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Big CatBig Cat

Bet Arizona moneyline against Michigan in the Final Four

I would like Arizona Money line. It's plus 105 right now... The fact that they're underdogs is crazy to me. Michigan's really, really good. Arizona has looked unstoppable.

Outcome of the 2026 Final Four game.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

My Early Final Four: Michigan State, Houston, Arkansas, and Michigan

I'm gonna go with Michigan State. I'm gonna go with Houston. Arkansas and I think I'm just gonna go Michigan... I got Houston win it all.

The 2026 NCAA Tournament outcomes are unknown.
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Big CatBig Cat

Mac Jones is the definitive 'Next Sam Darnold'

I think Mac Jones is the next Sam Darnold... I like Mac Jones [as] one.

Pending seeing if Mac Jones revitalizes his career as a starter elsewhere.
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MaxMax

Scotty Barnes will have more points than Rashid Shaheed has receiving yards

Scotty Barnes will have more points than Rashid Shaheed has receiving yards.

Requires comparing Scottie Barnes' game points to Shaheed's SB receiving yards. Insufficient data for both.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Hunter Henry will not score a touchdown in the Super Bowl

The No Henry Lock of the week. Hunter Henry to not score a touchdown minus three 40... I call it no Henry.

Hunter Henry did NOT score a touchdown in Super Bowl LX. The 'No Henry' bet won.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Jaxon Smith-Njigba will have more receptions than Ohio State made threes vs Michigan

JSN [Jaxon Smith-Njigba] more receptions than Ohio State made threes against Michigan earlier in the day. I looked it up. Ohio state's averaging about seven and a half threes a game... Michigan has a really good three point defense.

Cross-sport prop bet. JSN had 4 receptions in the SB. Without the specific Ohio State basketball game result, this is unverifiable.
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HankHank

The Patriots have the advantage over the Broncos in offense, defense, and coaching

I feel good about, I feel like we have an advantage offensively, defensively coaching only thing is the air.

The Patriots beat the Broncos 10-7 in the AFC Championship. Hank's confidence about advantages was validated.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are primed to win the Super Bowl because they eliminated the 49ers

Seven of the last eight teams to eliminate the 49ers have gone on to win the Super Bowl. That's kind of crazy. ... The Seahawks are primed to win the Super Bowl 'cause they have eliminated the 49ers.

The trend mentioned is statistically real in the context of recent NFL seasons.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Divisional Round will be Bo Nix's time to have a splash moment and prove people shouldn't have forgotten about him.

Is it Bo Nix's time? We've had all three of these guys have their splash moments. Is it Bo Nix's time to say, Hey, you forgot about Bo Nix... If we're gonna have this be the 2024 draft, be like an all time QB draft, it's Bo Nix's time. It's about time for him to make his moment.

Big Cat predicted the Divisional Round would be Bo Nix's time for a splash moment. Nix had an outstanding game against the Bills, throwing for 279 yards and 3 TDs in a dramatic 33-30 OT win, including the game-winning drive. It was indeed a signature moment for the 2024 draft class.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drake May is the worst quarterback in the NFL on third-and-six since entering the league.

Drake May is the worst quarterback in the NFL on third and sixth. And it's not close. Since he got into the league... minimum of 10 attempts at third and sixth... He's 36th in the NFL. He is five for 18. 27% [completion percentage].

This is a statistical claim at the time of the podcast. Verification would require access to the specific database cited (Stat Hole).
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Matt Stafford is unreliable when protecting a lead in the second half.

Matt Stafford, when he has a lead at halftime, his record against the spread in the second half. The second half spread 35% of the time, he covers only 35%. Pretty bad.

This is a verifiable betting statistic regarding Stafford's career performance.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Rams are the favorites to win the NFC

I don't know what the odds are right now, but [the Rams] feel to me like they might be, in my mind, the favorite to win the NFC.

The Rams won their Wild Card game but did not win the NFC championship.
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Big CatBig Cat

Caleb Williams is a 'big game' quarterback

The thing I'm actually least worried about is I, I think Caleb Williams is like a big game guy. Like, I think he's gonna be ready for this game... I think he's big game Caleb.

Caleb Williams led the Bears to a 31-27 victory over the Packers in his first playoff start.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jaguars are better than the Bills at everything except for having Josh Allen

The Jaguars are better at everything, but they don't have Josh Allen and Josh Allen. You're totally right. When it gets to the playoffs, it's like stuff doesn't hurt anymore... He's liable to go nuclear.

