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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If the Chiefs lose this weekend, they are done as contenders

I think if the Chiefs lose, I'm taking the 'Dunn' chain out. I'm thinking about throwing it on the Chiefs... I'm done thinking the Chiefs are just going to flip the switch and become the Chiefs of two years ago.

The Chiefs won this game (41-14 over the Raiders) and eventually made the AFC Championship game.
Loss
HankHank

The Patriots will win the Super Bowl if they beat the Browns convincingly

As I've said the whole season, last week was going to decide how I feel about the rest of the season. They won. I'm now in 'soupy' mode. So if they're going to go to the 'soupy', they've got to win this game [against the Browns] convincingly.

The Patriots did win this game (45-7), but they lost in the Wild Card round to the Bills.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The smart bet this season is on teams that failed to cover the previous week when playing against teams that did cover

Betting this year, it's smart to bet on teams that didn't cover the previous week when they're playing against teams that did cover the previous week. In 2021, those teams are 39-14-1... I like the Cowboys, minus 9.5.

The Cowboys (who didn't cover vs Denver) blew out the Falcons (who covered vs Saints) 43-3, validating the trend for this specific week.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Falcons are a bad matchup for the Cowboys because they cannot exploit the Cowboys' run defense

What the Cowboys' weaknesses are, they were exposed last week against the Broncos because the Broncos were able to run all over them. Falcons can't really run the ball. And they also don't really have a pass rush. So I think Dak [Prescott] will have a ton of time.

The Falcons were held to 2.8 yards per carry and zero sacks while Dallas scored 43 points.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Saints +3 is a great play against the Titans because the matchup makes no sense

I'm going to go with the Saints, plus three at the Titans. And this is my 'it doesn't make any sense' game of the week. I don't want to bet on the Saints, but the fact that I don't want to bet on them so hard makes me want to bet on them harder.

The Titans won 23-21, meaning the Saints +3 covered the spread.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Panthers +10.5 is a lock against a Cardinals team in a major let-down spot

I like the Panthers plus 10.5 against the Cardinals... I just think this is Cardinals off of an emotional big win with all their backups in San Francisco... Cardinals go, win big game with Colt McCoy in San Francisco, come home, maybe lay an egg against the Panthers.

The Panthers beat the Cardinals outright 34-10.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL covered up Aaron Rodgers ignoring COVID protocols for ratings

I'm pretty sure that the NFL, according to their own rules, should have suspended Aaron Rodgers. Should have fined him. And they're covering up the fact that he just ignored all the protocols because he's Aaron Rodgers and the rules don't apply to him. And they're like, 'You know what? We could have Aaron Rodgers sit out for multiple weeks, but I really like ratings.'

While the NFL did fine Rodgers, the claim of a 'cover up' for ratings is a subjective interpretation of league business, though the fine was notably small.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Chiefs are officially in the 'prove it' category before I believe they can return to their old form

The Chiefs are officially in the 'they-have-to-prove-it-to-me' category before I believe that they are going to be the team that they have been in the past.

The Chiefs immediately 'proved it' by winning their next eight games and reaching the AFC Championship.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Washington Football Team's strategy is to bring good teams down to their level and make every game a 'shit-fest'

The Washington football team [is] being like, hey, we're going to bring a good team down to our level and just make you play a real shit fest.

Washington beat Tampa Bay 29-19 in a game that was indeed a grinding, slow-paced affair typical of PFT's description.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jimmy Butler is the top-one player in the NBA

Jimmy Butler is a king, top one player in the NBA. He got fined due to attempting to escalate the situation and also for not snitching.

While Butler is elite, he has never been considered the literal #1 player in the NBA by any consensus or major award.
Win
Rob LoweRob Lowe

Magic Johnson doesn't physically write his own tweets

I found out that Magic Johnson does not physically do any of the tweets, which may explain some of it. It's articulated clearly across the room or while he's doing 17 other things as a titan of industry. And then there is a woman whose job is to figure out what he's talking about and make it a tweet.

This has been widely accepted as true by fans and media after this and other similar reports.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Coach K is currently coaching for his job and legacy

I think that their [Duke's] players are so good that Coach K would be on the hot seat if he didn't win a title with these players. He is coaching for his job. We need to update that as the year goes on because if Coach K does not win a title with this extremely talented team, this would go down as the worst job coaching that he ever did in his entire life.

