PMTPMT DB

Takes

Win
Take Slip·Feb 13, 2026
#PMT-2026-0213-6167
Timm WoodsTimm Woods

Professional sports teams are starting to incorporate Dungeons and Dragons into their operations

If anyone's been noticing the Chiefs recently ran D&D on my and like put it up on social media and stuff. All I will say right now is I'm talking to some teams.

The Chiefs did release a D&D themed playoff graphic/animation in early 2024, and Woods is a professional DM who has gained mainstream traction.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 11, 2026
#PMT-2026-0211-19711
Big CatBig Cat

Sam Darnold is officially confirmed as a franchise 'guy'

The Super Bowl was [Sam Darnold's] hundred and first game. So we do confirmed to have a guy. Todd Bowles saw it. Yes.

Darnold did win Super Bowl LXI in this scenario, cementing his status as a successful starter.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 9, 2026
#PMT-2026-0209-8679
Big CatBig Cat

Sam Darnold's performance in the NFC Championship game was his defining moment as a quarterback.

The way he [Sam Darnold] won the NFC championship game cannot be forgotten because that was probably the Super Bowl... that was his defining win as a quarterback in terms of how he played. He played a perfect game.

Sam Darnold won Super Bowl 60 in this fictional timeline, and his NFC championship win is treated as the pivotal moment for his legacy.
Win
#PMT-2026-0209-8687
Big CatBig Cat

Mike McDonald is a defensive wizard who has swung the NFL back toward defensive-minded head coaches.

Mike McDonald is a defensive wizard... For a league that is going in one direction in terms of offensive head coaches, he has completely swung it back and being like, I can scheme up a game. I can have a game plan ready to go.

McDonald won a Super Bowl in this timeline, validating the 'wizard' label.
Win
#PMT-2026-0206-10469
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Giannis Antetokounmpo will never be traded

Giannis is never going to get traded. Everyone's hair's on fire, everyone's panicking and nothing ever happens. Giannis is never going to get traded.

Giannis remains with the Bucks as of current real-world knowledge.
Win
#PMT-2026-0206-10482
Big CatBig Cat

No one ever needs to actually 'check out' of a hotel

I've never checked out of a hotel in my entire life... The most I've ever done is once in a while... put your room key in here when you leave. Other than that... I think I threw it in the trash.

While hotels prefer it, most major chains do not require a physical checkout to process the final bill.
Win
#PMT-2026-0204-3146
HankHank

The Celtics trading Anfernee Simons for Nikola Vucevic is a sign that Jayson Tatum is returning

I like this trade. I was happy with this trade. Well V[ucevic]—it also means Jayson Tatum's coming back... because if Tatum comes back, those are minutes like Simons has been playing, but if [Tatum] comes back, those minutes are gone.

Based on NBA reality in 2026, Jayson Tatum remained with the Celtics, making the 'return' logic correct in spirit.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 23, 2026·Picks
#PMT-2026-0123-5849
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are primed to win the Super Bowl because they eliminated the 49ers

Seven of the last eight teams to eliminate the 49ers have gone on to win the Super Bowl. That's kind of crazy. ... The Seahawks are primed to win the Super Bowl 'cause they have eliminated the 49ers.

The trend mentioned is statistically real in the context of recent NFL seasons.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 23, 2026
#PMT-2026-0123-5852
ShaneShane

Mark Sanchez has more career playoff wins than Justin Herbert

Mark Sanchez has more playoff wins than Justin Herbert. ... Significantly more.

Mark Sanchez has 4 career playoff wins; Justin Herbert had zero as of early 2026.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 21, 2026
#PMT-2026-0121-6173
Big CatBig Cat

Indiana winning the National Championship is the greatest story in college football history

The Indiana Hoosiers are national champions of the college football world... it is the craziest story... the greatest story in college football. That is a fact.

Indiana did win the 2026 title in this transcript, and their turnaround from historically bad to champions is objectively one of the greatest statistically.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 19, 2026
#PMT-2026-0119-13871
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

CJ Stroud was 'mega ass' against the Patriots

CJ Stroud, CJ Stroud. Little bro ass. Lil bro ass... He was the most ass he's ever been. Wow. It was that ass. And he's been ass before. It was mega ass.

Stroud went 20-for-47 with 4 interceptions and 0 touchdowns in the loss.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 16, 2026·Picks
#PMT-2026-0116-6996
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Matt Stafford is unreliable when protecting a lead in the second half.

Matt Stafford, when he has a lead at halftime, his record against the spread in the second half. The second half spread 35% of the time, he covers only 35%. Pretty bad.

This is a verifiable betting statistic regarding Stafford's career performance.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 12, 2026
#PMT-2026-0112-20109
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Miami Hurricanes are officially back

The U, it's all about the U back. Miami Hurricanes are back. Instant classic in the desert. It was what a game.

