PMTPMT DB

Takes

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Take Slip·Mar 20, 2019
#PMT-2019-0320-14323
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Duke will not reach the championship game because their three-point percentage is too low

Duke's three-point percentage is 30.2. It is the lowest in Division I men's basketball... no team, I repeat, no team has ever gotten to the championship game with a three-point percentage that low.

Duke lost in the Elite Eight to Michigan State, failing to reach the championship game.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 18, 2019
#PMT-2019-0318-948
Big CatBig Cat

Oregon will beat Wisconsin in a massive 12-over-5 upset

Check out that Oregon-Wisconsin game, which is a one-and-a-half-point underdog for Oregon. Huge upset coming.

Oregon (12) beat Wisconsin (5) 72-54 on March 22, 2019.
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Take Slip·Mar 15, 2019
#PMT-2019-0315-1949
Fran FraschillaFran Fraschilla

Duke will not advance past the Elite Eight if Zion Williamson doesn't play

No. No, I don't. I think this kid is so dominant, guys, that if the world was fair, and it may still happen, but I would vote for him... National Player of the Year.

Zion played, and Duke still failed to advance past the Elite Eight.
Win
#PMT-2019-0315-1953
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

It would be more shocking if an LSU basketball coach was not cheating

Again, I would be more shocked if the LSU basketball coach wasn't cheating. I saw blue chips.

Will Wade was eventually fired in 2022 after extensive evidence of recruiting violations came to light.
Win
#PMT-2019-0306-10721
Big CatBig Cat

I guarantee the Virginia Cavaliers will make the Elite Eight

I have decided that I'm going to take the Virginia Cavaliers for real. I'm guaranteeing an Elite Eight appearance. Because they'll get a one seed... they'll get a one seed, and I think Duke will get a one seed, and the only team that can beat him is Duke.

Virginia didn't just make the Elite Eight; they won the 2019 National Championship.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 27, 2019
#PMT-2019-0227-704
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Roy Williams has been a better coach than Coach K since 2003

Three NCAA titles as opposed to Dukes' two since Roy Williams went to UNC. ... UNC has five Final Fours as opposed to Dukes' three since Roy Williams got there. And UNC has eight regular season titles to Dukes' three since Roy Williams got there.

The stats cited were correct as of Feb 2019 regarding titles and Final Four appearances since 2003.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 22, 2019
#PMT-2019-0222-13001
Big CatBig Cat

Zion Williamson will return for the NCAA Tournament

I think Zion should sit and then come back for the tournament and, in the words of Billy McFarland, just fuck it, let's be legends.

Zion returned on March 14, 2019, for the ACC tournament and played in the NCAA tournament.
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Take Slip·Feb 15, 2019
#PMT-2019-0215-13374
HankHank

If Duke doesn't reach the Sweet 16, I will buy and keep a cat

Sweet 16, you got a deal... So if Trey Jones is injured, they'll still get to the Sweet 16... No, you guys definitely fucking planned this before the show... I'm so confident in Duke that it doesn't matter.

Duke reached the Elite Eight in 2019, meaning Hank did NOT have to get the cat (though the 'Hank's Pussy' name lived on in show lore).
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Take Slip·Feb 6, 2019
#PMT-2019-0206-5454
Mark TitusMark Titus

This is finally Virginia's year to win it all

I actually believe in Virginia this time. Honest to God, hand to God... This is their year. No, I don't know if they're going to win. Their offense is better this year than it has been every year.

Virginia won the 2019 National Championship after the UMBC upset the year prior.
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Take Slip·Feb 6, 2019
#PMT-2019-0206-5455
Mark TitusMark Titus

No Big Ten team is good enough to win the national championship this year

I don't think the Big Ten has a team good enough to win the national championship if they're here. I really don't.

No Big Ten team won the title in 2019 (Michigan State made the Final Four but lost).
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Take Slip·Feb 6, 2019
#PMT-2019-0206-5456
Mark TitusMark Titus

Rick Pitino will get another job but not at a power conference

I think he is going to get a job eventually though... he'll pop up somewhere he's gonna he's gonna go to some tiny ass school and someone's going to write the article, like probably Dickie V, about how Rick Pitino is, you know, he's changing his image.

