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Takes

Loss
Joey ChestnutJoey Chestnut

I can break the hot dog record of 76 if the weather stays dry

That record of 76, it could go down. The weather's looking a little bit iffy. They're, they're calling for thunderstorms and it, it's been a long time since we've had rain... if it's good condition, I I see a record.

The 2023 contest had a major rain delay. Chestnut won but only ate 62 hot dogs, falling short of his record. The rain factor he mentioned proved critical.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Ravens are my Super Bowl pick for this year

I think I'm gonna take the Ravens, but I don't know what their price is right now. I think it's like 22 to one. I think that's gonna be my Super Bowl pick this year.

The Ravens finished the regular season with the best record in the NFL but lost to the Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game.
Loss
HankHank

I'm betting big on Kirk Cousins and the Vikings this year

I went hard on the, on the Vikings. Ooh Vikings. Okay. Feeling a little bad about last year. I'm back. Yeah, I'm back on Kirk Cousins.

The Vikings finished 7-10 and missed the playoffs in 2023, while Kirk Cousins suffered a season-ending Achilles injury in Week 8.
Loss
Pat FreiermuthPat Freiermuth

I guarantee the Steelers will go 16-1 this season

Guarantee it 16 and oh... 16 and 1. [Loss in week 17] Because you pull all your starters cuz you have the number one seed locked up. Exactly.

The Steelers finished the 2023 season with a 10-7 record.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers will have an incredible MVP-caliber season with the Jets

I think [Rodgers] is gonna have an incredible, incredible season. No, he's going to play with a chip on his shoulder. I've seen him. I know this guy better than anyone else. He is going to be awesome this year... I think he will be top three MVP voting... I truly believe he's going to have like a special year because that's what he does. He's been dead a million times and then he ripped off back to back MVPs. He's so pissed off. He's gonna think everyone thinks he's washed. He's gonna have an awesome year.

Rodgers suffered a season-ending Achilles injury four snaps into his first game with the Jets.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Aaron Rodgers is washed and the Jets will finish under .500

No. Disagree, washed... I think they're not gonna be above 500. He's washed... I think he wants to have a fuck you tour, but I don't think it's gonna happen.

The Jets finished 7-10 (under .500), primarily due to Rodgers' early season-ending injury.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Deshaun Watson will have a better season than Aaron Rodgers in 2023

Deshaun Watson will have a better season than Aaron Rodgers. I agree... I'm predicting this year is gonna be like last year. Russell Wilson going to Denver. Yeah. Everybody was like, oh, he's reuniting with Nathaniel Hackett. It's gonna be great. Guess what, Aaron Rodgers. Okay. Big name switching teams.

While both players had seasons ended by injury, Watson played parts of 6 games compared to Rodgers' 1 game, technically accumulating more stats, though neither had a 'good' season.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

CJ Stroud will be the best rookie quarterback in his class

I think CJ Stroud is gonna be the best rookie quarterback.

CJ Stroud won NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year and had one of the best rookie QB seasons in history.
Loss
HankHank

Mac Jones will lead the Patriots to the playoffs under Bill O'Brien

Mac Jones is is my guy. And Bill O'Brien is his guy... Reunited with Bill O'Brien, you fully believe in it. Yes... Playoffs.

The Patriots finished 4-13 and Mac Jones was eventually benched and traded.
Loss
Adam DeVineAdam DeVine

Nebraska Football will go undefeated and win the National Championship in 2023

Dude. We're winning it. We're winning it all. National [Championship]. Undefeated. Undefeated. There's, it's not even a possibility that we're gonna lose a game this year.

PredictionCFBScorchingSarcastic
Nebraska finished the 2023 season with a 5-7 record and did not make a bowl game.
Open
FrankieFrankie

Tiger Woods will win another major championship

I'm standing behind my guy. Tiger Woods wins another major. For sure.

Tiger Woods has not won a major since the 2019 Masters and has struggled with health.
Open
Travis KelceTravis Kelce

I want to win at least two more Super Bowls before retiring

I would say I would hope for at least two more, man. Okay, two more before I hang them up. I got, I think I got three years left on my contract. And I say I'm gonna do it till the wheels fall off... I would hope for two more man. I hope for two more. There's a guy named Rob Gronkowski, this guy too that I keep getting compared to and I would love to, you know. Yeah. Catch up to him.

