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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears will score fewer than 13 points against the Rams and the game will go under 47

My under is the Bears-Rams, 46 and a half. I don't think the Bears are going to score 13 points. ... Add all those so bads up, that's an under. ... Give me 47.

The Rams won 34-14, meaning the total (48) went slightly over the predicted 47, and the Bears scored 14 points, just exceeding his 13-point ceiling.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Gonzaga will win the National Championship

I'm going to take Gonzaga. I think they're going to win. I think it's going to be an awesome game.

Baylor defeated Gonzaga 86-70 on the night of April 5, 2021.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Loyola Chicago will reach the 2021 Final Four

Loyola has a path to the Final Four here that's not that hard. So you should have put them higher because now it's going to happen. They're going to get to the Final Four.

Loyola Chicago lost to Oregon State in the Sweet 16, falling short of the Final Four.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Arkansas will 'kill' Oral Roberts in the Sweet 16

Oral Roberts, Arkansas. Arkansas is going to kill them. Must bust all the way.

Arkansas won 72-70, which is far from 'killing them.'
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Syracuse will defeat Houston in the Sweet 16

I think Syracuse is going to win on Saturday night [against Houston]. Me too. [Jake Marsh] Houston should not, like, Rutgers blew that game. I'm all over Syracuse, too, because, like, the zone. That's what you need to know.

Houston defeated Syracuse 62-46 on March 27, 2021.
Loss
HankHank

Creighton will upset #1 overall seed Gonzaga in the Sweet 16

I think they're [Gonzaga] getting upset. Yep. Against Creighton? Yep. With the P-word [Greg McDermott's plantation comment]? Yep.

Gonzaga beat Creighton easily, 83-65.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Alabama will reach the 2021 Final Four

I think I got to go Bama. It might just be because we interviewed Nate Oats. That actually might be what pushed me over the top. But I think they've just been scoring too. Like, 96 points against Maryland, to me, that made me feel like Alabama might reach the Final Four.

Alabama lost to UCLA 88-78 in overtime in the Sweet 16.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Mick Cronin wasted the 'dad hug' momentum by seeing his father in the first round instead of the Sweet 16

The whole storyline of not seeing his dad, not hugging his dad for two years... he used it in the first weekend. He should have brought his dad out for this weekend. Then they win this game. I truly believe that. They're showing Hep Cronin in the stands and being like, man, after this game, they're going to get the hug. They somehow find a way. A dad game is a game changer.

UCLA actually beat Alabama in the Sweet 16 and went all the way to the Final Four, so the 'wasted momentum' did not apply.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

My Final Four picks: Gonzaga, UConn, Illinois, and Arkansas

I have Gonzaga, UConn, Huskies are back, Illinois. And Arkansas. That's my Final Four.

Only Gonzaga reached the Final Four. UConn and Illinois lost in the first and second rounds respectively, and Arkansas lost in the Elite Eight.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I'm betting the over on a half-interception for Tom Brady in the Super Bowl

Tom Brady over a half of an interception. So he's got to throw one. I think he's going to throw – I think Tom Brady's going to play well, but I also think he's going to take his shots.

Tom Brady threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions in Super Bowl 55.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tails never fails on the Super Bowl coin toss

I usually go with tails never fails. ... It's tails. I'm betting tails. There you go. Tails never fails.

The Super Bowl 55 coin toss was Heads.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Aaron Rodgers will eventually become the full-time host of Jeopardy!

I actually think that Aaron Rodgers is going to eventually be the full-time host of Jeopardy. I think he's going to be, after he retires, I think he will. I think Aaron Rodgers is going to like doing it too much, and it combines all his favorite things: mustaches, being smarter than everybody, and letting everybody know that you're smarter than them.

Rodgers guest-hosted but Ken Jennings and Mayim Bialik were eventually named hosts; Rodgers remains an active NFL player.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Bills will win the AFC Championship, possibly convincingly

I said it on Monday, and I'm sticking with it. I think the Bills are going to win, and I wouldn't be surprised if they win convincingly.

