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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Daniel Jones is not a good quarterback

As we discovered last week, Daniel Jones does suck.

While subjective, Jones's career performance has generally aligned with the view that he is a bottom-tier starter.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Giants, Niners, and Seahawks will all win to complete a 'Can't Lose Parlay'

I got the Giants... I got the Niners guaranteed... and I got the Seahawks against the F-word Ravens frauds.

The Giants lost to the Cardinals and the Seahawks lost to the Ravens. The parlay lost.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Field goals go farther during night games

My prop that's been hitting at about 75 percent this year... over three-and-a-half field goals. Field goals go farther at night. I don't know how, but they just do.

There is no scientific evidence that field goals travel further specifically because it is night time.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kirk Cousins will have a typical 'bad' game against the Lions with one TD and two INTs

This feels to me like a Cousins one touchdown to two interceptions game, maybe get Adam Thielen killed on a cross route... a very hilarious fumble six...

Cousins actually had one of the best games of his career, throwing for 337 yards and 4 TDs with 0 INTs.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Rams, Ravens, and Cowboys moneyline parlay is a lock

My can't-lose parlay: the Rams moneyline, the Ravens moneyline, the Cowboys moneyline. I think that's plus odds... I don't see how a single one of those loses.

The Rams lost to the 49ers and the Cowboys lost to the Jets on Sunday, October 13, 2019.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The loser of the Broncos-Titans game will see their season officially end

Loser leaves town: Broncos Titans. Season is over for the loser of this. I think the Broncos season is already over... [but] if the Titans lose this game, it feels a little bleak. I think they're done.

The Titans lost the game, but their season was far from over; they eventually made it to the AFC Championship game later that season.
Loss
HankHank

The 49ers will struggle to maintain their offense without fullback Kyle Juszczyk

The 49ers lost a very key component to their attack in Monday night. They lost their fullback Kyle Juszczyk... they're going to struggle to fill that role because Juszczyk is really, really good.

The 49ers did not struggle, going 13-3 and reaching Super Bowl LIV.
Win
HankHank

The Redskins should never be favored by more than 3 points against any NFL team

The Redskins shouldn't be three and a half point favorites against anyone. And then you can make yours even if you lose and the Redskins win by 14 you'd be like: Guess what? I'd do it again.

The Redskins beat the Dolphins 17-16, failing to cover the 3.5-point spread.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Eagles will cover against the Vikings because Kirk Cousins will be overconfident after beating the Giants

My underdog is Philly +3 at Minnesota. I love this. This feels like the Kirk Cousins wins a 'big game' but it's not really a big game because it's one o'clock on a Sunday so he can say well Kirk Cousins won the big game just to fool everyone a little bit more. He beat the Giants on the road... I feel like he's overlooking the Eagles at home.

The Vikings beat the Eagles 38-20, meaning the Eagles did not cover the +3 spread.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

My 'Can't Lose' Parlay for Week 5 is the Bears, Eagles, Patriots, and Chiefs

The Can't Lose Parlay of the week. It cannot lose. Drumroll. The Bears, Khalil Mack, revenge game. Philly, they're not losing to the Jets. The Patriots, they're not losing to the Redskins. And then you get to just sit back and enjoy the Sunday night football game and have the Chiefs.

The parlay lost. While the Eagles and Patriots won, the Bears lost to the Raiders and the Chiefs lost to the Colts on Sunday Night Football.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

The Bills-Titans game will eventually decide who gets a wildcard spot in the AFC

Bill's Titans is my loser leaves town game because... whoever wins this game is going to have the tiebreaker. And I think this could be the game that eventually decides who gets that wildcard spot.

Both teams actually ended up making the playoffs (Bills 10-6, Titans 9-7), so the game didn't function as a true 'loser leaves town' or single-spot decider.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jay Gruden played Dwayne Haskins early just to prove to the front office that he wasn't ready

I actually think it was [Jay Gruden] saying fuck you to Dan Snyder and Bruce Allen who want him to play Dwayne Haskins. He put Dwayne Haskins in knowing he was going to fuck up just to be like, see, I told you he wasn't ready.

