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Big CatBig Cat

Michigan was definitively the better team in the National Championship and it never felt like UConn was in danger of winning.

Michigan was the better team. We all saw it. It never felt like [the game] was in danger. Like the only moment that I was like, oh, UConn might have a chance, was when there was like maybe five and a half minutes left and Mullens missed that three to cut it to four.

The episode presents Michigan winning the 2026 National Championship as a fact within the show's timeline.
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John FantaJohn Fanta

Michigan wins 8 out of 10 against UConn, but Monday night might be one of the two

If Michigan and Connecticut play 10 times, I think Michigan wins the game eight out of the 10 times. The question on Monday night is, is tomorrow one of the two? And I think Hurley's good for one of those. And the other is Michigan has a horrid shooting night.

Michigan won the 2026 National Championship, consistent with Fanta's assessment that Michigan was the superior team.
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Big CatBig Cat

Every time UConn goes to the Final Four, they win it all — and this will be their toughest test yet

Every time Yukon goes to the Final Four, they win it all. They've never been to a Final Four they didn't win it all, which is an insane stat. They just go and they take care of business. This will be the toughest one they've had.

This is historically accurate as of the episode date — UConn had won all four of their Final Four appearances (1999, 2004, 2011, 2014, 2023 dynasty run). The prediction that this will be their toughest is subjective.
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Brad UnderwoodBrad Underwood

I knew Illinois was a special team after we scrimmaged Florida

We scrimmaged Florida and, and I, I, I knew right then, I said, okay, we can be, we can be pretty good. Because I knew we had something then in Keaton [Knueppel] that I didn't know before being a freshman... I always thought we had a chance to be pretty good.

The outcome (reaching the Final Four) validates his preseason assessment.
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Big CatBig Cat

UNC is one of the true blue blood jobs in college basketball

This is a job that doesn't come open very often. And it is a true blue blood job... It is the logo of a team that's won a ton of national titles and a ton of Final Fours. It is literally one of the blue bloods.

UNC's historical success, tournament wins, and titles objectively categorize them as a blue blood.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

High Point is a very, very good basketball team

I actually think that High Point is a very, very good team. It was no fluke. They're a very good team.

In the context of the transcript, High Point has just upset a major power (Wisconsin), validating their quality.
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Big CatBig Cat

The selection committee did a great job and correctly left out Oklahoma and Auburn

The selection committee has done their job, by the way, credits to selection committee. There was really no issues whatsoever... the first two out were Oklahoma and Auburn and they deserve to be out. Yeah, the bubble, the bubble sucked this year. Maybe an all time bad bubble.

The teams were indeed left out as of the show date.
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Big CatBig Cat

The 8/9 seed line is the worst possible spot in the NCAA tournament bracket

I saw someone saying that like it was novel and being like, wow, I've, I've just found this crazy thing. You don't wanna be on the eight nine line. No you don't. Nine line eight line is terrible.

Historically, 8 and 9 seeds have the lowest probability of reaching the Sweet 16 compared to even 10 or 11 seeds.
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Big CatBig Cat

I am offering a $10,000 bounty to find the UNC staffer who punched a Duke staffer

I will not sleep until we find this UNC staffer who punched one of your guys... Let's put a bounty on it. I will offer $5,000. [PFT]: I'll match. [Big Cat]: $10,000 if anyone can find the UNC person who punched a Duke staffer after the game. $10,000 cash. Give us the footage leading to their arrest.

The bounty itself is a factual offer made by the hosts.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Houston will lose at Kansas on Big Monday to continue their downward slide

I'm going to be timing the Cougars by the way. I'm expecting that they lose at Kansas... Houston's gonna maybe lose three in a row or Bill Self loses first Big Monday ever.

