PMTPMT DB

Takes

Push
#PMT-2024-0207-16317
Big CatBig Cat

Mike Vrabel is too physically intimidating to get a head coaching job

She [Diana Russini] said that she had a GM at the Senior Bowl who mentioned to me Vrabel's physical build, that he's a very large human being and can be very intimidating to people in an organization... If you're a football owner, large human beings, you don't wanna be around them. You want a nerd. You want a tiny little nerd.

Vrabel did not receive a head coaching job in the 2024 cycle, which partially validates the idea that something about his profile (perhaps his personality/intimidation) kept owners away.
Win
#PMT-2024-0207-16318
Big CatBig Cat

Andy Reid will never retire because he has no hobbies except football and cheeseburgers

Andy Reid, who is not gonna retire. This is all he does. I'm trying to get Andy to play golf. I'm trying to get him to go hunting. He just won't do it. Andy Reid also has a bucket list... it's just eating in different countries. My prediction, they win the Super Bowl, he probably goes to France. Eats his way through France.

Andy Reid did not retire after winning Super Bowl LVIII and returned for the 2024 season.
Win
#PMT-2024-0131-13668
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Caleb Williams is 'popping' because he already has dedicated haters before the draft

If you ain't got no haters, you ain't popping... So Caleb Williams is popping... The anonymous scouts are going off about Caleb Williams... saying things like, you remember he paints his nails? ... These are all big red flags. Nah... if there's Caleb Williams, I would be more concerned about the guy who doesn't get any negative press.

Williams was drafted #1 overall and remains a polarizing, highly-discussed figure, confirming he is indeed 'popping'.
Void
#PMT-2024-0131-13669
Big CatBig Cat

Panthers HC Dave Canales made a mistake writing a book about his infidelity and porn addiction

This is kind of a lesson in like, maybe don't ever get that big job. 'cause then people will start looking at your life. Dave Canales co-wrote a book with his wife about marriage... Canales admits to having had multiple affairs earlier in his life... also described in the book the addictions he once had to both pornography and alcohol. It sounds like his wife made him write a book. If you're co-authoring a book with your wife talking about your porn addiction, it's like a self-flagellation.

Subjective opinion on public relations and coaching optics.
Void
#PMT-2024-0124-6874
HankHank

You must always defer the coin toss if you win it

Why would you not defer, why would you not get the ball back to, to start the second half? I just assumed that was like a, a cardinal fundamental rule. And then when you look at the stats... I think you should just defer every time.

While mathematically sound, it is a strategic preference, not a literal fact that can be 'correct'.
Push
#PMT-2023-1220-12085
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

No long-haired quarterback has ever won a Super Bowl

No long-haired quarterback has ever won a Super Bowl. People forget that.

Depends on the definition of 'long'. QBs like Joe Namath and Ken Stabler had shaggy hair, but true 'flow' like Lawrence is historically rare for winners.
Loss
#PMT-2023-1120-17483
HankHank

The Bills will make the Super Bowl and lose to the Cowboys

My overly direct take is that I think the Bills are gonna make the Super Bowl... And then lose to the Cowboys... I think they're gonna rally and and make a deep run.

Neither team made the Super Bowl. The Bills lost in the Divisional round and the Cowboys lost in the Wild Card round.
Loss
#PMT-2023-1120-17484
Big CatBig Cat

The Chiefs -2.5 against the Eagles is stealing money

My overly direct take Max is the Chief's minus two and a half tonight stealing money. Patrick Mahomes at home. Andy Reid off of buy can't. All they gotta do is win the game pretty much.

The Eagles won the game 21-17, so the Chiefs did not cover -2.5.
Loss
#PMT-2023-1120-17485
Jake MarshJake Marsh

Joe Flacco will lead the Browns to an AFC North title

My overly direct take guys, is that Joe Flacco will lead the Cleveland Browns to an AFC North Division Championship.

The Baltimore Ravens won the AFC North. The Browns finished second and entered as a Wild Card.
Void
#PMT-2023-1115-6582
HankHank

The Gillette Stadium lighthouse is real as a symbol and a beacon of hope

Technically by definition, some would say that this lighthouse is not real. But there's some that would say that it is real... Just because PFT says this lighthouse isn't real, it doesn't mean you can't, it doesn't have to be real to you and as a region... Patriots fans, new Englanders, they'll recognize this lighthouse as a real thing, as a beacon of hope and as a symbol of our team.

