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Takes

Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If the Commanders keep the Lions game within one score in the 4th quarter, they will win

If we can keep it within a score, Jaden Daniels can go out there and win the game. And the Lions' buttholes might get tight.

The Commanders beat the Lions 45-31, winning decisively. However, they didn't need to keep it within one score in the 4th — they led big for most of the game. The spirit of PFT's take was that they could pull the upset, which they did, but the mechanism was wrong (it wasn't a close-game scenario).
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Drake May will have his best career game against the Chargers

I'm gonna say right now... It wouldn't shock me if Drake May just goes nuts in this game. 'Cause the Chargers defense has been fading a little bit and you're like holy shit. How did the Patriots just beat the Chargers?

The Chargers beat the Patriots 20-3 on Dec 29, 2024. Drake May struggled, throwing 0 TDs and 3 INTs with a 38.6 passer rating, arguably one of his worst games.
Loss
HankHank

I bet $5,000 on the Philadelphia Eagles to win the Super Bowl

I put a bomb future down and I put it on the Eagles. I almost five have five grand on the Eagles plus four 50. That, that I almost biggest, that'll be the biggest bet I've ever won.

The Eagles were eliminated in the NFC Championship Game by the Detroit Lions.
Loss
HankHank

I am pumped for a Mike Vrabel and Josh McDaniels coaching duo in New England

Vrabel McDaniels... that's the combo. [Josh] McDaniels had Mac Jones in the Pro Bowl... give me Vrabel and McDaniels and I am pumped.

This coaching combination did not happen in New England.
Loss
MemesMemes

The Jets will kick the Jaguars' ass in my 'Game of the Year'

I think this is gonna be a shit kicking by the Jets... This is actually my game of the year. I think they're gonna take all the frustrations out of this dog shit season onto the Jaguars Sunday.

The Jets lost to the Jaguars 10-6 on December 15, 2024. It was not a 'shit kicking' by the Jets.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Bill Belichick will be successful at UNC because he can simplify the path to the NFL for recruits

I think he's gonna be successful at UNC. I really do... there is a compelling case for Bill Belichick shows up to your living room and says, Hey, I can get you in the NFL... I'm just gonna get you in the NFL.

Bill Belichick was not successful in his first year at UNC. The Tar Heels went 4-8, their worst record since 2018, and failed to qualify for a bowl game. His college coaching debut was a 14-48 loss to TCU.
Loss
HankHank

UNC will make the College Football Playoff in Bill Belichick's first year

[Bill Belichick will be successful] first year... College football playoff. We should win the ACC.

UNC went 4-8 in Bill Belichick's first year and did not make the College Football Playoff. They didn't even qualify for a bowl game, let alone the CFP.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Bills vs. Lions is a potential Super Bowl preview

Possible Super Bowl preview. This would be my dream Super Bowl matchup in terms of fans... in New Orleans. Holy shit. Would it rock just like partying with Lions and Bills fans all week.

The Super Bowl was Eagles vs. Chiefs, not Bills vs. Lions. Neither the Bills nor Lions made the Super Bowl.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Bill Belichick will be successful at UNC by marketing it as an 'NFL factory'

I think that if you are matter of fact, he's gonna be the closer. If you're a matter of fact to these both transfer kids and like, I think he'll crush it in the transfer portal because if he just says, Hey, I'm not gonna try to sell you on, like, this idea that we're gonna, we're competing for national titles right away, or we're do, I'm gonna get you ready to play football at the National Football League level and there's no one better that knows that than me.

Bill Belichick was not successful at UNC in his first year. The Tar Heels went 4-8, failing to make a bowl game. His 'NFL factory' pitch did not translate to wins.
Loss
HankHank

Arizona State will win the College Football Playoff because they are the hottest team

You know what I'm taking Arizona State. Fuck it... I want, I don't think it works for college football, but it, if it was hockey or college basketball, they're the hottest team. Make a run.

Arizona State lost to Texas 39-31 in the Peach Bowl (CFP quarterfinal) on January 1, 2025. They did not win the College Football Playoff.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The 2024 Chiefs are due for a 'flex' game to prove they aren't actually bad

Aren't we kind of like, the conversation of the NFL makes no sense. Aren't we due for Chiefs flexing on people and being like, Hey, we're not bad.

The Chiefs beat the Chargers 19-17 in a close game, which was not exactly a 'flex' or blowout performance.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tua Tagovailoa will destroy the cold weather narrative against the Packers

I'm, I'm kind of in on Tua though, being a destroyer of narratives... for whatever reason, the fact that Tua talked about it, I think I'm in, I'm, I think I'm in on the Dolphins winning a game [in Green Bay].