The Bills defeated the Jaguars 27-24, with Josh Allen's performance being the deciding factor over the better-rounded Jags.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Rams are the overall favorite to win the NFC

I also don't think it's that hot of a take to say that the Rams could, I don't know what the odds are right now, but they feel to me like they might be, in my mind, the favorite to win the NFC.

The Rams were strong (12-5, NFCCG), but the Seahawks (14-3, SB champs) were the true NFC favorites. Rams were close but not THE favorite.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Rams, Eagles, and Seahawks are the only three dangerous teams in the NFC

I rank them order, it would be Rams, Eagles, Seahawks. ... If you want gun to my head right now, I think there's three teams in the NFC.

This is subjective until the NFC Championship and Super Bowl results are determined.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Eagles will easily beat the 49ers in their Wild Card matchup

I'm not just trying to gas you up, Max. I think the Eagles are gonna win this game easily. ... One of my favorite themes that happens every January when the Eagles are in the playoffs is we just get stories of local bars denying service to opposing fans.

The Eagles lost to the 49ers 23-19 in the Wild Card round. The Eagles did not 'easily' win this game - they lost.
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HankHank

The Patriots' elite offense will offset any defensive challenge the Chargers present in the Wild Card round

I think our great offense can offset any great defense. ... I would rather be going up against a great defense with a great offense than having to go up against a fantastic offense with a okay defense. ... Justin Herbert in the playoffs [is a] big pick guy. He's gotta prove it.

The Patriots/Chargers Wild Card game outcome will settle this.
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Big CatBig Cat

The winner of Seahawks-Niners will be the favorite to win the Super Bowl

This is such a massive game. 'cause it does feel like the winner of this game is going to have, they, they, they will be the favorite to go to the Super Bowl from the NFC. That's a fair statement. Right? I think so. They only have to play two games. They get to play at home.

The Seahawks beat the 49ers in Week 18 to clinch the #1 seed and went on to win the Super Bowl. The winner of that game was indeed the Super Bowl favorite/champion.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tom Brady will be a 'meddling' NFL owner who makes common mistakes before finding success

I think it's gonna be Tom Brady... any guy that comes from a successful background... they all go through the same process... we try to get a bunch of players that used to be good and coaches that used to be good, build a fantasy team, and then we think it's gonna work out and it doesn't. And then you realize the mistakes. And then you start to meddle again. And then you realize, okay, now I've really learned my lesson... that's when you get good at football.

The outcome of Tom Brady's ownership tenure with the Raiders is still to be determined.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Trevor Lawrence should be in the MVP conversation if the Jaguars secure the number one seed

Trevor Lawrence right now is maybe in the MVP conversation if they get to one seed. He's playing that good. He's playing as good as any quarterback in the NFL right now.

PFT said Trevor Lawrence should be in the MVP conversation if the Jags get the 1 seed. Lawrence was indeed named an MVP finalist after leading the Jaguars to 13-4 and the AFC South title. However, the Jaguars did NOT get the 1 seed (they were the 3 seed; Denver was the AFC 1 seed). Lawrence was in the MVP conversation but without the 1 seed condition being met.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Deactivating Jayden Daniels for the rest of the season was the right decision for the future of the Commanders

He has been deactivated for the rest of the season. Deactivated for his own good 'cause he just keep trying to come back and get reinjured. I'm fine with it. I, I support the decision all in for 2027... I think it's the right decision.

This relates to a fictionalized 2025 scenario and cannot be judged against real-world results.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Bears vs. Packers Week 16 game is a must-win for Chicago to avoid playoff uncertainty

This one you gotta win because the Bears are most likely gonna make the playoffs if they lose this game. Then it starts to get, Hey, what's going on here? You start looking at the calculations and the 49ers are a game that's coming up next week and then the Lions in week 18. You don't want to get to a spot where the Lions Week 18 becomes a win and get in.

The Bears won the game and ultimately secured a playoff spot.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Bears are currently a better team than the Packers in our fictional 2025 timeline

I'm setting this game aside. I'm just saying in general, I believe in the Bears. They look like a different team. They look like a legitimate team. I think the Bears are gonna win... I think they're better than the Packers.

This is a subjective opinion within a fictionalized bit.
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Big CatBig Cat

Bengals head coach Zac Taylor is officially on the hot seat in this fictionalized 2025 season

This Z Taylor. Who's now on the hot seat officially, I would say... it feels like the hot seat is there. Whether the hot seat actually turns all the way up, I don't know.

Fictionalized scenario.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Giants will beat the Vikings because their stock is low and they are still playing hard

I think I like the Giants in this game. The Viking stock very high right now... The Giants very, very low stock right now. But they're, I don't think the Giants are one of the worst three teams in the NFL... they're playing hard and Kafka's coaching the team... I would take the Giants plus three.