Houston lost at Kansas 69-56 on February 23, 2026 (Big Monday). This was Houston's third straight loss, exactly as PFT predicted. Bill Self did not lose his first Big Monday ever; instead Houston continued their downward slide.
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Big CatBig Cat

Todd Golden's technical foul was the most strategic in history

Todd Golden probably deserves credit... his technical was maybe the most strategic technical of all time. Because after his technical foul, which was of I think like three or four minutes into the second half, the fouls went 13 to three on Houston.

The stat shift is verifiable, but the 'strategic' intent is subjective. Florida did win the title.
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Dickie VDickie V

Duke is the only team in the country top-5 in both offensive and defensive efficiency

I have figured Duke to win it all. There's a reason I picked that. Number one, any time a team is top five in offensive and defensive efficiency, they got a great chance to win. Duke's the only team in the country that's top five by Ken Pomeroy in efficiency in both areas.

This is a verifiable statistical claim about KenPom rankings as of April 2025.
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Bruce PearlBruce Pearl

Auburn felt like a special team early in the season after competing physically with Houston.

We had to play an an incredibly well coached, hard playing Houston team where we were gonna find out whether we were gonna be physical and tough enough... once we were able to beat Houston or at least be on compete with 'em, we felt like this team had a chance to be pretty special.

Auburn did indeed have a successful 2024-25 season, making a deep tournament run as Bruce Pearl predicted.
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John FantaJohn Fanta

Derrick Queen is the primary reason Maryland reached the Sweet 16

Who's the reason why Maryland was in their first Sweet 16 since 2016? [Derrick] Queen. And who recruited him? Probably not Kevin Willard himself. But [Queen] made an epic shot.

Derrick Queen was widely considered a top prospect and key performer for Maryland in 2024-25, making this a widely held consensus among analysts.
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Big CatBig Cat

Florida will make the Final Four

Florida killed Maryland and Florida's really, really good. I expect Florida to go to the Final Four.

Florida made the Final Four as a #1 seed, defeating Texas Tech in the Elite Eight 84-79, then beating Auburn in the semifinal 79-70, and ultimately winning the national championship by beating Houston 65-63.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Teams are 1-7 in their next game after winning on a buzzer beater in the NCAA Tournament

Teams in the last 10 years are one in seven after a buzzer beater in the NCAA tournament in their next game. One in seven. Numbers never lie.

This is a verifiable statistical claim regarding historical NCAA tournament trends.
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Big CatBig Cat

Houston will dominate Purdue in the Sweet 16

I love Houston. I think Houston's going to dominate Purdue. I said something nice about Purdue someday this might say something mean about Purdue. You're gonna get your fucking ass kicked.

Houston defeated Purdue 62-60 in the Sweet 16, though the margin was closer than 'domination.' Houston did advance past Purdue as predicted.
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Big CatBig Cat

Dusty May is a premier tournament coach

Dusty May is just a hell of a coach. He said it on our show. He's like, we needed a reset... What have they done since then? They won the Big 10 tournament and now they're in the Sweet 16... I'm putting him in like tournament coach.

Michigan made the Sweet 16 in 2025 under May after a late-season surge.
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Big CatBig Cat

Tom Izzo is the God of March

Tom Izzo now 16th Sweet 16... His expected wins are 27.6. He has 39 wins... that's an 11.4 difference. The next closest on this chart is Cal with six wins above expected. Tom Izzo very good tournament coach.

Izzo's record of reaching Sweet 16s as a lower seed is statistically unmatched.
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Big CatBig Cat

John Calipari is finally back to his underdog roots

Kentucky made him soft. Now he's going Arkansas... now he's kind of the underdog. 40 minutes himself. He's feeling himself again... he was too luxurious in Lexington for him. Now he's gotta get back to his roots and coach basketball.

Calipari reached the Sweet 16 in his first year at Arkansas in 2025.
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Big CatBig Cat

Shaka Smart is not a good tournament coach

In his last nine NCAA tournament trips, Shaka Smart has been eliminated by a team at least three seed lines worse seven times... Still a good coach but not a good tournament coach right now.

