the people are saying. If you look at Malik's throws from the combine, insane, absolutely crazy type stuff.

Malik Willis struggled significantly in his early NFL appearances and was traded to the Packers as a backup, nowhere near the level of Jackson or Allen.
Loss
Take Slip·Feb 11, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0211-18794
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Cincinnati Bengals will defeat the Los Angeles Rams 24-20

I still think it's going to be like 24-20 Cincinnati... I'm reverting back fully to what I felt on Monday morning and I'm going to stick with the Bengals.

The Rams won 23-20.
Loss
Take Slip·Feb 11, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0211-18795
Jake MarshJake Marsh

The Super Bowl score will be 32-26 Bengals for a Scorigami

The prop is obvious. It's Scorigami on the Barstool Sportsbook... got to be aligned and take 32-26 Bengals. That would be a Scorigami.

The score was 23-20 Rams, not a Scorigami and the wrong winner.
Loss
Take Slip·Feb 11, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0211-18797
Big CatBig Cat

Joe Burrow will have over 36.5 pass attempts in the Super Bowl

My prop is Joe Burrow, over 36 and a half pass attempts... four out of the last five games he's hit over that number. I think it'll be a lot of quick passes... for the Bengals to win, Joe Burrow has to pass the ball 40 times.

Joe Burrow finished with exactly 33 pass attempts in Super Bowl 56, missing the over.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 11, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0211-18796
HankHank

Lock of the Decade: The opening kickoff of Super Bowl 56 will result in a touchback

This is the lock prop of the century. I don't know how this was my decade literally. I can't comprehend it... opening kickoff to result in a touchback minus 112. I love it. The Bengals win the flip, kick fearsome is going to kick it like out of the stadium.

The opening kickoff of Super Bowl 56 by Evan McPherson was indeed a touchback.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 21, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0121-19580
Big CatBig Cat

The Bills vs. Chiefs Over 54.5 is my Game of the Year

I've released my game of the year, the third game of the year, over 54 and a half in [Bills vs. Chiefs]... I haven't lost the game of the year yet... when I say game of the year, I put the chips in the middle. I'm putting, I'm putting the chips in the middle. It's going to be a responsibly large wager for me.

The Chiefs beat the Bills 42-36, for a total of 78 points, easily clearing the 54.5 line.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 22, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1222-11242
Big CatBig Cat

I am betting on the Colts to beat the Cardinals out of spite for the Cardinals' Twitter account

I'm going with the Colts, pick them right now... I'll take them as minus a half... the Cardinals need to lose this game and they have to be forced to tweet about it. Yes. Otherwise I like, whatever, I'll stick with it. I think it's been so long that they're cursed no matter what.

The Colts beat the Cardinals 22-16 on Christmas Day.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 22, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1222-11239
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Baltimore Ravens have a better chance of winning with Tyler Huntley than Lamar Jackson

I feel like the Ravens have a better chance of beating the Bengals with Huntley than they do with Lamar. And not because Lamar is a worse player overall. But I think that whatever offense they're running with Huntley rocks, it's clicking for some reason right now.

The Ravens lost that game 41-21 and struggled significantly down the stretch without Lamar.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 22, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1222-11244
Billy FootballBilly Football

Bill Belichick controls the game by keeping it low scoring when he 'needs' to win

My favorite under is Bills, Patriots 43 and a half. I think it's going to be another under game. Belichick likes to keep it low scoring when he really needs to win. And I think this is a need to win for the Patriots.

The Patriots lost 33-21, so the total (54) comfortably went over the 43.5 line.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 17, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1217-13119
HankHank

The Buccaneers will beat the Saints by 100 on Sunday Night Football

The saints have owned Tom Brady, but the saints have taste them hill. Now I don't, I really am not like excited for this game... Tom Brady feels like he's going to break another record. And the bucks are to win by a hundred. My favorite is the Buccaneers minus 10 and a half.

The Saints shut out the Buccaneers 9-0 in one of the most surprising upsets of the season.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 17, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1217-13121
Big CatBig Cat

The Cardinals will take out all their anger from last week and blow out the Lions

I'm going to take Arizona Cardinals minus 13 at Detroit get right game. I just don't. I know Deandre Hopkins out for the rest of the season. I just don't know how the lions secondary can hold up on Kyler. I feel like this will be like the Cardinals will take out all their anger from last week to this week.

In one of the biggest shocks of the 2021 season, the 1-11-1 Lions dominated the Cardinals 30-12.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 17, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1217-13124
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Josh Allen is the quarterback who gets screwed over most by the referees

Number one quarterback in the entire league [for coverage penalties bailing them out]... It's Aaron Rogers by a long shot. Last place in the entirely... Josh Allen it's Josh Allen gets fucked more than any other quarterback in the NFL. And Aaron Rogers gets bailed out all the time.

