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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

There is an 80% chance the over hits in the Bills vs. Vikings game if Josh Allen plays

It's a mathematical almost certainty this hits, I put it at 80%. Wow. That the over hits. And here's why... if Josh Allen plays in this game over 44 is a guaranteed winner.

Josh Allen did play, and the Vikings won 33-30. The total was 63, easily clearing the 44-point threshold.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Austin Ekeler will score three touchdowns against the 49ers

I'm going to again say that Austin Ekeler is going triple dick. This shit out of him. The Niners are gonna be airtight triple dick. Let's go.

Ekeler did not score any touchdowns in the 22-16 loss to the 49ers.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I bet on the Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl at 13 to 1

I have made a wager on the Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl at 13 to one... Everyone's like, Oh, you know, no one's gonna be able to keep up with the bills and the chief's offense. Why not defense? Why aren't we looking for defense?

The Ravens lost in the Wild Card round to the Bengals. The Chiefs eventually won Super Bowl LVII.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Lamar Jackson will pull a 'Joe Flacco' and win the Super Bowl in a contract year

Wouldn't that be so Ravens too? I was about to say for Lamar [Jackson] to win the Super Bowl in a contract year... And they have to pay him the Flacco. That would be, he would pull a full Flacco on you.

Jackson did not win the Super Bowl that year; he was injured late in the season and missed the playoffs.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

Brian Kelly will create an LSU program that consistently beats Alabama

This now feels like it could be Brian Kelly could create a team at LSU that consistently can beat Alabama. Not one year where you have the like this incredible, incredible team and talent. It's no, every year LSU should be able to compete with Bama.

LSU lost to Alabama the following year (2023) 42-28, showing it wasn't quite a 'consistent' beatdown yet, though Kelly remained competitive.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I bet Tua Tagovailoa to win the MVP at 16 to 1

I made another bet—Tua [Tagovailoa] to win the MVP 16 to one. What's gonna, if Josh—this is, it is also based like, I hope Josh Allen's not hurt, but if he is hurt, Tua feels like he's got a lot of, lot of like people feel bad about the concussions. He's gonna have some, a lot of numbers.

Patrick Mahomes won the 2022 NFL MVP. Tua did not win.
Open
Ryan WhitneyRyan Whitney

Cale Makar will be the greatest defenseman of all time

Kale Makar is number two... Kale Makar is the Conor McDavid of defense. He almost might be more valuable according to Wayne Gretzky... [Nathan McKinnon] said that this will be the greatest defenseman of all time.

Makar is still young, but already has a Norris, Calder, Conn Smythe, and Stanley Cup, making this a legitimate high-stakes projection.
Loss
Ryan WhitneyRyan Whitney

The Colorado Avalanche will repeat as Stanley Cup champions

I think the abs [Avalanche] unfortunately will probably beat the Oilers again in the Western Conference final. And I'm picking the abs to win again.

The Avalanche lost in the first round of the 2023 playoffs to the Seattle Kraken. The Vegas Golden Knights won the Stanley Cup.
Open
Ryan WhitneyRyan Whitney

Alex Ovechkin will definitely break the NHL goal-scoring record

Is Ovie gonna get the record, just yes or no? Yes. Definitely yes.

Ovechkin is still active and chasing the record as of 2024.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I will get a Kirk Cousins face tattoo on my ass if the Vikings win the Super Bowl

I'm gonna get Kirk Cousin's face tattoo on my ass if [the Vikings] win the Super Bowl... I will do the, I was wrong tattoo. If they get to the Super Bowl and if they win the Super Bowl, I will get a Kirk Cousins. I'll get his face tattooed on me.

The Vikings did not win the Super Bowl; they lost in the Wild Card round.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Joe Burrow is a lock to cover after losing to the Browns

Joe Burrow is four and oh against the spread after losing to the Browns. Cause he always loses the Browns. So he bounces back. So go go with Joe Burrow there. Trust in Joe.

The Bengals beat the Panthers 42-21 in Week 9, covering the 7.5 point spread.
Loss
Sonny DykesSonny Dykes

The next big football innovation is Triple Option integrated into the Spread

I think you're gonna start maybe seeing some teams start to run a little bit more triple option... get integrated in some of the spread things, you know, a little bit of veer concept as a run game into into a spread type of offense. You talk about a pain in the rear end defensively, that would be a tough thing to defend.