The Chiefs beat the Bills 38-24 in the AFC Championship Game.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Bills defense is good enough to prevent the Chiefs from 'flipping the switch'

If they spot the Bills 17 points, that's going to be very, very difficult. It's not the same as playing against a Texans defense that can't stop anything or a Titans defense that was slightly fraudulent.

The Chiefs won the 2020 AFC Championship 38-24, effectively moving the ball at will after an early deficit.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Buccaneers will lose to the Falcons because of special teams COVID issues

To me that seems like this seems like a heartbreaking type loss for Tampa Bay, special teams, the most important of all the units... it's not ideal to go into a division game against an opponent that loves to play extremely close to match-ups... and then have your kicker and the person that hikes the ball to your kicker beyond the IR.

The Buccaneers defeated the Falcons 31-27, overcoming any special teams issues.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Falcons always manage to beat the Saints once every season

I actually think the Falcons are going to win this game. The Falcons always beat the Saints once. They always just do it.

The Saints swept the Falcons in 2020, winning both games (Nov 22 and Dec 6).
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Tennessee Titans stink right now and the Ravens will beat them easily

I actually think Baltimore wins, and I think they win easily because the Tennessee Titans, they just stink. Listen, I got a lot of shit for saying that back in September. I was wrong. I'm mad enough to admit that I was wrong about the Tennessee Titans. They stink right now.

The Titans beat the Ravens 30-24 in overtime on November 22, 2020.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

A parlay strategy involving five underdogs has a 50% likelihood of profit

I plugged in 32 outcomes, and then once each outcome happens, you see how much money you stand on winning in that moment... this actually has a 50% likelihood of being positive.

Standard gambling math shows that multi-leg parlays are negative expected value bets. Billy's specific formula was widely debunked by listeners following the episode.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Ryan Tannehill is a great quarterback, but he still actually stinks

Ryan Tannehill still stinks. I don't have anything beyond my eyes that told me that he still deserves not to be honest my guts right. It's my guts that are telling me that he still stinks. I just I still don't trust him. I've never trusted Ryan Tannehill... he is just been delaying the stinking.

Tannehill finished 2020 with 33 TDs and 7 INTs, leading the Titans to an 11-5 record. He was objectively very good in 2020, making this take factually incorrect.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Daniel Jones is JaMarcus Russell 2.0 because of his turnover rate

Daniel Jones and JaMarcus Russell had the same player in terms of turnovers... I will bring you know what I want. I will bring that exact same energy starting this weekend Daniel Jones. I'm going to run with that but is he is JaMarcus Russell 2.0.

While Jones struggled with turnovers, he eventually led the Giants to a playoff win, far exceeding JaMarcus Russell's career achievements.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Rams are winning the Super Bowl

the biggest winning Super Bowl the revs winning the Super Bowl. Yeah, I want on the record. Really. Yeah. Wow, but you don't like golf. I love Jared go. You said you hated to no one of my best friends in this world... Jared has the experience. Aryans he's been there before this time. He's gonna get revenge.

The Rams lost in the Divisional Round to the Packers in Jan 2021. They won the Super Bowl the following year (2021 season) with Matthew Stafford, not Jared Goff.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Seahawks defense is soft

I'm going to say that I think that the the Seahawks defense I'm going to use the S word. I think they're soft. I'll link their sauce sauce. Yeah. Yeah. I'm sorry, you know, what's terrible, you know, I'm doing right now. I'm giving side I to I'm throwing shade. Yeah all the s words for Seattle's defense know they're really I think that the Niners come out and just absolutely take their soul from them.

The Seahawks beat the 49ers 37-27 that weekend, though their defense was statistically one of the worst in the league for much of the 2020 season.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Eagles will win the NFC East with a losing record like 3-5-1.

The Eagles win the NFC East at like 3-5-1. The Eagles, they should have stopped playing right now. Yes, 1-2-1 is good enough to get you top of the NFC East.

The Washington Football Team won the division with a 7-9 record; the Eagles finished last at 4-11-1.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Dolphins will upset the Seahawks in a low-scoring game

I think something funny is going to happen here... I think that the Dolphins could do this, they could win and like a 19 to 14 game.

