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PMTPMT DB

Takes

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HankHank

Houston will beat Illinois by 18 points in the Sweet 16

I think Houston and I think they do it decisively. 18. [Blowout?]. 18.

Pending outcome of the 2026 Sweet 16.
Open
HankHank

My Early Final Four: Duke, Illinois, Michigan, and Wisconsin

Duke, Illinois, Michigan, Wisconsin... with Duke beating Wisconsin in Indie.

PredictionCBBHotSarcastic
The 2026 NCAA Tournament outcomes are unknown.
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MaxMax

My Early Final Four: St. John's, Florida, Arizona, and Iowa State

St. John's, Florida, Arizona, Iowa State... I will do Iowa State over St. John's.

The 2026 NCAA Tournament outcomes are unknown.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL should stop giving 'charity' playoff spots to inferior teams that win 'Mickey Mouse' divisions like the 2025 Panthers

Why are we giving out charity playoff spots to teams like the Panthers? They win a Mickey Mouse division, they're clearly inferior. They have zero chance to win the Super Bowl. It ruins the playoffs. ... It becomes a safety issue for the Carolina Panthers.

The Panthers' performance in the Wild Card round will determine if they were truly 'charity' or competitive.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Josh Allen is currently the best playoff quarterback in the AFC

Josh Allen, who is the best. I think he's the best playoff quarterback in the AFC right now. As much as people like to say that Josh Allen is a choke artist because the Bills haven't won a Super Bowl, Josh Allen is awesome in the playoffs. He is incredible. And the losses that he's had, he's been the best quarterback on the field.

Subjective comparison of QB performance in the postseason.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tyler Shuck is the hands-down NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year

Could you imagine this guy not winning rookie of the year? No. Oh, he is a rookie that your hands down easily. Hands down.

Tyler Shough did not win AP OROY. McMillan won. Shough won the fan vote but not the official award.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Drake Maye is going to win the NFL MVP

Congratulations. It, it feels like Drake Maye's gonna win the MVP. It does. It, it definitely feels that way. Yeah. Matthew Stafford's Monday Night Performance kind of cemented it.

Drake Maye did not win 2025 MVP. Stafford won by 5 points in the closest vote in 23 years.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Quinn Ewers will be the Miami Dolphins' starting quarterback in 2026

I think he's gonna be their starter next season... [Big Cat: 'It's Quinn Ewers.'] Quinn. Can Quinn play in the cold? I don't know.

Will be determined by the Dolphins' 2026 Week 1 depth chart.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Jalen Hurts is Russell Wilson 2.0 (and that is a good thing)

I said Jalen Hurts is Russell Wilson 2.0... I said Russell Wilson was a very good quarterback. I think Jalen Hurts is a very good quarterback. They, they're not the top three guys in the league, but they're somewhere after that where if their team is good around 'em, they're winning a Super Bowl.

This is a player comparison and archetype evaluation that is inherently subjective.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I will stop cussing for the rest of the season if Philip Rivers beats the Seahawks

If Philip Rivers, if they win, I won't cuss for the rest of football season. Yeah. I'm gonna stop cussing. It would be that magical of a moment.

Philip Rivers (playing for the Colts, not Chargers) did not beat the Seahawks. Seattle won 18-16 on a Jason Myers 56-yard field goal with 29 seconds left. Since Rivers lost, PFT's conditional bet (stop cussing if Rivers wins) was never triggered, but the underlying prediction of a Rivers victory was incorrect.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The current Seahawks defense is playing better than the Legion of Boom did in any seven-game stretch

The Seahawks defense in terms of... a seven-game stretch, they have actually played better in a seven-game stretch this year than the best seven-game stretch of the Legion of Boom.

A specific statistical claim requiring detailed game-by-game comparison data. The Seahawks defense was elite but the exact comparison is unverifiable.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Shedeur Sanders isn't actually controversial; the polarization is driven entirely by external conversations about him.

