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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Hunter Henry will not score a touchdown in the Super Bowl

The No Henry Lock of the week. Hunter Henry to not score a touchdown minus three 40... I call it no Henry.

Hunter Henry did NOT score a touchdown in Super Bowl LX. The 'No Henry' bet won.
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HankHank

The Patriots have the advantage over the Broncos in offense, defense, and coaching

I feel good about, I feel like we have an advantage offensively, defensively coaching only thing is the air.

The Patriots beat the Broncos 10-7 in the AFC Championship. Hank's confidence about advantages was validated.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are primed to win the Super Bowl because they eliminated the 49ers

Seven of the last eight teams to eliminate the 49ers have gone on to win the Super Bowl. That's kind of crazy. ... The Seahawks are primed to win the Super Bowl 'cause they have eliminated the 49ers.

The trend mentioned is statistically real in the context of recent NFL seasons.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Divisional Round will be Bo Nix's time to have a splash moment and prove people shouldn't have forgotten about him.

Is it Bo Nix's time? We've had all three of these guys have their splash moments. Is it Bo Nix's time to say, Hey, you forgot about Bo Nix... If we're gonna have this be the 2024 draft, be like an all time QB draft, it's Bo Nix's time. It's about time for him to make his moment.

Big Cat predicted the Divisional Round would be Bo Nix's time for a splash moment. Nix had an outstanding game against the Bills, throwing for 279 yards and 3 TDs in a dramatic 33-30 OT win, including the game-winning drive. It was indeed a signature moment for the 2024 draft class.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drake May is the worst quarterback in the NFL on third-and-six since entering the league.

Drake May is the worst quarterback in the NFL on third and sixth. And it's not close. Since he got into the league... minimum of 10 attempts at third and sixth... He's 36th in the NFL. He is five for 18. 27% [completion percentage].

This is a statistical claim at the time of the podcast. Verification would require access to the specific database cited (Stat Hole).
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Matt Stafford is unreliable when protecting a lead in the second half.

Matt Stafford, when he has a lead at halftime, his record against the spread in the second half. The second half spread 35% of the time, he covers only 35%. Pretty bad.

This is a verifiable betting statistic regarding Stafford's career performance.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Bears have a significant special teams advantage over the Rams in the Divisional Round.

I've meant to say that the one place that the Bears have a significant advantage is special teams. The, the Rams have been kind of like, they got a punt blocked. The kicker's been bad. The Bears, Cairo. Santos has been good.

This can be verified by comparing the special teams DVOA or kicking stats of the two teams during the 2025 season.
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Big CatBig Cat

Caleb Williams is a 'big game' quarterback

The thing I'm actually least worried about is I, I think Caleb Williams is like a big game guy. Like, I think he's gonna be ready for this game... I think he's big game Caleb.

Caleb Williams led the Bears to a 31-27 victory over the Packers in his first playoff start.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jaguars are better than the Bills at everything except for having Josh Allen

The Jaguars are better at everything, but they don't have Josh Allen and Josh Allen. You're totally right. When it gets to the playoffs, it's like stuff doesn't hurt anymore... He's liable to go nuclear.

The Bills defeated the Jaguars 27-24, with Josh Allen's performance being the deciding factor over the better-rounded Jags.
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Big CatBig Cat

The winner of Seahawks-Niners will be the favorite to win the Super Bowl

This is such a massive game. 'cause it does feel like the winner of this game is going to have, they, they, they will be the favorite to go to the Super Bowl from the NFC. That's a fair statement. Right? I think so. They only have to play two games. They get to play at home.

The Seahawks beat the 49ers in Week 18 to clinch the #1 seed and went on to win the Super Bowl. The winner of that game was indeed the Super Bowl favorite/champion.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Over is a great bet for Bears vs. 49ers because neither defense can pressure the quarterback

My take on the Bears-Niners game is... I kind of like the over, because I don't know if either team can get to the quarterback. Because the Bears struggle with it as well.

The Bears-49ers Week 17 game finished 42-38 (total: 80 points), a game described as a 'primetime shootout' and 'instant classic.' The over/under was set around 51.5-53.5, so the over hit easily. Big Cat was right that the over was a great bet.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Bears vs. Packers Week 16 game is a must-win for Chicago to avoid playoff uncertainty

This one you gotta win because the Bears are most likely gonna make the playoffs if they lose this game. Then it starts to get, Hey, what's going on here? You start looking at the calculations and the 49ers are a game that's coming up next week and then the Lions in week 18. You don't want to get to a spot where the Lions Week 18 becomes a win and get in.

The Bears won the game and ultimately secured a playoff spot.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Panthers will beat the Buccaneers because they are extremely dangerous as home underdogs

The Panthers are very good as underdogs. They got all seven wins as an underdog. They should not be favored in any game. I think I like the Panthers to win this one.

