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Takes

Win
Billy FootballBilly Football

Tom Brady will make a mental blunder that costs the Buccaneers the game.

It's going to come down to whether Brady's been aging, whether we see Brady's age physically and kind of mentally... maybe he gets slower as you age... you know all he's like supposed to be like the smart quarterback, but like, you know, you're not always with it.

In the Bucs' 20-19 loss, Tom Brady notoriously lost track of downs on the final drive, thinking it was 3rd down when it was 4th, which cost them the game.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bears are a team of destiny and I'm not using the word Super Bowl lightly.

It's very weird almost like team of Destiny Vibes. Like I don't use the word Super Bowl lightly... This is team of Destiny stuff for sure and Nick Foles... he's got ice water in his veins.

The Bears finished the season 8-8 and lost in the Wild Card round; they were not a team of destiny.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

I love the Panthers to beat the Falcons

Panthers-Falcons, start there. Falcons, this could be the end for Dan Quinn. I have said many times I'm going to respect Teddy Bridgewater more and that's why I love the Panthers in this game.

The Panthers beat the Falcons 23-16, and the Falcons fired Dan Quinn the next day.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Eagles will win the NFC East with a losing record like 3-5-1.

The Eagles win the NFC East at like 3-5-1. The Eagles, they should have stopped playing right now. Yes, 1-2-1 is good enough to get you top of the NFC East.

The Washington Football Team won the division with a 7-9 record; the Eagles finished last at 4-11-1.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Joe Burrow is the Spread God of the NFL season.

Joe Burrow this year the Bengals are not going to be good, but I'm actually no I'm yeah, I know Joe Burrow is four and zero against spread. So Joe Burrow is our Spread god of the season so far.

Joe Burrow was indeed 4-0 against the spread entering Week 5 of the 2020 season.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

If the Cowboys don't cover the spread against the Giants, they aren't a real team.

If the Cowboys don't cover the nine and a half against the Giants. I'm just going to cross them off as not real team. So it's like a statement game you either. Tell me that you're real or not. But otherwise, I'm moving on.

The Cowboys won 37-34 but failed to cover the 9.5 point spread, and Dak Prescott's season-ending injury in that game effectively confirmed they were no longer a real contender.
Loss
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

The Eagles are better than their record indicates and will improve when healthy

A team I think that's easy to say is better than what the record is is the Philadelphia Eagles because of how injuries have derailed them and the performance of Carson Wentz thus far... when they get their offensive lineman back healthy... I think they're a team that's definitely better than what the record is.

The Eagles did not improve; they finished 4-11-1 and Carson Wentz was benched for Jalen Hurts.
Loss
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

The Tennessee Titans are not as good as their 3-0 record suggests

A team that's worse than what their record is... it's the Tennessee Titans. This is not a team that is undefeated three and oh in the NFL. They're a team that barely was able to come back and beat the Denver Broncos, beat the Minnesota Vikings... I don't think that this team is as good as what their record indicates right now.

The Titans finished the season 11-5 and reached the playoffs, suggesting they were a legitimately good team despite Sharp's skepticism.
Win
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

Fourth down aggression almost always benefits bettors taking the over.

From a betting perspective. It makes a lot of sense because... when a team decides to go for it on fourth down it almost always is beneficial to [the over] because what they're not doing is punting the ball... regardless of what happens on that fourth down play. Somebody's getting the ball probably close to Midfield, which is a lot for Less distance to travel to score points.

Analytical data supports that 4th down attempts increase the expected point total of a game regardless of conversion.
Win
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

Mike McCarthy lied on his job application to Jerry Jones about studying every play of his season off.

The guy openly lied on his job application to Jerry Jones. He completely admitted to the fact he goes in and says I watched every play. I watched the film. I studied the analytics in the offseason then his opening press conference. He comes back and says, by the way, I lied about all of that. I just wanted to get the job coaching the Cowboys.

Mike McCarthy admitted in a press conference that he didn't actually watch every play as he told Jerry Jones in his interview.
Win
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

Dwayne Haskins was benched because he wasn't responding to coaching, not just performance

The bigger issue for Dwayne Haskins is simply was he responding to the coaching... it's about doing what the coaches are asking you to do and having some accountability... I'm hearing Dwayne Haskins was not able to respond to the coaching... at some point they're like, I don't know if this guy's ever going to 'get it'.

Haskins was eventually released by Washington later that season following continued performance and off-field maturity issues, supporting the claim that it was a coaching/culture mismatch.
Win
Warren SharpWarren Sharp

Cam Newton is not a long-term answer at quarterback due to his injury history and physical playstyle.

I do think that there is a school of thought that [Cam Newton] you might get a year or two or three out of Cam but the injuries and the way he plays football might compound upon one another. That's it. He's not your long-term answer at quarterback.

Newton's career as a starter effectively ended shortly after this season; he was benched in 2020 and struggled in a 2021 return to Carolina.
Void
Bethenny FrankelBethenny Frankel

It is better to be polarizing and polarizing than to be untrusted

It's better to be—there's no gray in this life. I mean, so it's black or white and polarizing and that's okay. It would be worse for me—it's okay if I'm not liked, it would be bad if I were not trusted. So that would really bother me, but I'm definitely trusted.