Triple option integrated into spread offenses has not become the next big football innovation through 2024-25. The trend has been more toward RPOs, mobile QBs, and passing concepts rather than traditional triple option.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Cliff Kingsbury is officially a dead man walking at Arizona

It's so clear that Cliff Kingsbury's getting fired. I mean, the minute that Kyler Murray yelled at him on the sideline, like, I don't know. That's, I know they'll say like, 'Oh that's just football. We're just angry.' Doesn't feel that way.

Cliff Kingsbury was fired by the Cardinals at the end of the 2022 season (January 2023).
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kirk Cousins and the Vikings will not win the Super Bowl

I'm not going back. I've been on this take. They're not winning the Super Bowl. We will be right. I've been on this take for six years. My take on Kirk Cousins has not wavered and it never will.

The Vikings lost in the Wild Card round to the Giants, proving PFT right about them not winning the Super Bowl.
Loss
Michael IrvinMichael Irvin

Odell Beckham Jr. would love to play for the Dallas Cowboys

I guarantee you I could tell you Odell would love to see Odell on the cowboy. Trust me. Trust me. I know Dale. Odell and I have had conversations about that a long time ago. Odell has to be in a place where the lights are bright. For him to be his best. You can't stick him in Cleveland. Put him in LA, put him in New York. You put him in Dallas where that light is bright.

OBJ flirted heavily with the Cowboys in 2022 but ultimately did not sign that season. He signed with the Ravens in 2023 and the Dolphins in 2024, never actually joining Dallas despite Irvin's 'guarantee'.
Push
Michael IrvinMichael Irvin

The Philadelphia Eagles are headed toward a dynasty

I was the first one to say that Philly is headed towards Dynasty. That's what I said this summer in Philly... if they had the right hand on the stairwell and the right hand on the center, if these hands work out, they can be doing something for quite a while.

The Eagles won Super Bowl LIX, beating the Chiefs 40-22 — their second Super Bowl appearance in three years. Not a dynasty yet, but trending in that direction.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Mike McCarthy must reach the NFC Championship game to keep his job

I think he needs to get the NFC Championship game. ... Because you're expected to win. ... If he loses in a comically fat fashion, for Mike McCarthy, if he looks where his brain just stops... I could see Jerry Jones firing him.

McCarthy lost in the Divisional Round in 2022 and 2023 and remained the head coach into the 2024 season.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Pete Carroll is a legitimate Coach of the Year candidate

Pete Carroll's definitely in the conversation for Coach of the Year. This team was supposed to be one of the worst teams in the NFL. They, I think we quoted it last week, their over under for wins was five and a half. They're five and three right now.

Pete Carroll finished 9th in Coach of the Year voting after taking a team projected for 5 wins to the playoffs with a 9-8 record.
Loss
MaxMax

The Phillies will sweep their three home games and win the World Series without returning to Houston

I love my guys. We're gonna win the next three games. We won't even go back to Houston. ... We're gonna score so many runs this week.

The Phillies won Game 3 but lost Games 4 and 5 at home, eventually losing the series in 6 games in Houston.
Push
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Vikings will lose in the divisional round this year

This is a team that's gonna go 11 and six, maybe 12 and five... And they're gonna win in the wild card round if they're lucky. And then they get the shit kicked out of them by the Eagles or the Cowboys or one of the elite teams in the nfc because cousins is limited.

Florio was incredibly close. The Vikings went 13-4 and lost in the Wild Card round (not the divisional) to the Giants.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Zach Wilson will be befuddled by the Patriots defense this weekend

I wanna talk about the Patriot's defense because the Patriot's defense I think is going to befuddle. Zach Wilson. Zach Wilson's gonna be befuddled this weekend. And the Jacks, he's gonna be so confused. Belichick knows how to fuck with befuddled quarterbacks.

The Patriots beat the Jets 22-17 that weekend; Zach Wilson threw 3 interceptions and had a 64.6 passer rating, looking very confused.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Sam Ehlinger is mobile enough to light up the Commanders offense

I'm going Colts minus three over the commanders... Sam Ehlinger, I think he's a mobile quarterback enough to light up an offense. We see these mobile quarterbacks getting first downs, extending drives. I think the Colts gonna have the fire in their belly.

The Colts lost 17-16 to the Commanders. Ehlinger did not 'light up' the offense, throwing for 201 yards, 0 TDs, and rushing for 15 yards.
Loss
HankHank

Jaguars vs. Broncos in London will be a shootout

Taking the over 39 and a half Jaguars, Broncos... I think it's gonna be a shootout. Pre-season, everyone loved the Broncos. Jaguars saying they're one of the most fun teams. Explosive teams.

