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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Win
HankHank

Dolphins fans are insufferable and it would be funny to see them lose the AFC East

Dolphins fans are annoyingly cocky and Bills fans... I feel more of a connection to... Dolphins fans are insufferable. Like they're super annoying. They're super cocky. They haven't won shit. And seeing them blow a season and somehow lose the AFC East would be funny.

The Dolphins did eventually lose the AFC East to the Bills in Week 18.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Bills will beat the Cowboys

The Cowboys are a completely different team away from home. I like the Bills. What's the line in this game? One and a half... I like the Bills.

The Bills dominated the Cowboys 31-10.
Void
Jeff SaturdayJeff Saturday

It is more important for NFL teams to maintain rhythm by playing starters late in the season than it is to rest them

I think playing is the most important. I think what I learned throughout was timing and rhythm matter... so many times I thought we had the better team, but not playing up to those points, you got back out there, you kinda had to find the rhythm... I was much more about playing.

This is a perpetual debate in NFL strategy and is inherently subjective.
Void
Jeff SaturdayJeff Saturday

Derek Carr is hurting the Saints by playing at 80% while significantly injured

If you're not playing to the level that we need you to play to, you are hurting us... the game is played in the margins and there's too many good players, right? It's just too many dudes who are that good at 70, 80%. Man, you just ain't cutting it... When you're seeing guys at each other in repeated weeks, that's when you know something's really there.

The take is subjective expert analysis on team dynamics and performance impact.
Void
Jeff SaturdayJeff Saturday

Eric Bieniemy's absence is a major reason for the Chiefs' offensive struggles and lack of discipline

The enemy not being there, it matters. I'm not saying that Andy Reed and these guys aren't great coaches, but Bieniemy had some nastiness about him, right? He had some significant conversations with their players, whether that's Mahomes or other people. And with him not being there, it does get into a place where maybe some things have been allowed or tolerated to a different degree... I do think the enemy not being there hurts because those players in the room are ultimately the guys who have to execute it.

While the Chiefs won the Super Bowl, their regular season offense was statistically worse than in the Bieniemy years, supporting the 'struggles' part of the take.
Loss
Jeff SaturdayJeff Saturday

The Eagles will "get right" and fix their issues over their final four regular season games

I said this on TV the other day, man, it drives me cra... like we've written the Eagles off really? They had two bad weeks. San Fran lost three in a row. These players can fix it. And, and I, I think the Eagles over these next four, you know, get right games, we'll get right and figure this thing out.

The Eagles completely collapsed, going 1-3 in their final four games with losses to the Seahawks, Cardinals, and Giants.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If I were on an NFL field, I would put 290-pound Miles Garrett on his ass

Imagine this, I tell people all the time, go, go for your job. Go line up and go block Miles Garrett and tell me you're not gonna try to back up as fast as you can. [PFT]: I'd put him on his ass. I go forward not backward.

PFT Commenter is not an NFL offensive lineman and would be instantly flattened by Miles Garrett.
Loss
Jeff SaturdayJeff Saturday

The Super Bowl will be a matchup between the 49ers and the Ravens

I'm gonna go... I think it's gonna be KC in Baltimore and the AFC, I think Baltimore's gonna go... and I think San Fran... I'm taking San Fran and Phi... I'm taking San Fran walking through it to play [the winner of the AFC].

The Ravens lost to the Chiefs in the AFC Championship game, so they did not make the Super Bowl.
Void
Jeff SaturdayJeff Saturday

Deebo Samuel is the most valuable player on the 49ers

I think Deebo Samuel... I think he's an MVP, right? Because if you see the way he plays and like look at their team when he's not on the field, it's as, it's as reflective as Tyreek Hill. Like this dude is, he is a freaking grown man, bro. And he is about it in all phases.

While Christian McCaffrey won Offensive Player of the Year, Deebo's unique value to the 49ers scheme makes this a persistent point of debate.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Roger Goodell will eventually implement two Monday Night Football games every single week

I'm calling it in the future, it might not be next year, might not be the year after Goodell's gonna want to try to get two Monday night football games. And the fact that these two games [Giants/Packers and Titans/Dolphins] were so good, it's gonna make him think like this was the best idea of all time.

The NFL has continued to experiment with Monday night doubleheaders (staggered or simultaneous) in 2024 and 2025, though they haven't moved to every single week yet.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears must beat the Browns to realistically consider themselves a playoff contender

They have to beat the Browns. If they don't beat the Browns, then it's just like, this is all, this is all, but if they beat the Browns, then I'm gonna start thinking about playoffs. But it has to, you have to get through that hurdle. And the Browns are really good to get to a point where I can start realistically, like I'm having fun with 'in the hunt.' I'm not actually thinking playoffs right now.