The stats regarding his seed-based losses are accurate historical data.
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Big CatBig Cat

McNeese State dominated Clemson despite the close final score

McNeese State I think leads the, leads the storyboard because what a day for Will Wade... and gives us a classic 12 5 upset where I know it looks like a two point game, but they were dominating Clemson for, for the majority of the game.

The speaker is recapping a game that occurred in the fictionalized/future context of the episode (2025).
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Big CatBig Cat

Kansas was not built for a long tournament run this year

I think most Kansas fans saw this coming in the fact that they just weren't built for a long run... Moreover, they won one tournament NCAA tournament game in this time there. [Hunter Dickinson] is done.

Kansas's performance in the 2025 tournament is part of the show's context.
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Stanford SteveStanford Steve

Take Colorado State to upset Memphis

I still think, you know, as a player, like I said, I, I have Maryland advancing anyway. I would just take the 12 here. So you have your 12 5.

Colorado State defeated Memphis 78-70 in the first round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament, confirming the upset pick.
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MaxMax

Ryan Odom will not be the head coach at VCU next year

This will be his last time at VCU no matter what... I'm reporting this. He will either be going to Villanova or Virginia after this year. He will, this is his last ride with VCU.

Ryan Odom left VCU after the 2025 NCAA Tournament to become the head coach at Virginia, not Villanova or Virginia as Max predicted. He went to Virginia, which was one of the two destinations Max named.
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Big CatBig Cat

Georgia's lack of basketball success given their football dominance is the biggest disparity in sports

Of the 10 college football national champions since 2002, seven out of 10 of them have been to a Final Four. All 10 of them have been to an Elite Eight... Georgia has zero wins combined [in that span]. I think that's the biggest disparity between a football and a basketball program.

This is factually true; Georgia had not won a tournament game between 2002 and 2025 while other football titans like Alabama, Michigan, and Florida have had deep runs.
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Big CatBig Cat

The 2025 National Champion will come from the group of 11 teams meeting specific KenPom efficiency criteria

I'm gonna list all 11 for you [Duke, Florida, Houston, Auburn, Tennessee, Alabama, Texas Tech, Gonzaga, Iowa State, Wisconsin, and Arizona]. And you can tell me yes. That the national champion will be in this group.

Florida won the 2025 National Championship, and Florida was on the list of 11 teams meeting the KenPom efficiency criteria (Duke, Florida, Houston, Auburn, Tennessee, Alabama, Texas Tech, Gonzaga, Iowa State, Wisconsin, and Arizona).
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Mark TitusMark Titus

The 2025 National Champion will be a 1 or 2 seed

I think the national champion is in that group [of 11 teams meeting KenPom criteria]... I have a really good feeling that it was gonna be a one or a two. 'Cause if you watched all season, it just felt like these teams are just way better than everybody else. I feel that way this year for the first time since 2015. I have that same feeling again.

Florida, the #1 seed, won the 2025 NCAA Championship. In fact, all four #1 seeds made the Final Four, only the second time that has happened.
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Mark TitusMark Titus

The 2025 NCAA Tournament will be very 'chalky' with high seeds dominating

I think this is the year of chalk... I have a really good feeling that it was gonna be a one or a two. Because if you watched all season, it just felt like these teams are just way better than everybody else... I'm very, very confident that your national champion will be a one or two.

The 2025 tournament was historically chalky. All four 1-seeds (Florida, Duke, Auburn, Houston) made the Final Four for only the second time in expanded tournament history. The national champion Florida was a 1-seed, confirming the prediction of a 1 or 2 seed winning it all.
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Big CatBig Cat

Don't get cute with brackets this year; the one seeds are historically dominant

This is the year that don't be afraid to just do chalk. Only four teams since 2000 have entered the tournament [with a] plus 35 net rating... this year, four teams have 35 net rating or higher. Wow. So that's insane. Yeah. Like that, that just shows you that the one seeds this year are playing at such a high level and are so dominant... don't be afraid to just go chalk.