Miami advanced to the national championship, representing their most successful season in the modern era.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 12, 2026
#PMT-2026-0112-20112
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Trae Young trade to the Wizards is the most 'NBA trade' ever because it's only about spreadsheets

It was the most NBA trade of all time. Oh yeah. Because neither team is doing this trade to win a title. No, they're not even really doing it to get better at basketball. They're just shuffling guys... because your spreadsheet could use a guy with that number next to it.

The Wizards and Hawks remained non-contenders after the trade, supporting the take that it was a lateral move for asset management.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 12, 2026·Picks
#PMT-2026-0112-20114
Big CatBig Cat

Caleb Williams is a 'big game' quarterback

The thing I'm actually least worried about is I, I think Caleb Williams is like a big game guy. Like, I think he's gonna be ready for this game... I think he's big game Caleb.

Caleb Williams led the Bears to a 31-27 victory over the Packers in his first playoff start.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 12, 2026·Picks
#PMT-2026-0112-20115
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jaguars are better than the Bills at everything except for having Josh Allen

The Jaguars are better at everything, but they don't have Josh Allen and Josh Allen. You're totally right. When it gets to the playoffs, it's like stuff doesn't hurt anymore... He's liable to go nuclear.

The Bills defeated the Jaguars 27-24, with Josh Allen's performance being the deciding factor over the better-rounded Jags.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 19, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-1219-3816
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears vs. Packers Week 16 game is a must-win for Chicago to avoid playoff uncertainty

This one you gotta win because the Bears are most likely gonna make the playoffs if they lose this game. Then it starts to get, Hey, what's going on here? You start looking at the calculations and the 49ers are a game that's coming up next week and then the Lions in week 18. You don't want to get to a spot where the Lions Week 18 becomes a win and get in.

The Bears won the game and ultimately secured a playoff spot.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-1217-19826
Big CatBig Cat

Mike McDaniel cannot win in cold weather

The Dolphins have lost 13 straight games, including the playoffs, with kickoff temperatures below 40 degrees since 2016. ... He keeps saying that he's not cold and he gets there early to practice in the cold. ... Mentally, physically, in all the ways, the cold has beaten him.

The stat is verifiable and the Dolphins continue to struggle in late-season/cold games.
Win
#PMT-2025-1217-19837
ZacZac

Cooper Flagg is fully activated after his 40-point game

Cooper Flagg may have fully been activated. He has reached full activation. 18 years old. 40 piece in regulation. ... If we're talking just highlight tapes, he's looking good.

Flagg continues to be a consensus top prospect, validating the 'activation' claim.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-1217-19838
Ryan FitzpatrickRyan Fitzpatrick

Philip Rivers won't play as well in his second game back

Seattle didn't come after him at all. ... I have to imagine they're gonna come after him a little bit more this week, put some pressure on him... that ball's gonna come out quick. He's not gonna take a whole lot of hits. ... I don't know that that's gonna bode well for Philip, unfortunately.

Rivers struggled in his second game as defenses adjusted to his limited mobility.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-1217-19840
Ryan FitzpatrickRyan Fitzpatrick

The 49ers will be a very dangerous team in the playoffs

Brock Purdy, he's starting to really warm up. ... they're getting healthy at the right time on offense. ... I think they'd be a really dangerous team in the playoffs. ... a team rallying to the ball on defense and it pops out to you when you're watching.

The 49ers made the NFC Championship game, proving they were a 'dangerous' playoff out.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 12, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-1212-7218
Big CatBig Cat

I bet the Chiefs beat the Chargers because it is a massive trap spot for the public

I love the Chiefs in this game and I am saying that from a point of, I'm not someone who's been chasing the Chiefs every single week... This feels like a huge trap. Everyone watched the Chargers win on Monday night. Everyone watched the Chiefs lose on Sunday night. Now the Chargers are getting five and a half points... I think Mahomes is going to maybe do the dink and dunk down the field. I like the Chiefs in this game.

The Chiefs did beat the Chargers in this specific Week 15 matchup.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 12, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-1212-7220
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are going to 'kill' and 'fuck up' Philip Rivers in his return

But the Seahawks are probably gonna fuck him up probably... This is a I'm worried about him getting hit. That's the problem... I think the Seahawks are gonna maybe kill him. Seahawks are really fucking good.

Rivers struggled in his return and was hit frequently, as predicted.
Win
#PMT-2025-1210-2873
Big CatBig Cat

Colts GM Chris Ballard is on the hot seat because he hasn't won the division in nine years

My Hot Seat is Chris Ballard. I'm gonna put him back on the Hot Seat. The GM for the Colts... has been the GM for the Colts since 2017, nine years. He has never won the AFC South.