While speculative, Haskins' poor performance in relief against the Giants (3 INTs) and Gruden's subsequent firing suggest a dysfunctional relationship, though intentional sabotage is unprovable.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Teddy Bridgewater can't throw the ball more than 10 yards down the field

I don't think Teddy Bridgewater can throw the ball more than 10 yards down the field. So I like that under.

While Bridgewater was conservative in 2019, he did complete passes longer than 10 yards, though his average intended air yards were among the lowest in the league.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens are severely overrated

I do think the Ravens are severely overrated. ... They've done a major comeback to earth for the last couple weeks.

The Ravens went on to win 12 straight games after this take, finishing 14-2. Lamar Jackson won MVP unanimously. They were definitively not overrated in the regular season, though they did lose their first playoff game.
Void
HankHank

Roger Federer is the GOAT of tennis

Federer is a goat. We better not be talking about Novak.

GOAT status is subjective, though Djokovic has since surpassed Federer in nearly all major statistical categories, including Grand Slam titles.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Titans will win and win convincingly against the Falcons

If a Mike Vrabel coached team is an underdog and people are counting them out, that's when you bet on them. So just take them because this is a game that the Titans will win and win convincingly.

The Titans beat the Falcons 24-10, winning by 14 points on the road as underdogs. This was a very accurate prediction.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Patrick Mahomes will throw for 6,000 yards

He's still going to throw for 6,000 yards. When I say he's taken a step back, I mean he went from 100 out of 100 to like 99.5 out of 100.

Mahomes missed several games due to a kneecap injury and finished the 2019 season with 4,031 passing yards.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Broncos are in a true must-win situation and will finally get a victory against the Jaguars

I think Denver finally wins again. And Denver is in a true must-win, like the season's over if we don't win.

The Broncos lost to the Jaguars 26-24, falling to 0-4.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Browns will cover the seven-point spread easily against the Ravens

I think the Browns are going to cover seven easy. I think the Browns are going to win this game because they need it more than anyone else. I think the Ravens are slightly overrated, and the Browns are underrated, and seven seems like too much.

The Browns beat the Ravens 40-25, easily covering the +7 spread.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

My 'No-Lose' Parlay: Colts, Chiefs, and Rams Moneyline

This is going to be my no-lose parlay of the week... Colts, no chance they lose to the Raiders. Chiefs, no chance they lose to the Lions. Rams, no chance they lose to the Bucs... It will not lose. And if it does, pretend that you don't know me.

The parlay failed. While the Chiefs won (34-30), the Colts lost to the Raiders (24-31) and the Rams lost to the Bucs (40-55).
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Chiefs will cover -6.5 against the Ravens

I will go with... The Chiefs, minus six and a half, because are we sure the Ravens are as good as they think? I don't think that we are sure. They beat the Dolphins, who stink, and they barely beat the Cardinals on the road.

Incorrect. The Chiefs defeated the Ravens 33-28, failing to cover the 6.5-point spread.
Win
HankHank

The Browns aren't as good as people think, so I'm taking the Rams to beat them

Essentially, my logic is that the Browns aren't as good as people are giving them credit for. I'm taking the Rams.

Correct. The Rams defeated the Browns 20-13 on Sunday Night Football.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Lions are better than people realize and will cover +6.5 against the Eagles

For the third week in a row, I'm taking the Detroit Lions. Plus six and a half. Don't sleep on the Lions. I still think they're a little bit better than people give them credit for. I think the Eagles are the better team, but offensive line issues, basically every wide receiver they had got injured last week. I think this might be a little bit closer.

Correct. The Lions won 27-24 outright, easily covering the +6.5 spread.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Packers and Broncos will hit the under 43

I'm taking the Packers and Broncos under 43. The Broncos last 10 games, 10 unders. And the Packers defense is good. I think that's going to be the easiest under of the week.

Incorrect. The total for the game was exactly 43 (27-16), which is a push on the 43 total and did not 'hit the under'.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I am betting the Jets +6.5 against the Browns on Monday Night Football

I'm going to take the Jets on Monday night. Are you really? Yeah. Dude, this is a classic situation where everyone freaks out and everyone's like, oh, Sam Darnold's out. The Jets stink now. And it's six and a half points. And Trevor Simmons, he might not win the game, but he'll be good enough to keep him around.

