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Takes

Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm taking the Chargers to beat the Patriots

I love Phil Rivers in this game. I like their running game. I like their defense... I'm taking the Chargers, baby.

The Patriots crushed the Chargers 41-28.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Dabo Swinney is the second best head coach in the country

I think Dabo is probably the second best coach in the country. I think he's way better than Brian Kelly. I like the Clemson. I like the Rock.

This is subjective, but Clemson won the national title shortly after this episode, making Dabo's case for #2 behind Saban very strong at the time.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

If the Texans get a first-round bye, they will go to the Super Bowl

I firmly believe that if the Texans get a bye, they will probably go to the Super Bowl. If they don't, no.

The Texans lost this game to the Eagles, failed to get a bye, and then lost in the Wild Card round to the Colts.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If Green Bay beats Chicago, they are going to the playoffs

Green Bay wins this game, and they're going to the playoffs. Because there are a lot of things that have to happen for Green Bay to make the playoffs, and they're all going to happen. But the big question mark is, can they win this game?

The Packers lost to the Bears 24-17 and were eliminated from playoff contention shortly after.
Loss
HankHank

The Buccaneers will cover +7.5 against the Ravens

My walk of the week is going to be the Bucs. Maybe even sprinkle a little bit. The Bucs. [Against] The Ravens. Plus seven and a half.

The Ravens won 20-12, meaning the Buccaneers did not cover the +7.5 spread (they lost by 8).
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Panthers should cut Cam Newton if they lose to the Browns

Panthers, by the way... if you lose this, maybe cut Cam Newton. Cut him. Straight up cut him.

The Panthers did lose to the Browns (26-20), and they did not cut Cam Newton.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Andy Reid was a 'candy ass' for praising the Raiders after beating them

Andy Reid was a candy ass last weekend after they beat the Raiders on the road. He gave him a big pat on the back and said, I love you guys. Great win. ... Andy, I don't think that it was [a good football team].

The Raiders finished the 2018 season 4-12, supporting PFT's assessment that they weren't a 'good football team' worth such high praise.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm riding the Mark Sanchez train with the Redskins

I'm riding the Sanchez train. ... Really glad they didn't sign Kaepernick because he didn't fit the style of Mark Sanchez.

Sanchez was benched during his second start after throwing zero touchdowns and three interceptions in his stint as the starter.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

NFL punts into the end zone should be worth two points if the punter weighs over 300 pounds

If you should have a guy who's over 300 pounds punting the ball and if they can punt it into the end zone, it's worth two points no matter where you are on the field.

This rule was never adopted.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Packers shouldn't even bother with playoff graphics if they don't beat the Cardinals by 21

If the Packers have any chance of going to the playoffs, they've got to win this game by like 21... If they don't win this game by 21, don't even do the graphics. Don't even worry about it. The Cardinals are that bad.

The Packers actually lost this game to the Cardinals 20-17, leading to Mike McCarthy's firing that same day.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Adam Thielen is better than Calvin Johnson because he broke the consecutive 100-yard games record

Adam Thielen's better than Calvin Johnson. True. Fact. His [Calvin's] best record just got broken by Adam Thielen, bro.

Hot TakeFootballFireSarcastic
While Thielen did break the record, Megatron is universally considered the superior player. Thielen's streak ended at 8 games.
Win
HankHank

This is the week the Patriots propel themselves back to the top of the NFL

Everyone's been talking about the Rams, Chiefs, Saints. They've all been kind of shown as frauds. They have weaknesses. This will be the week the Pats propel themselves back to the top of the league.

The Patriots did win this game and eventually won the Super Bowl that season, essentially proving Hank right about their resurgence.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm taking the Bears -3.5 against the Lions on Thanksgiving

Right now the Bears are favored by 3.5 points. I like the Bears. The defense looks legit... I would take them by 10.

