PMTPMT DB

Takes

Loss
Take Slip·Dec 5, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1205-18838
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

NFL punts into the end zone should be worth two points if the punter weighs over 300 pounds

If you should have a guy who's over 300 pounds punting the ball and if they can punt it into the end zone, it's worth two points no matter where you are on the field.

This rule was never adopted.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 30, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1130-16175
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Adam Thielen is better than Calvin Johnson

Adam Thielen's better than Calvin Johnson. True. Fact. His best record just got broken by Adam Thielen, bro.

In terms of career peak, talent, and legacy, almost no objective analyst would rank Thielen above Megatron.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 30, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1130-16176
HankHank

This is the week the Patriots propel themselves back to the top of the NFL

Everyone's been talking about the Rams, Chiefs, Saints. They've all been kind of shown as frauds. They have weaknesses. This will be the week the Pats propel themselves back to the top of the league.

The Patriots did win this game and eventually won the Super Bowl that season, essentially proving Hank right about their resurgence.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 21, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1121-2908
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm taking the Bears -3.5 against the Lions on Thanksgiving

Right now the Bears are favored by 3.5 points. I like the Bears. The defense looks legit... I would take them by 10.

The Bears beat the Lions 23-16 on Thanksgiving 2018, covering the 3.5 point spread.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 21, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1121-2909
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm taking the Redskins +7.5 against the Cowboys on Thanksgiving

Listen, 7.5 is a lot to give to Colt McCoy. Colt McCoy, he's a cowboy killer... I'm going to take the Redskins.

The Cowboys beat the Redskins 31-23, covering the 7.5 spread by a half-point.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 21, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1121-2914
Big CatBig Cat

I'm taking the under in the Redskins-Cowboys Thanksgiving game

I think the under's the way to go here. 40 and a half? Yeah, I feel like both these teams are going to struggle often. They both have good defenses.

The Cowboys won 31-23, for a total of 54 points, which went well over the 40.5 line.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 16, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1116-14466
Big CatBig Cat

The Cowboys-Falcons loser is eliminated from the playoffs

Loser leaves town... Cowboys-Falcons. That's the game. The loser of that game will officially be eliminated, similar to the Seahawks-Packers game.

The Falcons lost and finished 7-9, missing the playoffs. The Cowboys won and made the playoffs. The take was correct for the loser.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 16, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1116-14468
Big CatBig Cat

The Cowboys will give their fans just enough hope to break their hearts

The Cowboys can't go out in a normal way. They can't lose and not make the playoffs by just being bad. They have to do it in a heartbreaking way. So we have not heard the last of the Cowboys this season.

The Cowboys won the division but lost in the Divisional Round to the Rams, arguably a standard 'heartbreaking' exit.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 16, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1116-14469
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Never bet on the Oakland Raiders

Don't bet on the Raiders. Also, here's another tip. I bet on the Raiders like five times this year. They will find new ways to reach levels of incompetence that we have not seen in this country in the last 200 years.

OpinionFootballMediumSarcastic
The 2018 Raiders finished 4-12 and were one of the worst ATS (Against The Spread) teams that year.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 9, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1109-18427
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Redskins will win the NFC East

Now I want to point out that Mike Tanyer... ran a simulation of the rest of the season... And the R-Words still won the division. So don't jump the gun on the Eagles just yet. Now I'm 100% back in on the R-Words train after learning about the simulation.

The Cowboys won the NFC East in 2018. Washington finished 7-9.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 2, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1102-19352
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Houston Texans are a legitimate Super Bowl contender

I've talked myself into the Texans are a legitimate Super Bowl contender.

The Texans won the AFC South but lost in the Wild Card round to the Colts. They were never true Super Bowl threats.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 26, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1026-19306
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Redskins will finish the season with at least 10 wins

The bottom line is the R-words [Redskins] are going to go 10-6 minimum. Maybe 11-5.

The Redskins finished the 2018 season 7-9.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 26, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1026-19307
Big CatBig Cat

The Lions are not sure they're bad and could win their division

I actually think the Lions could be okay. They could win that division, you think? Are we sure they're good? We're not sure they're bad.

The Lions finished 6-10 and last in the NFC North in 2018.
Push
Take Slip·Oct 19, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1019-2203
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears are officially good if they can beat the Patriots

If the Bears can beat the Patriots, then they're officially good. It's going to be a big test.