The Browns won 23-3, covering the spread easily as Trevor Siemian got hurt and the Jets offense collapsed.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

If the Bears lose to the Broncos and Joe Flacco, I will have a full-blown meltdown

I have been threatening all week that I will melt down if the Bears lose to the shitty Broncos and the even shittier Joe Flacco. If the Bears lose on Sunday. It's a meltdown. I'm promising a meltdown. I will stomp my feet. I will say mean things to people around me that I will later on regret... I might even cry a little. I'm going to yell at people. I'm going to tweet at people really mad. The Bears cannot lose this game.

The Bears won 16-14 on a last-second field goal, so the meltdown was averted.
Win
HankHank

The Patriots will cover -18.5 against the Dolphins

I know it's a crazy line. It's outrageous, but it's one of those things where there's going to be no better thrill than rooting for the Patriots to cover 18 and a half. I can unbiasedly tell you that the Patriots are going to cover 18 and a half.

The Patriots demolished the Dolphins 43-0, easily covering the 18.5 point spread.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Dolphins will cover +18.5 against the Patriots

I like the Dolphins [at +18.5]. And it's one of these things where the universe is taunting me, saying you won't take the shitty Dolphins, possibly the worst team in the last five years of the NFL. But everyone's talking about how bad they are... I'm going to count wins against the spread here as wins for the Dolphins.

The Patriots defeated the Dolphins 43-0, easily covering the 18.5 point spread.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bills will beat the Giants and cover -1.5

My favorite. I'm going to go with the Bills. Minus one and a half on the road. I like the Bills. I hate the Giants. I hate Pat Shurmur. I hate Eli Manning's stupid face in this game.

The Bills won 28-14, covering the spread.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Bengals will beat the 49ers and cover -2

I like the Bengals, minus two. I think the 49ers, a little bit of a fraudulent win week one. Their defense played well, but Jimmy Garoppolo did not... I think the Bengals, you saw it. They actually run a 2019 offense now... I think the Bengals are going to cover at home. Minus two.

The 49ers blew out the Bengals 41-17.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

I am betting the Falcons as my underdog pick for Week 2

I'm back on my bullshit. I'm taking the Falcons as my underdog. I don't give a fuck... When you lose on a team, you then chase that team forever until you get satisfaction.

The Falcons beat the Eagles 24-20 as 1.5-point underdogs.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Buccaneers' offense will be a lot better this year because of Bruce Arians.

I like Bruce Arians. I like Jameis Winston more than I like them last year. I think that the offense is going to be a lot better.

The Bucs offense was high-scoring but led the league in interceptions (30), making it a volatile mixed bag rather than a strictly 'better' unit.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Lions' defense will 'fuck up' the Cardinals in Week 1

I think the Detroit Lions are Going to be a little bit better than people expect. I think their defense is going to be very good and I think their defense will fuck up the Cardinals week one. Kyler Murray not-ready-for-prime-time.

The Lions blew an 18-point 4th quarter lead and ended the game in a 27-27 tie with the Cardinals; Murray finished with over 300 yards.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Dolphins +6.5 is a 'dog' that will cover against the Ravens because of 'Fitzmagic'

My dog is the Dolphins plus 6.5 against the Ravens at home. My seven-win Dolphins. Ryan Fitzmagic. It's early in the season. ... All I'm going off of is last year Ryan Fitzpatrick played well when he first got in.

The Ravens destroyed the Dolphins 59-10, easily covering the 6.5-point spread.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jaguars will beat the Chiefs in Week 1

Every jackass out there is going to be betting on the Chiefs. Not me. I'm going to take the Jags and win because I'm smart.

The Chiefs defeated the Jaguars 40-26.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

An Eagles, Seahawks, and Ravens moneyline parlay is a lock that cannot lose

The Philadelphia Eagles at home against the [Redskins] win. Seahawks at home against the Bengals. The Ravens in Miami. All the money line parlay even money. How does that lose? It cannot lose.

All three teams won their Week 1 games, making the parlay a winner.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The NFC North will be the toughest division in the NFL this year

I actually think the NFC North going to be the toughest division this year.

The NFC North finished with the second-best combined record of any division in 2019, making this largely correct.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Broncos are too low at 24 and will finish in the top 16 of the NFL

I think the Broncos are too low at 24... the Broncos are going to finish in the top 16.

