Takes
Daniel Jones is not a good quarterback
As we discovered last week, Daniel Jones does suck.
The Giants, Niners, and Seahawks will all win to complete a 'Can't Lose Parlay'
I got the Giants... I got the Niners guaranteed... and I got the Seahawks against the F-word Ravens frauds.
Field goals go farther during night games
My prop that's been hitting at about 75 percent this year... over three-and-a-half field goals. Field goals go farther at night. I don't know how, but they just do.
Kirk Cousins will have a typical 'bad' game against the Lions with one TD and two INTs
This feels to me like a Cousins one touchdown to two interceptions game, maybe get Adam Thielen killed on a cross route... a very hilarious fumble six...
The Rams, Ravens, and Cowboys moneyline parlay is a lock
My can't-lose parlay: the Rams moneyline, the Ravens moneyline, the Cowboys moneyline. I think that's plus odds... I don't see how a single one of those loses.
The loser of the Broncos-Titans game will see their season officially end
Loser leaves town: Broncos Titans. Season is over for the loser of this. I think the Broncos season is already over... [but] if the Titans lose this game, it feels a little bleak. I think they're done.
The 49ers will struggle to maintain their offense without fullback Kyle Juszczyk
The 49ers lost a very key component to their attack in Monday night. They lost their fullback Kyle Juszczyk... they're going to struggle to fill that role because Juszczyk is really, really good.
The Redskins should never be favored by more than 3 points against any NFL team
The Redskins shouldn't be three and a half point favorites against anyone. And then you can make yours even if you lose and the Redskins win by 14 you'd be like: Guess what? I'd do it again.
The Eagles will cover against the Vikings because Kirk Cousins will be overconfident after beating the Giants
My underdog is Philly +3 at Minnesota. I love this. This feels like the Kirk Cousins wins a 'big game' but it's not really a big game because it's one o'clock on a Sunday so he can say well Kirk Cousins won the big game just to fool everyone a little bit more. He beat the Giants on the road... I feel like he's overlooking the Eagles at home.
My 'Can't Lose' Parlay for Week 5 is the Bears, Eagles, Patriots, and Chiefs
The Can't Lose Parlay of the week. It cannot lose. Drumroll. The Bears, Khalil Mack, revenge game. Philly, they're not losing to the Jets. The Patriots, they're not losing to the Redskins. And then you get to just sit back and enjoy the Sunday night football game and have the Chiefs.
The Bills-Titans game will eventually decide who gets a wildcard spot in the AFC
Bill's Titans is my loser leaves town game because... whoever wins this game is going to have the tiebreaker. And I think this could be the game that eventually decides who gets that wildcard spot.
Jay Gruden played Dwayne Haskins early just to prove to the front office that he wasn't ready
I actually think it was [Jay Gruden] saying fuck you to Dan Snyder and Bruce Allen who want him to play Dwayne Haskins. He put Dwayne Haskins in knowing he was going to fuck up just to be like, see, I told you he wasn't ready.
Teddy Bridgewater can't throw the ball more than 10 yards down the field
I don't think Teddy Bridgewater can throw the ball more than 10 yards down the field. So I like that under.
The Ravens are severely overrated
I do think the Ravens are severely overrated. ... They've done a major comeback to earth for the last couple weeks.
Roger Federer is the GOAT of tennis
Federer is a goat. We better not be talking about Novak.
The Titans will win and win convincingly against the Falcons
If a Mike Vrabel coached team is an underdog and people are counting them out, that's when you bet on them. So just take them because this is a game that the Titans will win and win convincingly.
Patrick Mahomes will throw for 6,000 yards
He's still going to throw for 6,000 yards. When I say he's taken a step back, I mean he went from 100 out of 100 to like 99.5 out of 100.
The Broncos are in a true must-win situation and will finally get a victory against the Jaguars
I think Denver finally wins again. And Denver is in a true must-win, like the season's over if we don't win.
