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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Chargers at 45-to-1 to win the Super Bowl is an incredible value

I've decided to put a future on the Chargers to win the Super Bowl. They're 45-to-1. I don't think they're gonna win the Super Bowl. I do think we'd get in a spot where they get to the playoffs and we could potentially hedge. This is Jim Harbaugh's team. This is Jim Harbaugh's football team. I think they're gonna get to 10 wins.

The Chargers made the playoffs (11-6) but lost in the Wild Card round to the Texans 12-32. They didn't come close to winning the Super Bowl, so the 45-to-1 bet did not pay off.
Loss
HankHank

The 'walls' at Barstool Sports say Christian McCaffrey might retire

The walls at Barstool Sports have been saying... Christopher McCaffrey might retire. Double Achilles tendonitis is not good... he's definitely not gonna play this season.

McCaffrey did not retire in 2024 and returned to play, though the 'walls' rumor about the severity was somewhat accurate regarding his time missed.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Deshaun Watson is a disgusting human being who also happens to stink at quarterback

Either he is the victim of the biggest, most coordinated, most ruthless smear campaign against an individual maybe in the history of sports, or he's a disgusting human being who should be in jail. Either way he stinks at quarterback.

Watson continued to play poorly until a season-ending injury, and the legal issues remain a massive cloud over his career.
Void
HankHank

The Matthew Judon trade is a loss for the Bears because he chose the Falcons over them

The Patriots gave Matthew Judon the option of which team he wanted to go to. And he chose the Falcons. New England believing the Bears and Falcons were in similar category... Judon obviously picked Atlanta.

This is a matter of opinion regarding team reputation and trade results.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Robert Saleh is actually making football hard again for the Jets

My cool throne is for Aaron Rodgers because when we had Aaron Rodgers on for Chill Week, he told us 'make football hard again.' And he said that the Jets camp this year is much harder and maybe the hardest in the last seven or eight years of his career. And he said that Robert Saleh is like really cracking the whip.

Rodgers did make these comments publicly, though the 'hardness' didn't lead to early success as Saleh was eventually fired in October 2024.
Win
HewyHewy

Hassan Reddick will eventually report to the Jets because of Matthew Judon's contract situation

Positive. He's [Hassan Reddick] gonna come. No, he's gonna come. He'll get hard. He'll come... Matthew Judon is helping him come. He said today he that he wants to show off for the Falcons so he could earn his contract. Hassan Reddick just needs to show up and he'll get that contract.

Reddick eventually ended his holdout and reported to the Jets in late October 2024.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Brian Flores is a 'terrible person' for how he treated Tua Tagovailoa

[Tua] went on Le Batard show and basically said that Brian Flores was doing mental torture on him. And he said, if you woke up every morning and I told you that you suck at what you did... Brian Flores actually came out and said like, 'I've evolved and yeah, I kind of fucked that up.' [PFT says Tua said he was a terrible person]... It sounds like Tua is to Brian Flores as Big Cat is to the chat.

Flores admitted his coaching style with Tua wasn't ideal, lending weight to the take.
Win
HankHank

Brandon Aiyuk does not want to come to the Patriots

Brandon Aiyuk rumors were were hustling and bustling... a report came out today, which isn't official that it's gonna happen with the Steelers. I think it means he doesn't want to come [to the Patriots].

Aiyuk eventually stayed with the 49ers after the Patriots reportedly pulled out because Aiyuk wouldn't commit to a long-term deal there.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Dak Prescott is only wearing a walking boot as a precaution to avoid getting into vacation fights

Maybe Dak Prescott is wearing the walking boot because in the past he has gone on vacations and got his ass beat. So if he puts on the walking boot, it's kind of a like, 'Hey, I'm not here to fight guy.' You're not gonna hit a guy who's handicapped... it's a precautionary 'don't want to get my ass beat like I did on spring break'.

This is a satirical theory.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Caleb Williams has too much aura

You can't say that Caleb Williams doesn't have aura. He has so much. If anything, he's got too much aura.

Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Zach Wilson is genuinely in the mix for the starting job in Denver over Bo Nix

Zach Wilson is currently in the mix for the starting job in Denver. Which is crazy because Sean Payton, he compared Bo Nix to Peyton Manning and Drew Brees. So imagine how good Zach Wilson has to be to be competing to start over a combination of Peyton Manning and Drew Brees.

OpinionFootballMediumSarcastic
Bo Nix was named the starter for Week 1, as most expected, despite the 'competition.'
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Caleb Williams lost all his swag the minute he put on a Bears uniform

The minute Caleb Williams put on the Bears uniform and they had him running around as a quarterback, he lost all his swag. He's gotta figure out how to overcome the Bears quarterback uniform. People were tweeting about it like 'this guy's got no swag anymore.' I kind of agree.

Purely subjective aesthetic and 'vibe' judgment.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

Jim Harbaugh will lead the Chargers to an AFC Championship game within the next 5 years

The chargers, they're gonna be good. Harbaugh will be in an AFC championship game over under five years... I think we'll do it in the third or fourth year. I think it's three.

Outcome pending over the next several NFL seasons.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL's electronic first down measurement system is bad for the sport because it removes human anticipation

This is bad. And here's why. The chain and the stick is awesome. It gives you another play. It's a free play that you get... the anticipation. That's another stop of them running out... That's what we love about football is the weird shit. If we were starting football from scratch right now, there's no chance in hell there would be three old guys with sticks.

Subjective opinion on game entertainment value.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jared Goff is no longer a bridge quarterback after proving everyone wrong with the Lions

When the trade happened, everybody was saying like, they're gonna use Jared Goff as a bridge quarterback. Now he's he's not a bridge. ... it felt like there was Yeah, when he got traded for the Rams, it's like, oh, his career's over and now he's he's proven everyone wrong.

Goff signed a 4-year, $212 million extension, cementing his role as the Lions' long-term starter.
Void
MemesMemes

I will strap a bomb to my chest if Aaron Rodgers has another season-ending injury in Week 1

If Aaron Rodgers gets another season ending injury [against the 49ers], I'm gonna strap a bomb to my chest and go to the NFL office and blow up.

Aaron Rodgers finished the Week 1 game against the 49ers without injury.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Michael Penix Jr. probably had an AARP card in his backpack during his scouting meetings.

An a a RP card. That's what Michael Penix had without a [doubt].

Likely incorrect as he was only 23-24 at the time, though comedic hyperbole.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The Broncos released bad jerseys to distract fans from the Zach Wilson trade

They actually are really smart with what they did because they released Bad Jerseys and then they traded for Zach Wilson all on the same day. And you don't know which one to be mad at. They just split the vote. Like that was so smart of them to do those in basically a matter of hours with each other where they're like, which one you want to choose?

This is a marketing/PR theory that is likely coincidental but fits Big Cat's cynical view of front offices.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

JJ McCarthy will not be drafted second overall

I don't think he's [JJ McCarthy] going second overall... there's a lot of like misinformation that gets put out there this time of year.

JJ McCarthy was drafted 10th overall by the Minnesota Vikings; Jayden Daniels went 2nd.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

JJ McCarthy has the potential to be the greatest quarterback of all time because of his winning pedigree and untapped upside

JJ McCarthy's a perfect quarterback where you can look at it and if you wanna look at it glass half full, he could be the greatest quarterback of all time. 'cause you can essentially say he played winning football, he made the throws he needed to make, and they also asked him not to do anything. So there's so much more. There's upside.

McCarthy's NFL career is still in its infancy; he missed his entire rookie season due to injury.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Caleb Williams having a pink phone and pink nails is cool and masculine

Speaking of Caleb Williams, he's got a cool pink phone... He was at the USC game last night. He has a pink phone. Got people really upset. I say maybe think differently. He's so advanced. He knows that pink phones are cool.