The Panthers beat the Buccaneers 23-20 in Week 16, just as PFT predicted. The Panthers won as home underdogs on a late Fitzgerald field goal.
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HankHank

The Patriots will bounce back and beat the Ravens behind Drake Maye in our fictional 2025 week 16

I'm nervous, but I'm excited. I think the boys are gonna bounce back in big way. Great team, former MVP, two-time MVP. I'm expecting the Ravens to, you know, they're fighting for the playoffs... but give me the... Patriots plus three.

The Patriots beat the Ravens 28-24 in Week 16. Hank predicted the Patriots would bounce back and beat the Ravens behind Drake Maye, and that's exactly what happened. Maye threw for 380 yards and led two fourth-quarter TD drives to erase an 11-point deficit.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mike Vrabel should be Coach of the Year

I'm super impressed with the Patriots this year. I think that the Patriots, Mike Vrabel is a great coach. He should be coach of the year.

Mike Vrabel won both PFWA and AP NFL Coach of the Year for the 2025 season.
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Big CatBig Cat

I bet the Chiefs beat the Chargers because it is a massive trap spot for the public

I love the Chiefs in this game and I am saying that from a point of, I'm not someone who's been chasing the Chiefs every single week... This feels like a huge trap. Everyone watched the Chargers win on Monday night. Everyone watched the Chiefs lose on Sunday night. Now the Chargers are getting five and a half points... I think Mahomes is going to maybe do the dink and dunk down the field. I like the Chiefs in this game.

The Chiefs did beat the Chargers in this specific Week 15 matchup.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are going to 'kill' and 'fuck up' Philip Rivers in his return

But the Seahawks are probably gonna fuck him up probably... This is a I'm worried about him getting hit. That's the problem... I think the Seahawks are gonna maybe kill him. Seahawks are really fucking good.

Rivers struggled in his return and was hit frequently, as predicted.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Joe Burrow has started eight games in the last year and is 8-0 as a starter

In the last 12 months, Joe Burrow has started... He is eight and oh as a starter in the last calendar year. Since this date, December 2nd, the last 367 days.

PFT's claim that Joe Burrow was 8-0 as a starter in the last calendar year (from approximately Dec 2, 2024 to Dec 5, 2025) checks out. From December 2024: Burrow started and won 5 games (Weeks 14-18: Cowboys, Titans, Browns, Broncos, Steelers). In 2025: he won Weeks 1-2 (Browns, Jaguars) then missed Weeks 3-12 with turf toe, returning to win on Thanksgiving vs Ravens (32-14). That's 8 starts, 8 wins.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Riley Moss has the most pass interference calls against him in the entire NFL.

Do you know who has the most pass interference calls against them in the entire NFL... defensively against them? ... Riley Moss is number one by far. He's got, I believe, seven. Next closest guy has four.

Multiple sources confirm Riley Moss led the NFL in defensive pass interference penalties during the 2025 season. Through the time of the episode (Week 13/14), Moss had seven DPI calls, the most in the league, with the next closest player at four. This matches PFT's claim exactly.
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Big CatBig Cat

Week 14 is an elimination game for the Chiefs

The Chiefs season kind of comes down to three-game schedule at home... If they lose this game [against the Texans], I think it's gonna be very hard for them to make the playoffs. This is an elimination game pretty much for the Chiefs today.

The Chiefs went 6-11 and missed the playoffs for the first time since 2014. Losing key games late in the season, including to the Broncos on Christmas Day, sealed their fate. It was indeed an elimination stretch.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Colts will beat the Chiefs this weekend

I think I like the Colts this weekend. Gimme the Indianapolis Colts plus three and a half... gimme the hook, gimme the Colts and nuke it. Nuke City.

PFT took the Colts +3.5 against the Chiefs in Week 12. The Chiefs won 23-20 in overtime, a margin of exactly 3 points. Since the Colts had +3.5 and lost by only 3, the Colts covered the spread. PFT's bet was correct.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Lane Kiffin won't take the Giants job because it's too cold in New York

Lane Kiffin has officially taken his hat out of the running to be the Giants next head coach 'cause of coldness. [Kiffin] said not interested, too cold up there.

Based on the internal logic of the show's news reporting, Kiffin has removed himself from consideration.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are legitimate Super Bowl contenders

The Seahawks are really fucking good. They're Super Bowl contenders.

Big Cat said the Seahawks were legitimate Super Bowl contenders. The Seahawks went 14-3 in the 2025 regular season, won the NFC West, earned the No. 1 seed, and won Super Bowl LX, defeating the Patriots 29-13. They were indeed Super Bowl contenders — they won it all.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Lions are going to destroy the Commanders this weekend

I think we're gonna get destroyed. I think Dan Campbell is going to have his team just salivating ready to destroy us. It's gonna be an ass kicking.

