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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Void
Big CatBig Cat

LeBron James should have leaned into the 'shut up and dribble' line to handle his China controversy

He should have been like, 'I'm going to shut up and dribble' and reverse it on everyone. He did the worst possible outcome.

This is a subjective analysis of PR strategy.
Win
Hasan MinhajHasan Minhaj

The next luxury status symbol will be phone-free experiences

The new luxury experience is going to be, oh, you go to this camp and there's no phones.

This prediction has largely come to fruition with the rise of digital detoxes and exclusive events using locking phone bags.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Green Bay Packers defense is not for real

I'm going to continue to consider the Packers semi F word [frauds]. No, because their defense is not for real. And their offense does this thing where you now have two cases of it, the Chargers game and this game. They looked so bad.

The Packers defense finished the 2019 season ranked 18th in yards allowed and 9th in points allowed, but they were consistently exposed by elite teams, including in the NFC Championship loss.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Aaron Rodgers stinks whenever he plays on the West Coast

Aaron Rodgers sucks on the West Coast. I was running the numbers on him. I think he's something like 1-5 in the last 10 years on the West Coast or in California. He's a Cali boy. He goes home, he gets too comfortable.

Rodgers has historically struggled in California, including several notable losses to the 49ers in the playoffs and regular season during this era.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Jameis Winston is the most entertaining quarterback in the NFL

I love Jameis Winston... Jameis Winston is one of, if not my favorite, quarterback in the NFL because of the comedy and because you can just always... Do you know he leads the league this year in 300-yard games?

Winston became the first QB to throw 30 TDs and 30 INTs in the same season (2019), solidifying his status as the ultimate entertainment QB for that year.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Frank Gore is an absolute Hall of Famer.

The other big story from this game is Frank Gore, third all-time rushing... he needs all the credit in the world for... This is his 15th season. He has led every single team he's been on in rushing in that season. That is insane.

Gore finished his career as the 3rd all-time leading rusher and is widely considered a lock for the Hall of Fame.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Sean McDermott is a top candidate for NFL Coach of the Year

Is it time right now to start asking about Sean McDermott, possible coach of the year? That's like the sweet spot for a coach of the year, coaching a smaller market team and elevating them beyond what their expectations were.

McDermott finished 2nd in Coach of the Year voting in 2019, losing to John Harbaugh.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Pat Shurmur should be fired for making Mitch Trubisky look like an average quarterback

Pat Shurmur you should be fired if you make Mitch look competent... Pat Shurmur should lose his job for making Mitch look average.

Pat Shurmur was indeed fired by the Giants at the end of the 2019 season.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Daniel Jones was definitively a better draft pick than Dwayne Haskins

Are we ready to say that Daniel Jones was definitively a better pick than Dwayne Haskins yet? I think Daniel Jones has more than Dwayne Haskins thus far that I've seen.

While both struggled, Daniel Jones had a much longer starting career than Haskins, though neither became a true franchise savior.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Bengals should draft Chase Young over Joe Burrow with the first overall pick.

Do you take Chase Young if you're the Bengals or do you take Joe Burrow?... I think I would take Chase Young. [PFT: I think so, too].

The Bengals drafted Joe Burrow, who transformed the franchise and led them to a Super Bowl, while Chase Young has struggled with injuries and production.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Cleveland Browns will run the table and make the playoffs

I think that they [the Browns] might run the table. I think that the Browns might make the playoffs. I think my brain is telling me that they're going to run the table. So if I'm wrong, it's not me. It's my brain.

The Browns did not run the table; they finished 6-10 and missed the playoffs.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Michael Thomas should be considered for NFL MVP

I'm ready to hop on board that Michael Thomas should be the MVP... He's done it with two different quarterbacks, and I think that that speaks more. He's kept the Saints afloat by being so steady through Drew Brees' injury, Teddy Bridgewater, and then Drew Brees coming back.

Lamar Jackson won the 2019 MVP unanimously. Michael Thomas won Offensive Player of the Year, but did not receive a single MVP vote.
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Big CatBig Cat

I don't know if Drew Brees still has the arm strength to make the big deep throws necessary to win in the playoffs.

I feel confident in everyone in the Saints except Drew Brees... he's going to have to make a few big-time deep throws. I don't know if he still has it... that's my biggest concern is in a playoff game, in a big-time moment, Drew Brees has to hit an open guy 30 yards down the field. Can he do it?