Pitino eventually took the job at Iona (a mid-major) in 2020 before returning to a major conference (St. John's) later.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 21, 2018
#PMT-2018-1121-2917
Big CatBig Cat

James Wiseman is going to sign with Memphis

He's going to sign with Memphis on Tuesday... He's going to sign with Memphis.

James Wiseman did sign with Memphis on November 20, 2018.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 5, 2018
#PMT-2018-0905-12055
Big CatBig Cat

Rick Pitino is finished but not done with coaching

Rick Pitino says in that book, Rick Pitino believes it's unlikely he will return to coaching. He's finished. He has said it himself. He's finished. I think he's finished but not done. It will only take a little bit of time for him to come back. Give him 20 minutes and he won't be finished anymore. He'll be ready to go again.

PredictionCBBMediumSarcastic
Correct. Pitino returned to coach Iona in 2020 and St. John's in 2023.
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Take Slip·Apr 4, 2018
#PMT-2018-0404-3721
Big CatBig Cat

Villanova is a basketball death squad

Villanova is a fucking death squad of a basketball team. There was a moment... when Michigan was up... and then Dante DiVincenzo showed up and basically... it's like that's it for Michigan. I'll tell you, you've never seen a team be up so fast so early and then know the instant the game was over even though it was still a tie game.

Villanova won the 2018 title decisively, 79-62.
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Take Slip·Apr 2, 2018
#PMT-2018-0402-4245
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Michigan will lose to Villanova by at least 10 points in the National Championship

Michigan had like a five-minute run in the second half of their game against Loyola where they looked really, really, really good. If they can play that way for the entire game, maybe they'll lose by 10.

Villanova beat Michigan 79-62, a 17-point margin, which makes this prediction correct.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 26, 2018
#PMT-2018-0326-19398
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Villanova is hands down the best team in the tournament

I think they're hands down the best team in the tournament. And they have a ginger that dunks. Which is very deceiving, right? It's like, you have it all. What do you get a team that has it all? You got guys who can shoot. You got guys who can play down low. You got NBA draft picks.

Villanova won the 2018 National Championship, confirming they were the best team.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 23, 2018
#PMT-2018-0323-10178
Big CatBig Cat

College basketball teams should foul earlier because college players cannot hit free throws

The one thing that pisses me off this entire tournament... the fact that teams won't extend games. You should make kids shoot free throws in college. They can't hit free throws. And we saw that later with Kentucky.

Statistically, college free-throw percentages are lower than NBA ones, and in this specific tournament, several games turned on missed free throws (like Kentucky).
Win
Take Slip·Mar 23, 2018
#PMT-2018-0323-10182
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Gonzaga is the 'always a bridesmaid, never a Cinderella' of college basketball

I guess we have to smash the fraud button on Gonzaga. Always a bridesmaid, never a Cinderella.

Gonzaga has reached two national championship games (2017, 2021) but has yet to win a title, supporting the 'bridesmaid' part of the take.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 23, 2018
#PMT-2018-0323-10184
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Michigan looks as good or better than any team in the tournament except Villanova and Duke

Michigan looks as good, if not better than any team except for Villanova this tournament. And well, Duke.

Michigan reached the National Championship game in 2018, where they eventually lost to Villanova.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 21, 2018
#PMT-2018-0321-3946
Big CatBig Cat

Kentucky will overlook their opponents and fail to reach the Final Four

I think something's going to happen in Kentucky. Yes. It's too easy for them, isn't it? Yes. It's just too set up for Kentucky to win the Elite Eight and go to the Final Four. Are they overlooking their opponents?

Kentucky lost to #9 seed Kansas State in the Sweet 16, so the prediction that 'something would happen' and they would fail to make the Final Four was correct.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 19, 2018
#PMT-2018-0319-15382
Big CatBig Cat

The 2018 first weekend was the craziest in NCAA tournament history

I actually I'm gonna say it: it was the craziest first weekend in tournament history. We had the first ever 16 beat a one... you had two seeds that both could have won the tournament, UNC and Cincy, and then you had two three seeds, Michigan State and Tennessee, who lost.