Hank is making a philosophical point to avoid losing a bet/argument about the lighthouse's legitimacy as a functional maritime structure.
Loss
#PMT-2023-1115-6586
Jake MarshJake Marsh

Eagles vs. Chiefs on Monday Night Football will be the highest rated game of the season

I'm gonna say Eagles Chiefs Monday Night Football is going to be the highest rated game of the season moving forward. Ooh. Also there's a potential of Taylor appearing. In Prime time standalone. It has to be Super Bowl rematch.

The game drew 29 million viewers (highest MNF since 1996), but Thanksgiving's Cowboys-Commanders had 41 million.
Void
#PMT-2023-1018-14134
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chargers' social media account being too funny is hurting the team's culture

I think that the Chargers Twitter account is, is too funny. And and it's resulted in actual on the field losses for you. Yeah. Be serious. This is culture matters. ... If you're asking guys, Hey, is water wet when they come off the field, they're probably, that's gonna break their brains. ... I actually, I'm starting to think that Chargers truther, he might be true. It affects team culture.

Subjective claim about the causal link between social media and team performance.
Win
#PMT-2023-1011-9638
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mark Davis invented the 'muff' style hand warmer

Mark Davis invented the hand warmer. The owner of the Las Vegas Raiders. Mark Davis developed the Muff in 1986... for use by professional football teams. And that year, Davis began to market them for the fans. It's the muff style hand warmer.

Mark Davis did indeed patent the muff-style hand warmer in the mid-80s.
Loss
#PMT-2023-1011-9640
Big CatBig Cat

Jerry Jones wants the Cowboys to run the Iowa offense with an all-tight end focus

Jerry Jones went on radio and said something ridiculous... They asked him about getting CeeDee Lamb more involved and Jerry Jones said, 'I don't know about that. I like seeing the ball go to tight ends.' Oh, your star wide receiver? That is a mismatch. Nope. Let's go tight ends. Jerry Jones, he wants to run the Iowa offense.

Lamb eventually became the focal point of the offense and had a career year.
Loss
#PMT-2023-1011-9642
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The future of the Green Bay Packers looks bleak

I'm actually gonna go with the Green Bay Packers. Oh, I like it. Just strictly based on what we saw on Monday night.

The Packers finished the season strong and currently have one of the brightest futures in the NFC with Jordan Love.
Loss
#PMT-2023-0823-17229
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Baker Mayfield will win NFL Comeback Player of the Year

I put a little future on Baker [Mayfield] Win Comeback Player of the year. And I, for whatever reason, I just think that I, maybe it's that game that he had on, was it Christmas? Yeah. The Christmas game sold me.

Joe Flacco won the 2023 NFL Comeback Player of the Year. Mayfield was a finalist and had a great season, but did not win the award.
Void
#PMT-2023-0816-18691
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Philip Rivers would have won the Super Bowl if he started for the 49ers last season

Kyle Shanahan's plan that he had in place. If the 49ers had made the Super Bowl and Brock Purdy was injured, Philip Rivers was going to start the Super Bowl. ... He probably would've won. ... It would've been the very best thing to ever happen to the NFL. ... We would've had to go to the Super Bowl and root for the Niners and wear Phil Rivers Niners jerseys.

This is a hypothetical 'what if' that cannot be proven, though Rivers starting a Super Bowl without playing all season would have been a historic longshot.
Loss
#PMT-2023-0809-4308
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Buccaneers' depth chart 'OR' listing is bad news for Baker Mayfield

My Hot Seat is the Bucks. ... At the quarterback position they have Baker Mayfield or Kyle Trask listed as QB One. ... I feel like this is bad news for Baker. 'cause most people assume that Bake was gonna be QB one, right? ... This is telling me that Baker, they want Baker to be the QB one, but he's stunk in training camp, so they're like, well we can't demote him yet, so we'll just make it an or.

Baker Mayfield won the starting job and led the Buccaneers to the playoffs with a career-best season, effectively disproving the idea he was 'stinking' or in real danger of losing to Trask.
Loss
#PMT-2023-0809-4309
Big CatBig Cat

Carson Wentz is a bad backup quarterback

I still think Carson Wentz, even though he is better than a lot of backup quarterbacks, probably doesn't fill the backup quarterback role very well. ... You want your backup quarterback to be able to fill in for like one game. ... Chase Daniel is way better than Carson Wentz at the role of backup.

Wentz eventually signed with the Rams as a backup and played well in a Week 18 start, showing he could handle the one-game fill-in role effectively.
Loss
#PMT-2023-0802-5623
Billy FootballBilly Football

Davante Adams will be traded to the Jets at the deadline

Aaron Rogers took a $35 million pay cut. Right. Davante Adams... I'm very happy with the contract. I feel great about it on his contract. So hypothetically at the trade deadline, something were to happen. Like we have super teams now.