The Bears lost to the Browns 20-17 on December 17, 2023, effectively ending their realistic playoff push.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Philadelphia Eagles are actually frauds

Are the Eagles frauds? Are the Eagles frauds? [Max: No.] Are the Eagles frauds? [Max: Yes, like you guys like set this whole thing up.]

The Eagles, who were 10-1 at one point, lost 5 of their last 6 regular season games and were blowout losers in the Wild Card round, widely confirming the 'fraud' label.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Tyreek Hill is the most important player on the Dolphins and should be the NFL MVP

I do consider myself part of TuAnon, but saying Tyreek Hill is the MVP does not diminish Tua. I think Tua is a very good quarterback when Tyreek Hill is on the field... He looked to me like he's the most important player on the Dolphins and he probably should be considered MVP.

Lamar Jackson won the MVP in 2023. Tyreek Hill finished 6th in voting.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL will not ban the hip-drop tackle

If we ban this tackle, which I don't think they will... [PFT:] I don't think they will. But there's enough people out there talking about [it].

The NFL officially banned the swivel hip-drop tackle in March 2024.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Patrick Mahomes is the greatest quarterback to ever play the game

I think [Mahomes] is the best quarterback to ever play the game. [Big Cat: Besides Tom Brady?] My beloved Tom Brady, the fucking goat. It's disgusting anybody ever mentions him in the same breath. It's Tom Brady... But Mahomes is the best quarterback in the NFL fact.

This is a matter of ongoing debate among fans and analysts.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bills will make the playoffs in 2023

I'd like to officially revise my AFC take. I'm gonna put Bills in. I'm gonna put Bills in over the Colts.

The Bills finished 11-6, won the AFC East, and made the playoffs.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Shohei Ohtani's contract is actually a natural progression from Aaron Judge's, valued around $460 million in real dollars

This is a 450-460 million dollar contract because of inflation and interest... If you actually think about it, this is a natural progression of contracts. Shohei Ohtani signed for 10 years, 460 million. That's a natural progression from Aaron Judge's nine for 360.

Financial analysts and MLB confirmed the present-day value of Ohtani's contract was approximately $460.8 million.
Loss
HankHank

Reports that Bill Belichick will leave the Patriots after the season are fake news

Tom Curran... said that at the end of the year, the Patriots and Belichick are probably gonna part ways... I'm just gonna go with the fact that it's a report and it's not true. It might be fake news. I'm hoping it's fake. I'm in the denial stage right now.

Bill Belichick and the Patriots mutually agreed to part ways on January 11, 2024.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Any NBA team that loses 20 games in a row should fire and cut everyone in the organization

20 losses in a row is insane... If you get over 15 in a row, it's fire everyone. You can't do 20 in a row. No. You have to fire everyone. I don't know if you can legally fire everyone, but like I'm saying, cut everyone, fire everyone, do everything. 20 in a row. That's bad.

The Pistons did go on to set the record, but the team did not literally fire every single person.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Billy Football will be fired if the Uganda football team fails to score a touchdown in their rematch against Kenya

Billy will be fired if he comes back and... they scored no touchdowns once. Billy will be fired if they don't score a touchdown. That's, it's not even that they don't score... if they come back and they lose 40 to three Billy's fired, they have to get a touchdown.

The Uganda team scored touchdowns in the subsequent games, and Billy remained with Barstool until his eventual departure in mid-2024.
Loss
Jake MarshJake Marsh

The Broncos will beat the Lions because Russell Wilson will have 'baby bump' luck from his new child

Next on [the Lions] schedule is the Denver Broncos and Russell Wilson has the baby bump. [Big Cat:] Yep, yep, yep. He had a baby. [Jake:] Yes. So that's Saturday night.

The Lions defeated the Broncos 42-17 on December 16, 2023.
Win
Stavros HalkiasStavros Halkias

The Baltimore Ravens are the best team in the AFC

I do think they're the best team in the AFC. I still believe in Lamar. I still think the defense, even though Stafford shredded us... objectively, I still feel good.

The Ravens finished 13-4, earning the #1 seed in the AFC.
Void
Stavros HalkiasStavros Halkias

Only All-Pro players should be allowed to wear number zero in the NFL

To wear number zero, you have to be the best guy on your team. There's gotta be a rule where it's like to have a weird number, you have to be awesome. [Big Cat: Pro Bowl?] All-pro. Zero is All-pro.