The Broncos won 21-17. The total was 38, so the over 39.5 failed. It was far from a 'shootout'.
Loss
Jake ArrietaJake Arrieta

The Phillies will beat the Astros in seven games in the World Series

I'm gonna pick the Phillies to win it in seven on the road in Houston... as hot as they are now and what happened against the Braves and how they handled San Diego the way they did... Phillies believe they can beat anybody. Yeah. In this series, man, it's the perfect fit.

The Houston Astros defeated the Philadelphia Phillies in 6 games (4-2).
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I am picking the Phillies to win the World Series in seven games

I'm just gonna, I'm gonna say Phillies in seven as well because that's what my heart wants and if they Astros sweep 'em, I wouldn't be shy. Like that's you are that good? Whatever. That's fine. Let's just, we'll stay the course of Phillies in seven.

The Astros won the World Series 4-2.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Justin Fields bought himself a fifth-year option with his performance against the Patriots

This is one of those moments where you wish you were us because I'm gonna be living off of like that performance from Justin Fields. He just bought in my mind his fifth year option. Like that's how overreacting I am.

The Bears declined Justin Fields' fifth-year option in May 2024 after trading him to the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Sam Ehlinger will be a successful game manager for the Colts

The most hilarious would be if they just came in and they went old school and just ran Jonathan Taylor 35 times a game and asked him to be a game manager. They make the playoffs and then you can still claim he's a better quarterback than Trevor Lawrence. That's what I'm hoping for.

Sam Ehlinger went 0-3 as a starter in 2022 with a 60.1 QB rating. The Colts finished 4-12-1 and missed the playoffs.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The New York Giants will make the playoffs

The New York Giants are gonna make the playoffs. They just are, they're going. It's hard. I want you to all prepare yourself for that moment because I don't want to sneak up on anybody. The New York Giants are gonna be playoff team.

The Giants finished the 2022 season 9-7-1 and made the playoffs as a Wild Card team.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Atlanta Falcons will make the playoffs

I think the Falcons are gonna make the playoffs. Ooh, that's my take. How I think they might make the playoffs... the most likely possibility for the Falcons to make the playoffs would be if the Buccaneers imploded entirely.

The Falcons finished 7-10 and missed the playoffs.
Void
HankHank

If the 49ers fail to win a Super Bowl, it will be because of Jimmy Garoppolo

There's no reason why they shouldn't make the championship or the Super Bowl. And if they don't it's probably gonna be because of Jimmy g.

Jimmy Garoppolo got injured later in the season, and Brock Purdy led them to the NFC Championship game, where he also got hurt. It's difficult to judge since Jimmy G didn't finish the season.
Loss
HankHank

The Sixers and Lakers are tanking for Victor Wembanyama

Tanking in the nba... there is a clear, clear, clear number. One Victor Wembanyama from France... so teams are tanking. The Sixers oh three trying to get 'em. Lakers oh three trying to get 'em.

The Sixers finished 3rd in the East and the Lakers made the Western Conference Finals. Neither team was tanking.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Saints will beat the Cardinals 23-17

I'm gonna say Saints 23, Cardinals 17.

The Cardinals won 42-34, which is significantly different from the predicted low-scoring Saints win.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

The Packers will have a statement win and run up the score against the Commanders

I do think the Packers are gonna use statement when they're gonna run up the score. It's gonna be one of those things. If it's like close, they're not gonna let up. They're just gonna keep running it up.

The Commanders beat the Packers 23-21.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The winner of Titans vs. Colts will win the AFC South

I think if the Titans win this game, I'm ready to declare the Titans the winner that division... I'm ready. Whoever wins this game will win this division.

The Titans won the game, but the Jacksonville Jaguars eventually won the AFC South title that season.
Win
Sergio PerezSergio Perez

The Titans will beat the Colts in a low-scoring game

Titans. It's easier to pronounce... I think it's gonna be quite a low score.

The Titans beat the Colts 19-10. This was both a Titans win and a low-scoring game (Under).
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Russell Wilson will eventually claim a season-ending injury to get a fresh start if this continues

It does feel like this is a situation where Russell Wilson could, if it keeps going bad, be like, I'm out for the year and just do a fresh start. And I actually wouldn't blame him because a fresh start is almost what this team needs.