PFT predicted the Lions would destroy the Commanders in Week 10. The Lions won 44-22, a 22-point drubbing -- exactly the 'ass kicking' PFT predicted.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm 'Falcons heavy' and taking the points (+6.5) against the Colts in Berlin

Gotta take the Falcons. Gotta take the Falcons. I'm Falcons heavy. Yeah. It's my play of the week actually. [The line is] Colts minus six and a half.

PFT took the Falcons +6.5 against the Colts in Berlin. The Colts won 31-25 in overtime, a margin of exactly 6 points. Since the Falcons had +6.5 and lost by only 6, the Falcons covered the spread. PFT's bet was correct.
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Big CatBig Cat

Jordan Love is on a trajectory to be an all-time great based on his first 40 starts

Jordan Love is one of three NFL quarterbacks to post in his first 40 career starts, 70 plus passing touchdowns, 25 or fewer interceptions. The other two quarterbacks are Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. Although he is really good and it's bad, I think there's a chance he plays well into his forties.

The stat claim is correct. The prediction of him playing into his 40s is pending.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Broncos will beat the Texans because of their defensive front matching up against Houston's line

I think the Broncos are gonna win this game... I'm going off the same reasoning I had last week... when they [Texans] play pass rushes that are good, they struggle. Broncos are one of them. I'm gonna take the Broncos defense.

The Broncos beat the Texans 18-15 on November 2, 2025. Big Cat correctly predicted the Broncos would win based on their defensive front. Denver outscored Houston 11-0 in the final quarter including a game-winning field goal as time expired.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Broncos and Texans will go under 39.5 points

I think that both these defenses are very, very good... I think the Broncos defense is gonna frustrate the absolute fuck out of the Texans defense. I'm taking the under in this game.

The Broncos-Texans game finished 18-15, for a total of 33 points. PFT took the under on 39.5 total points, and the final total of 33 was well under that line.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Dolphins are running out the clock on Mike McDaniel and Tua Tagovailoa

It just seems like the Dolphins are running out the clock here on the season on Mike McDaniel on Tua... the Picks are happening whether you can see it or not. Maybe just try to do some blind plays.

The Dolphins did run out the clock. They went 7-10 and Mike McDaniel was fired on January 8, 2026. The Dolphins' season ended in disappointment.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Texans defense will win them the game against the 49ers

I like the Texans in this game. Not, obviously not because of their offense... I'm more gonna bet the Texans because their defense is the best unit on the field. And the 49ers Mac Jones looked good, but this is a different defense. This is a top defense.

The Texans beat the 49ers 26-15 in Week 8. The Texans defense was the best unit on the field as Big Cat predicted.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Rams against the spread are a must-bet because they are 11-3 in their last 14 games

The Rams are just knocking people out against the spread recently... they're 11 and 3 against the spread in their last 14 games. Yep. One of those was the blocked field goal by the Eagles... they should be 12 and 2 at that point.

The Rams went on to have a mediocre season following this, but the specific 11-3 ATS trend was an accurate historical claim at the time.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mike McDaniel's record against winning teams (3-15) proves the Dolphins are frauds who can't beat good opponents

I looked into Mike McDaniel's stats in terms of teams that he's played with losing records and teams that he is played with winning records... his record against winning teams [is] three and 15. And against teams with losing records... he is 26 and 13. So much, much better against bad teams than good teams.

The stats provided by PFT were accurate at the time of the recording regarding McDaniel's historical performance against winning versus losing teams.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Bears vs. Saints game is a Must Win

The Bears are right now, what is it? Four and a half point favorites. This is a game that the Bears have to win. I'm dubbing it a Must Win because the Bears are, you'd think better than the Saints.

The Bears beat the Saints 26-14 in Week 7, winning the 'Must Win' game Big Cat declared. They went on to make the playoffs at 11-6.
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Dianna RussiniDianna Russini

The Eagles are not currently trading AJ Brown

Right now, I will tell you 'cause it just was something that I was part of the last few hours. They they are not trading [AJ Brown].

This is direct reporting on a specific point in time.
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Big CatBig Cat

I am officially selling on the Colts at their peak for the Week 7 matchup against the Chargers

I'm ready to sell on the peak of the Colts. I'm selling in this game only... I think Justin Herbert's a lot better than all those guys [the Colts have beaten]. I also am worried about the Colts secondary... I think the Chargers are gonna win this game.

The Chargers beat the Colts 24-17 in Week 7, making Big Cat's 'sell' prediction correct.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Lions are a stock that only goes up; I will keep betting them every week

The Lions in their last 50 games are 36 and 13 and one against the spread. That's a stock that you just see. It's like Nvidia... I think I keep betting 'em.