The most controversial parts of Shedeur Sanders are actually not Shedeur Sanders. It's what other people say about Shedeur Sanders. ... As a guy goes, I don't think that Shedeur is the reason—it's everybody else talking about [him].

Inherently subjective assessment of a player's public persona.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Matthew Stafford's 31 career pick-sixes is actually a complimentary stat

Matthew Stafford has 31 [pick-sixes]. Brett Favre has 32. And you're like, 'Ooh, that's a bad stat.' And then you realize... that means you're very, very good because you played long enough that it didn't actually matter. It's actually kind of a compliment that the rest of your game is so good that 31 pick-sixes are completely irrelevant.

This is a subjective interpretation of a statistic.
Void
HankHank

The Patriots will blow out the Falcons

I'm going blowout... I'll do nine and a half... Gillette's gonna be rocking... I think it's gonna be a blowout.

Cannot verify the specific Patriots vs Falcons Week 9 2025 game result or whether it was a blowout.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Dolphins are running out the clock on Mike McDaniel and Tua Tagovailoa

It just seems like the Dolphins are running out the clock here on the season on Mike McDaniel on Tua... the Picks are happening whether you can see it or not. Maybe just try to do some blind plays.

The Dolphins did run out the clock. They went 7-10 and Mike McDaniel was fired on January 8, 2026. The Dolphins' season ended in disappointment.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kirk Cousins will play well for the Falcons and then be traded to another team this season.

I hope that at some point this season we get a Kirk Cousins game. I want to see Kirk Cousins. I want him to go out there. I want him to play well and then I want him to be traded to another team this season.

Kirk Cousins was not traded during the 2025 season. He served as backup to Michael Penix Jr. and stepped in when Penix tore his ACL in November, going 5-2 as a starter. He was released by the Falcons in March 2026, not traded during the season.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

AJ Brown feels 'used' by the Eagles because they only target him when they desperately need to win.

I think he looks at his relationship with a football team and every time they go to him and they try to exploit a weakness in the defense... he feels like he's being used, like they wouldn't pass him the ball if they didn't need him to win. So fuck them. It's like, you're just using me so that you can win.

This is a subjective theory on a player's mindset.
Void
MaxMax

If the Eagles lose to the Vikings, their season is dead

This is the do or die game. If you lose third week in a row, to Carson Wentz... if they lose this game, I think it comes crumbling down.

The 'death' of a season is subjective, but losing to the Vikings would confirm the spiraling trend.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drake Maye will beat a winning team for the first time this week (Okie Doke)

I think this is the week that that Drake Maye finally beats a team that's above .500. I think he's done a great job getting to this place... he's put in the prep. This is the week where Drake Maye beats a winning team.

Hot TakeFootballHotSarcastic
The Patriots lost to the Bills 24-21, and the joke was that the Bills were the first team with a winning record they faced.
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Big CatBig Cat

Brian Flores was being 'very mean' by comparing Dylan Gabriel's thought process to Tua Tagovailoa's

That is so mean of Brian Flores to say, 'I see Tua'—the guy I fucking almost ended his career by just hating him and bullying him as I was his head coach—in Dylan Gabriel. Brian Flores hated Tua to the point where Tua said that he had to go to therapy for two years to fix his confidence.

Subjective interpretation of coach's intent.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jalen Hurts is the new Joe Flacco

I think he's, he's become the new Joe Flacco where he won a Super Bowl, but everyone's trying to fight. Is Jalen Hurts Elite sound off in the comments?

Subjective comparison of two quarterbacks' public perceptions.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Marvin Harrison Jr. will break his first career tackle this week against the Titans

I am on, on tackle breaking watch this week. I think this is the week that Marvin Harrison Jr. breaks his first tackle... Kyler Murray, bad body language. Marvin Harrison, Jr. bad body language... after Sunday... people are gonna start to have that conversation.