The Dolphins lost to the Packers 30-17 in 25-degree weather; Tua struggled.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Raiders will beat the Chiefs on Black Friday because 'the NFL doesn't make sense'

This might be my, 'the NFL doesn't make sense' game. I'm taking the money line. I don't feel confident in them winning. I am going to do it because I want the rush of being right about something... Raiders money line.

The Chiefs won 19-17 on Black Friday. PFT was incorrect on the money line.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Colts will keep it close against the Lions

I actually think the Colts are gonna be in this game. I don't think the Colts are gonna win this game, but I think they're gonna keep it close. And it might be the dumbest thing ever. But I'm, I actually, no, I haven't, I haven't been bad. I just think seven and a half Colts really need these games.

The Lions won 24-6, covering the 7.5 spread comfortably.
Loss
HankHank

The Patriots are the team nobody wants to play in the AFC East

I think so. Usually the, you know, with the Patriots, it's like all the trends reversing the Dolphins have always been like the boogeyman even when the, when Brady was there and the Patriots are good. This is the trend weekend reverse in our favor.

The Patriots lost to the Dolphins 34-15 that weekend, failing to be the 'boogeyman' or a threat in that specific matchup.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Cardinals are for real

I'm ready to fully believe in the Cardinals. I might crown their asses. I just know the Cardinals feel like a very sound football team through and through off the bye week. Their eyes are there. They have the NFC West. If they could string together some more wins, especially in the division, they're undefeated in the division right now.

The Cardinals lost to the Seahawks 16-6 immediately after this take, stalling their momentum.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Ravens' offense is unstoppable

I think the Ravens I believe are gonna be there no matter what because their offense feels unstoppable.

The Ravens offense was held to just 16 points by the Steelers two days after this episode aired.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Doug Pederson will be fired after the Lions game

This is Doug Peterson's firing game. It's a bye-week next week. Trevor Lawrence is hurt. Mac Jones is going again... If you're gonna fire Doug Peterson in season, it's going to be after playing the Lions going on a bye week. That all just kind of tracks, right?

The Jaguars lost 52-6 to the Lions, but Pederson was not fired immediately after the game. He remained the coach through the following week and was eventually fired on November 30th (after the bye).
Loss
HankHank

The Jaguars +14 against the Lions is the NFL makes no sense game of the year

I think so. This is like, this is the 'NFL makes no sense' game of maybe the year... NFL makes no sense. There's not like stats behind it. I am very close. But that, but it happens every year. There's always games where it's like, how the fuck did the Lions lose to the Jaguars when the playoffs come?

The Lions beat the Jaguars 52-6, which is the exact opposite of the NFL not making sense.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Colts are a great bet as home underdogs against the Bills because they are in a must-win situation.

I weirdly think this might be a good spot for the Colts... I like the Colts in this game simply because when you make the switch to Joe Flacco, you're essentially saying we have to make the playoffs this year. This is a must win for the Colts. Also kind of a weird spot for the Bills... they essentially wrapped up the AFC East and they have the Chiefs on deck.

The Bills defeated the Colts 30-20 on November 10th, 2024.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The 49ers will go on a massive run and dominate the NFC West following their bye week.

I think this is a 49ers reset. The 49ers went on a bye, they've had a tough start to the season, but they look up and the division is right there. I think they have everything in front of them and this is where they start playing good football... The 49ers are gonna go on a little run.

The 49ers won their first game back against the Bucs but struggled with injuries and inconsistency immediately after, including a loss to the Seahawks.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Whichever team wins the Steelers-Commanders game will win their division

Whichever team wins this game, I think that team is gonna win their division. I think they could maybe be thinking soupy [Super Bowl].

The Steelers won the game 28-27 on November 10, 2024. The Steelers did not win their division (the Ravens won the AFC North with a 12-5 record). The Commanders finished 12-5 but also did not win their division (Eagles won the NFC East at 14-3). Neither team won their division.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Saquon Barkley will rush for 200 yards against the Cowboys

I've been saying everywhere that Saquon's gonna run for 200 yards. 'cause it, I mean, the Cowboys can't stop the run and it's just gonna be bully ball by the, by the Eagles.

Saquon Barkley rushed for 66 yards on 14 carries in the Eagles' 34-6 win over the Cowboys.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Jets will beat the Cardinals because Aaron Rodgers performs well when he has a clean pocket.

I think the Jets will win this game. Aaron Rodgers is still Aaron Rodgers when he has a clean pocket, it's when he gets chased around that he looks like old Aaron Rodgers. The Cardinals still... don't rush the passer great.

