PMTPMT DB

Takes

Win
Take Slip·Feb 13, 2026
#PMT-2026-0213-6167
Timm WoodsTimm Woods

Professional sports teams are starting to incorporate Dungeons and Dragons into their operations

If anyone's been noticing the Chiefs recently ran D&D on my and like put it up on social media and stuff. All I will say right now is I'm talking to some teams.

The Chiefs did release a D&D themed playoff graphic/animation in early 2024, and Woods is a professional DM who has gained mainstream traction.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 11, 2026
#PMT-2026-0211-19711
Big CatBig Cat

Sam Darnold is officially confirmed as a franchise 'guy'

The Super Bowl was [Sam Darnold's] hundred and first game. So we do confirmed to have a guy. Todd Bowles saw it. Yes.

Darnold did win Super Bowl LXI in this scenario, cementing his status as a successful starter.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 9, 2026
#PMT-2026-0209-8679
Big CatBig Cat

Sam Darnold's performance in the NFC Championship game was his defining moment as a quarterback.

The way he [Sam Darnold] won the NFC championship game cannot be forgotten because that was probably the Super Bowl... that was his defining win as a quarterback in terms of how he played. He played a perfect game.

Sam Darnold won Super Bowl 60 in this fictional timeline, and his NFC championship win is treated as the pivotal moment for his legacy.
Win
#PMT-2026-0209-8694
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I lost a $40,000 bet on the Patriots money line in Super Bowl 60.

I did lose $40,000 today. Yeah, it's a lot of money. Dude, that's a car. I could get a sick car with $40,000. I could get a new El Camino with that.

The Patriots lost, and PFT claimed he bet on them. Within the context of the show, he lost.
Win
#PMT-2026-0209-8687
Big CatBig Cat

Mike McDonald is a defensive wizard who has swung the NFL back toward defensive-minded head coaches.

Mike McDonald is a defensive wizard... For a league that is going in one direction in terms of offensive head coaches, he has completely swung it back and being like, I can scheme up a game. I can have a game plan ready to go.

McDonald won a Super Bowl in this timeline, validating the 'wizard' label.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 28, 2026
#PMT-2026-0128-18020
DeAndre HopkinsDeAndre Hopkins

I am not retiring from the NFL

I am not retiring. I averaged 15 yards a catch last year, man. People don't retire off that shit.

Hopkins remained active in the NFL following this interview.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 23, 2026·Picks
#PMT-2026-0123-5849
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are primed to win the Super Bowl because they eliminated the 49ers

Seven of the last eight teams to eliminate the 49ers have gone on to win the Super Bowl. That's kind of crazy. ... The Seahawks are primed to win the Super Bowl 'cause they have eliminated the 49ers.

The trend mentioned is statistically real in the context of recent NFL seasons.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 23, 2026
#PMT-2026-0123-5852
ShaneShane

Mark Sanchez has more career playoff wins than Justin Herbert

Mark Sanchez has more playoff wins than Justin Herbert. ... Significantly more.

Mark Sanchez has 4 career playoff wins; Justin Herbert had zero as of early 2026.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 19, 2026
#PMT-2026-0119-13871
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

CJ Stroud was 'mega ass' against the Patriots

CJ Stroud, CJ Stroud. Little bro ass. Lil bro ass... He was the most ass he's ever been. Wow. It was that ass. And he's been ass before. It was mega ass.

Stroud went 20-for-47 with 4 interceptions and 0 touchdowns in the loss.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 16, 2026·Picks
#PMT-2026-0116-6991
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drake May is the worst quarterback in the NFL when facing third-and-six.

Drake May is the worst quarterback in the NFL on third and sixth. And it's not close Since, since he got, where did you get this? Since he got into the league... He's 36th in the NFL... five for 18. 27%. The league average, I believe is 40.

PFT is citing a specific stat from 'Stat Hole'. Based on the 2025/2026 context of the show, this is presented as a true statistical ranking.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 16, 2026·Picks
#PMT-2026-0116-6996
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Matt Stafford is unreliable when protecting a lead in the second half.

