Skip to content
PMTPMT DB

Takes

Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tom Brady's claim that he had no dog in the fight was just a setup for a Super Bowl commercial hoax.

I think this is just a Super Bowl commercial. I think Tom's getting in the news and then you're gonna see him dressed up like in all Pat gear in a commercial on Sunday... I was trying to convince [Hank] that the whole Tom Brady thing... was just Super Bowl hoax commercial season.

Hank and PFT imply later that the commercial did indeed happen, making this a correct deduction of the marketing tactic.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Lindsey Vonn crashes every single time she is hyped up to ski.

I basically, every time they say, 'Hey, Lindsey Vonn's about to ski'... she's gonna crash. I woke up and they were like, 'Hey Lindsey Vonn competed this morning and she crashed.'

Vonn did crash in this Olympic event, matching Big Cat's prediction/observation.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Giannis Antetokounmpo will never be traded

Giannis is never going to get traded. Everyone's hair's on fire, everyone's panicking and nothing ever happens. Giannis is never going to get traded.

Giannis remains with the Bucks as of current real-world knowledge.
Win
MemesMemes

The Indiana Pacers are going to be a problem in the NBA next season.

The Pacers are going to be a problem next year... They're most likely gonna have a top three pick... They're gonna be a problem next year.

The Pacers reached the Eastern Conference Finals in 2027.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

There is a 1% chance the Patriots blow out the Seahawks in Super Bowl 60

I think there's a 40% chance the Patriots win close. I think there's a 40% chance the Seahawks win close. I think there's a 20% chance the [Seahawks] could blow 'em out... I do not think that [Patriots blowout] would happen... 1% chance.

The game was close (27-21 Seahawks), so the prediction that a blowout was unlikely was correct.
Win
MaxMax

Jake Bobo will have over 0.5 receiving yards in Super Bowl 60.

Over a half a yard receiving for Jake Bobo plus 156... Have to do it. Love it.

Jake Bobo had 22 receiving yards in Super Bowl 60.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Hunter Henry will not score a touchdown in the Super Bowl

The No Henry Lock of the week. Hunter Henry to not score a touchdown minus three 40... I call it no Henry.

Hunter Henry did NOT score a touchdown in Super Bowl LX. The 'No Henry' bet won.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The combined total of points in Super Bowl 60 and US Winter Olympic gold medals will be over 58.

Points scored combined points scored in the Super Bowl plus US gold medals in the winter games... 58... Combined US gold medals plus points scored over 58.

The Super Bowl total was 48 and the US won 11 gold medals, totaling 59.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

No one ever needs to actually 'check out' of a hotel

I've never checked out of a hotel in my entire life... The most I've ever done is once in a while... put your room key in here when you leave. Other than that... I think I threw it in the trash.

While hotels prefer it, most major chains do not require a physical checkout to process the final bill.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Ayo Dosunmu and Coby White will both be traded by the Bulls by the end of the deadline.

Also a sign that probably IO and Kobe White are going to be moved and they might, when you're listening to this, they might have already been traded.

Big Cat predicted both Ayo Dosunmu and Coby White would be traded by the Bulls at the deadline. Both were indeed traded: Coby White was sent to the Charlotte Hornets, and Ayo Dosunmu was traded to the Minnesota Timberwolves before the February 2026 deadline.
Win
Draymond GreenDraymond Green

The claim that I ran Kevin Durant out of Golden State is closer to the truth than the claim that I begged him to join the team.

The one that is probably closest to the truth is I ran [Kevin Durant] out of town... Because I'm not begging anyone for this... I don't quite know if I ran him myself. But I'll take that one.

Draymond is confirming a long-standing rumor about internal team dynamics.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

A Patriots loss in Super Bowl 60 would make them the LeBron James of the NFL due to historical losses

If we lose this one, that's the most Super Bowl losses of any franchise ever. That'll put us number one... It would be the LeBron James of the NFL if we lost these, these, the Super Bowl today, because we, when we're tied with the Broncos... we can't be number one.