The 2018 tournament is historically cited as one of the most chaotic ever due to the UMBC upset.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 19, 2018
#PMT-2018-0319-15387
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Syracuse zone is the college basketball equivalent of Navy's triple-option offense

I compare the Syracuse zone to Georgia Tech's offense or Navy's offense in football. It's not fun to watch. It's not especially exciting. But it's so much different from everything else that you see all year that a team that plays that zone can beat any team in the country a couple times out of ten.

Syracuse's zone is famously difficult to prepare for in a tournament setting, leading to numerous deep runs as a double-digit seed.
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Take Slip·Mar 19, 2018
#PMT-2018-0319-15393
Dan DakichDan Dakich

Villanova is the best team in the 2018 NCAA tournament

Nova, absolutely. Nova's the best team in the thing so far, I think.

Villanova went on to win the National Championship, winning every game by double digits.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 16, 2018
#PMT-2018-0316-261
Big CatBig Cat

Loyola Chicago is a team of destiny in the NCAA Tournament.

Are we willing to call [Loyola Chicago] our team of destiny yet? Because I'm inching them towards that spot.

Loyola Chicago (an 11 seed) famously went to the Final Four in 2018.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 16, 2018
#PMT-2018-0316-262
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tom Crean will never have an FBI scandal because he is 100% above board.

There's zero chance that Georgia gets caught up in an FBI scandal with Tom Crean. Because that guy is above board 100%.

Tom Crean was never implicated in any FBI or major NCAA scandals during his tenure at Georgia.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 16, 2018
#PMT-2018-0316-266
Brent MusburgerBrent Musburger

Don't bet every game of the NCAA Tournament if you want to win money.

You survive March Madness by not betting every game... You can't bet every game and beat these guys. The lines are too tough.

Betting every game is mathematically disadvantageous for most bettors due to the vig.
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Take Slip·Mar 16, 2018
#PMT-2018-0316-267
Brent MusburgerBrent Musburger

Bet the Under in the first two days of the NCAA Tournament.

Under is usually the first couple of days. I want you to look at. So I'd be careful [of the Over].

In the 2018 tournament, the Under was a strong play in the opening round, going 11-5 on the first full day.
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Take Slip·Mar 14, 2018
#PMT-2018-0314-17661
Mark TitusMark Titus

Virginia is the best team in college basketball but losing DeAndre Hunter is a massive blow

I think [Virginia] were definitely the best team in college basketball... But this injury does matter a lot. DeAndre Hunter was one of the guys that made me optimistic about this Virginia team versus their teams of the past.

Virginia lost to UMBC in the first round without Hunter, a historic upset that validates the take that the injury was critical.
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Take Slip·Mar 14, 2018
#PMT-2018-0314-17663
Mark TitusMark Titus

Xavier is the weakest #1 seed and lucky to be there

Xavier's definitely the weakest one seed. I don't love teams that don't play defense in March... Xavier feels like one of those teams to me that their defense is going to come catch up to them. They're going to look really bad.

Xavier lost in the second round to #9 seed Florida State, confirming Titus's skepticism about them as a #1 seed.
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Take Slip·Mar 14, 2018
#PMT-2018-0314-17665
Mark TitusMark Titus

Villanova will go to the Final Four if they survive the second round

Villanova got a great draw if they can just get over the second-round hump... If you're asking me, is West Virginia better than Villanova, the answer is clearly no. I think it's Villanova.

Villanova won the national championship.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 14, 2018
#PMT-2018-0314-17666
Big CatBig Cat

Purdue is the Toronto Raptors of the NCAA tournament

The Purdue Boilermakers are the Toronto Raptors of the tournament. No matter how good they look in the regular season... they feel like the most unthreatening two-seed in the world.

Purdue lost in the Sweet 16 to Texas Tech. They've historically struggled to reach the Final Four relative to their seeding, maintaining this reputation for years.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 14, 2018
#PMT-2018-0314-17669
Big CatBig Cat

Marshall will pull a first-round upset over Wichita State

I'll call my shot. I'm going to take Marshall over Wichita State.