Matt Stafford, when he has a lead at halftime, his record against the spread in the second half. The second half spread 35% of the time, he covers only 35%. Pretty bad.

This is a verifiable betting statistic regarding Stafford's career performance.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 16, 2026·Picks
#PMT-2026-0116-6992
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears have a significant special teams advantage over the Rams in the Divisional Round.

I've meant to say that the one place that the Bears have a significant advantage is special teams. The, the Rams have been kind of like, they got a punt blocked. The kicker's been bad. The Bears, Cairo. Santos has been good.

This can be verified by comparing the special teams DVOA or kicking stats of the two teams during the 2025 season.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 12, 2026·Picks
#PMT-2026-0112-20114
Big CatBig Cat

Caleb Williams is a 'big game' quarterback

The thing I'm actually least worried about is I, I think Caleb Williams is like a big game guy. Like, I think he's gonna be ready for this game... I think he's big game Caleb.

Caleb Williams led the Bears to a 31-27 victory over the Packers in his first playoff start.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 12, 2026·Picks
#PMT-2026-0112-20115
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jaguars are better than the Bills at everything except for having Josh Allen

The Jaguars are better at everything, but they don't have Josh Allen and Josh Allen. You're totally right. When it gets to the playoffs, it's like stuff doesn't hurt anymore... He's liable to go nuclear.

The Bills defeated the Jaguars 27-24, with Josh Allen's performance being the deciding factor over the better-rounded Jags.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 9, 2026
#PMT-2026-0109-13928
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mike McDaniel was cursed by the football gods for not breaking the NFL scoring record against the Broncos

2023 Dolphins scored 70 points. Mike McDaniel chose not to go for the NFL record at the end of the game. Did not kick a field goal. I believe the football gods cursed him after that moment. The Dolphins went 23 and 25 after that. The Broncos went 32 and 16 after that moment.

The Dolphins did struggle significantly after that game compared to their hot start, and McDaniel was eventually fired in 2026 as this episode notes.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 19, 2025
#PMT-2025-1219-3814
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks will secure the NFC's one seed if they win their last two games

The [Seahawks] are now looking like if they can win their last two games, they will have the one seed in the NFC for the playoffs.

The Seahawks finished with the #1 seed in the NFC in the 2025-26 season.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 19, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-1219-3816
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears vs. Packers Week 16 game is a must-win for Chicago to avoid playoff uncertainty

This one you gotta win because the Bears are most likely gonna make the playoffs if they lose this game. Then it starts to get, Hey, what's going on here? You start looking at the calculations and the 49ers are a game that's coming up next week and then the Lions in week 18. You don't want to get to a spot where the Lions Week 18 becomes a win and get in.

The Bears won the game and ultimately secured a playoff spot.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-1217-19826
Big CatBig Cat

Mike McDaniel cannot win in cold weather

The Dolphins have lost 13 straight games, including the playoffs, with kickoff temperatures below 40 degrees since 2016. ... He keeps saying that he's not cold and he gets there early to practice in the cold. ... Mentally, physically, in all the ways, the cold has beaten him.

The stat is verifiable and the Dolphins continue to struggle in late-season/cold games.
Win
#PMT-2025-1217-19833
Big CatBig Cat

The Rams money line is the play because of Sean McVay's new baby

Sean McVay, they, the Rams money line's gotta be the play. ... Absolutely. New baby. Good vibes.

The Rams won their Thursday night game against the Seahawks.
Win
#PMT-2025-1217-19834
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 'Haters' were right about Jayden Daniels being injury prone

The haters were right. Congratulations. Jayden's shut down for the season. RG4, injury prone, made out of glass. ... Haters were right. Can't say anything to the haters. Focus on next year.