The Browns will cover the seven-point spread easily against the Ravens
I think the Browns are going to cover seven easy. I think the Browns are going to win this game because they need it more than anyone else. I think the Ravens are slightly overrated, and the Browns are underrated, and seven seems like too much.
My 'No-Lose' Parlay: Colts, Chiefs, and Rams Moneyline
This is going to be my no-lose parlay of the week... Colts, no chance they lose to the Raiders. Chiefs, no chance they lose to the Lions. Rams, no chance they lose to the Bucs... It will not lose. And if it does, pretend that you don't know me.
The Chiefs will cover -6.5 against the Ravens
I will go with... The Chiefs, minus six and a half, because are we sure the Ravens are as good as they think? I don't think that we are sure. They beat the Dolphins, who stink, and they barely beat the Cardinals on the road.
The Browns aren't as good as people think, so I'm taking the Rams to beat them
Essentially, my logic is that the Browns aren't as good as people are giving them credit for. I'm taking the Rams.
The Lions are better than people realize and will cover +6.5 against the Eagles
For the third week in a row, I'm taking the Detroit Lions. Plus six and a half. Don't sleep on the Lions. I still think they're a little bit better than people give them credit for. I think the Eagles are the better team, but offensive line issues, basically every wide receiver they had got injured last week. I think this might be a little bit closer.
The Packers and Broncos will hit the under 43
I'm taking the Packers and Broncos under 43. The Broncos last 10 games, 10 unders. And the Packers defense is good. I think that's going to be the easiest under of the week.
I am betting the Jets +6.5 against the Browns on Monday Night Football
I'm going to take the Jets on Monday night. Are you really? Yeah. Dude, this is a classic situation where everyone freaks out and everyone's like, oh, Sam Darnold's out. The Jets stink now. And it's six and a half points. And Trevor Simmons, he might not win the game, but he'll be good enough to keep him around.
If the Bears lose to the Broncos and Joe Flacco, I will have a full-blown meltdown
I have been threatening all week that I will melt down if the Bears lose to the shitty Broncos and the even shittier Joe Flacco. If the Bears lose on Sunday. It's a meltdown. I'm promising a meltdown. I will stomp my feet. I will say mean things to people around me that I will later on regret... I might even cry a little. I'm going to yell at people. I'm going to tweet at people really mad. The Bears cannot lose this game.
The Patriots will cover -18.5 against the Dolphins
I know it's a crazy line. It's outrageous, but it's one of those things where there's going to be no better thrill than rooting for the Patriots to cover 18 and a half. I can unbiasedly tell you that the Patriots are going to cover 18 and a half.
The Dolphins will cover +18.5 against the Patriots
I like the Dolphins [at +18.5]. And it's one of these things where the universe is taunting me, saying you won't take the shitty Dolphins, possibly the worst team in the last five years of the NFL. But everyone's talking about how bad they are... I'm going to count wins against the spread here as wins for the Dolphins.
The Bills will beat the Giants and cover -1.5
My favorite. I'm going to go with the Bills. Minus one and a half on the road. I like the Bills. I hate the Giants. I hate Pat Shurmur. I hate Eli Manning's stupid face in this game.
The Bengals will beat the 49ers and cover -2
I like the Bengals, minus two. I think the 49ers, a little bit of a fraudulent win week one. Their defense played well, but Jimmy Garoppolo did not... I think the Bengals, you saw it. They actually run a 2019 offense now... I think the Bengals are going to cover at home. Minus two.
I am betting the Falcons as my underdog pick for Week 2
I'm back on my bullshit. I'm taking the Falcons as my underdog. I don't give a fuck... When you lose on a team, you then chase that team forever until you get satisfaction.
The Buccaneers' offense will be a lot better this year because of Bruce Arians.
I like Bruce Arians. I like Jameis Winston more than I like them last year. I think that the offense is going to be a lot better.
The Lions' defense will 'fuck up' the Cardinals in Week 1
I think the Detroit Lions are Going to be a little bit better than people expect. I think their defense is going to be very good and I think their defense will fuck up the Cardinals week one. Kyler Murray not-ready-for-prime-time.