The Cardinals blew out the Jets 31-6 on November 10th, 2024; the Jets offense was completely ineffective.
Loss
MemesMemes

Aaron Rodgers is currently top five in every major passing statistical category

Aaron Rodgers still top five in everything right now... touchdowns top five... yards top five... [I must have looked at it before they updated it].

At the time of the claim, Rodgers was not top 5 in yards, touchdowns, completion percentage, or QBR.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Josh Allen will score a rushing touchdown and have a big day on the ground against the Dolphins

I think Josh Allen's gonna have a big day with his feet too. Yeah. I think he's gonna just, he's gonna take off, he's gonna run some people over. Josh Allen touchdown this weekend.

In the Week 9 win over Miami, Josh Allen had 0 rushing yards and 0 rushing touchdowns.
Loss
HankHank

The Commanders will lose their Week 9 matchup against the Giants

It would be very funny if, and I feel like the commanders are gonna lose this game. Yeah. Really. So Giants are gonna be, you're in your hungry dog thinking about it. Yeah. Wow. I honestly, I think the Giants are a good bet this week.

The Commanders beat the Giants 27-22 on November 3, 2024.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Giants are a good bet to beat the Commanders in Week 9

I honestly, I think the Giants are a good bet this week. If I'm being completely neutral on this and knowing my franchise and knowing how the giants typically play against us. It, it's, it's a good bet.

The Commanders beat the Giants 27-22.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Titans will cover +11.5 against the Lions in a major let-down spot

The Lions for the first time in franchise history are now the odds on favorites to win the NFC... This is the first time that they are a double digit favorite under Dan Campbell. They just came off a very emotional two weeks where they killed the Cowboys, beat the Vikings... I'm not saying that the Lions are gonna lose this game. I'm just saying 11 and a half is a lot of points... it's a let down spot of let down spots.

The Lions blew out the Titans 52-14 on Oct 27, 2024. The Titans did not cover.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Dolphins are back and will beat the Cardinals

I like the Dolphins in this game [vs Cardinals]... I think this is the week we're gonna be like dolphins back.

The Dolphins lost to the Cardinals 28-27 on October 27, 2024.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I like the Cowboys in the 'injury bowl' against the 49ers

I like the Cowboys in this game [vs Niners]. ... Mike McCarthy off the buy is pretty good too.

The 49ers defeated the Cowboys 30-24.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

NFL Week 7 is a massive trap weekend for favorites

Just remember that on Monday it was reported that it was the worst weekend Vegas has had in like 20 years. It was one of the best weekends for favorites of all time. So this is a trap weekend. Watch out. Don't fall for the traps.

Week 7 of the 2024 NFL season actually saw most favorites cover again (e.g., Lions, Bills, Commanders, Eagles), defying the 'trap' prediction.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Lions are susceptible to an emotional letdown after their blowout win over the Cowboys

I'm a believer in the Lions long term. I don't know about this game because I really do think that, that that Cowboys game, they were like, they had that circled, you could tell they had it circled. It was an emotional game. ... That was an emotional win. Losing Aidan Hutchinson is an emotional letdown. Vikings off a bye. I don't know.

The Lions actually beat the Vikings 31-29 on October 20th, 2024, showing no signs of a letdown.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Jerry Jones should trade Micah Parsons to reload on draft picks

If I were Jerry Jones, reload on draft picks and trade Micah Parsons. You have to pay him and your problem right now is it seems like you have lack of depth going forward. What's gonna happen yet? You locked up Dak, you locked up CD, you're gonna have to pay Micah Parsons. You could probably get a lot for him.

Parsons remained on the team through the 2024 season. No trade occurred.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Mike Tomlin is starting Russell Wilson against the Jets so he can fail and Tomlin can go back to Justin Fields

Mike Tomlin, a man of his word, is like, I know I have a better chance with Justin Fields, but I promised Russell Wilson he's the starter. ... He's gonna throw him out against the Jets to basically have him suck. And then he is gonna be like, 'see you guys told me that I need to start Russell Wilson. I told Russell Wilson it wasn't his job to lose. He sucks. Justin Fields.'

Russell Wilson actually played very well in his debut, beating the Jets 37-15 and throwing for 264 yards and 2 TDs, making the theory incorrect.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Having a slow pass rush is actually an advantage against Lamar Jackson because it maintains contain

Is it maybe sneaky a good thing that our pass rush on the end sucks against Lamar [Jackson]? Because you naturally keep contain because you're not good enough to get downfield and turn that corner. They're so slow they can't physically give up contain.

While funny, Lamar Jackson still had 323 passing yards and 40 rushing yards in a Ravens win, suggesting 'contain' wasn't much of a hurdle.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Will Levis will have a good game and won't turn the ball over against the Colts

I think Will Levis is going to have a good game. There it is, that's my hot take. I think Will Levis is not going to turn the ball over. I think their defense is really good. They're off a bye, maybe fix some things.