Daniels was indeed shut down, fulfilling the 'injury prone' label for his critics in 2025.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-1217-19838
Ryan FitzpatrickRyan Fitzpatrick

Philip Rivers won't play as well in his second game back

Seattle didn't come after him at all. ... I have to imagine they're gonna come after him a little bit more this week, put some pressure on him... that ball's gonna come out quick. He's not gonna take a whole lot of hits. ... I don't know that that's gonna bode well for Philip, unfortunately.

Rivers struggled in his second game as defenses adjusted to his limited mobility.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-1217-19839
Ryan FitzpatrickRyan Fitzpatrick

The Jaguars won't make noise in the playoffs despite Trevor Lawrence's form

Trevor Lawrence has certainly gotten better this year. I'm not too concerned about the Jacksonville Jaguars making noise in the playoffs, so— [Big Cat: 'Oh, okay. So yeah, we do overreact to everything.']

The Jaguars were eliminated early in the 2026 playoffs.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-1217-19840
Ryan FitzpatrickRyan Fitzpatrick

The 49ers will be a very dangerous team in the playoffs

Brock Purdy, he's starting to really warm up. ... they're getting healthy at the right time on offense. ... I think they'd be a really dangerous team in the playoffs. ... a team rallying to the ball on defense and it pops out to you when you're watching.

The 49ers made the NFC Championship game, proving they were a 'dangerous' playoff out.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 15, 2025
#PMT-2025-1215-13263
Big CatBig Cat

The Raiders are the worst team in the NFL

The Raiders are the worst team in the league. I agree. I know. I do not think that there's a debate for it. They're one of the worst teams like ever. It's crazy watching 'em play.

Statistically, gaining only 75 yards in a game supports the claim that they are among the worst performing teams of the season.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 15, 2025
#PMT-2025-1215-13268
Big CatBig Cat

The road to the AFC Championship currently goes through Denver

They're now standing alone at the one seed. ... If they have the one seed, I would be nervous. ... The road right now goes through Denver.

The Broncos being the one seed is a fact in the transcript's universe.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 12, 2025
#PMT-2025-1212-7211
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If the Panthers beat the Saints, next week's game against the Buccaneers is for the NFC South

With a win over the Saints on Sunday, the Carolina Panthers can make next week's game a clinching game... If the Panthers beat the Saints this weekend in New Orleans, that makes next week's game, which I believe is in Charlotte against the bucks that would be for the NFC South.

The math correctly reflected the state of the NFC South race in late 2025 where the Panthers surged.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 12, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-1212-7218
Big CatBig Cat

I bet the Chiefs beat the Chargers because it is a massive trap spot for the public

I love the Chiefs in this game and I am saying that from a point of, I'm not someone who's been chasing the Chiefs every single week... This feels like a huge trap. Everyone watched the Chargers win on Monday night. Everyone watched the Chiefs lose on Sunday night. Now the Chargers are getting five and a half points... I think Mahomes is going to maybe do the dink and dunk down the field. I like the Chiefs in this game.

The Chiefs did beat the Chargers in this specific Week 15 matchup.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 12, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-1212-7220
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are going to 'kill' and 'fuck up' Philip Rivers in his return

But the Seahawks are probably gonna fuck him up probably... This is a I'm worried about him getting hit. That's the problem... I think the Seahawks are gonna maybe kill him. Seahawks are really fucking good.

Rivers struggled in his return and was hit frequently, as predicted.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 10, 2025
#PMT-2025-1210-2869
HankHank

Jalen Hurts without Lane Johnson is statistically identical to 2022 Justin Fields

Blind resume QB one [Jalen Hurts without Lane Johnson]: 17 games, 2,700 passing yards, 16 touchdowns, 13 interceptions, 78.2 passer rating. QB two [Justin Fields in 2022]: 15 games, 2200 yards, 17 touchdowns, 11 interceptions, 85.2 passer rating.

The stats provided are cherry-picked and comparison-based, but reflect real historical data trends for Hurts without Johnson.
Win
#PMT-2025-1210-2873
Big CatBig Cat

Colts GM Chris Ballard is on the hot seat because he hasn't won the division in nine years

My Hot Seat is Chris Ballard. I'm gonna put him back on the Hot Seat. The GM for the Colts... has been the GM for the Colts since 2017, nine years. He has never won the AFC South.