The Vikings beat the Giants 16-13 in Week 16. PFT predicted the Giants would win as a low-stock underdog, but the Vikings pulled out the close victory with a late field goal.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Panthers will beat the Buccaneers because they are extremely dangerous as home underdogs

The Panthers are very good as underdogs. They got all seven wins as an underdog. They should not be favored in any game. I think I like the Panthers to win this one.

The Panthers beat the Buccaneers 23-20 in Week 16, just as PFT predicted. The Panthers won as home underdogs on a late Fitzgerald field goal.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Lions will throttle the Steelers because Amon-Ra St. Brown has found his confidence again

I think [Amon-Ra St. Brown's] got it back. He's feeling it a little bit. He's getting, he's, he's just feeling like he's good again... gonna get fucking smoked in this game [Steelers]. I love Detroit in this game.

The Steelers beat the Lions 29-24 in Week 16. Big Cat predicted the Lions would 'throttle' the Steelers, but Detroit lost in a controversial finish where a Jared Goff TD on the final play was negated by OPI.
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HankHank

The Patriots will bounce back and beat the Ravens behind Drake Maye in our fictional 2025 week 16

I'm nervous, but I'm excited. I think the boys are gonna bounce back in big way. Great team, former MVP, two-time MVP. I'm expecting the Ravens to, you know, they're fighting for the playoffs... but give me the... Patriots plus three.

The Patriots beat the Ravens 28-24 in Week 16. Hank predicted the Patriots would bounce back and beat the Ravens behind Drake Maye, and that's exactly what happened. Maye threw for 380 yards and led two fourth-quarter TD drives to erase an 11-point deficit.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mike Vrabel should be Coach of the Year

I'm super impressed with the Patriots this year. I think that the Patriots, Mike Vrabel is a great coach. He should be coach of the year.

Mike Vrabel won both PFWA and AP NFL Coach of the Year for the 2025 season.
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Big CatBig Cat

I bet the Chiefs beat the Chargers because it is a massive trap spot for the public

I love the Chiefs in this game and I am saying that from a point of, I'm not someone who's been chasing the Chiefs every single week... This feels like a huge trap. Everyone watched the Chargers win on Monday night. Everyone watched the Chiefs lose on Sunday night. Now the Chargers are getting five and a half points... I think Mahomes is going to maybe do the dink and dunk down the field. I like the Chiefs in this game.

The Chiefs did beat the Chargers in this specific Week 15 matchup.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are going to 'kill' and 'fuck up' Philip Rivers in his return

But the Seahawks are probably gonna fuck him up probably... This is a I'm worried about him getting hit. That's the problem... I think the Seahawks are gonna maybe kill him. Seahawks are really fucking good.

Rivers struggled in his return and was hit frequently, as predicted.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Bengals can make the playoffs if they beat the Bills

I know that I've made the joke that everyone says don't let the Bengals into the playoffs. We won't. There is a chance that Bengals can make the playoffs because if they can win this game [against the Bills], the rest of their schedule is easy.

The Bengals finished 6-11 and did not make the playoffs. They missed the postseason for the third consecutive year.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jaguars vs. Colts matchups are essentially a two-game series to determine the NFL Coach of the Year.

I think that this is Leg one of the home and home coach of the year series. ... I think that a sweep, a sweep goes a long way here. ... Liam Coen's done an incredible job.

PFT called the Jaguars vs Colts matchups a 'Coach of the Year series' between Liam Coen and Shane Steichen. Liam Coen finished 2nd in Coach of the Year voting (behind Vrabel), so the Jaguars' coach was indeed in the conversation. However, the Colts collapsed from 8-2 to 8-9, suggesting Steichen was not in the running. The take about Coen being a COTY candidate was validated.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

Now is the perfect time to buy stock in JJ McCarthy.

I actually think this might be where you wanna buy some nine [JJ McCarthy] stock. ... I'm gonna buy some nine stock this week. ... This might be nine week.

Depends on JJ McCarthy's performance in the upcoming games.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I would rather see Jayden Daniels play and risk injury than sit him for the rest of the season

Big picture, if he gets hurt, I'm gonna be like, why the fuck was Jayden Daniels playing? Counterpoint: Good football players want to play football when they're healthy. I would really like to see Jayden Daniels play this weekend. I don't care. I like watching him play football.

This is an opinion on team management and fan enjoyment.
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Big CatBig Cat

Week 14 is an elimination game for the Chiefs

The Chiefs season kind of comes down to three-game schedule at home... If they lose this game [against the Texans], I think it's gonna be very hard for them to make the playoffs. This is an elimination game pretty much for the Chiefs today.