Marvin Harrison Jr. was credited with two broken tackles in the game against Tennessee.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Spencer Rattler will get his first NFL win as a starter this week against the Seahawks

I think, I think they're gonna win. [Spencer Rattler] is gonna get his first win this week. First win as a starter.

Rattler and the Saints did not beat the Seahawks in this matchup.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears-Cowboys matchup is a 'Gateway Game' that will define the rest of Chicago's season

This is a gateway game. If the Bears win this game... don't be shocked if the Bears are five and four or six and three... but if they don't win this game, none of this matters. They're own three and they just suck.

The Bears lost this game and did indeed struggle for much of the first half of the season, falling to 0-3.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Caleb Williams needs to take more shots and throw more interceptions

I wouldn't mind if Caleb had a couple more interceptions. We're getting to a point now where he doesn't throw interceptions and it feels like I'd like him to take some more shots. Just take a couple shots. Take like that hesitancy he talked about himself. Let it rip.

This is a subjective philosophy on quarterback development.
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Big CatBig Cat

Mike Vrabel will dominate Mike McDaniel because McDaniel is a dork

The minute a fat guy walks in and says, that's a dork. It sticks in my head. And now in my head it's Mike Vrabel versus Dork. I'm gonna take Mike Vrabel. It just feels like Mike Vrabel versus dork is a mismatch.

The Patriots (coached by Vrabel) went 14-3 in 2025, while the Dolphins (coached by McDaniel) went 7-10 and McDaniel was fired. Vrabel dominated their matchups.
Loss
HankHank

The Denver Broncos will win the a FC West this season

[Big Cat] I say yes [the Chiefs win the a FC West]... Who do you have winning the a FC West? [Hank] The Denver Broncos.

The Chiefs won the a FC West in 2024; the Broncos did not.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am officially back in on Kyle Pitts this season

I'm officially back in on Kyle Pitts. Oh no. I'm officially back in. Hear me out... [Kirk Cousins] is a different quarterback than has been throwing the ball to Kyle Pitts over the last two years. He might be smart enough to realize that Kyle Pitts is really theoretically good at football.

Insufficient data on Kyle Pitts' 2025 stats to evaluate. Falcons went 8-9.
Loss
ZacZac

The Buccaneers will win the NFC at +1300

I would like to take the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the conference at plus 1300. We're feeling the same [as Big Cat], you go a little further.

The Buccaneers finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs. They did not win the NFC.
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HankHank

The Patriots will make the playoffs at +120 odds

I'm gonna go with the New England Patriots... to make the playoffs plus one 20. I believe it even more so.

The Patriots went 14-3 and won the AFC East under Mike Vrabel. They not only made the playoffs but reached the Super Bowl. The +120 bet was a massive winner.
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HankHank

Shedeur Sanders will step in for an injured Joe Flacco and lead the Cleveland Browns to a wild card playoff spot

My preemptive Take of the Year. Shedeur Sanders. It's going to lead the Cleveland Browns to a wild card spot and make the playoffs. Maybe an injury. I think after like week four [Joe Flacco's] not gonna start. Something's gonna happen. Maybe Flacco gets injured, [Shedeur] steps in, leads them to glory.

Shedeur Sanders was drafted by the Browns in the 5th round (not 1st), started 7 games going 3-4 after Dillon Gabriel's concussion in Week 11 (not after Week 4 Flacco injury). The Browns finished 5-12 and nowhere near a wild card spot.
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MemesMemes

Jayden Daniels will finish as the worst quarterback of the 2024 draft class in the upcoming 2025 season

The Washington Commanders are gonna miss the playoffs. Jayden Daniels [will] finish dead last out of the 2024 QBs in that draft class.