The Bears beat the Lions 23-16 on Thanksgiving 2018, covering the 3.5 point spread.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm taking the Redskins +7.5 against the Cowboys on Thanksgiving

Listen, 7.5 is a lot to give to Colt McCoy. Colt McCoy, he's a cowboy killer... I'm going to take the Redskins.

The Cowboys beat the Redskins 31-23, covering the 7.5 spread by a half-point.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I'm taking the under in the Redskins-Cowboys Thanksgiving game

I think the under's the way to go here. 40 and a half? Yeah, I feel like both these teams are going to struggle often. They both have good defenses.

The Cowboys won 31-23, for a total of 54 points, which went well over the 40.5 line.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Cowboys-Falcons loser is eliminated from the playoffs

Loser leaves town... Cowboys-Falcons. That's the game. The loser of that game will officially be eliminated, similar to the Seahawks-Packers game.

The Falcons lost and finished 7-9, missing the playoffs. The Cowboys won and made the playoffs. The take was correct for the loser.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Cowboys will give their fans just enough hope to break their hearts

The Cowboys can't go out in a normal way. They can't lose and not make the playoffs by just being bad. They have to do it in a heartbreaking way. So we have not heard the last of the Cowboys this season.

The Cowboys won the division but lost in the Divisional Round to the Rams, arguably a standard 'heartbreaking' exit.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Never bet on the Oakland Raiders

Don't bet on the Raiders. Also, here's another tip. I bet on the Raiders like five times this year. They will find new ways to reach levels of incompetence that we have not seen in this country in the last 200 years.

OpinionFootballMediumSarcastic
The 2018 Raiders finished 4-12 and were one of the worst ATS (Against The Spread) teams that year.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Vikings-Bears game will essentially decide the NFC North

I think the Vikings and Bears [is the game of the week] because I think that is going to be essentially the game to decide the NFC North because the winner of that will be in a nice spot going forward.

The Bears won this game 25-20, taking a lead in the division they never relinquished, while the Vikings eventually missed the playoffs.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am putting all my money on the Saints to beat the Eagles

The Saints have always done the 'I'm going to step on your throat and you're going to thank me for it.' ... So all my money is going to be going on the Saints in this one.

The Saints humiliated the Eagles 48-7.
Loss
HankHank

Mitchell Trubisky will have a coming-out game against the Vikings

This is a coming out game for Mitchell [Trubisky]. Yes. Absolutely. He's going to put on a show.

Trubisky struggled in the game, throwing for only 165 yards with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, though the Bears won behind their defense.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Redskins will win the NFC East

Now I want to point out that Mike Tanyer... ran a simulation of the rest of the season... And the R-Words still won the division. So don't jump the gun on the Eagles just yet. Now I'm 100% back in on the R-Words train after learning about the simulation.

The Cowboys won the NFC East in 2018. Washington finished 7-9.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Adam Thielen will have 147 yards and two touchdowns against the Lions

To me, this feels like an easy Vikings win. And it feels like Adam Thielen putting up like 147 yards, two touchdowns... I'm Thielen 13 targets, 9 catches.

In the game on Nov 4, 2018, Thielen had 4 catches for 22 yards and 1 TD. He did not reach the 100-yard mark for the first time that season.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Saints' 'dome magic' has returned to the Superdome

I want to say the Saints, the dome magic might be coming back... Ever since the ceremony with Drew Brees in the dome, the dome recaptured that magic.

The Saints went 13-3 and reached the NFC Championship game in 2018, confirming their home dominance that season.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Houston Texans are a legitimate Super Bowl contender

I've talked myself into the Texans are a legitimate Super Bowl contender.

The Texans won the AFC South but lost in the Wild Card round to the Colts. They were never true Super Bowl threats.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Redskins will finish the season with at least 10 wins

The bottom line is the R-words [Redskins] are going to go 10-6 minimum. Maybe 11-5.

The Redskins finished the 2018 season 7-9.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Lions are not sure they're bad and could win their division

I actually think the Lions could be okay. They could win that division, you think? Are we sure they're good? We're not sure they're bad.