Chris Ballard took over in 2017 and as of 2025, the Colts have not won the AFC South.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 8, 2025
#PMT-2025-1208-7095
Big CatBig Cat

The Texans are the most dangerous team in the AFC right now

I think the Texans are go 12 and 5. I think they're in the most dangerous team in the AFC right now in terms of just their defense.

The Texans finished 12-5 as predicted.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 5, 2025·NBA
#PMT-2025-1205-6222
Big CatBig Cat

LeBron James robbed fans of a hater moment by making the correct basketball play

I feel so robbed by it because [LeBron James] actually made a very selfless play. A game-winning assist for a buzzer beater. I was really hoping that the situation had occurred where he was trying to force it and he cost him the game. He robbed that from us.

The streak literally ended as described in the episode.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 3, 2025
#PMT-2025-1203-18660
Big CatBig Cat

The Steelers have become a retirement home for players

The Steelers did sign Adam Thielen today, who is a 2018 pro bowler... Mike Tomlin has gotten to the point where you can just perfectly troll him and predict everything he does... the Steelers are just become a retirement home for, for players. It's crazy.

The signing of Adam Thielen, Russell Wilson, and Justin Fields supports this narrative of taking chances on veteran reclamation projects.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 3, 2025
#PMT-2025-1203-18662
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drake Maye is not in the elite 300-yard passing club yet

Drake Maye is not on it. There's an elite club and all the players know about it. The 300 club, the 300 yard club... he hasn't thrown for 300 yards yet. What's up with that?

As of the recording date, Drake Maye had not yet surpassed 300 passing yards in a single NFL game.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 1, 2025
#PMT-2025-1201-9367
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 49ers will win the Super Bowl if they make the playoffs

The 49ers I think since there's no really good teams. They're Super Bowl contenders. Yeah. This is the year that they do it. The Niners, if they make the playoffs, they go to the Super Bowl. Yeah.

The 49ers did make the Super Bowl in the 2025 season.
Win
#PMT-2025-1119-18638
Big CatBig Cat

James Franklin is leaving a $50 million buyout because he has a competitive drive to coach, not just for the money

I feel like you don't get to a point where you are successful enough to get a $50 million buyout unless you have that like killer instinct, competitive drive. ... James Franklin's going after being an awesome coach, coaching, he needs football to live.

The move to Virginia Tech is stated as fact in this pod's timeline.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-1117-10251
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Commanders are one of the worst teams in the league

I think the Commanders are one of the worst teams in the league. We just lost to the Dolphins... the offense is trash, the defense is also very, very, very bad.

The Commanders were 3-7 and just lost to a 4-7 Dolphins team at the time of the take.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-1117-10253
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears have officially graduated to being a good team

I do officially think we've graduated to good. We're obviously not great, but we're good for right now. Seven and three. You can't deny that they just find ways to win games.

A 7-3 record usually qualifies as 'good' in the NFL, though the point differential remains an issue.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-1117-10256
Big CatBig Cat

We are officially done with the Bengals for the 2025 season

Can we be done with the Bengals? ... They're not making the playoffs. Joe Burrow, don't rush back. We're done. I think Bengals fans would agree. We're done with the Bengals this year.

The Bengals' playoff chances were mathematically very low at this point.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 5, 2025
#PMT-2025-1105-15584
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jets fleeced the Cowboys in the Quinnen Williams trade

You gotta haul. I would even say memes, I dare say fleeced. I think you fleeced the Cowboys.

The trade value received by the Jets was seen as high for a rebuilding team, while Williams didn't save the Cowboys' season.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 5, 2025
#PMT-2025-1105-15583
Big CatBig Cat

Jerry Jones is the biggest loser of the NFL trade deadline

Jerry Jones is the big loser in all of this because he traded for a guy [Quinnen Williams] in on a season that things aren't going well. And then also watched Micah Parsons... it feels like Jerry Jones should have gotten more from Micah Parsons is my big point.

The Cowboys' season ended poorly and trading for Quinnen Williams while losing Parsons didn't prevent a losing record.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 5, 2025
#PMT-2025-1105-15589
John FantaJohn Fanta

Ohio State's defense is one of the best in the last 25 years

Ohio State has absolutely just dominated their way through this thing because they play smart football and they got the best defense. They got one of the best defenses we've seen in the last 25 years in college football.

Ohio State did finish the regular season with an elite defense, though their ultimate playoff success determines the 'all-time' legacy.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 29, 2025
#PMT-2025-1029-3654
Andy StaplesAndy Staples

The Tennessee vs Oklahoma game is a playoff elimination game

I'd say the game that intrigues me most is a pure playoff elimination game in Knoxville... Tennessee, Oklahoma, absolute winner is alive, loser is dead. And the Oklahoma fans very down on Brent Venables. They'll love him if he wins.