Whether something is 'cool' or 'masculine' is inherently subjective.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

If Mike Evans plays 3 to 5 more years, he will be on the Mount Rushmore of wide receivers

If he plays another 3, 4, 5 years, he will be in the conversation for Mount Rushmore of wide receivers in terms of like his total numbers and the dominance he's had every single season.

Evans continues to maintain his 1,000-yard streak as of the 2024 season, bolstering this long-term projection.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Justin Fields is probably going to get traded by the Bears

Justin Fields did unfollow the Bears. I don't think it's, I think he's probably gonna get traded. So that's what's, like I said, I mean it could mean literally anything.

Justin Fields was indeed traded to the Pittsburgh Steelers on March 16, 2024.
Void
Jake MarshJake Marsh

MetLife Stadium is cursed

My Hot Seat is MetLife Stadium. It was recently announced that the very cursed stadium in the NFL world will be hosting the 2026 World Cup final... however, I believe they're switching it to grass. Correct? They are. But it's still cursed.

MetLife continues to have a reputation for turf-related injuries, including Aaron Rodgers' Achilles tear in 2023.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

Mike Vrabel is too physically intimidating to get a head coaching job

She [Diana Russini] said that she had a GM at the Senior Bowl who mentioned to me Vrabel's physical build, that he's a very large human being and can be very intimidating to people in an organization... If you're a football owner, large human beings, you don't wanna be around them. You want a nerd. You want a tiny little nerd.

Vrabel did not receive a head coaching job in the 2024 cycle, which partially validates the idea that something about his profile (perhaps his personality/intimidation) kept owners away.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Andy Reid will never retire because he has no hobbies except football and cheeseburgers

Andy Reid, who is not gonna retire. This is all he does. I'm trying to get Andy to play golf. I'm trying to get him to go hunting. He just won't do it. Andy Reid also has a bucket list... it's just eating in different countries. My prediction, they win the Super Bowl, he probably goes to France. Eats his way through France.

Andy Reid did not retire after winning Super Bowl LVIII and returned for the 2024 season.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Caleb Williams is 'popping' because he already has dedicated haters before the draft

If you ain't got no haters, you ain't popping... So Caleb Williams is popping... The anonymous scouts are going off about Caleb Williams... saying things like, you remember he paints his nails? ... These are all big red flags. Nah... if there's Caleb Williams, I would be more concerned about the guy who doesn't get any negative press.

Williams was drafted #1 overall and remains a polarizing, highly-discussed figure, confirming he is indeed 'popping'.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Panthers HC Dave Canales made a mistake writing a book about his infidelity and porn addiction

This is kind of a lesson in like, maybe don't ever get that big job. 'cause then people will start looking at your life. Dave Canales co-wrote a book with his wife about marriage... Canales admits to having had multiple affairs earlier in his life... also described in the book the addictions he once had to both pornography and alcohol. It sounds like his wife made him write a book. If you're co-authoring a book with your wife talking about your porn addiction, it's like a self-flagellation.

Subjective opinion on public relations and coaching optics.
Void
HankHank

You must always defer the coin toss if you win it

Why would you not defer, why would you not get the ball back to, to start the second half? I just assumed that was like a, a cardinal fundamental rule. And then when you look at the stats... I think you should just defer every time.

While mathematically sound, it is a strategic preference, not a literal fact that can be 'correct'.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

I am officially in on the Bears drafting Caleb Williams and trading Justin Fields

The Bears take Caleb Williams. Yes. Number one. I'm in. I'm also officially in. I just wanna say that I'm, I've, I've done a lot of soul searching. I, especially the Mel—Mel's like, oh, we can get a first for Justin Fields. Let's just do it.

The Bears did exactly this: they traded Fields and drafted Williams at #1 overall in the 2024 NFL Draft.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

I don't believe for a second that Lions fans actually booed Matthew Stafford's daughters

Kelly Stafford came out and said that Lions fans booed her four little daughters. She's since retracted. But that was a crazy lie... no one's like to say that your daughters got booed is insane. I stand with Lions fans. There's no way... unless you show me a video of a Lions fans pointing at the daughter and being like, 'see you little girl, boo.' No chance.