Hot TakeCBBFireSarcastic
Duke lost in the Final Four to North Carolina; while Coach K didn't 'lose his job' (he retired), many fans consider failing to win with Banchero a missed opportunity.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I think fans can convince Coach K to come back for another year

I think that if we all bond together as fans, we can convince Coach K to come back after this year is over.

PredictionCBBMildSarcastic
Coach K did indeed retire after the 2021-2022 season following Duke's loss in the Final Four.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

We are officially flipping the switch and betting overs in the NBA

The story's gotten too big now. It's gotten too national. So now I'm officially acknowledging we're flipping the switch. We're betting overs in the NBA now. Because too many people are getting – once NPR does a story about a trend in basketball, you can be sure that they're the last ones... So now we're betting overs officially.

While NBA scoring fluctuated, betting overs generally became more viable as the season progressed and offensive efficiencies normalized to the new Wilson ball.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Justin Fields is the real deal

I've never walked out of a game, out of a loss, happier because Justin Fields is the real deal. That's all I took away from that game.

This is subjective but historically interesting; Fields showed flashes but was ultimately traded by the Bears in 2024, showing he wasn't the long-term 'real deal' for them.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Cassius Marsh is the funniest player in the NFL

That guy, he cracks me up. He's the funniest player in the NFL. He's not very good, but he stands out so much. He looks like Cole Beasley if he was a Ninja Turtle.

Subjective opinion on player personality.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The NFL needs to fix the taunting rule because staring at a bench is innocuous

The taunting rule is terrible. They're going to have to fix it... He literally just stared at the bench. That's the most innocuous thing you can do on a football field.

This is a subjective opinion on league rules.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I think the Lions might beat the Bears on Thanksgiving

I still think they'll probably hand the lions their first loss of the season on thanksgiving day... you mean the lions are gonna beat the bears the lions are beat the bears yeah i was thinking about that when they were talking about the upcoming schedule for the bears and i feel like we're enough people are agreeing with that that we're starting to time the lions win again

The Bears actually won the Thanksgiving game 16-14, meaning the Lions did NOT beat them.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tennessee's offense is something Georgia hasn't seen yet

I don't want to say that Georgia's going to lose this weekend. But I do think that Tennessee's offense is something that they haven't seen yet... Hendon Hooker's awesome. He's very efficient. They spread out the field.

Georgia's defense effectively shut down Tennessee, winning 41-17. While Tennessee scored early, they were ultimately contained.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Based on Week 10 results, Michigan should be the #2 team in the country

If you want to go just from week 10 results, Michigan should be the number two team in the country because they actually handled their business against Indiana, and Indiana never was in that game.

At the time, Michigan had already lost to Michigan State, making them a one-loss team while others were undefeated. They were not ranked #2 until much later in the season.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I'm fully ready to convince myself Wisconsin beats Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship

I'm fully ready to get my hopes all the way up of Wisconsin beating Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship game.

Wisconsin did not make the Big Ten Championship game in 2021; Michigan played Iowa instead.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Dabo Swinney will blame 'the culture of America' and 'this generation' for Clemson's struggles

Is he a system coach where if things don't go well, everything's going to continue to fall apart? Or how does Dabo respond from going through his shitty season? I think he just puts it on his players when they lose... I think he goes even one further, and he goes like culture of America. And this generation, it's this generation doesn't want to be coached.

PredictionCFBMediumSarcastic
Swinney did frequently cite the transfer portal, NIL, and 'entitlement' as challenges during Clemson's transition period over the following years.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Odell Beckham Jr. shouldn't be on a team and should just do halftime one-handed catch clinics like Red Panda

Odell Beckham shouldn't be on a team. He should just do pregame and halftime performances like Red Panda, where he goes out there with a jugs machine and puts on a clinic of one-handed catches.

OBJ went to the Rams and won a Super Bowl, proving he was still a very valuable team player.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Dan Mullen will survive at Florida by cleaning house of his assistants

Dan Mullen's doing their... They fired the DC. Yeah, no, he's going to survive because he's just going to clean house.

Dan Mullen was fired by Florida less than two weeks later on November 21, 2021.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Never mess with a family from the former Yugoslavia

As a general rule of thumb, don't fuck with any family from the former Yugoslavia. It's great just because it's taking this... Yeah, they're like if the Ryan twins were in the movie Taken.