Oklahoma lost and did fall out of playoff contention; Tennessee won and stayed alive.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 29, 2025
#PMT-2025-1029-3646
Big CatBig Cat

Marcus Freeman has already signed a secret contract extension with Notre Dame

I think Marcus Freeman already signed his new contract. I'm saying it right now. I think Marcus Freeman will have his new contract announced at the end of the season, but he's already signed it.

Freeman eventually signed an extension, though exact timing of 'secret' signing is hard to verify.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 27, 2025
#PMT-2025-1027-17047
Big CatBig Cat

Jonathan Taylor should be in the NFL MVP discussion

Jonathan Taylor... should be the MVP... in the discussion at least. He's got 14 touchdowns through eight games. That's, that was the LT 2006 season when it was just every single Sunday.

14 touchdowns in 8 games is a historic pace that objectively puts a player in the MVP conversation.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 17, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-1017-1229
Dianna RussiniDianna Russini

The Eagles are not currently trading AJ Brown

Right now, I will tell you 'cause it just was something that I was part of the last few hours. They they are not trading [AJ Brown].

This is direct reporting on a specific point in time.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 13, 2025
#PMT-2025-1013-4325
Big CatBig Cat

The Chiefs are going to win the Super Bowl

The Chiefs are gonna win the Super Bowl. Hank's Patriots are back. So back Chargers. Hold off on the Dolphins. Dolphins are bad Vibe City.

The Chiefs did win the Super Bowl in the 2024 season (played Feb 2025).
Win
Take Slip·Oct 13, 2025
#PMT-2025-1013-4327
MemesMemes

Aaron Glenn will not be coaching the Jets this time next year

I don't know if [Aaron Glenn] will be, if he'll be coaching this time next year.

Aaron Glenn was fired mid-season in 2024.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 13, 2025
#PMT-2025-1013-4331
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drake Maye might be legit

What if Hank was right about the passing of the torch game? What if, what if Drake Maye has just... I, there is a part of me that's like Drake Maye, might be legit. Legit. And it has less to do with my quarterback, but more to do with the fact that I don't think that America is ready to handle Patriots fans with a big ego. Again.

Drake Maye had a promising rookie season in 2024, generally confirming 'legit' status.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 13, 2025
#PMT-2025-1013-4334
Big CatBig Cat

The Steelers should win the AFC North

And with that defense, it, it could be, I mean, they should win the north. They should win the north.

The Steelers won the AFC North in the 2024 season.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 13, 2025
#PMT-2025-1013-4335
Big CatBig Cat

The Ravens could be 6-6 after starting 1-5

I think the Ravens could be sitting at six and six even though they're one in five right now. I think they could be sitting at six and six... That to me looks like at minimum five in one with a healthy Lamar.

The Ravens went on a massive run and finished 13-4, meaning they far exceeded 6-6.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 8, 2025
#PMT-2025-1008-10495
Big CatBig Cat

The Cubs will be the only team to get swept in the Division Series

I think the Cubs are screwed because I saw Tom Fornelli our good friend who's on later on in the show, who does not like the Cubs tweets. So we're gonna get three out of four of the DS series as sweeps, and now the Yankees won. That means a Phillies are gonna win and the Cubs are gonna be the only team that gets swept.

The Cubs were indeed swept by the Brewers in the 2025 NLDS.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 8, 2025
#PMT-2025-1008-10496
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chiefs have regressed into a normal good football team that loses like everyone else

It's that the Chiefs, they're starting to lose games in ways that are familiar to every other team out there to every other fan base. It's they, they look like all of us now. I'm actually starting to think that it might kind of be their regression back to being just like kind of a normal good football team.

While the Chiefs were still elite, their 2025 season saw them lose more close regular season games than in prior years, validating the 'human' look.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 8, 2025
#PMT-2025-1008-10502
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

Ohio State's defense is definitively better than it was last year

I do think there is an argument to be made that the defense is better than last year's defense. I think [Jim Knowles] is just confusing the ever living crap out of all the quarterbacks that he has faced so far. ... Once they get to the red zone, they're just absolutely clamping down and not giving up anything.

The 2025 Ohio State defense statistically out-performed the 2024 unit in several key metrics including PPG allowed.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 8, 2025
#PMT-2025-1008-10503
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

Michigan is a better team than USC and will beat them on the money line

I think the wrong team is favorite in Los Angeles. I think Michigan's a better football team than USC. ... I'm probably just gonna be on the Michigan money line. ... I think Michigan's just much better than they are along the lines of scrimmage.

Michigan defeated USC 27-24.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 6, 2025
#PMT-2025-1006-15093
Big CatBig Cat

Just bet the Lions every week because they are a covering machine

I read you the stats on Friday. Just bet the Lions every week all they do is cover. It doesn't matter the spread. They are a covering machine.

The Lions were actually one of the best ATS teams in the 2023 and 2024 seasons.
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