The Bears lost to the Patriots 38-31, but they finished 12-4 and won the division, proving they were indeed 'good' even in a loss.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 19, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1019-2204
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jets did themselves a favor by missing out on Kirk Cousins

If you know anything about Kirk Cousins, you actually did yourself a favor by not getting him because you'd rather suck out loud than be kind of around average for four years.

Cousins led the Vikings to several winning seasons and a playoff win, while the Jets struggled with Sam Darnold and Zach Wilson for years. Subjectively, the Jets likely would have preferred Cousins' stability.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 19, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1019-2205
HankHank

The Chiefs will have a come-down-to-earth game against the Bengals

I think this is going to be the week where everything comes back down to earth. It's a little bit sloppy. They might lose, but they're probably going to be within the record.

The Chiefs blew out the Bengals 45-10. This was the opposite of a come-down-to-earth game.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 12, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1012-7990
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 2018 NFC Championship will be Bears vs. Rams

It's going to be Rams, Bears, and the NFC Championship game. And the Bears are probably going to beat them with that physical defense.

The Bears lost in the Wild Card round (Double Doink). The Rams made the Super Bowl, but they played the Saints in the NFC Championship.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 12, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1012-7992
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 2018 Super Bowl will be Bears vs. Patriots

It's going to be Bears-Patriots in the Super Bowl.

The Super Bowl was Patriots vs. Rams. The Bears lost in the first round.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 12, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1012-7991
Big CatBig Cat

The Chiefs will beat the Patriots outright in Week 6

Chiefs and Patriots, it's going to be awesome. We'll see if Mahomes is for real... I think the Chiefs win this one outright. I do.

The Patriots beat the Chiefs 43-40 in this Week 6 game.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 5, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1005-11371
Big CatBig Cat

Ben Roethlisberger is 'officially fully broken'

I don't know if we could say Ben [Roethlisberger] at home is a good quarterback right now. He's just, he's broken. He's broken. He is finally officially fully broken. It happened. Ben is broken.

Roethlisberger actually led the NFL in passing yards (5,129) in 2018. While he had a severe elbow injury in 2019, he was far from 'fully broken' at the time of this take.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 5, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1005-11373
Big CatBig Cat

The Minnesota Vikings stink

I got Eagles minus three. I think the Vikings stink.

The Vikings beat the Eagles 23-21 following this take. The Vikings finished the season 8-7-1 and missed the playoffs, so while 'stink' is subjective, Big Cat's specific pick for that week failed.
Push
Take Slip·Sep 28, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-0928-18094
HankHank

Josh Rosen will be exposed as a fraud against the Seahawks

My pick's going to be the Seahawks, minus three... the Cardinals. Yeah, Josh Rosen's going to throw like four picks... After this week, he'll be exposed.

The Seahawks won 20-17. Rosen didn't throw 4 picks, but his rookie season was disastrous.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 21, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-0921-17584
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Bet the Redskins +3 because of the bad turf at FedEx Field

One, Aaron Rodgers, he says that his knee's getting – like he's afraid that it's going to get worse. And the Redskins' defensive line is pretty good... Aaron Rodgers' knee, the Redskins' turf. That's all you need to say for that game.

The Redskins beat the Packers 31-17, easily covering the +3 spread.
Push
Take Slip·Sep 19, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-0919-1474
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Josh Gordon won't succeed in New England if he couldn't in Cleveland

If you can't get your shit together enough to play for the Browns and for the Browns to release you—I think that if you can't get your shit together enough to be able to play on the Browns for six years, then you're probably not going to be able to play for Bill Belichick.

Gordon played 11 games for the Patriots in 2018 but then left the team to focus on mental health before being suspended again. He never achieved long-term stability there.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 14, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-0914-8130
Big CatBig Cat

The Lions have already quit on Matt Patricia

The Lions already quit on Matt Patricia. I think he's already lost the locker room. I'm going to go all the way there... They already hate Matt Patricia. They already hate that stupid backwards hat and the trash bag he wears.

Patricia's tenure was characterized by a massive rift between him and the players (like Darius Slay and Quandre Diggs), leading to his firing in 2020.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 14, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-0914-8133
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jets are overvalued after their Week 1 performance

Is this a major Ravens against the Bills situation where they're [the Jets] overvalued now? Correct. Well, guess what? I'm an idiot, and so actually all of my picks, I'm looking at them all right now, they're all basic picks.