The Saints were upset by the Vikings in the Wild Card round; Brees struggled to push the ball downfield and finished with only 208 passing yards.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Carson Wentz is a bad quarterback who just had one good run

I think he's a bad quarterback that has gone through good runs... I think he's been who he is his entire career. He's lost a little bit of his mobility, I think, over the last two years. But I think overall he's a perfectly average quarterback.

Wentz's career significantly declined after 2019, eventually leading to him being traded and becoming a journeyman backup, which largely validates PFT's early skepticism.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Eagles will win the NFC East.

The Eagles are probably still going to make the playoffs somehow... their schedule lines up perfectly for them... I would actually bet on the Eagles making it out of the NFC [East].

The Eagles finished 9-7 and won the NFC East division title.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Ryan Tannehill is officially 'the guy' and has turned the corner in Tennessee

He is the guy. Change of scenery is all it took for Ryan Tannehill... What we're seeing right now is him taking the next step in front of our very eyes.

Tannehill led the Titans to the AFC Championship game in 2019 and was named Comeback Player of the Year, proving he was a legitimate starter for them for several seasons.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Dak Prescott fails to step up and win big games against elite opponents.

Dak Prescott, whenever he plays like a big-time opponent, it feels like he doesn't step up to it... he is 5-13 against winning teams since 2016... The Cowboys defense played well enough to have Dak Prescott win that game for him [against the Patriots].

This is a subjective evaluation of a player's performance in high-leverage situations, though it remained a common criticism of Dak for years.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Dak Prescott is the 'suckiest quarterback that doesn't suck'

He's the suckiest quarterback that doesn't suck... I like Dak Prescott a lot. I think he's a very good quarterback. I think he's a guy you've got to give money to. I just don't - I can't remember the last time he won a big, big game.

This remains a prevailing debate about Dak Prescott years later—his ability to perform at a high level but struggle in massive playoff moments.
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Big CatBig Cat

I would rather have Dak Prescott as my quarterback than Carson Wentz.

Dak Prescott is better than Carson Wentz... At this point, yeah. I would rather have Dak Prescott.

Dak Prescott went on to have a significantly more successful and stable career as a top-tier starter, while Wentz bounced around the league as a backup.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NCAA is a 'supervillain' organization for fining players who aren't allowed to earn money.

I applaud the NCAA for figuring out a way to find your players who aren't allowed to be making money and expect them to pay you to come back and play. It's next-level supervillainry, so congratulations for innovation.

The NCAA has since moved towards NIL (Name, Image, Likeness) rules, validating many of the criticisms PFT and others leveled at the old system.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Elon Musk is just a front for Jeff Bezos

Elon Musk is just a front for Jeff Bezos because his Cybertruck was one of the funniest things I've ever seen... when people talk about Elon Musk doing stupid shit, they forget about Jeff Bezos.

This is a satirical conspiracy theory with no factual basis.
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Big CatBig Cat

The NFL is actually punishing the Steelers by not suspending Mason Rudolph

I actually think that the punishment for the Steelers is not punishing Mason... the league punished the Steelers by not suspending Mason Rudolph. Exactly. Yes. Duck [Hodges] [is] okay.

Mason Rudolph was benched for Duck Hodges in the middle of the very next game (Week 12 against the Bengals) after playing poorly, confirming the sentiment.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Saints, Steelers, and Patriots all winning is a can't-lose parlay

There's no chance the Saints lose at home to the Panthers... The Steelers are not going to lose to the Bengals because Mason Rudolph has never lost a game after he's been accused of saying something racist... and the Patriots will beat the Cowboys because all you got to know about the Patriots Cowboys game is Jason Garrett verse Bill Belichick.

The Saints beat the Panthers 34-31, the Steelers beat the Bengals 16-10, and the Patriots beat the Cowboys 13-9. The parlay actually hit.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Always bet the over when Joe Buck is calling the game

I'll tie this right into our picks for the weekend. It makes me have to take the over in the Cowboys Patriots game... Joe Buck is I'm pretty sure is going to be announcing it... you always bet the over when Buck's calling.

The Patriots beat the Cowboys 13-9, a total of 22 points, which was well under the closing total of 44.5.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Dolphins moneyline against the Browns is the underdog pick of the week

My favorite is... this is going to be my lock... I'm going back on the train [with the] Dolphins as the underdog take them on the money line as well.