Levis threw an interception and the Titans offense struggled in a 20-17 loss to the Colts.
Loss
HankHank

The Saints will beat the Buccaneers and Spencer Rattler will be the Offensive Rookie of the Year

I like the Saints. I don't... don't overthink Spencer Rattler. Rookie of the Year. Offensive Rookie of the Year. If there's any way he does it he has to start hot. I'm going to bet the Saints this week.

The Saints lost 51-27 and Spencer Rattler threw two interceptions. Rattler did not win OROY.
Loss
MaxMax

The Cleveland Browns will beat the Philadelphia Eagles

Browns money line. Eagles are bad. The vibe in that stadium is going to be horrendous. They're going to get booed within one incompletion. No one expects anything out of this Eagle's team.

The Eagles beat the Browns 20-16 on October 13, 2024.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jayden Daniels is already thinking about Super Bowls with the Commanders

I'm sorry. I don't like thinking about the Super Bowls with Jayden. My bad.

The Commanders had a great season but did not win the Super Bowl in 2024.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Doug Pederson will be fired mid-season by the Jaguars

I do think that Doug is gonna be gone during the season. I think he might be a mid-season firing then.

Doug Pederson was not fired mid-season. He was fired on January 6, 2025 (Black Monday), one day after the Jaguars' 4-13 season ended. He lasted the entire season.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Dolphins should start tanking for the #1 overall pick

The only team that I could say confidently that should tank as of right now is Miami Dolphins. Yeah. I think that's the only team I would say you should tank. 'cause you're gonna need a sit... because Tua, you can't, you can't say that he's gonna go through a whole season.

The Dolphins did not tank; they welcomed Tua back and continued to try and win games.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears will beat the Colts because Caleb Williams will have a breakout game

I think this is the week [against the Colts]. I think the Bears are gonna run it down their throats... I think this is the week that the offense looks good. I think the Bears are gonna win... Caleb Williams is gonna go off against the Colts.

The Bears lost to the Colts 21-16. While Williams threw for 363 yards, the offense still struggled with turnovers and efficiency.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Saints are for real and will beat the Eagles because of the New Orleans defense

I believe in the Saints. I think the Saints are for real. I know they, one of their two games, half of their sample size is against the Panthers. But I still, I like the Saints. I think they're flying around on defense too. That's the part that's a little surprising to me.

The Eagles beat the Saints 15-12 in Week 3, halting the Saints' momentum and proving Big Cat's prediction wrong.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Falcons will beat the Chiefs on 'Arthur Blank Night' in Atlanta

The fans come to see Art. I just think the Chiefs are, even though they're 2-0, they haven't looked incredible. They've survived two tough games. No Pacheco. I think the Falcons are live. They might have gotten their groove back.

The Chiefs beat the Falcons 22-17, despite the Arthur Blank celebrations.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am making the biggest bet of the season on the Colts -3 because Malik Willis is starting for the Packers

Biggest bet of the season. I know it's early, but so far biggest bet of the season on the Colts... This is strictly a bet against Malik Willis... I don't think that there are 21 other guys. I think it's just an entire team of Malik Willises this week.

The Colts lost 16-10 to the Packers, who successfully ran the ball to hide Malik Willis. PFT lost his 'biggest bet'.
Loss
MaxMax

The Lions and Buccaneers will have a high-scoring shootout that goes over 51.5 points

I'm gonna go Lions bucks over 51 and a half... a lot of points but fun.

The game ended in a 20-16 win for the Buccaneers, totaling only 36 points, well under the 51.5 line.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Texas will win the National Championship

The Texas Longhorns. I like the Texas Longhorns... Texas is back. We might see Arch Manning if Ewers has any issues. But I think that Ewers is still obviously one of the best quarterbacks in college football. And their hardest game is Georgia. They have that at home. And with the expanded playoffs... Texas will also benefit.

Texas did not win the National Championship. They lost to Ohio State 28-14 in the Cotton Bowl (CFP semifinal). Ohio State won the title.
Loss
HankHank

Washington will win the Big 10

Washington Huskies plus 8,000... I'm gonna go with the conference, our local conference. The big 10, little long shot.

Washington has struggled significantly in their first Big 10 season and is eliminated from conference title contention.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Miller Moss will win the Heisman Trophy

I'm gonna go with Miller Moss, USC. They play LSU week one. I think it's actually the Sunday game. So it's gonna be a standalone game if he comes out and balls... I also am high on USC this year simply because they got rid of Alex Grinch, the worst defensive coordinator of all time.

Miller Moss was benched in November 2024 and is not a Heisman candidate.

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