Davante Adams was not traded to the Jets during the 2023 season. He remained a Raider until 2024.
Win
#PMT-2023-0719-13329
Big CatBig Cat

Bill Belichick is officially on the hot seat with the New England Patriots

My Hot Seat is Bill Belichick. Literally. There's a report out... from Tom Curran... he said 'You talk about avoiding the Hot Seat Rich, he's on the Hot Seat and he's been there at different levels of warmth since 2019.'

This was shockingly prescient; Belichick was indeed let go following the 2023 season, confirming the seat was hot.
Loss
#PMT-2023-0712-6927
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Chief Aholic is a modern-day Robin Hood who we shouldn't be castigating

Chief Aholic is basically a modern day Robin Hood. Stole from the banks, gave to himself and we're, we're castigating him for it. We're throwing him in jail maybe for the rest of his life. It feels messed up.

Chief Aholic (Xaviar Michael Babudar) was sentenced to prison in 2024 for a multi-state bank robbery spree.
Void
#PMT-2023-0621-6000
Big CatBig Cat

Jordan Love made a massive mistake by making a Father's Day video for Bears fans

My Hot Seat is Packers fans trying to get me to somehow admit that I was wrong about the Jordan Love video. ... Aaron Rodgers never would've done that. You gotta say no. ... As much as I hate Aaron Rodgers, he tortured me, he's fucking owned me... he respected the rivalry. He never gave an inch. Jordan Love you gave an inch. I'm gonna take that inch.

This is a subjective take on rivalry etiquette, though Love did go on to beat the Bears in his first start of the season, validating the 'Father' claim literally.
Win
#PMT-2023-0614-4259
HankHank

The Buffalo Bills dynasty is on the Hot Seat following Stefon Diggs' absence

My Hot Seat is the Bills Dynasty. Stefon Diggs no-showed for off season training program. They asked McDermott about it and he said he was concerned about it. Very concerned about it.

The 2023 Bills season was tumultuous, and Diggs was eventually traded in the 2024 offseason, validating concerns about the relationship.
Loss
#PMT-2023-0524-1684
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Rams at Saints game will be flexed out of Thursday Night Football

I predict right now Ram Saints, that's gonna be flexed.

The Rams vs. Saints game in Week 16 was NOT flexed; it played on Thursday night as scheduled.
Void
#PMT-2023-0510-11434
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Every NFL team should claim they wanted a quarterback after the draft just in case they're good

If you're an NFL team and you can always just throw out there like, we wanted to take this guy on draft night, nobody will remember that if he ends up stinking in like three years. But in the chance that he is good, you can always point back and be like, we actually had him.

This is a strategic recommendation rather than a testable fact, though many teams do indeed do this (e.g., the Bruce Arians/Mahomes story).
Loss
#PMT-2023-0510-11436
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Dan Snyder should be arrested and put in jail for tampering with Andrew Luck

Just arrest Dan Snyder. And I think that would be fine. I think that would satisfy all parties. [regarding allegations the Commanders contacted Andrew Luck].

OpinionFootballHotSarcastic
Tampering is not a criminal offense that leads to jail time in the NFL.
Win
#PMT-2023-0503-7859
Jake MarshJake Marsh

Five straight days of playoff football in January is the best schedule ever

College football playoff announced today 2024 and 2025. ... Semi-finals would be played on Thursday and Friday of super wild card weekend. ... Saturday, Sunday, Monday. ... Five straight days of playoff football.

The schedule was indeed announced as described.
Win
#PMT-2023-0322-7162
Big CatBig Cat

Roger Goodell is actually awesome at his job despite everyone hating him

For everything that he has hated for and he's hated for a lot... he does an incredible job. It's like he was designed in a lab just to absorb blows and make a shitload of money for the NFL. And he's done both, like basically the best you could possibly do.

Goodell's metrics (revenue growth, labor peace) are factually strong from the owners' perspective, which is his primary audience.
Void
#PMT-2023-0215-13655
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Eric Bieniemy must be the world's worst interviewer since he keeps getting passed over for head coaching jobs

At this point, I don't know what to think about Eric, but he must be the world's worst interviewer of all time. I, I don't know what's, what's been happening with him... there's gotta be some reason why he's been through this every single off season and he's never gotten the gig.