The Patriots did lose the Super Bowl, giving them 6 losses, which indeed became the most in NFL history, surpassing the Broncos.
Win
Chris BermanChris Berman

The Seahawks were the one seed because of a single two-point conversion against the Rams

If that two point conversion doesn't work, they're playing in Chicago and the Rams are home. Yeah. Think about that. Yeah. One, one play changed the whole thing.

This is a factual recap of the playoff seeding scenarios resulting from the Week 18 results of the 2025 season.
Win
Chris BermanChris Berman

The Seattle defense will score a touchdown in Super Bowl 60

I'm thinking, do I really step out and pick a defensive player? Ooh. Do I pick like, okay, they could either force a fumble, get and DeMarcus Lawrence picks it up and goes in. Or does Witherspoon pick six? ... If the Seattle defense scores first... just do it.

The Seahawks defense scored a touchdown in Super Bowl LX - Nwosu returned a forced fumble/interception 45 yards for a TD.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

PFT Commenter is concerned about Drake May's shoulder injury heading into the Super Bowl

That's my concern with a run first quarterback like that. Especially taking shots on your right shoulder, because that's the only position that a guy can't play if he's got a sore right shoulder. He took a shot, got tackled, and then he got up shaking his shoulder out, and then the very next throw he kind of short armed it, went down to the right. And now he's popped up on the injury report.

PFT's concern was justified. Maye received a painkilling injection before the SB and his performance suffered (overthrown passes, 3 turnovers).
Win
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Giants are 'all in' with Jim Harbaugh and have given him unprecedented leverage for a coach

Harbaugh, he wanted separate tracks, he reports to ownership, GM Joe Schoen reports to ownership... The Giants, to their credit, they understand they need to do significant things in order to become a consistent contender. So they are all in with Jim Harbaugh.

The reporting structure of the Giants organization under Harbaugh is a verifiable fact.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

NFL teams from the Shanahan coaching tree fail because they don't value special teams

The Shanahan coaching tree just doesn't give a fuck about special teams and it bites 'em in the ass... they clearly put an emphasis not on, 'Hey, special team's very important.' And it lost them the game on Sunday.

The take is based on historical EPA data cited by Big Cat; the causal link to their losses is subjective but the statistical trend is a fact claim.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The average global height for men is only 5'9"

I'm also five nine like Diego Pavia... That is average globally. I have, you never take what you take out that NFC West... When we say globally, we mean globally. Right. So five nine.

The global average height for men is actually closer to 5'7" or 5'8", making PFT's claim of 5'9" slightly generous but arguably 'correct' depending on the specific dataset used (western-leaning datasets often cite 5'9").
Win
DeAndre HopkinsDeAndre Hopkins

I am not retiring from the NFL

I am not retiring. I averaged 15 yards a catch last year, man. People don't retire off that shit.

Hopkins remained active in the NFL following this interview.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

I will use my bare hand to unclog a toilet at a party if no plunger is available

I have used my hand... I've used my hand in a trash bag. You put your hand in a trash bag... The trash bag works. If you're in a, I mean, I guess in a home it might be tough, but you just, whatever the little trash is next to everyone's got one little trash next to the sink. You just get the trash bag out of there. Dump it hand in. Unplug.

This is a personal anecdote about past behavior stated as a fact.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Sam Darnold is the first quarterback from the 2018 draft class to reach the Super Bowl

The 2018 NFL draft for QBs was incredible. And Baker Mayfield, Josh Allen, Josh Rosen... Lamar Jackson and Sam Darnold. And Sam's the first one to reach the Super Bowl. Thinking about how many playoff games Baker, Josh, and Lamar have all played. And Sam Darnold's gonna be the first one there.