The Browns beat the Dolphins 41-24.
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HankHank

The Bills -4 against the Broncos is a thermite accelerant flaming lock of the week

This one's going to be my thermite accelerant flaming lock of the week. So this is a big fucking fire. It's the Buffalo fucking bills -4 at home against the Broncos.

The Bills defeated the Broncos 20-3, easily covering the 4-point spread.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Packers are frauds and their defense is a fraud

I convinced myself the Packers are frauds every single week until they win the Super Bowl and then I cry in a puddle... I think their defense is a fraud.

The 49ers dominated the Packers 37-8 that weekend, supporting the 'fraud' narrative for that specific game.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jets +3 against the Raiders is the start of a run to the playoffs

My Underdog is the Jets... Jets plus 3 the run the table. Yeah, they're good. We're in the middle the early stages the table runner. Yes, but I think that they could handle the business at home.

The Jets beat the Raiders 34-3, but they did not 'run the table.' They lost to the winless Bengals the following week and finished the season 7-9, missing the playoffs.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks +1 against the Eagles is the walkiest line of the year

I'll take the Seahawks plus 1. Russell Wilson is an underdog 23:7 and one against the spread in his career. It's this is the walkie east line of the year.

The Seahawks beat the Eagles 17-9.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears and Giants will go over 40.5 points

I'm going to take the Bears and Giants over 40 and a half and I'll tell you why... Daniel Jones going to be good for at least six pick sixes in this game.

The Bears won 19-14, totaling 33 points, which is under 40.5.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Ben Simmons made his first career three-pointer too early

I actually think that he did it too early... Because it was such a big moment. He should have waited till like year 10 looks like your virginity you get it out of the way. Yeah over quickly than you do it a million more times.

This is an inherently subjective comedic take about the timing of a career milestone.
Open
KB
Kyle Busch

I have at least 10 years of racing left in my career

[I have] probably 10 [years left]. I'm 34... I would like to think I got a few more years left in me and definitely a few more Championships.

The take is still pending as he is still active in NASCAR as of 2024.
Open
KB
Kyle Busch

I will win at least four more NASCAR championships

[I'll win] four more. That would be sweet. Yeah four more would be getting six times [total].

As of 2024, Busch still has 2 championships (2015, 2019). He hasn't won another since this take.
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CM
Chris Matthew

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers will win the Grey Cup by four points

I'm going to say that the bombers are going to win by Four Points.

The Blue Bombers won 33-12 (a 21-point margin), ending his 18-year shorts streak, though he was wrong on the margin.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Luka Doncic is the best player of all time

Is Luka Doncic the best player of all time? Yes. I think so. I think he's going to be—he's really good. Of all time. He's crazy. 42 point triple double.

Luka is a generational talent, but calling him the GOAT after one season is hyperbolic and currently incorrect.
Loss
HankHank

Antonio Brown will return to the Patriots following his apology to Robert Kraft

Did you see that every single Patriot basically liked it? And he used a semicolon, which means there's a chance that someone wrote it for him, which means that it was like, hey, post this apology. And maybe you'll come back... do you guys think it's a coincidence that after the Patriots' offensive performance on Sunday that this all of a sudden comes very early the next week?

Antonio Brown never played for the Patriots again after his release in September 2019. He eventually joined the Buccaneers in 2020.
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Big CatBig Cat

Philip Rivers' career is over

Philip Rivers is done. D-O-N-E, done. D-E-A-D, dead. It's over. I said to myself, this is sad. And I think it might be over. Because there's something about it that feels different. The arm is just not there. And it just can't. It will never come back.

Rivers played one more mediocre year with the Chargers and one solid final year with the Colts in 2020 before retiring. He wasn't 'dead' yet, but the end was near.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Philip Rivers' winning record in one-possession games is misleading because he turns them into two-possession games at the end

Philip Rivers actually has a winning record in one possession games. The only way I can think of to explain that is he's had so many fourth quarter drives where he has been trailing by one possession, where he's thrown a pick six or an interception that's led to an easy six points or three points on the other end, which makes the final score a two possession game.

This is a satirical theory about how game margins work, though Rivers' reputation for back-breaking late interceptions is factual.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Ben Roethlisberger is growing his beard out until he throws another NFL pass

I heard a rumor that Big Ben... is growing that beard out until he throws another NFL pass. How great would that be to have Ben show up for training camp next year with just a full bush?

