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Billy FootballBilly Football

Turnovers increase the likelihood of succeeding on a 4th down or 2-pt conversion via 'vibe' multipliers

Basically the percentage of converting a two point conversion or on fourth down basically gets increased depending on what type of turnover happens before that possession... after an interception, a fourth down conversion or a two point conversion increases by let's say 110%.

While 'momentum' is a debated concept, a 110% increase is mathematically absurd, and 'vibe' multipliers are not recognized by standard NFL analytics.

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Win
Oct 14, 2022
#8465
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Monte Sweat is a better player than Chase Young

Our defensive line played well. Monte Sweat is a monster. I actually think Monte Sweat is better than Chase Young. Even when Chase Young was healthy.

While Chase Young won DROY, Monte Sweat became a Pro Bowler and has been more productive and healthy, eventually leading to him being a highly valued trade asset for the Bears.
Loss
Oct 14, 2022
#8467
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Dan Snyder is willing to take down the entire NFL with him if forced to sell

Dan Snyder's entire strategy is, if you take me out, I'm taking everybody out with you. And he is going to, Dan Snyder is willing to take down the entire NFL with him.

Snyder did eventually sell the team, but no major 'dirt' report that brought down the league materialized after his exit.
Loss
Oct 14, 2022·Picks
#8470
HankHank

The Baltimore Ravens will win by 20 and the regression starts this week for the Giants and Jets

I think everyone's riding high on the Giants and the Jets. Honestly, I think maybe it's biased just living in New York and hearing the excitement... I don't think it's gonna happen. I think the regression starts this week. The Ravens win by 20.

The Giants beat the Ravens 24-20 on October 16, 2022. The Jets also won their game that week against the Packers. Regression did not start this week.

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Win
Billy FootballBilly Football

Technically Vanny Woodhead does not exist and is legally destroyed

Technically it's destroyed. Legally it's chopped up. But I kind of, I couldn't, I didn't have the heart to chop it up, so I just been keeping it. No, one [owns it]. The, it's technically like scrap. It's a ghost car. It just hasn't been scrapped.

While the physical van existed, Billy's claim about its legal status (scrapped) was likely accurate based on his failure to maintain registration/insurance and his instructions to destroy it.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Zach Wilson's ceiling is literally Patrick Mahomes

Come on, Zach Wilson, his ceiling is literally Patrick Mahomes. That's a fact. If he plays to the best of his ability.

Zach Wilson was benched later that season and eventually traded, proving his ceiling is nowhere near Mahomes.
Void
Billy FootballBilly Football

Al-Qaeda is the only one who could have written the Monday Night Football script

Running out with the flag... hard knocks... there was so much hope and hype. And, you know, talking about the NFL script, the only one who could have written that script is Al-Qaeda.

This is a satirical dark humor comment, not a factual claim.