Marshall (#13) beat Wichita State (#4) 81-75.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 12, 2018
#PMT-2018-0312-9345
Big CatBig Cat

CBS ruined Selection Sunday by using alphabetical order for the bracket reveal

The Selection Sunday show was fucking terrible. They had alphabetical order, which was so stupid. We basically sat there like, what's going on? And then three or four times said, wait, is that team in or out? Because you just keep missing teams and there's no bracket. Then they make you wait for the bracket. Then there's technical difficulties. Fuck everything. They ruined one of the best things in sports.

The reaction was overwhelmingly negative across the sports world, and the format was eventually abandoned.
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Take Slip·Mar 5, 2018
#PMT-2018-0305-16765
Big CatBig Cat

Tom Izzo is on the hot seat if Michigan State doesn't reach the Sweet 16

Final Four or bust, is Tom Izzo on the hot seat? You've got to say, if he gets bounced before the Sweet 16, he's on that hot seat.

Michigan State (a 3-seed) was upset by 11-seed Syracuse in the Round of 32 on March 18, 2018. While Izzo didn't get fired, the prediction of him 'getting bounced' and the subsequent pressure was correct.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 26, 2018
#PMT-2018-0226-8259
Dan DakichDan Dakich

Michigan will likely win the Big Ten tournament

Well, Michigan's playing better than anybody... I'll say they're playing the best... Back to the Big Ten term, don't be surprised if Michigan doesn't win it. Michigan's damn good right now.

Michigan won the 2018 Big Ten tournament, defeating Purdue in the final.
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Take Slip·Feb 23, 2018
#PMT-2018-0223-6213
Matt JonesMatt Jones

Virginia will not win the championship because their style of basketball is too terrible

I can tell you the team that's not going to win. I guarantee you Virginia won't win because God does not allow that terrible form of basketball to win a championship. It's like poking your eyes out with scissors to watch them play.

Virginia lost to UMBC (a 16 seed) in 2018 in a historic upset, making this take seem correct initially, but they won the National Championship in 2019 using the same style.
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Take Slip·Feb 23, 2018
#PMT-2018-0223-6215
Matt JonesMatt Jones

Kentucky fans will be fine with John Calipari if he reaches the Sweet 16 this year

Probably Sweet 16. You get to the Sweet 16, considering how bad they were most of the year, I think fans would be completely fine.

Kentucky made the Sweet 16 in 2018 and lost to Kansas State. The fan base stayed relatively stable after that run.
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Take Slip·Feb 19, 2018
#PMT-2018-0219-13108
Tom CreanTom Crean

Virginia is susceptible to in-game lulls because they don't get to the free throw line enough

Virginia because I really like them but they've got that reputation that they don't commit a lot of fouls well they don't get fouled very much either so like they're not shooting very many free throws and on those nights when you're not making your shots you've got to have something else that you can go to.

This was extremely accurate. Just weeks later, #1 overall seed Virginia lost to #16 seed UMBC in the first round of the NCAA tournament, partially because they went cold from the field and only shot 12 free throws.
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Take Slip·Feb 19, 2018
#PMT-2018-0219-13111
Tom CreanTom Crean

Gonzaga is currently undervalued and capable of a deep tournament run

My initial reaction to that question [dark horse] would be Gonzaga. I think they are really good. I think they can go to the bench. I think Rui Hachimura is a potential breakout star... I really like their team.

Gonzaga entered the tournament as a #4 seed and reached the Sweet 16, where they lost narrowly to Florida State.
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Take Slip·Jan 24, 2018
#PMT-2018-0124-1558
Mark TitusMark Titus

Oklahoma and Trae Young will not make the Final Four because of their defense

Is Trae Young, like, can Trae Young take Oklahoma to a Final Four? No, I don't think [so]. One, I don't think the defense is good enough... In a single elimination, they just don't play good enough defense.

Oklahoma was a #10 seed and lost in the first round to Rhode Island.
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Take Slip·Jan 24, 2018
#PMT-2018-0124-1560
Mark TitusMark Titus

Villanova is clearly the best team in the country

I think [Villanova] is clearly the best team in the country, and they have like six guys who would start on virtually any team, which is kind of incredible to think about.

Villanova dominated the 2018 tournament and won the National Championship.
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Take Slip·Dec 8, 2017
#PMT-2017-1208-11190
Matt JonesMatt Jones

Rick Pitino will lose his $38 million lawsuit against Louisville

Rick Pitino, he is suing Louisville for $38 million. Is he going to win? No.