The factual claim about net rating is likely accurate based on KenPom data as of episode date; the strategy advice depends on tournament outcomes.
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Big CatBig Cat

Cooper Flagg will likely play in the second round of the NCAA Tournament after a Toradol shot

I have a doctor on staff... Dr. Dan... He said that probably out for the ACC tournament. March Madness... probably a Toradol shot, steroid shot. Wrap him up. He could probably go in the second round if needed.

Flagg played in the entire tournament, starting from the first round, and appeared to be physically capable, though Duke lost in the Elite Eight.
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Big CatBig Cat

Kansas is a broken team that everyone should bet against in the tournament

Kansas just broken. I they're not gonna be, that's gonna be one of those ones where they're gonna be a five or six and everyone's going to say, oh my God. They're go down goes Kansas. Are we ready to say we, we watched them all year. They weren't good.

Kansas lost to Arkansas 79-72 in the first round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament, confirming they were indeed a team to bet against.
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MaxMax

Kyle Neptune's career as the head coach of Villanova is likely over

Went two for 15 in a way that ended their season, ended his [Eric Dixon's] career. And most likely ended the career of the head coach of Villanova, Kyle Neptune.

Kyle Neptune was fired by Villanova on March 15, 2025 after a 54-47 record over three seasons and failing to reach the NCAA Tournament. Kevin Willard was hired as his replacement.
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Bill RafteryBill Raftery

Florida is my primary sleeper team to watch in the NCAA Tournament

A team that intrigues me is Florida. They intrigue me because they got size, speed shooters, guys. Golden's a hell of a coach. He did a great job at San Francisco.

Florida won the entire 2025 NCAA Tournament, defeating Houston 65-63 in the championship game. Walter Clayton Jr. was named MOP. Florida was a #1 seed and lived up to the hype and beyond.
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Dusty MayDusty May

The rumors about me becoming the next Indiana head coach are total fake news.

I'm gonna go fake news on that one. ... I'm very, very happy at Michigan. I appreciate the opportunity that these guys gave me and I'm excited about the foundation that we've laid in year one.

May signed an extension and stayed at Michigan, confirming the rumors were indeed false.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Doug Gottlieb is doing a bad job coaching Green Bay and should spend less time on social media

Jesus, Doug, a seven game losing streak in the last place in the Horizon League. Less time on social media, more time in the gym... I think he's, has he won a game in December... He's doing things like his way... sat [his best player] for the entire game even though they can't win a game right now.

Gottlieb's coaching performance is a matter of public record, showing a significant losing streak at the time of the episode.
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HankHank

Duke basketball is back

Duke's back... They beat Arizona State by 50 in a scrimmage... They might be back. God damnit they might be back.

Duke made the Final Four as a #1 seed in 2025, with Cooper Flagg as a dominant freshman. They beat Alabama 85-65 in the Elite Eight before losing to Houston in the semis. Duke basketball was indeed 'back' as a national contender.
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Big CatBig Cat

I want UConn to stay in the Big East because conference realignment is ruining the sport

I want UConn to stay in the Big East. But I also realize that the Big 12 would just be so fucking good with basketball... But I don't want to happen. UConn should be in the Big East. They're home right now. Let's leave them home.

As of late 2024, UConn remains in the Big East despite ongoing rumors about a Big 12 move.
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Rick PitinoRick Pitino

St. John's is much bigger and faster this season and I'm bullish on the team

Well, we're much bigger. We're 7-1, 7-foot, 6-10, 6-9... I have a young man from Utah, Deivon Smith, who is faster than, as fast, if not faster than Peyton Siva... I'm really bullish on this basketball team.

Rick Pitino said he was bullish on St. John's basketball for the 2024-25 season. St. John's went 31-5, finished 1st in the Big East (18-2), earned a 2-seed in the NCAA Tournament, and Pitino won multiple Coach of the Year awards. The team fully justified the bullish take.
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Big CatBig Cat

Dan Hurley turning down both Kentucky and the Lakers in three months is a historic run

Dan Hurley might be the, the, so back to back national titles, obviously the new face of college basketball coaching. And then to turn down Kentucky and the Lakers in the same three month span. That's a historic run to turn down those two entities in that amount of time for that much money. He's just flexing on everyone.