Memes predicted the Commanders would miss the playoffs (correct — they went 5-12) and Jayden Daniels would finish dead last among 2024 QBs. Daniels only played 7 games due to injuries and had the lowest total stats of the class, but this was due to injury absences, not poor play quality. The Commanders missing the playoffs was correct; the Daniels ranking is technically true by volume stats but misleading.
Loss
ShaneShane

Omarion Hampton will win the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award

I said Gus Edwards lead the league in rushing touchdowns [last year]. And I couldn't have been more wrong, so I'm gonna go Omarion Hampton Offensive Rookie of the year.

Omarion Hampton did not win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Tetairoa McMillan of the Panthers won the award with 70 catches for 1,014 yards and 7 TDs. Hampton was drafted by the Chargers and was placed on injured reserve with an ankle injury during the season.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Dak Prescott is the 24th best quarterback in the NFL

Make the accurate ranking tier. Just be 23 Daniel Jones, 24 Dak... I googled QB Rankings for 2025 Pro Football Focus. Where do you think they had Dak Prescott? 18, 17... I couldn't make him the 17th best anymore.

Subjective ranking compared to league peers.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Daniel Jones might make a successful comeback this season

I think Daniel Jones might come back... I've been thinking about Daniel Jones a lot the last couple weeks... He spent six months with Kevin O'Connell. What's better? Spending six months with Kevin O'Connell, or spending six months with Brian Schottenheimer?

PFT predicted Daniel Jones might make a successful comeback in 2025. Jones signed with the Colts on a 1-year deal and was named starting QB, but tore his Achilles in December 2025. The Colts went 8-9. It was not a successful comeback.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Aaron Judge is not a true Yankee because he hasn't won a World Series

I would go even further and say he's [Aaron Judge] not a true Yankee. Which is funny because he's had some of the best seasons of all time by any offensive player. Still not a true Yankee... You can't be a true Yankee in the regular season. The Yankees season starts in October.

Subjective definition of what makes a 'true Yankee'.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Steph Curry enters the Kobe realm of the GOAT conversation if he wins a 5th title this year

If the Warriors go on a run, which they could... Steph Curry goes, lights out. Is Steph Curry, does he enter the Kobe realm of the goat conversation?... If the Warriors win the NBA title this year, Steph Curry wins finals MVP, I feel like you're gonna have the Jordan, LeBron, Kobe Curry conversation.

The Warriors did not win the NBA title. They were eliminated by the Timberwolves in the second round. Curry did not win a 5th championship.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kevin O'Connell is a regular season merchant who can't win in the playoffs

Kevin O'Connell. Can't, can't win in the playoffs. Oh. He's a regular season merchant... Bringing the best out of him. Getting high seeds, losing the playoffs. Just something to keep your eye on. Keep an eye on.

O'Connell's Vikings missed the 2025 playoffs entirely. His 2024 playoff loss (27-9) and 2025 missing the playoffs somewhat supports the 'regular season merchant' label, though he has won regular season COTY.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Houston will dominate Purdue in the Sweet 16

I love Houston. I think Houston's going to dominate Purdue. I said something nice about Purdue someday this might say something mean about Purdue. You're gonna get your fucking ass kicked.

Houston defeated Purdue 62-60 in the Sweet 16, though the margin was closer than 'domination.' Houston did advance past Purdue as predicted.
Loss
MaxMax

The Super Bowl is effectively over if the Eagles give up an early safety

If you start out getting safety and it's two nothing that's game over... Safety would be tough... Two, nothing is absolutely just stop the game Max.

A 2-0 lead is mathematically very surmountable, making this a classic 'game over' hyperbole.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If the Commanders keep the Lions game within one score in the 4th quarter, they will win

If we can keep it within a score, Jaden Daniels can go out there and win the game. And the Lions' buttholes might get tight.