The Dolphins +6.5 is a 'dog' that will cover against the Ravens because of 'Fitzmagic'
My dog is the Dolphins plus 6.5 against the Ravens at home. My seven-win Dolphins. Ryan Fitzmagic. It's early in the season. ... All I'm going off of is last year Ryan Fitzpatrick played well when he first got in.
The Jaguars will beat the Chiefs in Week 1
Every jackass out there is going to be betting on the Chiefs. Not me. I'm going to take the Jags and win because I'm smart.
An Eagles, Seahawks, and Ravens moneyline parlay is a lock that cannot lose
The Philadelphia Eagles at home against the [Redskins] win. Seahawks at home against the Bengals. The Ravens in Miami. All the money line parlay even money. How does that lose? It cannot lose.
The NFC North will be the toughest division in the NFL this year
I actually think the NFC North going to be the toughest division this year.
The Broncos are too low at 24 and will finish in the top 16 of the NFL
I think the Broncos are too low at 24... the Broncos are going to finish in the top 16.
The Broncos will stink and won't score points until they move on from Joe Flacco
Until they get away from Joe Flacco, they're going to stink though. They're not going to score points.
I'm worried that Tom Brady missing OTAs is the beginning of the end for the Patriots
I want to use this occasion to point out maybe a more serious issue, and that's that Tom Brady isn't at OTAs either. So is this the beginning of the end for the Patriots?
The Celtics can beat the Bucks in the playoffs
I was wrong about the Celtics-Bucks series. I said there was no chance in hell that the Celtics make it a series. I'm going to jump off that take now... I'd like to say I think the Celtics can beat the Bucks.
The Warriors' biggest opponent this year is themselves
The Warriors every year, it's been like no one can beat the Warriors. This year, there finally is a team that can beat the Warriors, and it's the Warriors. So I'm excited to watch the Warriors try to beat the Warriors because this is what happens at the late dynasties... I truly think they all hate each other.
The Dolphins will hit the Over on their 2019 win total
The fact that there was only one person that picked their team to finish with a worse record than Vegas, that means that we have to take the over for the Dolphins. We got to fucking hammer that over on Dolphins.
The city of Philadelphia will turn on Bryce Harper within five years
I have a prediction. I think that the city of Philadelphia is going to turn on Bryce Harper within five years. Give it four, actually. I think that given Bryce's history... He's such a streaky player. He's got a little bit of an attitude sometimes. But when you're making this kind of money, there's a big, big target on your back.
Imagine Dragons has officially replaced Nickelback as the worst band in the world
Imagine Dragons has taken the worst band in the world baton from Nickelback... we have to get our boys and IDs back.
Trent Richardson's Pro Football Hall of Fame comeback starts this weekend in the AAF
Hall of Fame comeback starts this weekend for Trent Richardson.
San Antonio and Memphis are the best barbecue cities in the AAF
I think overall I have the best barbecue situation, San Antonio and Memphis [in the AAF].
Colin Kaepernick will eventually get Baseball Hall of Fame votes as a contributor to the game
Colin Kaepernick hasn't been offered a job in baseball... As a contributor to the game, I think he would get Hall of Fame [votes].
Jimmy Butler will go 'alpha' and have over 30.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists vs the Timberwolves.
I got a pick for you guys... Jimmy Butler's playing the Wolves for the first time... over 30.5 points, rebounds, and assists. He's going to do the same thing that he did in the practice. He's just going to go off. He's going to alpha the fuck out of him.
I'm taking the Cowboys to win or cover against the Rams
Cowboys at Rams. Rams are minus seven... I'm taking the Cowboys. And I'm just saying it out loud. I do this every single divisional round. I always overstate what I've seen from wildcard rounds. So in my mind, I always go to divisional round and say, well, the Cowboys are 1-0 in their last one, and the Rams haven't played in a week... So the Cowboys are hot.