This is a fact-based opinion on the prestige and rarity of the situation.
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Big CatBig Cat

Dan Hurley will stay at UConn and turn down the Lakers

I think he [Dan Hurley] is going to stay at Yukon. The fact that it's taken this long and that he made an announcement... It feels to me like it's gonna be a hype video. I'm back.

Dan Hurley announced later that day that he was turning down the Lakers to stay at UConn.
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MaxMax

There is zero chance Dan Hurley leaves UConn for the Lakers

There's zero chance he goes to the Lakers. The hype video tomorrow is going to be a crazy 'I'm not fucking leaving'. He's a man of theater and he's very good at it.

Dan Hurley did indeed turn down the Lakers to stay at UConn later that same day.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

UConn just completed the most dominant postseason run of any team in history

The most dominant stretch in postseason play of any team ever. The best, the best run of any team ever. I think we could say like UConn dominate everybody. The games were not particularly exciting. UConn, they, I think they're the best second half team in the entire tournament by a vast margin.

UConn won all 6 games by 13+ points for the second straight year, a historic level of point-differential dominance.
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Big CatBig Cat

Dan Hurley's press conference after losing to Villanova in 2020 will go down as one of the coolest, most badass clips of all time

Danny Hurley's press conference after the Villanova lost in 2020 might go down as one of the coolest, most badass Clips of all time when he said, get us now, 'cause we're coming and you're not gonna get us later.

The clip is widely regarded as iconic in college basketball history now that UConn has achieved this dominance.
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Big CatBig Cat

Dan Hurley is the new face of college basketball

[Dan Hurley] shows his emotion and he's not a fucking robot and he's the new face of college basketball.

Winning back-to-back titles and the media attention he commands makes this a widely accepted take.
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John FantaJohn Fanta

Dan Hurley will be the coaching face of college basketball if he wins the title

Hurley would put himself as the coaching face of college basketball. You will have won each NCAA tournament game if, if you win this game in commanding fashion... He'll win each game by at least 13 points.

Hurley won his second title and then famously turned down the Lakers job, cementing him as the premier name in college coaching.
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John FantaJohn Fanta

UCLA will be a top 25 team next year and Mick Cronin will bounce back

I think I've got UCLA [in the way too early top 25]... I like Mick to bounce back. Cronin's. I having too bad either, but not bounce back too much. [Ranked] 19.

John Fanta predicted UCLA would be a top 25 team (ranked 19) in the 2024-25 season and Mick Cronin would bounce back. UCLA entered the season ranked No. 22 in the AP poll and rose as high as No. 15 during the season, confirming they were a top 25 team.
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John FantaJohn Fanta

Villanova must make the tournament next year or Kyle Neptune is in trouble

It is time this upcoming year for Villanova to get back to the big dance floor or else... You can't go a decade of making the NCAA tournament and making runs... then miss it back to back seasons.

Villanova missed the NCAA Tournament for the third straight year in 2024-25, and Kyle Neptune was fired on March 15, 2025. Fanta was right that Neptune was in trouble if they missed the tournament.
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Big CatBig Cat

UConn only needs to play a 'C-minus' game to beat most teams

UConn is just a kind of a, there's levels and they're just at a different level right now if they come out and play. Like UConn would have to play what a c minus game to give Alabama a chance. Like if I think of, if UConn plays a B game, they beat everyone.

UConn won every game in the tournament by double digits, including the championship.
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Big CatBig Cat

DJ Burns is the man and NC State is America's team for beating Duke

DJ Burns is the fucking man. Yes. I love him. Thank everyone in America should thank DJ Burns for beating Duke. Oh. For just being awesome.

NC State did beat Duke to reach the Final Four and became a viral sensation during the 2024 tournament.

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