Kelly Stafford later clarified that the fans were booing the team/Stafford and not her children specifically.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

No long-haired quarterback has ever won a Super Bowl

No long-haired quarterback has ever won a Super Bowl. People forget that.

Depends on the definition of 'long'. QBs like Joe Namath and Ken Stabler had shaggy hair, but true 'flow' like Lawrence is historically rare for winners.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Billy Football will be fired if the Uganda football team fails to score a touchdown in their rematch against Kenya

Billy will be fired if he comes back and... they scored no touchdowns once. Billy will be fired if they don't score a touchdown. That's, it's not even that they don't score... if they come back and they lose 40 to three Billy's fired, they have to get a touchdown.

The Uganda team scored touchdowns in the subsequent games, and Billy remained with Barstool until his eventual departure in mid-2024.
Loss
Jake MarshJake Marsh

The Broncos will beat the Lions because Russell Wilson will have 'baby bump' luck from his new child

Next on [the Lions] schedule is the Denver Broncos and Russell Wilson has the baby bump. [Big Cat:] Yep, yep, yep. He had a baby. [Jake:] Yes. So that's Saturday night.

The Lions defeated the Broncos 42-17 on December 16, 2023.
Loss
HankHank

The Bills will make the Super Bowl and lose to the Cowboys

My overly direct take is that I think the Bills are gonna make the Super Bowl... And then lose to the Cowboys... I think they're gonna rally and and make a deep run.

Neither team made the Super Bowl. The Bills lost in the Divisional round and the Cowboys lost in the Wild Card round.
Loss
Jake MarshJake Marsh

Joe Flacco will lead the Browns to an AFC North title

My overly direct take guys, is that Joe Flacco will lead the Cleveland Browns to an AFC North Division Championship.

The Baltimore Ravens won the AFC North. The Browns finished second and entered as a Wild Card.
Void
HankHank

The Gillette Stadium lighthouse is real as a symbol and a beacon of hope

Technically by definition, some would say that this lighthouse is not real. But there's some that would say that it is real... Just because PFT says this lighthouse isn't real, it doesn't mean you can't, it doesn't have to be real to you and as a region... Patriots fans, new Englanders, they'll recognize this lighthouse as a real thing, as a beacon of hope and as a symbol of our team.

Hank is making a philosophical point to avoid losing a bet/argument about the lighthouse's legitimacy as a functional maritime structure.
Win
Jake MarshJake Marsh

Eagles vs. Chiefs on Monday Night Football will be the highest rated game of the season

I'm gonna say Eagles Chiefs Monday Night Football is going to be the highest rated game of the season moving forward. Ooh. Also there's a potential of [Taylor Swift] appearing.

The game drew 29.02 million viewers, the highest-rated MNF game since 1996 and a regular season high for the 2023 season.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chargers' social media account being too funny is hurting the team's culture

I think that the Chargers Twitter account is, is too funny. And and it's resulted in actual on the field losses for you. Yeah. Be serious. This is culture matters. ... If you're asking guys, Hey, is water wet when they come off the field, they're probably, that's gonna break their brains. ... I actually, I'm starting to think that Chargers truther, he might be true. It affects team culture.

Subjective claim about the causal link between social media and team performance.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mark Davis invented the 'muff' style hand warmer

Mark Davis invented the hand warmer. The owner of the Las Vegas Raiders. Mark Davis developed the Muff in 1986... for use by professional football teams. And that year, Davis began to market them for the fans. It's the muff style hand warmer.

Mark Davis did indeed patent the muff-style hand warmer in the mid-80s.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Jerry Jones wants the Cowboys to run the Iowa offense with an all-tight end focus

Jerry Jones went on radio and said something ridiculous... They asked him about getting CeeDee Lamb more involved and Jerry Jones said, 'I don't know about that. I like seeing the ball go to tight ends.' Oh, your star wide receiver? That is a mismatch. Nope. Let's go tight ends. Jerry Jones, he wants to run the Iowa offense.