Kelce won Super Bowl LVIII in 2024, giving him 3 rings. He needs one more to reach his stated goal of 'two more'.
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Jake MarshJake Marsh

A team that missed the playoffs last year will play in the World Series this year

My take is a team that didn't make the playoffs last year is going to appear in the World Series. We have a lot of new blood. If you look at the standings This year... the Rangers are 47 and 30... and the Diamondbacks are in first place over the Dodgers. So there's gonna be a lot of fresh faces in the playoffs This year.

Both the Rangers and the Diamondbacks missed the playoffs in 2022 and faced each other in the 2023 World Series. This was an incredibly accurate prediction.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Jaime Jaquez Jr. is the perfect fit for the Heat culture

Jaime Jaquez to the Heat, like perfect Heat culture. He's going to have a series probably next NBA playoffs where he somehow averages like 25 points a game out of nowhere... he is the perfect Heat culture guy and he will be a very good player in the NBA because he got drafted by the Heat.

Jaquez had an excellent rookie season (11.9 PPG, 3.8 RPG) and made the NBA All-Rookie First Team, proving to be an immediate rotation piece.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jordan Poole will average 35 points a game for the Wizards while they win zero games

Getting Jordan Poole on your team to be the man and like, 'Hey Jordan Poole, we're giving you the keys to the car.' These Wizards are gonna go as far as Jordan Poole will take them and Jordan Poole's gonna average 35 points a game and they're gonna win like zero games next year. It's gonna be beautifully bad basketball to watch.

The Wizards were indeed terrible (15 wins), but Poole struggled significantly, averaging only 17.4 points on poor efficiency, far below the predicted 35.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The Elon Musk versus Mark Zuckerberg fight would be the biggest pay-per-view ever, despite being a bad fight

Dana White said that he would put the fight on and he said it would be the, the highest pay-per-view of all time... And I actually, I probably agree — like it would smash all records and it would probably suck. It would be the worst fight and everyone will tune in to see it.

The fight never occurred, despite months of online posturing from both billionaires.
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George KittleGeorge Kittle

Iowa will average 15 points per game on offense this season

I think we're [Iowa] gonna score, we're gonna average like 15 a game. Out of the 12 games we're gonna have at least 6 pick sixes, some punt blocks, and that's why we're gonna get over 15. It is — no, I will say though, we do have a quarterback that can move.

The Iowa Hawkeyes offense was historically stagnant in 2023, averaging exactly 15.4 points per game. Kittle nailed the figure almost perfectly.
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George KittleGeorge Kittle

Sam LaPorta is the best tight end in the 2023 draft class

I think LaPorta is the best tight end in the draft class. I think the Lions got a complete steal. I liked the other tight ends too, but I spent two weeks training with Sam LaPorta and the way he moves — he's got the dog in him. He's kind of quirky, kind of goofy too, he's gonna fit in well.

LaPorta had the greatest rookie season ever for a tight end, setting the record for receptions (86) and finishing as an All-Pro and Pro Bowler. He was far and away the best TE in the class.
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Big CatBig Cat

The passengers on the missing Titanic submarine are likely already dead

They're dead. This is one of those situations that it's captivated the internet because they keep being like, they have 50 hours of oxygen... they died. It's probably better that they died almost instantly. I would imagine they did. You don't, something bad happened and the sub broke and they died.

It was later confirmed that the Titan sub suffered a catastrophic implosion on the day it went missing, killing all aboard instantly.
Win
Ryen RussilloRyen Russillo

Brandon Miller's involvement in the Alabama shooting won't affect his draft stock

I think there's concern up until they watch the tape, you know, to be realistic about it. ... I just haven't heard anybody say because not that many teams are even in the mix. ... I think we all know with sports... it felt like it kind of went away a little bit too. ... His shot making at that size and what you think you'd be able to do defensively... he's exactly what you want in today's NBA.

Brandon Miller was drafted #2 overall by the Charlotte Hornets, confirming that his draft stock remained elite.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

Pardon My Take will likely end in 5 to 7 years

I would like to do this show for as long as we are still good at it. I could envision in my perfect brain five to seven years from now, we're like, 'Hey, we're really good, but you know, maybe we're fading a little.' And then we walk out on top. ... Once we get to like mid forties... it'll be like a reassessment.

Future prediction about the show's duration.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If Rory McIlroy doesn't win the Open Championship this year, the narrative will become that he will never win another major.

I think if he doesn't win the open championship this year, then I think start of next season, Rory [McIlroy] will never win a major championship. It goes back to that conversation.

Rory McIlroy did not win the 2023 Open Championship (Brian Harman won), and the 'never win again' narrative has indeed intensified.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Chris Paul is going to win a championship with the Washington Wizards.

I don't think that this is a buyout situation. I think that Chris Paul's gonna win a championship in DC.