The Lions finished 6-10 and last in the NFC North in 2018.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears are officially good if they can beat the Patriots

If the Bears can beat the Patriots, then they're officially good. It's going to be a big test.

The Bears lost to the Patriots 38-31, but they finished 12-4 and won the division, proving they were indeed 'good' even in a loss.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jets did themselves a favor by missing out on Kirk Cousins

If you know anything about Kirk Cousins, you actually did yourself a favor by not getting him because you'd rather suck out loud than be kind of around average for four years.

Cousins led the Vikings to several winning seasons and a playoff win, while the Jets struggled with Sam Darnold and Zach Wilson for years. Subjectively, the Jets likely would have preferred Cousins' stability.
Loss
HankHank

The Chiefs will have a come-down-to-earth game against the Bengals

I think this is going to be the week where everything comes back down to earth. It's a little bit sloppy. They might lose, but they're probably going to be within the record.

The Chiefs blew out the Bengals 45-10. This was the opposite of a come-down-to-earth game.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Dallas Mavericks will win over 34.5 games because they hired Haralabos Voulgaris

I've got my over at the Dallas Mavericks. I'm taking the over on 34 and a half. Dirk I think is out for a little bit... I'm going on this based solely on the fact that they hired that guy [Haralabos Voulgaris] who's a really good gambler to run their analytics department. If you can beat Vegas, then you can beat the Clippers.

The Mavericks finished the 2018-19 season with a 33-49 record, narrowly missing the over.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 2018 NFC Championship will be Bears vs. Rams

It's going to be Rams, Bears, and the NFC Championship game. And the Bears are probably going to beat them with that physical defense.

The Bears lost in the Wild Card round (Double Doink). The Rams made the Super Bowl, but they played the Saints in the NFC Championship.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 2018 Super Bowl will be Bears vs. Patriots

It's going to be Bears-Patriots in the Super Bowl.

The Super Bowl was Patriots vs. Rams. The Bears lost in the first round.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Chiefs will beat the Patriots outright in Week 6

Chiefs and Patriots, it's going to be awesome. We'll see if Mahomes is for real... I think the Chiefs win this one outright. I do.

The Patriots beat the Chiefs 43-40 in this Week 6 game.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Jaguars vs. Cowboys game will go under 40.5 points

The under that I love, love, love this week is the Jags-Cowboys, under 40 and a half, because the Cowboys can't score, and the Jags have a good defense.

The Cowboys beat the Jaguars 40-7. The total was 47, so the under lost.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Rams vs. Broncos game will go under 52.5 points due to the snow

My under is going to be Rams-Denver. So it's 52 and a half, but it's going to be in the snow. Snow football... I'm already mad at myself because if I get all worked up for a snow game and then I tune in and it's a flurry or if there's no snow, that's the most disappointed I'll be all year.

The Rams won 23-20. The total was 43, which is well under 52.5.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Ben Roethlisberger is 'officially fully broken'

I don't know if we could say Ben [Roethlisberger] at home is a good quarterback right now. He's just, he's broken. He's broken. He is finally officially fully broken. It happened. Ben is broken.

Roethlisberger actually led the NFL in passing yards (5,129) in 2018. While he had a severe elbow injury in 2019, he was far from 'fully broken' at the time of this take.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Jaguars vs. Chiefs Week 5 game is when Patrick Mahomes finally 'comes back down to earth'

The game of the week is easy... the Jaguars versus the Chiefs. Defense versus offense. Mahomes—this is the game that he comes back down to earth.

The Chiefs won 30-14. While Mahomes didn't throw a TD pass, he still threw for 313 yards and ran for a TD; he certainly didn't crash back to earth in a loss.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm taking the Jets (-1) at home against the Broncos because people are overrating Denver's performance against the Chiefs

My favorite that I'm taking, I'm taking the Jets at home... minus one against the Broncos. People are going to be saying the Broncos are a good team because they played in prime time and they almost beat... the Chiefs. And then people are going to be hating on the Jets... I'm going to go with the Jets minus one at home.