Wilson played 15 games in 2022. He did not opt out for the year due to injury, though he was eventually benched late in the 2023 season for financial/contract reasons.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Taylor Heinicke is going to beat the fuck out of Aaron Rogers

I'm pretty pumped up about Heineke going into Green Bay and just beating the fuck out of Aaron Rogers.

On October 23, 2022, the Commanders actually beat the Packers 23-21, and Heinicke outplayed Rodgers (2 TDs to 0).
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Denver Nuggets will win the NBA Championship if they stay healthy

You've been saying for like, it feels like five years now that once the nuggets get healthy, [watch out]. Jamal Murray's back and I know he's looking really good right now. Michael Porter's Jr. back... It's gonna be the Nuggets year.

The Nuggets won the 2023 NBA Championship, making this a perfectly prescient take.
Win
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Brian Harsin will not be the coach at Auburn in 2023

Clearly he will not be the coach at Auburn in 2023. The, the problem for Harsin... his first year at Auburn, they looked at his recruiting and they're like, Did you go after anybody that Nick Saban and Kirby Smart wanted? ... And the answer was no.

Harsin was fired on October 31, 2022, just 12 days after this episode aired.
Push
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Matt Rhule will do TV for a year and then get another big college job

My guess is he does TV and then waits this cycle out and, and sees what's available next cycle... he'll be beloved on tv. Unlike most head coaches at that level, he can have a normal human conversation.

Rhule actually jumped back into coaching very quickly, taking the Nebraska job in November 2022, though he did some media spots in the interim.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I will become a Colts fan in the AFC if Jim Irsay forces Dan Snyder to sell

I will become a Colts fan in the AFC if Jim Irsay does this [gets Dan Snyder out]. And I think he's going to, because you've never heard an owner say anything like this before.

Snyder was indeed forced to sell, and Irsay was the leading voice among owners to make it happen. PFT maintains a soft spot for Irsay.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Atlanta Falcons will win the NFC South

I'm actually thinking about putting a future on the Falcons to win that division. I think the Falcons are definitely good.

The Falcons finished last in the NFC South in 2022.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Denver Nuggets will beat the Boston Celtics in the NBA Finals

Finals predictions... Nuggets and the Celtics. [Nuggets win]

The Nuggets did win the 2023 NBA Finals, but they defeated the Miami Heat, not the Celtics.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Mavericks will face the Bucks in the NBA Finals

I'm gonna go storyline Mavs Bucks. And everyone's just gonna be like the European invasion is is fully, fully here. Luca versus Giannis.

The 2023 NBA Finals were Nuggets vs. Heat. The Mavericks missed the playoffs.
Loss
MaxMax

The Sixers will play the Grizzlies in the NBA Finals

Sixers, Grizzlies. Because that will just be easy for the Sixers.

Neither team reached the 2023 NBA Finals.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Suns will win the West because it's Chris Paul's year

I wanna change mine to the Suns because I really think that this is the... I think this is Chris Paul's year. This is the season for Chris Paul.

The Suns lost in the Western Conference Semifinals to the Nuggets.
Loss
HankHank

The Baltimore Ravens will win by 20 and the regression starts this week for the Giants and Jets

I think everyone's riding high on the Giants and the Jets. Honestly, I think maybe it's biased just living in New York and hearing the excitement... I don't think it's gonna happen. I think the regression starts this week. The Ravens win by 20.

The Giants beat the Ravens 24-20 on October 16, 2022. The Jets also won their game that week against the Packers. Regression did not start this week.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm taking the Rams -10 because the Panthers are in a dark place

I'm taking the Rams. It's a lot of points minus 10, but I feel like the Panthers are just in a dark place right now. I'm not seeing an interim coach bump for them... it's a get back game for Sean McVay.

The Rams beat the Panthers 24-10, covering the 10-point spread.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Cardinals vs. Seahawks game will be a high-scoring shootout

My favorite over is Cardinals Seahawks over 51... This to me just screams shootout. It does 51 points over.

The Seahawks won 19-9. The total was 28, well under the 51-point line.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Making roughing the passer reviewable will make the problem ten times worse

What's gonna happen is it's gonna make the problem 10 times worse because you're gonna have 10 minute reviews of referees reviewing a subjective call and then no one's gonna agree whether or not it's roughing the passer or not on the review.

The NFL notably declined to make roughing the passer reviewable the following offseason, partly fearing this exact outcome. PFT's reasoning aligns with league logic.