The lawsuit was settled in 2019. While the terms weren't fully disclosed, Louisville changed his termination from 'for cause' to a 'resignation,' but Pitino did not receive the $38 million he sought. Jones was largely correct that Pitino would not 'win' the jackpot.
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Take Slip·Sep 29, 2017
#PMT-2017-0929-15927
Mark TitusMark Titus

The FBI investigation caught coaches off guard because they thought they were only breaking NCAA rules

I guarantee none of these coaches realized they were breaking actual laws. They thought they were just dealing in the fantasy land of NCAA fake rules. ... They'd lose a scholarship. I guarantee all these guys that are arrested are like, what the fuck? This is a real law?

The subsequent trials and reactions of coaches like Chuck Person and Emanuel Richardson showed they were indeed shocked by federal charges for actions common in recruiting.
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Take Slip·Sep 29, 2017
#PMT-2017-0929-15928
Mark TitusMark Titus

Duke is dirty but Mike Krzyzewski is too powerful to be caught

Duke, so here's my fear with Duke. Duke is dirty as hell... Krzyzewski is such a godfather and has this figured out so well. Like, I think it's impossible to get to him. And I'm sort of worried it's impossible they'll ever get to Cal, too.

Duke and Coach K were never formally indicted or penalized as part of the FBI investigation, supporting Titus's theory of their insulation.
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Take Slip·Sep 29, 2017
#PMT-2017-0929-15929
Matt JonesMatt Jones

The Louisville scandal is brazen because it happened one month after they were put on probation

The part that really affects Louisville is basically an Adidas guy met with a Louisville assistant coach... one month after Louisville had agreed to their probation with the NCAA. One month later, they have him on tape in a hotel meeting with Adidas and saying he needs $100,000 to get a player to Louisville.

This was the factual basis for the FBI's case against the Louisville assistant coaches and the eventual dismissal of Rick Pitino.
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Take Slip·Jun 16, 2017
#PMT-2017-0616-19766
Big CatBig Cat

Louisville will likely have to take down their 2013 championship banner

The sanctions just came down... Five ACC games. And it looks like they might have to take down the banner for the 2013 championship team. We don't know yet.

In 2018, the NCAA officially vacated Louisville's 2013 National Championship title.
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#PMT-2017-0612-13528
Big CatBig Cat

The NCAA basketball championship plaque looks like an employee of the month award

I had three that plaque they give the NCAA basketball champion, which just looks like employee of the month plaque. Like J.D. Power Associates giving Audi their award for best foreign car.

The NCAA championship trophy is indeed a rectangular wood plaque with a gold-colored insert, often criticized for its modest appearance.
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#PMT-2017-0607-9237
Big CatBig Cat

Ohio State's unrealistic coaching wish list is a strategic 'anchoring' move

This is a great move by OSU, though, because if you just throw out the wish list that's just insane, everyone's like, okay, well, that's crazy. And then you get one of those second-tier guys that you probably were a third-tier. Yes, it's called anchoring. Anybody who's negotiated knows this. You ask for way, way more than you should get, then you'll get a little bit more than you deserve.

OSU eventually hired Chris Holtmann from Butler, who was a rising star but not in the 'Coach K' tier, supporting the theory.
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Take Slip·May 31, 2017
#PMT-2017-0531-1521
Tom CreanTom Crean

I want to coach at a championship level again

Well, I want to coach. But I want to coach. I want to go to a championship capacity type program... having the job taken from us like that [at Indiana], I mean, I've never let it get in and take my nerve or create doubt that I can't do this at the highest level.

Crean took the Georgia job in 2018, which is a high-major job, though they did not reach championship heights during his tenure.
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#PMT-2017-0405-14953
Big CatBig Cat

College athletes should be allowed to profit off their own likeness

I do think that a player should be able to profit off their own likeness in some form or fashion. ... Put the money in a blind trust? ... Pay them after they get out of college?

In 2021, the Supreme Court and NCAA eventually allowed athletes to profit from their Name, Image, and Likeness, validating this stance.
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