The Seahawks won 31-23. The score was high and the Dolphins did not win.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am betting a front-runner parlay on the Yankees and Lakers to both win titles this month

I might put a front-runner parlay down and go Yankees, Lakers, the Cowboys, Alabama football, and Duke basketball this year. We're going chalk.

The Lakers won the NBA title, but the Yankees lost in the ALDS to the Rays.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears will beat the Giants by 10 points in Week 2

I'll say it for you. I think the Bears win this game by 10 points. I'm very nervous for this game. But I'm nervous for every Bears game.

The Bears won 17-13, a margin of 4 points, failing to meet the 10-point prediction.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jets are the 'disgusting' underdog pick of the week against the 49ers

I kind of like the Jets here... Once having the same thought and everyone's betting the 49ers... this is going to be my dog of the week. It's the hold your nose. This is disgusting. You're going to hate yourself at like 1:35 on Sunday when it's 17 to three 49ers, but you're not dead yet.

The 49ers blew out the Jets 31-13. The Jets did not cover the +7 spread.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Bird Alert of the Week: The Washington Football Team will beat the Arizona Cardinals

I have the Washington football team and this is my bird alert of the week... the Washington football team is going to take out a second flock.

The Cardinals won the game 30-15 on September 20, 2020.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Packers vs. Vikings Week 1 game will go under 45 points

My under is the Packers Vikings under 45 lock it up.

The Packers won 43-34, a total of 77 points, making this significantly incorrect.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The 'Can't Lose' Parlay: Eagles, Colts, and Bills money lines will all hit

I have my can't lose parlay the first one of the year. It cannot lose. Eagles, Colts, Bills money line. There's no chance that loses. It says it right in the name... Eagles Colts bills moneyline cannot lose.

The Bills won, but the Eagles lost to Washington and the Colts lost to the Jaguars, making the parlay a loser.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I might get an NFL call-up as a 'camp leg' based on my XFL kicking film

I'm also thinking that there's an outside chance that with what I've put on film already and what I will continue to put on film, maybe I get a call for a training camp for an NFL team. Maybe I'm a camp leg... They need camp legs. I'm not worse than Vinatieri. I'm a better kicker than the greatest kicker of all time.

PFT did not receive an NFL training camp invite.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Alex Ovechkin is officially better than Wayne Gretzky now that he has 700 goals

Ovi just scored his 700th goal. ... I'm predicting. I'm going to be at the Caps game on Saturday night. I'm going to see him score two more goals. ... And then it's going to happen. Now he's officially better than Wayne Gretzky.

Ovi didn't score his 700th that Saturday (it happened Feb 22), and Gretzky still holds the points record by a massive margin.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Deebo Samuel will score the first touchdown of Super Bowl 54

I'm also going to make a bold prediction. I think that the Niners are going to hit them with a play-action bomb on the first drive... It's going to Debo [Samuel]. He's going to Debo for six. First score Debo Samuel for six points.

The first touchdown of the game was scored by Patrick Mahomes on a 1-yard run. Deebo Samuel did not score a touchdown in the game.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am a better kicker than the kickers at Alabama

Alabama could do a lot worse. Dude, I'm a better kicker than Alabama. Saban would have another chip if he had you as a kicker. That's a fact.

Alabama had significant kicking struggles around this time, but PFT is not a D1-caliber athlete.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm betting on the Titans to cover the spread against the Chiefs

I'm betting on the Titans. ... Against the spread, not straight up. Seven and a half, seven right now, actually. Yeah, I'm betting on the Titans right now, but I'm rooting for the Chiefs.

The Chiefs won 35-24. The Titans (+7 or +7.5) did not cover the spread.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The 49ers, Ravens, and Chiefs money line parlay is a can't-lose bet

The 49ers, the Ravens, the Chiefs. Parlay them all, plus 105 on BetMGM, even money everywhere else... How does that lose? I don't see a way that it does.

The Ravens lost to the Titans (28-12), killing the parlay.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Buffalo Bills will beat the Houston Texans 17-10 on Saturday

The final score will be 17 to 10. Yep, and the Buffalo Bills will win. Whoo. Okay, put it in stone.

The Texans beat the Bills 22-19 in overtime. Big Cat got the winner and the score wrong.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Patriots will beat the Titans easily and make everyone look stupid

This feels like one of those games where everyone is going to talk themselves into the Patriots being done... they're going to beat the Titans easily and everyone's be like damn we Feel stupid.