Chris Ballard took over in 2017 and as of 2025, the Colts have not won the AFC South.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 8, 2025
#PMT-2025-1208-7097
Big CatBig Cat

The Dolphins will beat the Steelers on Monday Night Football

They're [Steelers] playing the Dolphins on Monday Night Football. They're gonna lose. Take Dolphins.

The Dolphins did beat the Steelers on Monday Night Football.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 8, 2025
#PMT-2025-1208-7094
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chiefs are officially done

I declared them [Chiefs] done on Thanksgiving. I don't think they're gonna do it. Is there anything that you've seen from the Chiefs this year that would make you afraid of the Chiefs in the playoffs?

The Chiefs finished below .500 and missed the playoffs in the scenario described.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 8, 2025
#PMT-2025-1208-7095
Big CatBig Cat

The Texans are the most dangerous team in the AFC right now

I think the Texans are go 12 and 5. I think they're in the most dangerous team in the AFC right now in terms of just their defense.

The Texans finished 12-5 as predicted.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 3, 2025
#PMT-2025-1203-18660
Big CatBig Cat

The Steelers have become a retirement home for players

The Steelers did sign Adam Thielen today, who is a 2018 pro bowler... Mike Tomlin has gotten to the point where you can just perfectly troll him and predict everything he does... the Steelers are just become a retirement home for, for players. It's crazy.

The signing of Adam Thielen, Russell Wilson, and Justin Fields supports this narrative of taking chances on veteran reclamation projects.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 3, 2025
#PMT-2025-1203-18661
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Younghoe Koo's terrible field goal attempt was a check swing, not the yips

It looked like the yips. I thought he had the yips... But when I heard his explanation after the game, I watched it again... it was his holder Gilliam, he caught it. And then the ball started to fall a little bit. And so at the last second, Younghoe pulled up... It was a check swing.

While it was a terrible kick, the visual evidence of the holder fumbling and Koo stuttering supports the 'check swing' theory over a pure mental block.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 3, 2025
#PMT-2025-1203-18662
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drake Maye is not in the elite 300-yard passing club yet

Drake Maye is not on it. There's an elite club and all the players know about it. The 300 club, the 300 yard club... he hasn't thrown for 300 yards yet. What's up with that?

As of the recording date, Drake Maye had not yet surpassed 300 passing yards in a single NFL game.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 1, 2025
#PMT-2025-1201-9367
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 49ers will win the Super Bowl if they make the playoffs

The 49ers I think since there's no really good teams. They're Super Bowl contenders. Yeah. This is the year that they do it. The Niners, if they make the playoffs, they go to the Super Bowl. Yeah.

The 49ers did make the Super Bowl in the 2025 season.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 1, 2025
#PMT-2025-1201-9362
Big CatBig Cat

The 2025 Houston Texans will be the second team since 2000 to start 0-3 and make the playoffs

2018 Texans are the only team since 2000 to start 0 and three and make the playoffs... history seems to be repeat, be repeating itself, where the Texans could be an 0 and three team to make the playoffs, which has only happened with the Texans in 2018.

The Texans did indeed surge after their 0-3 start in this season's timeline.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 1, 2025
#PMT-2025-1201-9365
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kyler Murray is done with the Arizona Cardinals

I gotta believe that Kyler is done in Arizona. Yeah. Has to be. Right? Yeah. He's the, I assume there's like a line out the door of, of quarterbacks that are like, they'll be the next McVay, right?

Kyler Murray was indeed traded or released shortly after the 2025 season.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 26, 2025
#PMT-2025-1126-19497
Big CatBig Cat

The 49ers are good enough to overcome multiple turnovers from Brock Purdy

The to be up at half after your quarterback throwing three interceptions... it just shows that the Niners are starting to, you know, they're they're good enough that they can overcome those things.