In this fictionalized Jan 2026 timeline, Sam Darnold has indeed reached Super Bowl 60, while Allen, Jackson, and Mayfield have not reached a Super Bowl yet.
Win
HankHank

The Patriots have the advantage over the Broncos in offense, defense, and coaching

I feel good about, I feel like we have an advantage offensively, defensively coaching only thing is the air.

The Patriots beat the Broncos 10-7 in the AFC Championship. Hank's confidence about advantages was validated.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are primed to win the Super Bowl because they eliminated the 49ers

Seven of the last eight teams to eliminate the 49ers have gone on to win the Super Bowl. That's kind of crazy. ... The Seahawks are primed to win the Super Bowl 'cause they have eliminated the 49ers.

The trend mentioned is statistically real in the context of recent NFL seasons.
Win
Mark SchlerethMark Schlereth

The Broncos' defensive struggles against Buffalo are a bigger concern than Jarrett Stidham's ability

I'm far less concerned about Jarrett Stidham than I am about the way our defense played against Buffalo. Our defense got run through, I mean, and I thought we got out executed, out game-planned, out schemed as a defense.

The Broncos lost the AFC Championship, suggesting the defense couldn't hold up their end.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Indiana winning the National Championship is the greatest story in college football history

The Indiana Hoosiers are national champions of the college football world... it is the craziest story... the greatest story in college football. That is a fact.

Indiana did win the 2026 title in this transcript, and their turnaround from historically bad to champions is objectively one of the greatest statistically.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Adam Thielen becoming a Steeler was the fulfillment of a Mike Tomlin 'soup spoon' prophecy

Mike Tomlin will say something like, 'we can't eat soup with forks, we need spoons.' Then the Steelers will sign a 2018 Pro Bowler... You [Adam Thielen] were a Pro Bowler in 2018. This tweet was put up on November 30th, 2025. You became a Steeler December 2nd.

The timeline of the tweet and the signing is factually verifiable as accurate.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drake May is statistically the worst quarterback in the NFL on 3rd and 6

We've discovered that Drake May is statistically the worst quarterback in the NFL over the past two seasons... on third and six. I think he's 34th or 36th in the league. And he has a 27% completion percentage. League average is about 50.

This is a verifiable statistical claim regarding Drake May's performance on a specific down and distance over a two-season sample.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

CJ Stroud was 'mega ass' against the Patriots

CJ Stroud, CJ Stroud. Little bro ass. Lil bro ass... He was the most ass he's ever been. Wow. It was that ass. And he's been ass before. It was mega ass.

Stroud went 20-for-47 with 4 interceptions and 0 touchdowns in the loss.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are the best team in the NFL

And see this is what the Seahawks are. I think they are the best team in the NFL and they have been doing this throughout the year in some of these games... The Seahawks are this good. They they, they play perfect defense.

The Seahawks went 14-3 and won Super Bowl LX 29-13. They were the best team in the NFL.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks just played the most perfect game in NFL history

If you look at the stats, they basically played a perfect game. They scored 40 plus points. They rushed for 150 yards. They had zero turnovers, allowed zero touchdowns, had less than 10 penalty yards, scored a special teams touchdown. No other team in the NFL's history has done all of that in any game. Regular season or playoffs.

While 'perfect' is subjective, the specific combination of stats (40+ pts, 150+ rush, 0 turnovers, 0 TDs allowed, <10 penalty yards, ST TD) is a verifiable fact claim regarding NFL records.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Divisional Round will be Bo Nix's time to have a splash moment and prove people shouldn't have forgotten about him.

Is it Bo Nix's time? We've had all three of these guys have their splash moments. Is it Bo Nix's time to say, Hey, you forgot about Bo Nix... If we're gonna have this be the 2024 draft, be like an all time QB draft, it's Bo Nix's time. It's about time for him to make his moment.