Lamb eventually became the focal point of the offense and had a career year.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The future of the Green Bay Packers looks bleak

I'm actually gonna go with the Green Bay Packers. Oh, I like it. Just strictly based on what we saw on Monday night.

Incorrect. The Packers went on a tear in the second half of the season, finished 9-8, and destroyed the Cowboys in the Wild Card round, establishing Jordan Love as a franchise star.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Baker Mayfield will win NFL Comeback Player of the Year

I put a little future on Baker [Mayfield] Win Comeback Player of the year. And I, for whatever reason, I just think that I, maybe it's that game that he had on, was it Christmas? Yeah. The Christmas game sold me.

Joe Flacco won the 2023 NFL Comeback Player of the Year. Mayfield was a finalist and had a great season, but did not win the award.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Philip Rivers would have won the Super Bowl if he started for the 49ers last season

Kyle Shanahan's plan that he had in place. If the 49ers had made the Super Bowl and Brock Purdy was injured, Philip Rivers was going to start the Super Bowl. ... He probably would've won. ... It would've been the very best thing to ever happen to the NFL. ... We would've had to go to the Super Bowl and root for the Niners and wear Phil Rivers Niners jerseys.

This is a hypothetical 'what if' that cannot be proven, though Rivers starting a Super Bowl without playing all season would have been a historic longshot.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

If Philip Rivers had started the Super Bowl for the 49ers, he would have won because he is too slow to slip on the turf

Do you know why he would've won? Philip Rivers doesn't move fast enough to have the graspy slippery be a problem. That's very true. He would've won. ... It would not have been an issue. He's so slow.

The turf was famously slippery, but concluding Rivers definitely wins because of it is satirical.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Tuohys only brought Michael Oher into their family because of his football talent

This has always kind of been the logical explanation of what happened. Like they didn't bring this kid into their home because he was homeless and they wanted to be great people. They brought 'em into their home because they're like, 'oh shit, this guy's awesome at football. And we're the biggest Ole Miss fans in the world. So we might as well adopt him. And then just funnel 'em down to Oxford.'

A matter of intent that is currently being litigated; can't be objectively proven true or false.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Buccaneers' depth chart 'OR' listing is bad news for Baker Mayfield

My Hot Seat is the Bucks. ... At the quarterback position they have Baker Mayfield or Kyle Trask listed as QB One. ... I feel like this is bad news for Baker. 'cause most people assume that Bake was gonna be QB one, right? ... This is telling me that Baker, they want Baker to be the QB one, but he's stunk in training camp, so they're like, well we can't demote him yet, so we'll just make it an or.

Baker Mayfield won the starting job and led the Buccaneers to the playoffs with a career-best season, effectively disproving the idea he was 'stinking' or in real danger of losing to Trask.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Carson Wentz is a bad backup quarterback

I still think Carson Wentz, even though he is better than a lot of backup quarterbacks, probably doesn't fill the backup quarterback role very well. ... You want your backup quarterback to be able to fill in for like one game. ... Chase Daniel is way better than Carson Wentz at the role of backup.

Wentz eventually signed with the Rams as a backup and played well in a Week 18 start, showing he could handle the one-game fill-in role effectively.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Davante Adams will be traded to the Jets at the deadline

Aaron Rogers took a $35 million pay cut. Right. Davante Adams... I'm very happy with the contract. I feel great about it on his contract. So hypothetically at the trade deadline, something were to happen. Like we have super teams now.

Davante Adams was not traded to the Jets during the 2023 season. He remained a Raider until 2024.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am officially coming out of the closet as a Kirk Cousins fan

I'm coming out of the closet as a Kirk Cousins fan. I've buried it so deep that I overcompensated for loving Kirk Cousins by hating him so much these last few years. I love Kirk Cousins as a person. One of the greatest dudes, hard not to root for.

This is a subjective shift in personal fandom.

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