The Commanders beat the Lions 45-31, winning decisively. However, they didn't need to keep it within one score in the 4th — they led big for most of the game. The spirit of PFT's take was that they could pull the upset, which they did, but the mechanism was wrong (it wasn't a close-game scenario).
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

TJ Watt's injury might be a psychological 'Art of War' ploy to trick the Ravens

I have a theory about TJ Watt's injury... I think this could be an Art of War situation. Sun Sue Art of War. Make your enemy think that you were weak when you were strong... Start throwing out the one in 10 without TJ Watts Stats... Let people start thinking during the week of practice. Maybe TJ's not gonna be playing this week.

Watt did play and had 1.5 sacks in the game, but there is no evidence the injury was a fabricated 'psy-op'.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Any quarterback who loses their first Super Bowl appearance never returns to the big game

The curse of Jim Kelly is a curse that just hit the internet... essentially it's any quarterback that goes to a Super Bowl and loses their first one never goes back to the Super Bowl. Jalen Hurts did that... Stan Humphreys, Neil O'Donnell, drew Bledsoe... Joe Burrow. Jalen Hurts. Brock Purdy.

Historically, since Jim Kelly, this trend has held remarkably steady for almost all QBs on the list.
Loss
HankHank

I bet $5,000 on the Philadelphia Eagles to win the Super Bowl

I put a bomb future down and I put it on the Eagles. I almost five have five grand on the Eagles plus four 50. That, that I almost biggest, that'll be the biggest bet I've ever won.

The Eagles were eliminated in the NFC Championship Game by the Detroit Lions.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

College football should get rid of conference championships and just start the 16-team playoff that weekend

Get rid of the conference championships. If you're gonna do it this way, get rid of the conference championships and just have the playoffs start that weekend. Yeah. Like, have it be the first weekend of December, have it be 16 teams or whatever it is.

This is a structural proposal for the future of the sport.
Loss
HankHank

Arizona State will win the College Football Playoff because they are the hottest team

You know what I'm taking Arizona State. Fuck it... I want, I don't think it works for college football, but it, if it was hockey or college basketball, they're the hottest team. Make a run.

Arizona State lost to Texas 39-31 in the Peach Bowl (CFP quarterfinal) on January 1, 2025. They did not win the College Football Playoff.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

JJ McCarthy will end up being the best quarterback from the 2024 draft class

JJ McCarthy's gonna end up being the best quarterback from that draft class. Well, that's just what's gonna end up happening after all this discussion. And that JJ McCarthy's somehow gonna be like the best player of all time.

This is a long-term prediction that won't be resolved for several seasons.
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Big CatBig Cat

Brock Bowers is the best tight end in the NFL and should win Rookie of the Year

Brock Bowers is first in receptions. He's fourth in yards. I know that it will go to a quarterback. But Brock Bowers the best tight end in the NFL. He should win Rookie of the Year.

Brock Bowers had an excellent rookie season (112 catches, 1,194 yards, setting rookie TE records) but did not win Offensive Rookie of the Year — Jayden Daniels won that award with 49 of 50 first-place votes. Bowers finished second. The 'best tight end in the NFL' claim is debatable in his rookie year.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears should fire Matt Eberflus immediately after a Thanksgiving loss

They should fire him after we get embarrassed by the Lions. Because at this point I know the Bears have never fired a coach in a hundred years history in Midseason at this point. You should honestly tell Caleb like, Hey we fucked up with Shane Waldron and Matt Eberflus our bad. We're firing him right now.

The Bears did fire Matt Eberflus mid-season, a few days after the Thanksgiving game.
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Big CatBig Cat

Shane Waldron was the primary issue behind the Bears' struggles

Shane Waldron is the Antichrist. Shane Waldron caused all the problems. Shane Waldron, every war tragedy, anything you can think of in history. Shane Waldron was the issue behind it... The only way I can tell myself that the Bears have a chance is that Shane Waldron was deliberately holding the Bears back in every capacity and now everything's gonna be different.

OpinionFootballHotSarcastic
While Waldron was fired for poor performance, the Bears' offensive struggles continued after his departure, suggesting deeper structural or talent issues.

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