The NFL allows various players to wear zero, regardless of All-Pro status.
Void
Stavros HalkiasStavros Halkias

All Pro Edge Rushers should wear numbers in the 90s, not single digits

Fucking edge rushers need to be wearing nineties. Or if you're really fucking cool, maybe a 50... It's fucking weird. It looks like college football and I hate that.

Jersey number preferences are entirely subjective.
Void
Jayden DanielsJayden Daniels

I can throw a football over 70 yards

How far can you throw a football? [Jayden Daniels:] Honestly? Probably over 70... on a good day.

Jayden Daniels claiming he can throw a football over 70 yards is unverifiable without a formal measurement. His arm strength has been praised, but no public test confirms exactly 70+ yards.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears should sign Tommy DeVito

I'm Tommy DeVito. I'm the Packer Slayer. The Bears should actually sign Tommy DeVito. [PFT Commenter:] Every team should be so lucky to sign Tommy DeVito.

The Bears did not sign DeVito; he remained with the Giants through the season.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Winter officially begins the day after Thanksgiving

Winner starts the day after Thanksgiving. [Big Cat: You don't think December's winter?] What? No, because you, it's festive... [PFT:] I think that Christmas is a winter holiday. It is. It's a winter wonderland. Yeah.

Seasons are traditionally defined by solstices, making this a subjective opinion.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

'Bad winter' starts on January 2nd and lasts until March Madness begins

I think winter starts the day after January 1st... Winter is like when it sucks... When I think winter, I think January 2nd to March Madness. That's like when it sucks.

This is a subjective definition of seasonal misery.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Puka Nacua's diving catch against the Ravens is the catch of the year so far

That one diving catch that [Puka Nacua] had. I'm putting that, that's my catch of the year so far. Wow. When you take into account everything around it with the weather and the stage and who it was against.

This is subjective, though many analysts cited Nacua's catches in 2023 as among the best.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens are currently the best team in the AFC

I believe in the Ravens. I think the Ravens are the best team in the AFC.

The Ravens finished the regular season as the #1 seed in the AFC with a 13-4 record.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Sean McVay might be doing his best coaching job yet with the current Rams roster

It feels like we should do the conversation that this might be Sean McVay's best coaching job because it is a group that is not star-studded. It's not like the Super Bowl team. Their defense is a lot of young guys and Aaron Donald, and their offense—I mean, Puka [Nacua] is what, a fifth rounder? And just in Kyron Williams. Sean McVay just schemes everyone open and has an offense work that is incredible.

The Rams made the playoffs as a wild card and took the Lions to the brink in the first round, validating this as one of McVay's better coaching performances.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

I don't want to see the Vikings or Seahawks in the playoffs because they lack a higher gear

I do wanna see the Rams in the playoffs... enjoyment of the playoffs. Like first round matchups. The Rams are a team that I wouldn't mind watching play more football. I don't really wanna see the Vikings or the Seahawks play more football because I feel like the Rams have just a different gear. [Matthew] Stafford could beat anyone if he's on his A+ game.

This is purely a matter of personal preference regarding the entertainment value of specific teams in the postseason.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Joe Flacco is Baldinger's cat — both elite and not elite at the same time, and the debate always ends with 'but so did Trent Dilfer'

I call him Baldinger's cat because he's both elite and not elite at the same time. And he makes everybody furious depending on what your take on Joe Flacco is. And here's how the conversation always goes. Is Joe Flacco elite? Yes. Why? He won a Super Bowl. So did Trent Dilfer. And that's the end of that conversation.

PFT lays out the full Baldinger's cat framework and the Trent Dilfer loop — an accurate description of how the Flacco elite conversation always plays out.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Jaguars are a smoke and mirrors team

The Jaguars feel like they're smoke and mirrors team. And it's starting to, we're starting to kind of get through the fog and we're like, 'Hey, wait a second. Why did we anoint the Jaguars?'

The Jaguars started 8-3 and finished 9-8, missing the playoffs, confirming the 'smoke and mirrors' / fraud narrative.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

I'm officially done with watching Desmond Ridder play football

I'm so sick of watching Desmond Ridder play football. I know he played well in the fourth quarter... but the interception, the fumble in the end zone, the missed pass to Bijon [Robinson] where it was a walk-in touchdown and he missed him. I'm just kind of done with watching him play football. We've had enough.

Ridder was benched for Taylor Heinicke later in the season and was eventually traded to the Cardinals in the 2024 offseason, effectively ending his time as the Falcons' starter.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

I want the Bears to draft Caleb Williams and move on from Justin Fields

I think they're gonna take Caleb Williams, which I'm all for. ... I don't think I want Justin Fields back.