The stat itself was accurate for that specific timeframe in the 2021 season.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 10, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1210-13854
HankHank

The Cowboys -4.5 at Washington is a 'rat line' and the Cowboys will cover

This week is a lot of rats. Therefore it's week routine Ratatouille and I'm just going to take them all... My favorite is the Cowboys minus four and a half versus the Washington Football Team.

The Cowboys beat Washington 27-20, covering the -4.5 spread.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 10, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1210-13855
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Lamar Jackson is a limited passer who stinks at throwing short passes

I will say it with my chest. When I criticize his throwing short passes, he does stink at throwing short passes.

Lamar Jackson's accuracy on short, touch passes has been a frequent point of statistical and scout criticism throughout his career.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 10, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1210-13866
HankHank

The Detroit Lions are going to start a winning streak this weekend

I love this game. Moneyline Detroit's... I like them winning last week. I was right. You want a winning streak... Boke his seal, monkeys off their back. They broke the seal. They'd been playing well all year. And now that they got it, they want to keep that taste out [of] their mouth.

The Lions lost to the Broncos 38-10 following this episode.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 3, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1203-18538
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Lions will beat the Vikings moneyline this week

I want the Lions to win, but I'm not... I would not touch them with actual money. Nope... I'll take them Moneyline.

Correct. The Lions defeated the Vikings 29-27 on Dec 5, 2021, for their first win of the season.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 3, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1203-18539
Billy FootballBilly Football

Washington's lucky streak is going to run out against the Raiders

Raiders by two and a half... Well, I think, you know, Washington's, time's gonna run out... time's up. You've been kind of getting lucky.

Incorrect. Washington beat the Raiders 17-15 on Dec 5, 2021, extending their win streak to four.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 3, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1203-18540
Big CatBig Cat

Chargers vs. Bengals will end in a tie

You know what this guy makes me think of right here? This game absolutely makes me think. Tie. Yeah. I predict a tie... My numbers are telling me this is going to be a tie this week.

Incorrect. The Chargers won the game 41-22.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 24, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1124-6385
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tim Boyle should not be in the NFL

What the fuck is Tim Boyle? Why is Tim Boyle in the NFL? ... He wasn't even good at UConn. He actually sucked at UConn. And then he transferred to Eastern Kentucky and had a breakout season his senior year where he threw for 11 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. After sucking at UConn, he sucked at Eastern Kentucky, and now we've just agreed that he's going to be an NFL quarterback?

Boyle's career stats are objectively poor, but he remains in the league, often attributed to his 'good in the room' qualities.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 24, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1124-6386
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am betting on the Lions moneyline because Tim Boyle is so bad it's funny

After all that shit that I talked about Tim Boyle, I'm going to bet on the Lions' money line. I'm betting on Tim Boyle, the worst quarterback maybe ever to play in the NFL.

The Lions lost to the Bears 16-14 on Thanksgiving 2021.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 24, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1124-6387
Big CatBig Cat

I am betting the over 41.5 in the Bears-Lions Thanksgiving game

I'm also going to take Tim Boyle. I'm going to take the over 41 and a half in that game. It's the dumbest pick I've ever made... Wouldn't it be cool if it was a Tim Boyle-Andy Dalton shootout?

The final score was 16-14 (30 total points), comfortably under.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 24, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1124-6394
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Falcons will beat the Jaguars because bird teams are due to move ahead of cat teams all-time

My favorite is going to be the Atlanta Falcons. ... All time in the NFL, bird teams against cat teams are exactly 500. I think it's 209 to 209 and one. They've tied one game. This is going to be the week that it swings in favor of the bird teams.

The Falcons beat the Jaguars 21-14 on November 28, 2021.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 24, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1124-6396
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am done with the Seahawks; they are a miserable team of has-beens and losers

I think that the Seahawks are just a miserable football team filled with has-beens and losers. ... I hate watching the Seahawks on television. It's probably way worse in person.

The Seahawks finished the 2021 season 7-10 and traded Russell Wilson in the following offseason, validating the 'has-been' sentiment.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 19, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1119-10709
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks will win this week because you don't lose an 'end of an era' game

The big thing with this game is it feels like everyone is writing off, not just the Seahawks but an era. So when you have an era ending, the Pete Carroll, the Russell Wilson era, I feels like you got to take the Seahawks because you don't lose end of an era games.

The Seahawks lost to the Cardinals 23-13 that Sunday.
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