The Jets lost to the Dolphins 20-12 in Week 2, proving they were indeed overvalued.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 14, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-0914-8134
Big CatBig Cat

Eli Manning always plays well in Dallas

Doesn't it feel like every time that Eli [Manning] goes to Dallas... I feel like Eli Manning always plays well in Dallas, and I feel like the Sunday night game is when he has, like, the buzz, like, is Eli Manning? Is he back?

The Giants lost 20-13 to the Cowboys in that game and Eli had a mediocre performance (zero TDs, 1 fumble lost).
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 7, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-0907-3546
Big CatBig Cat

The Bengals will be a good value this year

I'm also buying the Bengals this year. I think this is the perfect year for the Bengals to get Marvin Lewis another seven years. Joe Mixon, John Ross, A.J. Green, I actually think they're going to score points.

The Bengals went 6-10 and Marvin Lewis was finally fired at the end of the season.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 7, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-0907-3547
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Buccaneers will cover +9.5 against the Saints

For my underdog I'm going with the Buccaneers... They're plus nine and a half at New Orleans. This is one of the situations where every bone in my body says to take New Orleans so I'm going to fade myself and I'm going with the Buccaneers.

The Buccaneers famously won this game outright 48-40 in 'Fitzmagic' fashion.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 7, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-0907-3548
Big CatBig Cat

I am not a Patrick Mahomes guy

I want to be on the record that I am not a Mahomes guy. Okay. Put me on the record. Put me in the history books.

Mahomes won the MVP in 2018 and became the face of the NFL.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 26, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-0126-18548
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Josh Allen will be out of the NFL by 2020

My number one overall pick in the XFL draft is Josh Allen. Quarterback Wyoming... And he won't be in the league [NFL] by 2020.

Josh Allen became a top-tier NFL quarterback and remains a superstar well past 2020.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 22, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-1222-4947
HankHank

Lock of the Week: Jaguars -4.5 vs 49ers

I have the Jags. Blake Bortles. [The spread] is four and a half, by the way. Minus four and a half.

The 49ers beat the Jaguars 44-33.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 22, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-1222-4950
Big CatBig Cat

Lock of the Week: Chiefs -10 vs Dolphins

I'm going to take the Chiefs. I think the Chiefs have figured it out. Minus 10 Dolphins in Kansas City. Dolphins already won the Super Bowl. Beat the Patriots on Monday night. So this is all just gravy.

The Chiefs beat the Dolphins 29-13, covering the 10-point spread.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 8, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-1208-11183
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Packers will beat the Browns by double digits in Week 14

I think this is prime. Oh, wow. You want to put a lock on it? Yeah. It is now. ... I'm going to take the Packers. This is where they start their run, and they're going to piss everybody off, and then they're going to win a playoff game.

The Packers won the game 27-21 in overtime. PFT's prediction of a double-digit win was incorrect.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 8, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-1208-11184
HankHank

The Browns will beat the Packers in Week 14

I'm going to lock back on you. I'm going to take the Browns. ... Oh, fuck. Your last name's Lockwood. That makes your locks. Double lock. ... I'm locked up. All you listeners out there, go with Hank.

The Browns lost to the Packers 27-21 in overtime.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 8, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-1208-11185
Big CatBig Cat

The Raiders vs. Chiefs game is a loser-leaves-town game and the Chiefs will lose

It is officially a loser leaves town game because I think the loser of that game is done, and I think the Chiefs are probably going to lose.

The Chiefs actually beat the Raiders 26-15, went on to win the AFC West, and made the playoffs.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 8, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-1208-11186
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jaguars will beat the Seahawks and prove they are for real

I'm just going to call it right now. The Jaguars are going to beat the Seahawks at home. And then afterwards, you know what the big talk of the town is going to be? ... These Jags are for real.

The Jaguars beat the Seahawks 30-24 and eventually reached the AFC Championship game that season.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 17, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-1117-3567
Big CatBig Cat

The Chargers will be the best team to not make the playoffs this season

I'm taking the Chargers, minus four, the best team to not make the playoffs. ... I stand by that. They have an unbelievable pass rush. Phil Rivers, they almost win every single game. They're going to be the best team that doesn't make the playoffs.