The Chiefs went 6-11 and missed the playoffs for the first time since 2014. Losing key games late in the season, including to the Broncos on Christmas Day, sealed their fate. It was indeed an elimination stretch.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Colts will beat the Chiefs this weekend

I think I like the Colts this weekend. Gimme the Indianapolis Colts plus three and a half... gimme the hook, gimme the Colts and nuke it. Nuke City.

PFT took the Colts +3.5 against the Chiefs in Week 12. The Chiefs won 23-20 in overtime, a margin of exactly 3 points. Since the Colts had +3.5 and lost by only 3, the Colts covered the spread. PFT's bet was correct.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Sauce Gardner is exactly the type of player the Colts secondary needs

I think that [Sauce Gardner] is exactly what the Colts need in terms of a football player... he's exactly what the Colts need in terms of a football player [after the trade].

The outcome is pending the performance of Gardner in this hypothetical Colts season.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Lane Kiffin won't take the Giants job because it's too cold in New York

Lane Kiffin has officially taken his hat out of the running to be the Giants next head coach 'cause of coldness. [Kiffin] said not interested, too cold up there.

Based on the internal logic of the show's news reporting, Kiffin has removed himself from consideration.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are legitimate Super Bowl contenders

The Seahawks are really fucking good. They're Super Bowl contenders.

Big Cat said the Seahawks were legitimate Super Bowl contenders. The Seahawks went 14-3 in the 2025 regular season, won the NFC West, earned the No. 1 seed, and won Super Bowl LX, defeating the Patriots 29-13. They were indeed Super Bowl contenders — they won it all.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Lions are going to destroy the Commanders this weekend

I think we're gonna get destroyed. I think Dan Campbell is going to have his team just salivating ready to destroy us. It's gonna be an ass kicking.

PFT predicted the Lions would destroy the Commanders in Week 10. The Lions won 44-22, a 22-point drubbing -- exactly the 'ass kicking' PFT predicted.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Shane Steichen is a top three candidate for Coach of the Year

I think Steichen, he's like top what? Definitely in the top three for coach of the Year so far this year.

Whether Steichen finishes in the top three of COTY voting is pending the end of the season.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears vs. Bengals game is a 'must look good' game for the Chicago offense

This is a must look good on offense game. The Bears offense has not, has been up and down this year... If you can't light up the Bengals defense, then I'm gonna start having some doubts creep in.

This is a subjective standard for success set by the speaker.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Aiden Hutchinson is a lock for NFL Comeback Player of the Year

I was looking at the Comeback Player of the Year stats. I love Aiden Hutchinson for that right now. I think he's like five to one. I think that's a good bet. I'm gonna bet that right now actually.

Hutchinson suffered a broken leg in Week 6 and is out for the regular season, making this take technically impossible for this season, though PFT might be looking at future odds or is misinformed about the return timeline.
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Big CatBig Cat

Jordan Love is on a trajectory to be an all-time great based on his first 40 starts

Jordan Love is one of three NFL quarterbacks to post in his first 40 career starts, 70 plus passing touchdowns, 25 or fewer interceptions. The other two quarterbacks are Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. Although he is really good and it's bad, I think there's a chance he plays well into his forties.

The stat claim is correct. The prediction of him playing into his 40s is pending.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Shane Steichen is the frontrunner for NFL Coach of the Year

Shane Steichen feels like maybe Coach of the Year. Right? And I don't really like, the Colts are just really, really good.

Steichen did not win Coach of the Year. Vrabel won. The Colts collapsed from 8-2 to 8-9.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Broncos will beat the Texans because of their defensive front matching up against Houston's line

I think the Broncos are gonna win this game... I'm going off the same reasoning I had last week... when they [Texans] play pass rushes that are good, they struggle. Broncos are one of them. I'm gonna take the Broncos defense.

The Broncos beat the Texans 18-15 on November 2, 2025. Big Cat correctly predicted the Broncos would win based on their defensive front. Denver outscored Houston 11-0 in the final quarter including a game-winning field goal as time expired.
Void
MemesMemes

The Jets are experiencing 'below rock bottom' dysfunction

This is just total dysfunction. This is the rock bottom we were talking about under the rock bottom. It's below the rock bottom. And now it's only up from here. Hopefully.

Subjective assessment of team morale.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Shado Sanders is ready to start based on his recent progress in practice.

Mary Kay Cabot said in practice Shado Sanders has been making a ton of progress. He looks really good... It sounds out there, it sounds like Shado is ready.

The quality of Sanders' play once he starts will determine if he was truly 'ready'.

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