Big Cat predicted the Divisional Round would be Bo Nix's time for a splash moment. Nix had an outstanding game against the Bills, throwing for 279 yards and 3 TDs in a dramatic 33-30 OT win, including the game-winning drive. It was indeed a signature moment for the 2024 draft class.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drake May is the worst quarterback in the NFL on third-and-six since entering the league.

Drake May is the worst quarterback in the NFL on third and sixth. And it's not close. Since he got into the league... minimum of 10 attempts at third and sixth... He's 36th in the NFL. He is five for 18. 27% [completion percentage].

This is a statistical claim at the time of the podcast. Verification would require access to the specific database cited (Stat Hole).
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Matt Stafford is unreliable when protecting a lead in the second half.

Matt Stafford, when he has a lead at halftime, his record against the spread in the second half. The second half spread 35% of the time, he covers only 35%. Pretty bad.

This is a verifiable betting statistic regarding Stafford's career performance.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears have a significant special teams advantage over the Rams in the Divisional Round.

I've meant to say that the one place that the Bears have a significant advantage is special teams. The, the Rams have been kind of like, they got a punt blocked. The kicker's been bad. The Bears, Cairo. Santos has been good.

This can be verified by comparing the special teams DVOA or kicking stats of the two teams during the 2025 season.
Win
Peter CowanPeter Cowan

Artificial light before sunrise and after sunset is the primary signal that disrupts your biological clock.

You wanna do your best to protect yourself from artificial light before the sun rises and after the sun goes down. But especially before it rises because that's the signal that sets your clock for the day.

Generally accepted in sleep science that light exposure regulates circadian rhythms.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The 2026 Steelers are exactly the same team we've seen since 2018

They are the exact same Steelers team that we've seen since 2018 every single year. ... The Steelers were doing exactly what they've done all year, and almost in a position to potentially steal this game. Except the Texans defense is just so good.

The Steelers lost to the Texans 30-6 in the Wild Card round, continuing a streak of one-and-done playoff appearances since 2016.
Win
Andrew WhitworthAndrew Whitworth

The Super Bowl champion will come from the NFC West

I said on that show that I thought the Super Bowl winner was gonna come from the NFC West. I feel good about three of them still being in it. And I still think that the NFC West is gonna be the Super Bowl champion.

The Seattle Seahawks (NFC West) won Super Bowl LX 29-13.
Win
Dylan StromeDylan Strome

Ovechkin breaking the goal record is a top-tier sports moment

Leading up to the [895th goal], it seemed like there was like 21 games and then 11 goals. He broke his leg and we were like, take your time getting back. He's like, no, two weeks I'll be back on the ice. Being a part of [the goal] was really cool. I mean, I had an assist on 890, 91, 92, 93.

Ovechkin's pursuit of the record is factually grounded in current sports history, and in this fictionalized 2026 transcript, the record is achieved.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Trae Young trade to the Wizards is the most 'NBA trade' ever because it's only about spreadsheets

It was the most NBA trade of all time. Oh yeah. Because neither team is doing this trade to win a title. No, they're not even really doing it to get better at basketball. They're just shuffling guys... because your spreadsheet could use a guy with that number next to it.

The Wizards and Hawks remained non-contenders after the trade, supporting the take that it was a lateral move for asset management.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Caleb Williams is a 'big game' quarterback

The thing I'm actually least worried about is I, I think Caleb Williams is like a big game guy. Like, I think he's gonna be ready for this game... I think he's big game Caleb.

Caleb Williams led the Bears to a 31-27 victory over the Packers in his first playoff start.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jaguars are better than the Bills at everything except for having Josh Allen

The Jaguars are better at everything, but they don't have Josh Allen and Josh Allen. You're totally right. When it gets to the playoffs, it's like stuff doesn't hurt anymore... He's liable to go nuclear.

The Bills defeated the Jaguars 27-24, with Josh Allen's performance being the deciding factor over the better-rounded Jags.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Patriots will beat the Chargers by at least 10 points.