The Broncos finished with the 20th overall record, failing to crack the top 16.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Broncos will stink and won't score points until they move on from Joe Flacco

Until they get away from Joe Flacco, they're going to stink though. They're not going to score points.

The Broncos went 2-6 with Flacco, averaging only 15.6 points per game. They looked much improved once they switched to Drew Lock.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm worried that Tom Brady missing OTAs is the beginning of the end for the Patriots

I want to use this occasion to point out maybe a more serious issue, and that's that Tom Brady isn't at OTAs either. So is this the beginning of the end for the Patriots?

Hot TakeFootballMediumSarcastic
The Patriots went 12-4 that year but lost in the Wild Card round, and Brady left for Tampa Bay the following offseason, so it was indeed the beginning of the end for that era.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Celtics can beat the Bucks in the playoffs

I was wrong about the Celtics-Bucks series. I said there was no chance in hell that the Celtics make it a series. I'm going to jump off that take now... I'd like to say I think the Celtics can beat the Bucks.

The Bucks won the next four games straight to win the series 4-1, making PFT's mid-series pivot incorrect.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Warriors' biggest opponent this year is themselves

The Warriors every year, it's been like no one can beat the Warriors. This year, there finally is a team that can beat the Warriors, and it's the Warriors. So I'm excited to watch the Warriors try to beat the Warriors because this is what happens at the late dynasties... I truly think they all hate each other.

The Warriors did eventually 'beat themselves' via injuries and the roster fracturing, losing the Finals to the Raptors and seeing Kevin Durant leave that summer.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Dolphins will hit the Over on their 2019 win total

The fact that there was only one person that picked their team to finish with a worse record than Vegas, that means that we have to take the over for the Dolphins. We got to fucking hammer that over on Dolphins.

The Dolphins' over/under was 5. They finished 5-11, resulting in a push for most bettors, though some lines were 4.5 or 5.5.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The city of Philadelphia will turn on Bryce Harper within five years

I have a prediction. I think that the city of Philadelphia is going to turn on Bryce Harper within five years. Give it four, actually. I think that given Bryce's history... He's such a streaky player. He's got a little bit of an attitude sometimes. But when you're making this kind of money, there's a big, big target on your back.

Five years later (2024), Harper is arguably the most beloved athlete in Philadelphia and led them to a World Series, so the city has not turned on him.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Imagine Dragons has officially replaced Nickelback as the worst band in the world

Imagine Dragons has taken the worst band in the world baton from Nickelback... we have to get our boys and IDs back.

Purely subjective pop culture consensus.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Trent Richardson's Pro Football Hall of Fame comeback starts this weekend in the AAF

Hall of Fame comeback starts this weekend for Trent Richardson.

The AAF folded mid-season in 2019, and Richardson never returned to the NFL or established a Hall of Fame trajectory.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

San Antonio and Memphis are the best barbecue cities in the AAF

I think overall I have the best barbecue situation, San Antonio and Memphis [in the AAF].

City-based barbecue quality is entirely a matter of regional preference.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Colin Kaepernick will eventually get Baseball Hall of Fame votes as a contributor to the game

Colin Kaepernick hasn't been offered a job in baseball... As a contributor to the game, I think he would get Hall of Fame [votes].

Kaepernick has not received Baseball Hall of Fame votes and likely won't, especially as a 'contributor' in a sport he didn't play professionally.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Jimmy Butler will go 'alpha' and have over 30.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists vs the Timberwolves.

I got a pick for you guys... Jimmy Butler's playing the Wolves for the first time... over 30.5 points, rebounds, and assists. He's going to do the same thing that he did in the practice. He's just going to go off. He's going to alpha the fuck out of him.

In the game on January 15, 2019, Jimmy Butler had only 12 points, 3 rebounds, and 2 assists (17 total PRAs), failing to hit the 30.5 mark.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I'm taking the Cowboys to win or cover against the Rams

Cowboys at Rams. Rams are minus seven... I'm taking the Cowboys. And I'm just saying it out loud. I do this every single divisional round. I always overstate what I've seen from wildcard rounds. So in my mind, I always go to divisional round and say, well, the Cowboys are 1-0 in their last one, and the Rams haven't played in a week... So the Cowboys are hot.

The Rams won 30-22, covering the 7-point spread and ending the Cowboys' season.

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