This is a general comedic assertion based on the intimidating reputation of the Jokic brothers.
Win
Paddy the BaddyPaddy the Baddy

One fight and one interview is all I need for everyone in the UFC to know me

I've always said I'll have one fight, I'll have one interview, and everyone will know the Baddy. And it's kind of true. It happened, lad. I saw it coming, lad.

Paddy did indeed become one of the most talked-about fighters in the UFC after his debut and subsequent interviews.
Void
Paddy the BaddyPaddy the Baddy

Liverpool is currently the best soccer team in the world

It's great just being able to walk around saying we are the best team in the world... Because we are... at the minute, the best team in the world. And it's fucking great to watch, lad.

This is a subjective claim, though Liverpool was statistically one of the top teams in the world at this moment.
Void
Paddy the BaddyPaddy the Baddy

Mo Salah is the best player in the world right now

And we've got the best player in the world at the minute in Mohamed Salah.

Salah finished 7th in the 2021 Ballon d'Or but was widely considered the most in-form player in the world at the time of the quote.
Void
Paddy the BaddyPaddy the Baddy

Lionel Messi has more God-given talent than Cristiano Ronaldo

Messi... Ronaldo's man-made, where Messi's God-given talent... Like Ronaldo's work for everything himself, where Messi was just given that talent, where when he's got that ball at his feet, it's like it's super glued to it.

Classic subjective sports debate.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I would bet I can beat DK Metcalf in a race walk

I actually bet you that I could beat you race walking... I could, without a doubt, beat you speedwalking. I think that that's a sport that I've yet to tap into.

This race never happened, but it's safe to assume the elite athlete would win any form of racing against PFT.
Loss
DK MetcalfDK Metcalf

Ole Miss will blow out Mississippi State in the Egg Bowl 60-14

Egg Bowl, I think it's going to be like 60 to 14. Yeah, we're going to blow Mississippi State out.

Ole Miss won the 2021 Egg Bowl 31-21. While they won, it was nowhere near 60-14.
Loss
DK MetcalfDK Metcalf

The Seahawks will beat the Packers 27-18

Seahawks-Packers and Green Bay is going to be called, let's say, 27-18... 27-18, Seahawks.

The Seahawks lost 17-0 to the Packers. They were shut out.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Odell Beckham Jr. will sign with the Seahawks

I think he's going to be a Seahawk, based on the way that DK answered those questions earlier when he was like, no, we're not claiming off waivers. That tells me that he knows that they're going to sign him as a free agent.

Odell Beckham Jr. signed with the Los Angeles Rams on November 11, 2021.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

OBJ going to the Bucs would significantly increase their Super Bowl chances

What team would Odell go to that you actually think it increases their chance significantly to win a Super Bowl?... It would be the Bucs because... Antonio Brown, there's something up with him. Plot twist, Antonio Brown is unreliable this season.

OBJ went to the Rams and won a Super Bowl. While he didn't go to the Bucs, Big Cat was correct that Brown was unreliable (Brown walked off the field mid-game later that season).
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Tennessee Titans are for real, for real

I saw some people saying that the Rams stink, but I think that was more the Titans are for real, for real. And we've got to start taking them as such because no Derrick Henry. Their defense steps up. They can still play offense when they need to. I'm putting the Titans as for real, for real.

The Titans finished the 2021 season as the #1 seed in the AFC despite Henry's injury, proving they were indeed 'for real.'
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Teddy Bridgewater is a good quarterback when the offense allows him to throw deep

Teddy Bridgewater is actually good when you let him throw the ball deep. ... I think his problem is Teddy is very, very accurate on short passes and so then they just have him throw those all the time ... but just let him throw the ball deep and the offense actually looks competent.

Bridgewater's performance was statistically efficient but the Broncos offense remained middle-of-the-pack, making the 'good' label subjective.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jaguars are currently a dangerous team

We're in a window right now with the Jaguars. The Jaguars are a dangerous team right now.

The Jaguars finished the season 3-14 and were the worst team in the league, proving they were not actually dangerous.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Bills' 'video game offense' is flawed because they can't run the ball effectively

Watching the Bills play... there's times when it feels like the Bills are trying to play video game offense, where they don't really run the ball, like, ever, and they run around in the pocket, and then they find someone open. And video game offense... it's fun, but sometimes you've got to just be able to, like... run on the Jaguars and win the game somewhat easily.