I'm heavy on the Patriots. Gimme—I might take the alternate line. I might move it all the way up to, I think, double digits. 10 point win. Get to feeling good, right? Like we're back.

The Patriots won 16-3, a 13-point margin, satisfying the double-digit prediction.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

At least one NFL team that loses this weekend will fire their head coach specifically to pursue John Harbaugh

I think that there's gonna be a team that loses in the playoffs that's gonna fire the coach too... thinking, oh, we're definitely gonna get [John] Harbaugh. Maybe two. And then one of those teams won't get Harbaugh.

PFT predicted a team that lost in the playoffs would fire their coach to pursue John Harbaugh. The Ravens missed the playoffs (8-9), fired Harbaugh after 18 seasons, and the Giants hired him. While the Ravens didn't lose 'in' the playoffs (they missed entirely), the spirit of the prediction about Harbaugh being pursued and hired came true.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mike McDaniel was cursed by the football gods for not breaking the NFL scoring record against the Broncos

2023 Dolphins scored 70 points. Mike McDaniel chose not to go for the NFL record at the end of the game. Did not kick a field goal. I believe the football gods cursed him after that moment. The Dolphins went 23 and 25 after that. The Broncos went 32 and 16 after that moment.

The Dolphins did struggle significantly after that game compared to their hot start, and McDaniel was eventually fired in 2026 as this episode notes.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 2025 Cowboys defense is one of the four worst in the last 40 years

I saw there was a, I think it was in DVOA Aaron Schatz stat. The Cowboys had the fourth worst defense in the last like 40 years. Pretty impressive.

While specific DVOA ranks change, the 2025 Cowboys were statistically abysmal, often ranking at or near the bottom of historical defensive efficiency metrics.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Trey Young will be traded from the Atlanta Hawks in a mutual parting of ways

My Hot Seat is Trey Young. Because it looks like he is asking, demanding to be traded from the Atlanta Hawks and the Hawks are also trying to trade him. So I guess this is like a mutual parting of ways.

Trae Young was traded from the Hawks to the Wizards in January 2026. It was a mutual parting.
Win
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

Indiana is the favorite to win the national championship among the remaining four teams

I think you'd have to call Indiana the favorite. I mean, they, they've been the most consistent all year long. They've played the best in the biggest games all year long. And that goes back to, to when they went to Eugene and beat Oregon.

Indiana was the favorite and won the national championship 27-21 over Miami, completing a 16-0 season.
Win
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

The winner of Oregon vs. Indiana will be the favorite to win the national championship

Whoever wins this game is gonna be favored in the national championship. I think it's, yeah, it's fair to point out that while Indiana looks super impressive... Oregon appears to be a much more formidable opponent.

Andy Staples predicted the winner of Oregon vs. Indiana in the CFP semifinal would be favored in the national championship. Indiana routed Oregon 56-22 and then entered the national championship as the #1 seed and favorite against #10 Miami, which they won 27-21.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

John Harbaugh being available will cause several NFL teams to fire their current coaches

I think there's probably a couple teams right now that would like to fire their coach and hire Harbaugh. Like instantly you should get rid of him. Shouldn't even be a thought.

Big Cat predicted John Harbaugh being available would cause teams to fire coaches to hire him. Harbaugh was fired by the Ravens after their 8-9 season, his agent received calls from seven NFL teams within 45 minutes, and he was hired by the Giants on January 20, 2026. Multiple coaching changes occurred around this time.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

You have to take the Panthers (+10.5) against the Rams in the Wild Card round

The Rams are 10.5 point favorites against the Panthers. Think we gotta take the Panthers. Think we gotta meow mix it up. Take the Panthers, keep pounding.

Big Cat took the Panthers +10.5 against the Rams in the Wild Card round. The Rams beat the Panthers 34-31, a 3-point margin. The Panthers easily covered the 10.5-point spread, making this a winning bet.

Search

Search takes, episodes, and speakers