Roethlisberger did return to play for the Steelers in 2020 and 2021 before retiring.
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HankHank

Gronk will not return to the Patriots this season

My hot seat is anyone who actually thought Gronk was coming back to the Patriots. He did a little teaser similar to when he was on this show. It was like, I have a big announcement tomorrow. Turned out he's just doing a party in Miami... he's not coming back to the Patriots this year, which is sad.

Gronkowski stayed retired for the 2019 season, eventually returning to play for Tampa Bay in 2020.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Ken Jennings is likely a 'soaker' because he's from Utah

I don't know. I think [Ken Jennings] is from Utah. Yeah, so everyone from Utah. I just assumed he soaked. He seems like a guy who soaks.

This is an absurd personal speculation based on a meme about Utah culture.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Joe Biden lost the youth vote by calling marijuana a 'gateway drug'

Joe Biden, he's running to be commander in chief, but he doesn't like weed. He says that it should remain illegal at the federal level because it's a gateway drug. Yeah, so he just lost the youth vote.

While Biden won the 2020 election, his stance on weed remains a point of contention with younger voters.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The 'OK Boomer' trend is dead because internet users are fighting with straw men

The boomer thing is done. It's too much... there are no baby boomers on Twitter. There's like a few people who write like op-eds in New York Times, but we're really arguing with no one... we have created straw men all around us and we're just whacking at it with a machete.

Win
Big CatBig Cat

Booger McFarland is the new Jason Witten for NFL fan criticism

Jason Witten is on my cool throne because the internet has finally come for Booger McFarland. I think Booger had that nice spot where he came in after Jason Witten, so it was like no one was paying attention for a little bit, and now people are starting to listen to what he says... he's getting roasted. The internet is coming for him.

Booger McFarland was replaced on Monday Night Football after only one season as the lead analyst due to heavy criticism.
Void
Tim DonaghyTim Donaghy

NBA games were manipulated by refs based on points of emphasis, not by direct point shaving

Fixing games. I mean, some people think that I went out there and put Shaquille O'Neal to the bench or LeBron James to the bench so that some of these bets won. That's really not what happened. I picked the games based on relationships that existed between referees and players, referees and coaches, and referees and owners, and what took place in the morning meetings with the referees and what was going to be called that night and how a team was going to be put at an advantage or disadvantage.

The NBA and FBI dispute aspects of Donaghy's story, but his claim remains his official stance. It cannot be fully verified beyond his own testimony.
Void
Tim DonaghyTim Donaghy

Officiating in the 2002 Lakers-Kings series was manipulated to ensure it went to Game 7

Definitely manipulate it when you talk about Dick Bavetta at the in 2002... the famous Lakers Sacramento Game 6. He openly said to a lot of us that he was the NBA's go-to guy. He was put on Game 6s to make sure they went to a Game 7 and that was one of the most fucked up games in the history of the NBA.

While widely suspected by fans and media, the NBA has never admitted to this, and Bavetta has denied it. It remains a claim of a disgraced official.
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Tim DonaghyTim Donaghy

55 out of 58 NBA referees were gambling in violation of their contracts

Then [David Stern] did an investigation and found out 55 out of 58 NBA referees were gambling, going to casinos, betting on football, betting on golf, couldn't fire everybody, and immediately started to backtrack that whole thing.

The NBA's internal Pedowitz Report acknowledged that many refs gambled in ways that violated league rules, but the exact number remains disputed.
Void
Tim DonaghyTim Donaghy

NBA officiating in the playoffs is manipulated to extend series for revenue

When you talk about the way the business was operated and how they were dictating what the referees were calling, especially during the playoffs, I think there's some culpability there... you're not fixing these games, but you're manipulating them for the bottom line of going five, six, and seven games.

The NBA has always vehemently denied these claims, but the take is a core part of the Donaghy 'story.'
Void
Tim DonaghyTim Donaghy

James Harden travels are intentionally ignored because the NBA wants the highlights

The thing is that the NBA doesn't want that travel called. And when [James Harden] does travel, and even when it's obvious, they'll come out and say it has something to do with the gather, the Eurostep, the way the rule is written. It's just a bunch of bullshit to protect the fact that nobody called the travel.

While Harden's 'gather' was technically within the rules for years, the NBA did eventually clarify rules and points of emphasis to limit his specific step-back move.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The 'full block' on social media is the healthiest way to handle a breakup in 2019

I think that the full block on social media for everything is a healthy way to move on. Because if you break up with someone, you're going to go creeping on their stuff... so to go clean slate, I'm just going to like remove everything. I think that's a healthy way to deal with the breakup.

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