The Chargers finished 9-7 and missed the playoffs on a tiebreaker with the Bills and Titans. They were widely considered the best team to miss the 2017 postseason.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 3, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-1103-7440
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm taking the Giants +3.5 at home against the Rams

I'm taking the Giants at home, plus three and a half against our man's Jared Goff. This is just one of those situations where you take the worst team you can find if they're home dogs.

The Rams blew out the Giants 51-17, so the Giants did not cover the +3.5 spread.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 3, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-1103-7442
Big CatBig Cat

I'm taking the Broncos +8 on the road against the Eagles

I'm going with the Denver Broncos. Plus eight in Philadelphia. That's one of those games where you just look at it and you're like, this is the dumbest pick ever, so that's why it might win.

The Eagles destroyed the Broncos 51-23. Denver did not cover.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 27, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-1027-8373
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chargers' game against New England is a trap game for the Patriots

I'm going with the Chargers... on the road against New England. This is a trap game for New England. I don't really know what trap game means, but when you say it's a trap game, you sound smart.

The Patriots beat the Chargers 21-13 on October 29, 2017. New England covered the spread, so the trap did not spring.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 20, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-1020-6276
Big CatBig Cat

I'm taking the Packers +4.5 at home against the Saints

I'm taking the Packers. Ooh, okay, I like that. Plus four and a half at home. Everyone loves the Saints. The Saints... Be careful, my friends.

The Saints beat the Packers 26-17 on October 22, 2017. The Saints covered the 4.5 point spread.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 20, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-1020-6278
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm taking the Eagles at home against the Redskins

I'm going to go with the Eagles at home against the R-Words. Ooh, Monday night.

The Eagles beat the Redskins 34-24 on October 23, 2017.
Push
Take Slip·Oct 13, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-1013-18751
Big CatBig Cat

Cam Newton stinks again

Cam Newton stinks again. Well, that's not entirely true. Okay. He kind of stinks. He likes to go up and down. I feel like when Cam, when everyone's like, ooh, Cam's putting it all together. He's like, hey, guys, watch this. Hey, hold my avocado. Watch this. Because he's a millennial. He's going to fucking just throw three interceptions and look like trash.

Newton's 2017 season was uneven; he threw 22 TDs and 16 INTs, a decline from his MVP peak but far from 'stinking' (he led them to the playoffs).
Win
Take Slip·Oct 13, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-1013-18752
HankHank

Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears will cover +6.5 against the Ravens

Taking our boy, Mitchell. Mitchell Trubisky. Plus six and a half... The Bears, are we sure they're bad with Mitchell Trubisky? This is a breakout game. They've covered the spread.

Correct. The Bears beat the Ravens 27-24 in overtime, covering the +6.5 spread easily.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 6, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-1006-7123
HankHank

I love the Packers moneyline and spread against the Cowboys

Love, love, love the Packers. Plus two. I love Moneyline. I love them straight up... Love the spread, love the money line.

The Packers won outright, covering both the spread and the moneyline.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 6, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-1006-7124
Big CatBig Cat

The Cleveland Browns will win at least two games this season

Could the Browns go two and 14? The Browns could... they could win two games... I'm going to cross my mind on the Will They Win 4 games, but two games? Still could do it.

The Browns went 0-16, failing to win even a single game.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 29, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-0929-15923
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Lock of the Week: Ravens +3 at home against the Steelers

I'm going to go with the Baltimore Ravens. Home dogs. Plus three. ... If I know Joe Flacco, and I know him pretty well, this is one of the weeks that he comes out and he has like three touchdowns and 320 yards.

The Steelers beat the Ravens 26-9 on Oct 1, 2017. Flacco had 1 TD and 2 INTs, far from the 3 TD prediction.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 29, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-0929-15924
HankHank

Lock of the Week: Rams +6 and outright win vs. Cowboys

I like the Los Angeles Rams, plus six. I think they're going to win that game outright. [They are playing] the Cowboys.

The Rams beat the Cowboys 35-30 on Oct 1, 2017. Hank nailed the outright win.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 29, 2017·Picks
#PMT-2017-0929-15925
Big CatBig Cat

Lock of the Week: Jaguars -3 vs. Jets

I'm going to go with the Jaguars. Minus three. In New York. ... I think Blake Bortles, there's no way he can regress. I think he finally took the step forward and he'll never take a step back again.

The Jets beat the Jaguars 23-20 in OT on Oct 1, 2017. Bortles had 140 passing yards and 1 INT.
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