Chris Paul was traded to the Golden State Warriors just days later and never played for the Wizards.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The next US Men's National Team World Cup cycle will be a failure if they don't reach the quarterfinals.

Next world Cup. It's our year. If they don't get to at least the Elite eight... I'm sick of it. That's it. They need to get to the quarter finals. If they don't then it's a failure.

The 2026 World Cup has not happened yet.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I'm betting Tennessee at 8-1 to win the College World Series

I'm thinking about driving over to New Jersey and betting the College World Series. I think I'm gonna go Ball for life and take Tennessee eight to one.

LSU won the 2023 College World Series. Tennessee was eliminated in the bracket stage.
Loss
Arian MoayedArian Moayed

The Denver Nuggets are going to be a dynasty

I think the Nuggets are going Dynasty. I thought the first who'd they play first? Timberwolves... these guys are gonna win the entire thing. And not only that, they're, no one's gonna even come close to him. I don't think anyone's gonna come close.

The Nuggets were eliminated in the second round of the 2024 playoffs by the Timberwolves, failing to repeat and casting doubt on immediate 'dynasty' status.
Push
Brooks KoepkaBrooks Koepka

The winning score of the 2023 US Open will be 6 to 8 under par

I think honestly I think winner will probably be six to eight under.

The winning score by Wyndham Clark was actually -10, so Brooks was close but slightly overestimated the difficulty.
Loss
Brooks KoepkaBrooks Koepka

I am going to win the US Open this weekend

[PFT: Are you gonna win?] Brooks Koepka: I mean, that's why I'm on here. Yeah.

Brooks Koepka finished T17 at the 2023 US Open. Wyndham Clark won the tournament.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Denver Nuggets will beat the Miami Heat by 17 points in Game 5

Nuggets by 17. Oh Lopping. It's a whopping nugs And five Nuggets by 17.

The Nuggets won Game 5 94-89, which is only a 5-point margin.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Denver Nuggets winning the 2023 NBA Finals is the start of a dynasty

This is the start of the dynasty. This is, this is merely, but the first chapter that we're writing with Nuggets. If, you don't get three titles then. It's a failure.

The Nuggets won the 2023 title but failed to repeat — eliminated in the second round in 2024, with Boston and OKC winning the next two championships. One title does not make a dynasty.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Nuggets will win the NBA Finals in five games

Nugs in five. Nugs in five, I stand by it. That was a nice game that they had the other night. But there's just too much.

The Nuggets defeated the Heat 4-1 to win the NBA Finals.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Nuggets will be a dynasty and should win at least three NBA championships

I think that this nuggets team should win three championships. I think, I think this should be a dynasty... it will be a disappointment to me if the nuggets win fewer than three NBA championships.

The Nuggets won only the 2023 title. They were eliminated in the second round in 2024, and Boston (2024) and OKC (2025) won the next two titles.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Foreign investment funds will eventually buy American sports teams as prices exceed what US billionaires can afford

As the teams get more and more expensive, there's fewer and fewer people who can afford to pay for these teams. At some point, the foreign investment funds are gonna become part of the shrinking pool of available billions that can buy American sports teams. We might be on that slide down there.

The NBA and other leagues have already started relaxing rules for sovereign wealth fund investments in minority stakes.
Loss
Brian WindhorstBrian Windhorst

The NBA Finals will be tied 2-2 by the weekend

Right when you think you got it figured out, the heat will put you right on your backside. So my guess is that we'll be 2-2 by the weekend, but that's just a guess.

The Denver Nuggets won both Game 3 and Game 4, taking a 3-1 lead. The series was not 2-2.
Win
Brian WindhorstBrian Windhorst

Victor Wembanyama will be embarrassed by highlights at times because of his high center of gravity

He is very, very light. He's got a very high center of gravity. It's very easy to get him off balance. So he is going to get embarrassed at times. You know, there will be highlights where people will laugh at him and say, this guy can't play and then he is going to bust your ass.

Wembanyama had moments where he was posterized or pushed around, but his overall production was elite.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Miami Heat will win the NBA Championship because of the Taylor Swift curse

Every NBA team that made it to the semi-finals this year has had a Taylor Swift Eras tour stop through their city, and they've all been eliminated. The Denver Nuggets had Taylor Swift perform there... The Miami Heat is the only team that has not had Taylor Swift perform in their city. So if you're a Swifty, you know that that means that Miami is going to win these championship.