The Titans beat the Patriots 20-13, which turned out to be Tom Brady's final game as a Patriot.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Xavier Rhodes is going to get torched and be terrible in the Wild Card game

Can we just get Xavier Rhodes' name trending before the game because it's going to happen. He's going to get torched and get mad about it. So we should like pre-trend him so that everyone just knows like hey, here's a heads-up Xavier Rhodes is going to be terrible.

The Vikings actually upset the Saints, and while Rhodes had a difficult season in 2019, he didn't have a signature 'torched' performance in this specific playoff win.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Eagles are my lock of the year against the Seahawks

I'm taking the Eagles because it's Tony's it's my Tony Danza lock the lock of the Year. Okay. I mean, I'm not an idiot. I'm going to also take Tony Danza.

PredictionFootballHotSarcastic
The Seahawks beat the Eagles 17-9.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Jameis Winston will record a touchdown, an interception, and a fumble on Saturday

The special famous Jameis hat-trick: Jameis [Winston] to record over a half a touchdown, half an interception and a half a fumble. I love that one.

In the game on Dec 21, 2019, Winston recorded 0 passing/rushing touchdowns and 0 fumbles (though he did have 4 interceptions).
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Take all the unders in late-season NFL divisional games

I feel like late in the season divisional just take all the unders. I know that sounds crazy. I know overs are more fun. But these two teams know each other.

Most Week 16 divisional games in 2019 were high-scoring affairs that went over the total.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chicago Bears will beat the Kansas City Chiefs outright

I like Chicago. I like the Bears to win outright. How do you think they will ya fuck with me? I that's my entire logic behind. This is to just give you a victory that you can't do anything with.

The Chiefs beat the Bears 26-3 on December 22, 2019.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Kirk Cousins cannot win games in California

Cousins can't play on the Left Coast though. He is something like 0-8 in California.

The Vikings beat the Chargers 39-10 in Carson, CA, just two days after this episode, ending his winless streak in the state.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears will beat the Packers because Hakeem Hicks is returning and the Packers aren't ready for cold-weather football.

Hakeem Hicks is back because it's cold. There was a big boy football this time of year for big boy football. And I don't know if the Packers are ready to play Big Boy football just yet... Hakeem Hicks being back I think is going to be [the difference].

The Packers beat the Bears 21-13 on December 15, 2019.
Loss
HankHank

The Rams are a lock to beat the Cowboys.

My favorite is the Rams. That is the Lockwood lock of the week. Jared [Goff] has found it. They have bounced back. They're going to be making that push.

The Cowboys beat the Rams 44-21.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Raiders will win their final home game ever in the Black Hole because the crowd will be awesome and the Jaguars have quit.

The last home game ever in the Black Hole versus a team that has completely quit going across the country in Jacksonville, give me everything for the Raiders. That's the last game ever that's going to be an awesome crowd.

The Jaguars beat the Raiders 20-16 in the final game at the Oakland Coliseum on December 15, 2019.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Buccaneers will finish 8-8 and franchise tag Jameis Winston

My favorites the Bucks. I think the Bucks are going to finish 8-8 I do. I think Jameis is going to get franchise tagged. I do, I hope so I really do.

The Bucs finished 7-9 and Jameis Winston was not franchise tagged; they signed Tom Brady instead.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm loading up on the Bears for Thanksgiving because David Blough is starting for the Lions

I think I'm going to load up on the Bears, especially if [David] Blough's playing.

While the Bears won the game, they did not cover the spread, which is the standard implication of 'loading up' in a gambling context.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I love the over in Bills vs. Cowboys on Thanksgiving

Fellas, I love this over. This is going to be my over of the day. Because you've got to have at least one over on Thanksgiving. It's a lot going against Buffalo. Buffalo on the road. Different defense at home. Very good defense on the road. Maybe not as good. And also, teams have been able to run a little bit on the Bills. Guess who the Cowboys have? Zeke.

The Bills beat the Cowboys 26-15. Total points: 41. The over/under was 46.5, so the under hit.

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