The Jets dominated the Broncos 34-16, easily covering the spread.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Eagles (-3) will beat the Vikings because I think Minnesota stinks

I got Eagles minus three. I think the Vikings stink.

The Vikings beat the Eagles 23-21. Big Cat was wrong on both the spread and the 'stink' assessment.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Buffalo is an even worse team than everyone already thought

Buffalo's not as bad as we thought that they were. I think they might be worse than we thought that they were. And they lost Marshall Newhouse, too, so that's a big factor there.

The Bills improved as Josh Allen developed, finishing 6-10, which was better than the 'worse than thought' projection.
Push
HankHank

Josh Rosen will be exposed as a fraud against the Seahawks

My pick's going to be the Seahawks, minus three... the Cardinals. Yeah, Josh Rosen's going to throw like four picks... After this week, he'll be exposed.

The Seahawks won 20-17. Rosen didn't throw 4 picks, but his rookie season was disastrous.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Texans' season is over if they lose to the Giants

This is officially if the thing is, I'm pretty sure the Giants are terrible. And if the Texans lose to a terrible team, their season's over.

The Texans did lose to the Giants to start 0-3, but they famously won their next 9 games and finished 11-5, winning the AFC South. Thus, the take was incorrect.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Panthers are not a good football team even if they win

I actually think this is kind of a, are we sure they're a good game for the Panthers too? Because if the Panthers lose, I'm going to start asking, are we sure they're good? I don't think the Panthers are good, even if they win.

The Panthers started 6-2 but then lost seven games in a row to finish 7-9, proving Big Cat's skepticism somewhat correct.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Bet the Redskins +3 because of the bad turf at FedEx Field

One, Aaron Rodgers, he says that his knee's getting – like he's afraid that it's going to get worse. And the Redskins' defensive line is pretty good... Aaron Rodgers' knee, the Redskins' turf. That's all you need to say for that game.

The Redskins beat the Packers 31-17, easily covering the +3 spread.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Josh Gordon won't succeed in New England if he couldn't in Cleveland

If you can't get your shit together enough to play for the Browns and for the Browns to release you—I think that if you can't get your shit together enough to be able to play on the Browns for six years, then you're probably not going to be able to play for Bill Belichick.

Gordon played 11 games for the Patriots in 2018 but then left the team to focus on mental health before being suspended again. He never achieved long-term stability there.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Lions have already quit on Matt Patricia

The Lions already quit on Matt Patricia. I think he's already lost the locker room. I'm going to go all the way there... They already hate Matt Patricia. They already hate that stupid backwards hat and the trash bag he wears.

Patricia's tenure was characterized by a massive rift between him and the players (like Darius Slay and Quandre Diggs), leading to his firing in 2020.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jets are overvalued after their Week 1 performance

Is this a major Ravens against the Bills situation where they're [the Jets] overvalued now? Correct. Well, guess what? I'm an idiot, and so actually all of my picks, I'm looking at them all right now, they're all basic picks.

The Jets lost to the Dolphins 20-12 in Week 2, proving they were indeed overvalued.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Colts and Redskins game will be a shootout

Alex Smith like that's a perfect Jay Gruden's offense perfect he's just gonna dump it down dump it down maybe a couple shots deep every now and then I like the over I think it's gonna be a shootout.

The final score was Colts 21, Redskins 9. A total of 30 points is the opposite of a shootout.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Eli Manning always plays well in Dallas

Doesn't it feel like every time that Eli [Manning] goes to Dallas... I feel like Eli Manning always plays well in Dallas, and I feel like the Sunday night game is when he has, like, the buzz.

Eli Manning was 5-10 at AT&T Stadium. In this specific Week 2 game in 2018, he was sacked 6 times and the Giants lost 20-13.

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