Loss
#PMT-2023-0215-13656
Big CatBig Cat

Eric Bieniemy might be bombing head coaching interviews on purpose to stay with the Chiefs

I think he's bombing him on purpose. I really do. Because I think that being the offensive coordinator of the Kansas City Chiefs is better than being the head coach of like 20 franchises. So he's like, yeah, I'll just go through the motions bomb this interview, and then I'll get to go be the offensive coordinator of Patrick Mahomes and, and keep piling up Super Bowl wings rings.

Shortly after this episode, Bieniemy left the Chiefs to become the OC of the Washington Commanders, proving he was willing to leave to prove himself elsewhere.
Loss
#PMT-2023-0215-13657
Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers will come out of his darkness retreat and realize it's cool to just keep making $40 million to play for the Packers

Aaron Rods is doing his annual, I left the last game of the Packers saying, I don't know what's in the future. I'm gonna go into a four day silent hut and, and do drugs... congratulations Aaron Rods in advance for coming out of his retreat and realizing that Yeah. It's pretty cool to make 40 million a year to be the quarterback of the Green Bay Packers.

Rodgers did come out and request a trade to the Jets shortly after, moving on from the Packers.
Loss
#PMT-2023-0208-7463
Big CatBig Cat

Tom Brady is not actually retired

This was my hot seat because I actually think it's hot seat. The Tom Brady retirement. He's not, he's spending an entire year off. He's basically admitting that he's not gonna start broadcasting games till 2024. He's not retired... This feels like he's just leaving the door a little bit open.

Tom Brady did not return to the NFL and transitioned to his broadcasting role as planned in 2024.
Void
#PMT-2023-0118-1605
Big CatBig Cat

The NFL should use the chip in the football to definitively judge goal line plays

The fact that there was just casually mentioned there's a chip in the football and they can actually see if it goes over the goal line... According to the chip in the football, the closest the ball got to the end zone was 0.6 yards from the goal line. What the fuck are we doing? We've been asking for the chip forever.

This is a persistent debate in sports media; while the chip exists, the NFL still relies on visual confirmation for official scoring.
Void
#PMT-2022-1214-10742
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Big Ben is poorly suited to play for the 49ers compared to every other quarterback

I think that you could name a quarterback in the NFL right now and they're probably better suited for the 49ers than Big Ben. Yes. Doesn't matter who you are. Right. No, that doesn't mean I wouldn't watch it. No. If he played I'd watch every second.

Roethlisberger remained retired and never played for the 49ers; the 49ers succeeded with Brock Purdy, a very different style of QB.
Void
#PMT-2022-1123-9087
Billy FootballBilly Football

Zach Wilson and Patrick Mahomes would have a competitive game of PIG/HORSE

On that take, I will say if you took Zach Wilson and Patrick Mahomes and made them compete in a horse or pig like game where they had to complete certain throws probably not covered. They'd probably have a competitive game.

Subjective comparison of skills, though most analysts would argue Mahomes' accuracy and creativity vastly outclass Wilson's even in a vacuum.
Loss
#PMT-2022-1109-9596
Big CatBig Cat

I bet Tua Tagovailoa to win the MVP at 16 to 1

I made another bet—Tua [Tagovailoa] to win the MVP 16 to one. What's gonna, if Josh—this is, it is also based like, I hope Josh Allen's not hurt, but if he is hurt, Tua feels like he's got a lot of, lot of like people feel bad about the concussions. He's gonna have some, a lot of numbers.

Patrick Mahomes won the 2022 NFL MVP. Tua did not win.
Void
#PMT-2022-1026-8061
Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers is blaming his teammates for the Packers' struggles

Guys who are making too many mistakes shouldn't be playing. Gotta start cutting some reps. So it's not his fault, it's his teammate's fault.

Loss
#PMT-2022-1026-8062
Billy FootballBilly Football

Sam Ehlinger will be a successful game manager for the Colts

The most hilarious would be if they just came in and they went old school and just ran Jonathan Taylor 35 times a game and asked him to be a game manager. They make the playoffs and then you can still claim he's a better quarterback than Trevor Lawrence. That's what I'm hoping for.

Sam Ehlinger went 0-3 as a starter in 2022 with a 60.1 QB rating. The Colts finished 4-12-1 and missed the playoffs.
Void
#PMT-2022-0928-10348
Billy FootballBilly Football

Being a field goal holder is an easy job that even freshmen can do

I've been a holder. Really? Yeah. When I was like third string quarterback. It's an easy job. If you're a decent, if you're like can catch like they put like freshman as holders.