The Denver Nuggets won the 2023 NBA Finals, defeating the Miami Heat in 5 games. The curse did not hold.
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Rich EisenRich Eisen

The Detroit Lions will win the NFC North

Lions were one of 'em. Which I think we can all probably agree. They seem poised to make the playoffs. I think they win the division.

The Detroit Lions did indeed win the NFC North in the 2023-24 season.
Loss
Rich EisenRich Eisen

The Falcons will make the playoffs in 2023

Falcons that division's completely wide open. Yeah. Who do you think wins it? The Saints. Just cuz they got Derek Carr. I mean, I need to see what that looks like. I like what they did on defense and I like the coach.

The Falcons finished 7-10 and missed the playoffs in 2023.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Nuggets will win the NBA Finals in four games.

Welcome to Pardon My Take. Today is Friday, June 2nd and it's Nuggets in four.

The Nuggets won the series in 5 games, not 4.
Loss
Ryan WhitneyRyan Whitney

The Florida Panthers will win the Stanley Cup.

I picked Florida... now I'm at the point of like, alright, something special is going on here and the goal tending [and] what [Matthew] Tkachuk's doing. It's just leading me to think they'll somehow get it done.

The Vegas Golden Knights won the Stanley Cup, defeating the Panthers 4-1.
Open
Ryan WhitneyRyan Whitney

Connor Bedard will not be better at hockey than Connor McDavid.

I don't think [Bedard] can be [better]. I think he's going to be incredible and I think he'll be a future superstar. But I think McDavid is a once every 20 years type guy. I don't see it happening.

As of 2024, McDavid remains the premier player in the NHL, though Bedard's career is just beginning.
Win
Paul RabilPaul Rabil

I will get Bill Belichick to interview on the Pardon My Take podcast.

I'll work on that now. Right now. The football offseason. Yes. Right now we will go right now. It's gonna be, it would be the start of Grit Week. It would be incredible.

Bill Belichick did indeed appear on Pardon My Take for a long-form interview during Grit Week in August 2023.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

I am going to start taking Ozempic to lose weight.

I'm just gonna go on Ozempic. I don't fucking care. I'm gonna do it. I'm gonna do it and I'm gonna tell everyone to do it and then I'm gonna look hot and then I'll get off of it and then I'll gain it all back. Drop like 25 pounds and then just slowly gain it back.

Big Cat publicly confirmed in 2024 that he had been taking weight-loss medication.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Heat are a legitimate scare for the Nuggets in the Finals

The heater just a fucking good basketball team all around and they've got guys that step up when their stars aren't playing well. And I am, I am a little bit afraid of the heat in the finals as an, as a longtime three year Nuggets fan. They scare me just because they got, they got some bullshit going on.

The Nuggets handled the Heat fairly easily in 5 games, suggesting the 'scare' was overstated.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Cowboys will pretend to be in on DeAndre Hopkins before he signs with the Bills

I bet you the Cowboys are going to make their fans believe that they're in the Hopkins running until like the very last second and then he is gonna sound with the bills.

DeAndre Hopkins eventually signed with the Tennessee Titans, not the Bills or Cowboys.
Loss
HankHank

If the Celtics win Game 6 in Miami, Game 7 at home is a guaranteed win

Game six is definitely a tossup. But if you win Game six, game seven at home is ours.

The Celtics won Game 6 in dramatic fashion but then famously lost Game 7 at home to the Heat.
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Mark TitusMark Titus

The Celtics will absolutely not beat the Miami Heat in this series

I am so confident that the Celtics will not beat the heat in this series. It is actually kind of freaking me out how confident I am. ... This team is lifeless. This team hates each other... and they win one game and now we have a series. ... I think the pressure's still on the Celtics.

Despite the Celtics forcing a Game 7, the Heat won the series.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I bet $1,000 that LeBron James will definitely not retire this off-season

LeBron James does not retire. I bet $1,000 that LeBron James does not retire. Zero percent chance. Zero.

LeBron James did not retire and played the 2023-24 season.
Win
Mark TitusMark Titus

Bronny James should and likely will come off the bench at USC

I don't think he's gonna start. ... They have the number one recruit in the country [Isaiah Collier] gonna start over him. ... If he's trying to win games, Bronny should come off the bench. And that's not because Bronny's bad, it's because I think that's the best role for everyone on the team.

Bronny James did indeed come off the bench for most of his freshman season at USC.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The new Chicago office will be open and working by Week 1 of the NFL season

I confidently think we will be in there working, still have to finish some things by week one of the NFL. ... I'll fucking grab a shovel. I don't give a fuck. We need this office.

The Chicago office did open and they were recording there by the start of the 2023 NFL season.

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