The Bills struggled with offensive consistency until they committed to the run game later in the season (peaking in the playoffs), validating Big Cat's critique.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

Baker Mayfield and the Browns are significantly better without Odell Beckham

It is not a hot take to say that the Browns are just significantly better and Baker Mayfield is significantly better without Odell Beckham. ... Because he doesn't have to feel like he has to throw the ball to Odell Beckham, and if he misses Odell Beckham, Odell Beckham's dad's going to make a fucking mixtape with R.E.M. behind it.

While the Browns won 41-16 in their first game post-OBJ, they ultimately finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs, while OBJ won the Super Bowl with the Rams.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Cincinnati Bengals should sign Odell Beckham Jr.

Here's a hot take. I think that the Bengals should go after Odell Beckham. Get all the LSU offense on one team. Just do it up big. ... Get the Bayou Bengals going.

This was an opinion on what the team *should* do. While they didn't, Beckham's success elsewhere showed he still had value.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Vikings fans are not allowed to say they are a couple plays away from being a good team

Vikings fans, you are not allowed to say we are a couple plays away from being a good team because at some point you are what you are, and the Vikings are just the team that can play teams close but can never win a game.

The 2021 Vikings finished 8-9 with 8 of their losses coming by one possession (8 points or less).
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The narrative that Lamar Jackson can't lead comebacks is officially dead

We got to officially bury a narrative. Lamar Jackson is now the king of the comebacks this year. ... Previously in his career, he was 0-6, went down two scores in the second half. He's now had three games this year where he's brought the Ravens back down from double digits. That narrative's dead.

In 2021, Lamar Jackson led multiple double-digit comebacks (notably against the Colts and Vikings).
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Atlanta Falcons could beat 90% of NFL teams on any given Sunday

I would say the Falcons are a team that could beat 90% of teams in the NFL on any given Sunday.

The Falcons finished 7-10 and rarely looked capable of beating top-tier opponents, making the '90%' claim a significant exaggeration.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The quality of the Patriots' play is directly correlated to how poorly Bill Belichick is dressed

The worse [Belichick] dresses, I feel like the better the Patriots are. ... It's almost his tell. ... When Belichick shows up in a custom bra hoodie with half a leg up on his sweatpants looking like he looks like he got concussed and he woke up in an alley, he knows that they're going to fucking kill the Panthers.

The Patriots went on a massive winning streak following this episode, making this 'tell' appear accurate during their 2021 surge.
Loss
HankHank

The Patriots might win the Super Bowl this year

What if the Patriots get to the Super Bowl? ... This year, my brother is getting married the week after the Super Bowl in California, so I'm going to be out in California. I'm thinking it's going to be just the biggest party week of all time. I'm going to win the soupy, I'm taking the next week off, and I'm just going to live the greatest life of all time.

The Patriots made the playoffs but were blown out by the Bills in the Wild Card round.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Brandon Staley is addicted to going for it on fourth down

I like Brandon Staley. ... I think he's addicted to going for fourth down. Like he's addicted to it. And it's scary because it's like he just lives on the fucking edge. He is an adrenaline junkie.

Staley indeed led the most aggressive fourth-down offense in the league, validating the 'addiction' framing.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Cliff Kingsbury is a good coach

Hand up. I have to do a mea culpa. Cliff Kingsbury's a good coach. There it is. He's a good coach. Yeah, because that was an impressive win for them today with their two top wide receivers out and their quarterback out.

Kingsbury finished the 2021 season strong, though his long-term tenure ended in failure, making this a subjective evaluation of a specific moment.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 49ers are officially a broken group of guys

I think the 49ers are officially a broken group of guys. If [Jimmy Garoppolo] makes that pass, that one pass... That he overthrew Emmanuel Sanders [in the Super Bowl]. Everything changes.

The 49ers were far from broken, finishing with 10 wins and making a deep playoff run.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

No amount of sitting behind a veteran is going to make Jordan Love better at football

Jordan Love... He wasn't ready. I don't think any amount of sitting is going to make him better at football. ... He needs to play less football, and then pretty soon he'll be better at football.

OpinionFootballHotSarcastic
Love eventually became the starter in 2023 and had a breakout season, suggesting the developmental time may have actually helped.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

San Diego State punter Matt Araiza should be a first-round pick

Someone should draft [Matt Araiza] in the first round. ... If he can punt like this all the time, it actually is an incredible game changer. ... You think that if the Patriots took him... that's the perfect end of first round draft pick.

Araiza was not drafted in the first round; he was selected in the sixth round (180th overall) by the Bills.

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