While the mechanical action is simple, the pressure and chemistry required make it a specialized role that specialists vehemently defend as difficult.
Win
#PMT-2022-0914-9314
Big CatBig Cat

Robert Saleh taking 'receipts' on his haters is a dangerous game that will only make the mocking worse if they lose

Robert Saleh went in front of the media on Monday and said... 'we're all taking receipts on all the people who continually mock... and I'm gonna be more than happy to share them with all of you when all is said and done.' ... I will put myself down as a receipt. He can, he can absolutely come back and dunk on me when the jets become a super bowl team. But yeah, that was he he's, he's taking receipts... if they're not good this year, he could get fired. And if they're not good next year, he definitely will get fired. So yeah, those receipts, it's tough to say that.

The Jets finished the 2022 and 2023 seasons with 7-10 records, and Saleh was eventually fired in 2024, never getting to 'cash in' the receipts.
Loss
#PMT-2022-0831-15334
Billy FootballBilly Football

Baker Mayfield will 'fuck up' the Cleveland Browns in Week 1

My hot seat are the Browns. Baker Mayfield... was quoted saying 'I'm going to fuck them up' in regards to the Browns. That's my hot seat Baker.

Baker Mayfield and the Panthers lost to the Browns 26-24 in Week 1. He did not 'fuck them up' in the box score.
Loss
#PMT-2022-0824-3661
HankHank

Saquon Barkley's 'kill mindset' quote will be used against him as soon as he has a bad game

My cool throne is the Giants fantasy people that are gonna draft Saquon Barkley. He said, it's kill mindset now. It's like, fuck everybody. I'm sure that won't be like a quote that gets turned around when it's like that quote and then him going like, 14 rushes for 60 yards.

Saquon Barkley had a highly successful 2022 season, silencing doubters and justifying his confidence.
Loss
#PMT-2022-0824-3662
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Desmond Ridder 'is him' and is already NFL ready

My hot seat is Marcus Mariota... I watched the Jets Falcons game last night. I think Desmond Ridder is that guy. I think he is him... I think I'm ready to say based off watching him one time in the preseason that this is gonna be a guy that I will believe in for the next four years.

Ridder failed to secure the Falcons' starting job long-term and was eventually traded after several benchings.
Win
#PMT-2022-0824-3663
Big CatBig Cat

The Falcons do not have their quarterback of the future on their current roster

I think the Falcons don't have their quarterback of the future on the roster right now.

The Falcons moved on from both Ridder and Mariota and addressed the position via free agency (Cousins) and the draft (Penix) in 2024.
Loss
#PMT-2022-0824-3664
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Geno Smith should be a first-half specialist and Drew Lock should be the closer

Geno Smith, I think plays pretty well based on recent experiences in like the first half. And then Drew Lock is good in garbage time. So I think they should put Geno Smith in, in the first half as the first half specialist. Drew Lock comes in as the closer.

Hot TakeFootballHotSarcastic
Geno Smith became the full-time starter and NFL Comeback Player of the Year, making this two-QB system unnecessary.
Win
#PMT-2022-0817-7955
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL purposefully scheduled Christmas Day games to screw over NBA markets

NFL is game, right? They did it so that each market is fucked by the NFL... Celtics, Sixers, Nicks, sons nuggets, Lakers, Mavs... Packers are playing bucks. They just fucked. It's it's so great. They just like, oh, here are your top teams that you're gonna use for Christmas day. We're gonna steal 'em.

The NFL's 2022 Christmas tripleheader obliterated the NBA's ratings, proving the strategy was intentional and effective.
Loss
#PMT-2022-0810-16779
Billy FootballBilly Football

Mekhi Becton's shattered kneecap could be good for his career

I think maybe this time will do him well, mature, and we'll see him this year. The shattered kneecap could be really good for his NFL career is what I'm trying to say, trying to be optimistic.

Becton missed the entire 2022 season and was eventually let go by the Jets after years of injuries; a shattered kneecap is rarely 'good' for a 350lb lineman.
Loss
#PMT-2022-0803-3686
Billy FootballBilly Football

The New York Jets are an absolute wagon this year

My hot seat is the AFC East today. I visited Jets camp and I have to say they are all totally on the hot seat because the Jets are an absolute wagon. And their offense looked electric. Seriously.

The Jets started 7-4 but lost their final six games to finish 7-10 and missed the playoffs.
Loss
#PMT-2022-0803-3687
Billy FootballBilly Football

Elijah Moore is a step above everybody else in the NFL

I saw [Elijah Moore] today in person and he was making grabs all over the field. It was like, that guy is a different kind of player. Like he's a step above everybody else.

Moore had a disappointing 2022 season (446 yards, 1 TD) and was traded to the Browns the following offseason.
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