The Bears did exactly this: they traded Justin Fields to the Steelers and drafted Caleb Williams with the #1 overall pick in 2024.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Dak Prescott is the frontrunner for MVP with serious momentum

Dak looks really good. I think Dak, MVP. ... Dak MVP feels like it's got some momentum now.

Dak Prescott finished 2nd in MVP voting; Lamar Jackson won the award.
Win
MemesMemes

Zach Wilson is the perfect backup quarterback but can't play a full season

I think he's not good, but I think he's just the perfect backup quarterback where a guy goes down, he goes in, gives you a spark and that's it. ... Can't play a full season.

Wilson was eventually benched again later in the season and traded in the off-season, confirming he wasn't viewed as a starter.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Texans will be everyone's sleeper team next offseason

I'm wanna make a prediction going into this offseason. Texans are gonna be everybody—they're gonna say like the sleeper team. The team that people think that you're not smart enough to pick for next season. It's gonna be the Texans this year.

The Texans were widely considered the 'it' team and a primary sleeper/contender pick throughout the 2024 offseason following C.J. Stroud's rookie success.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

It might be over for Josh Dobbs as a viable NFL starter

Josh Dobbs, he's learned too much. He knows too much of the offense. He's back to being Josh Dobbs. I wish they had pulled the plug like a week earlier so that we could still have good memories. Because this was like when Nick Mullens has to come in and save the day. It might be over for Josh Dobbs.

Dobbs was benched for the remainder of the 2023 season and signed a backup contract with the 49ers in 2024, confirming he was no longer seen as a viable long-term starter.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 49ers at their best are better than any team in football

I would say the 49ers at their best are better than any team in football. Yes. At their best. They can't be beat.

The 49ers made the Super Bowl but lost to the Chiefs, who proved to be 'better' in the championship game.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Trent Williams should be in the conversation for NFL MVP

Trent Williams should be in the conversation for MVP. When the 49ers have had Deebo Samuel and Trent Williams and everyone else, they have not lost. They are a juggernaut in every sense of the word.

While Williams is widely regarded as the best at his position, he did not receive significant MVP votes, as the award went to Lamar Jackson. However, the take is an opinion on value.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I wouldn't be shocked if the Seahawks beat the Eagles next week

That being said, I wouldn't be shocked if [the Seahawks] beat the Eagles [next Monday night]. Everyone could beat the Eagles right now.

The Seahawks did indeed beat the Eagles 20-17 on Monday Night Football on December 18, 2023.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Broncos can still win the AFC West

The Broncos can still win the AFC West. If Mike Pence has the courage. They're one game out. ... There's a world where they only lose one of the remaining games.

The Chiefs won the AFC West; the Broncos finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Chiefs are broken offensively

The Chiefs are broken offensively. Outside of Rashee Rice, they just drop balls and fumble balls and they just—the Chiefs are broken offensively.

While the Chiefs' offense struggled in the regular season, they went on to win the Super Bowl, proving they were far from 'broken' when it mattered most.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chiefs are better off with Kadarius Tony not being on the field

I think you just need to realize that Kadarius Tony is maybe, probably definitely better off not being on the field. Although he did score the touchdown from Travis Kelce that's gonna be in the Hall of Fame.

The Chiefs effectively benched Tony for the postseason, including the Super Bowl, and found success without him, validating the idea that his presence was a net negative.
Win
HankHank

The Eagles will lose in the first round of the playoffs

My overly direct take of the weekend is that the Eagles are gonna lose the first round of the playoffs. ... I was watching the defense. Defense wins championships. And the Eagles defense doesn't exist.

The Eagles suffered a historic collapse and lost 32-9 to the Buccaneers in the Wild Card round.
Push
Jake MarshJake Marsh

The Broncos, Bengals, and Bills will all make the playoffs as AFC wild card teams

My overly direct take... is that the Broncos, Bengals and Bills are all outta the playoffs right now. They're all gonna be the wild card teams in the AFC.

The Bills made the playoffs, but the Bengals and Broncos both missed.
Open
MaxMax

Bronny James will win an NBA Finals before the Patriots make the playoffs again

Bronny James will win an NBA finals before the Patriots make the playoffs again.

Both outcomes are pending as of Bronny's 2024 draft entry and the Patriots' 2024 rebuild.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Every MLB free agent contract is technically an overpay but it doesn't matter without a salary cap

If the roles were reversed, you would be so over the moon about this. And yes, every contract free agent contract in MLB history is an overpay because you're paying for past accomplishments and who cares? There's no salary cap. It's not your money.

Subjective business philosophy regarding sports economics.

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