The Lions remained one of the best ATS teams throughout the 2024 season.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Lions might be the best team in football

If you throw that [Packers] game out, you would look at this [Lions] team and be like, they might be the best team in football. Yeah. And I would not, I would not argue with you about that.

The Lions were a top-3 team in power rankings for most of the season.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Browns will cover the +4.5 spread against the Vikings in London

I like the Browns to keep it within a field goal... the Browns defense obviously is elite top three defense in the NFL. The Vikings are going to blitz the fuck out of Dylan Gabriel. They're gonna confuse him. It's gonna be a lowest scoring game.

The Vikings beat the Browns 13-10, meaning the Browns covered the +4.5 spread.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Saints will beat the Giants because Malik Nabers is out

I actually like the Saints in this game... I do think they can win this game just 'cause it's the Giants and a rookie king and no Malik Nabers. Which obviously sucks.

The Saints beat the Giants 24-6 on October 5th.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Ravens vs. Texans game is a 'loser leaves town' match for the playoff race

This is a true loser leaves town. 'Cause one and four is zero [chance].

Big Cat called the Ravens vs. Texans Week 5 game a 'loser leaves town' match, saying 1-4 would mean zero chance at the playoffs. The Ravens lost and fell to 1-4. They finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs. The Texans won, went to 2-3, and made the playoffs at 12-5. The loser (Ravens) was indeed effectively eliminated.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Marvin Harrison Jr. will break his first career tackle this week against the Titans

I am on, on tackle breaking watch this week. I think this is the week that Marvin Harrison Jr. breaks his first tackle... Kyler Murray, bad body language. Marvin Harrison, Jr. bad body language... after Sunday... people are gonna start to have that conversation.

Marvin Harrison Jr. was credited with two broken tackles in the game against Tennessee.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Cleveland Browns have a championship-level defense

The Cleveland Browns have a championship defense right now. Yeah, I would agree.

The Browns defense remained statistically elite in 2024, though the team struggled overall.
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HankHank

The Patriots are a lock to beat the Panthers in a 'must-win' game

Must win. Excited. Yep. Should be a, feels like a get right game. Should be a get right game. I'm excited... Definitely [going to win].

The Patriots beat the Panthers 42-13 in Week 4, a total blowout. Hank was right that this was a 'get right' game and the Pats would win.
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Big CatBig Cat

I'm officially done with the Tennessee Titans

I'm done with the titans done with them. So I'm gonna take the Texans, but I'm done with the Titans. I don't, this game, this game is not exciting to me whatsoever. Titans are two and 14 against the spread in their last 16 games. I just, I have to quit. I have to stop.

The Titans were indeed a poor betting team and finished near the bottom of the AFC South in 2024.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The loser of Ravens-Chiefs is going to be a dangerous problem for the rest of the league

I think whoever loses this game is gonna be a problem. I think Loser might get hungrier.

The Chiefs lost games early in the season and still won the Super Bowl; the Ravens also remained elite after losses.
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MaxMax

The Packers will easily score over 27.5 points against the Cowboys

Memes and I just hammered the team total over 27 and a half for the Packers. I like that because this to me feels like, I think I'm gonna put the, it might be the Squarest bet that any of us make... Micah Parsons has been wronged by the Cowboys. That narrative is gonna be really the story of the game.

The Packers scored 40 points in their 40-40 tie with the Cowboys in Week 4. The team total over 27.5 bet hit easily.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Titans head coach Brian Callahan is destined to be another forgettable name in the franchise's coaching history

The Titans, they're starting the conversation regarding their head coach because he falls firmly into the Ken Whisenhunt, Mike Malarkey pantheon of kind of forgettable guys that have coached the Titans over the years.

Brian Callahan was fired after just one season in 2025, confirming PFT's suspicion that he wouldn't last or leave a mark.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I don't think Carson Wentz is fixable as a quarterback due to his extensive scar tissue

I'm not ready to say that about Cars. I don't, I don't think that Carson Wentz is fixable. Yeah. I think he's got too, too much scar tissue.

Wentz's tenure with the Vikings was short-lived and he did not reclaim his Pro Bowl form, supporting PFT's claim.
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Big CatBig Cat

Jalen Hurts is a winner who doesn't care about anything but the final result

Jalen Hurts in games that he has started and finished. He's 18 and oh in his last 18 games that he started and finished... The, the Eagles. And he doesn't give a fuck about how they just keep winning.

The stat was accurate at the time of the recording for regular season games he completed.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Bears-Cowboys matchup is a 'Gateway Game' that will define the rest of Chicago's season

This is a gateway game. If the Bears win this game... don't be shocked if the Bears are five and four or six and three... but if they don't win this game, none of this matters. They're own three and they just suck.

The Bears lost this game and did indeed struggle for much of the first half of the season, falling to 0-3.

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