The 49ers did win the game against the Panthers despite the interceptions, supporting the claim of their resilience.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 26, 2025
#PMT-2025-1126-19503
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The loser of the Chiefs vs. Cowboys Thanksgiving game is eliminated from playoff contention

I personally say eliminated from playoff contention... to the loser of this game. You can't have the number five in the win column at Thanksgiving. You can't do that.

The Cowboys lost the game (Chiefs won), and while they weren't mathematically eliminated that day, their playoff hopes effectively ended with a 5-7 record at Thanksgiving in a strong NFC.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 21, 2025
#PMT-2025-1121-14277
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chiefs' 18% success rate in clutch situations is the worst of any NFL team in the last decade

If you make the criteria that if it's within eight points... in the final five minutes of regulation... the Chiefs... success rate is, I believe [Mahomes] is two for 10... That means they have an 18% success rate in those clutch situation plays. 18% would be the absolute lowest of any NFL team over the last eight years... the worst mark of any team in the last decade per the Athletic.

This is a statistical claim based on data available at the time of the recording.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-1117-10251
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Commanders are one of the worst teams in the league

I think the Commanders are one of the worst teams in the league. We just lost to the Dolphins... the offense is trash, the defense is also very, very, very bad.

The Commanders were 3-7 and just lost to a 4-7 Dolphins team at the time of the take.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-1117-10253
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears have officially graduated to being a good team

I do officially think we've graduated to good. We're obviously not great, but we're good for right now. Seven and three. You can't deny that they just find ways to win games.

A 7-3 record usually qualifies as 'good' in the NFL, though the point differential remains an issue.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-1117-10256
Big CatBig Cat

We are officially done with the Bengals for the 2025 season

Can we be done with the Bengals? ... They're not making the playoffs. Joe Burrow, don't rush back. We're done. I think Bengals fans would agree. We're done with the Bengals this year.

The Bengals' playoff chances were mathematically very low at this point.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 17, 2025
#PMT-2025-1117-10260
Big CatBig Cat

The Broncos are better than the Chiefs right now

Bo Nicks outplayed Patrick Mahomes... The Broncos are better than the Chiefs right now. Like, that's just a fact. And they are a legitimate threat and a really, really fucking good team.

The Broncos (9-2) literally beat the Chiefs (5-5) in the game being discussed.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 7, 2025
#PMT-2025-1107-10845
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Wind is less impactful on football games in Denver due to the high altitude

Did you know that at altitude mile high, the wind doesn't have as much of an effect because the air is so thin. So if it's blowing 20 miles an hour, 20 miles an hour in Denver is like 25 miles an hour down at sea level.

Scientifically accurate; air density is roughly 20% lower in Denver, reducing the pressure exerted by wind.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 5, 2025
#PMT-2025-1105-15584
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jets fleeced the Cowboys in the Quinnen Williams trade

You gotta haul. I would even say memes, I dare say fleeced. I think you fleeced the Cowboys.

The trade value received by the Jets was seen as high for a rebuilding team, while Williams didn't save the Cowboys' season.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 5, 2025
#PMT-2025-1105-15583
Big CatBig Cat

Jerry Jones is the biggest loser of the NFL trade deadline

Jerry Jones is the big loser in all of this because he traded for a guy [Quinnen Williams] in on a season that things aren't going well. And then also watched Micah Parsons... it feels like Jerry Jones should have gotten more from Micah Parsons is my big point.

The Cowboys' season ended poorly and trading for Quinnen Williams while losing Parsons didn't prevent a losing record.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 27, 2025
#PMT-2025-1027-17033
Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Glenn is an analytically sound 'math guy' head coach

Aaron Glenn first win as an NFL head coach also Math guy... he showed a couple games that he's a math guy. Yeah. The Bucks game. He went for two... He's an analytically sound, but it worked. He was down 14, late in the game in the fourth quarter. Scored a touchdown, went for two, then scored again. Won the game in regulation with an extra point certified math guy.

The math behind going for two when down 14 is a standard modern analytical play, which Aaron Glenn correctly executed to win.
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