This is a subjective personal philosophy.
Void
Bethenny FrankelBethenny Frankel

Reality show 'friends' are not actually friends; they are produced to be friends for the camera.

It's been more manufactured over the years... people aren't really friends, but they have to sort of produce them as if they're friends... you're living in this world and the things that you're arguing about are very important to you within this microcosm. But in no other situation of your life would they be important.

This is a widely supported industry observation from many former reality stars, though inherently subjective.
Win
Bethenny FrankelBethenny Frankel

Reality show cast trips are designed as 'pressure cabins' to force toxic conflict.

The trips are designed to put you in a pressure cabin together with everybody. To work through and bring up every issue... it's like a little mini forest fires that with any luck from production begin a big giant one big fire for the finale... it wouldn't matter where you are because it's going to be the most disgusting experience of arguments and toxicity.

This describes the standard operating procedure for reality TV production design.
Void
Bethenny FrankelBethenny Frankel

I would be the only honest politician and could successfully run the country because I don't bullshit.

I'd be the honest politician and be able to figure out how to play the game without being corrupted not bullshitting everybody a hundred percent... if you want to get things done and be wise and be strategic, I'm very good at that that I'm an Executor... doing the right in the country. I think I could absolutely do. I mean I know I could have.

This is a subjective claim about her own potential as a leader.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The Heat would have won Game 4 if Goran Dragic had played

I'm not going to make excuses and say this doesn't count as a finals win for LeBron, but you got to think that if [Goran] Dragic played this game, the Heat would probably win. Absolutely. I mean we can all agree on that.

Subjective sports hypothetical. Dragic missed the game, so we will never know.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Lakers might be better without LeBron James based on his plus-minus

LeBron James -2. We're not cherry-picking that, that's an actual stat. Are the Lakers better without LeBron? That's what many are asking. I don't know, if you put in Rondo instead of LeBron, he's a +8, they probably win by a hundred.

LeBron won Finals MVP and led the team to a title, proving they were definitely not better without him.
Loss
Jake MarshJake Marsh

The Heat will win the NBA Finals in seven games

They did not [win Game 4]. However, they're going to win the series in seven games.

The Lakers won the 2020 NBA Finals in six games, defeating the Heat 4-2.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am rooting for the Houston Astros to make everyone angry

I'm a hundred percent rooting for the Astros. It would make so many people angry... so many Yankee fans angry and so many Dodger [fans]... it would make so many people angry that I think we have to root for that.

This is a statement of personal rooting interest, which is subjective.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The perfect season for the Astros is reaching the World Series and then losing so everyone can mock them again

I want the Astros to get to the World Series. I do not want them to win... I want them to bother everyone and then ultimately lose. So then we can shit on them again. That is the perfect Arc.

The Astros lost to the Tampa Bay Rays in the ALCS, failing to reach the World Series.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Clayton Kershaw will have an epic meltdown in the playoffs

Are you telling me that you're not going to root for an epic Clayton Kershaw meltdown in the playoffs?

Kershaw actually had a great 2020 postseason, going 4-1 with a 2.93 ERA and winning the World Series.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The timing of Bill O'Brien's firing was nonsensical because the Texans let him wreck the roster before letting him go

This timing makes no sense to fire Bill O'Brien... Because you're going to let him trade away your franchises best player, then you're going to give him four games and then fire them... That's exactly what a dumb franchise would do let their coach become their GM in a power struggle have him wreck everything and then fire him four games in the season.

This is an assessment of team management and front office logic.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Dan Quinn will win enough games to save his job and finish 8-8

I think Dan Quinn might rattle off enough wins to get to 8 and 8 and keep this goddamn job... the next five games that you just mentioned right there, they seem all winnable.

The Falcons lost to the Panthers on October 11, and Dan Quinn was fired the same day with an 0-5 record.
Win
HankHank

Doc Rivers will never be able to successfully ditch his nickname for 'Glenn'

He is going to get rid of the Doc Rivers nickname and just go by Glenn and somehow he thinks that that's just going to happen. Yeah, that doesn't happen. You don't go from a Doc to a Glenn because of anything.

Doc Rivers is still almost exclusively referred to as 'Doc' by media and fans years later.
Win
Billy FootballBilly Football

Asteroids are frauds and won't actually hit Earth

Asteroids do something, they're all talk no walk... Asteroids you're on my shit list and you're frauds. If it shows up to Earth it will probably fuck me up but you're frauds.

Hot TakeLifeScorchingSarcastic
The asteroids mentioned did indeed 'skim' past Earth without hitting it, technically making them 'frauds' by Billy's logic.
Void
Chris BoshChris Bosh

LeBron James is currently entering the 'meat' of his second prime

I think we're just now getting into the meat of his second prime really if you want to call it that... to see him actually deliver with it is incredible. He had the habits and the foresight back then [to stretch twice a day].

Longevity and 'primes' are subjective, though LeBron did win a title in 2020 and continued to play at an All-NBA level for several years after.
Void
Chris BoshChris Bosh

The NBA needs to stop using instant replays because they are killing the game's flow and entertainment value

I would just love the league to stop the instant replays. That is killing the game. I have turned as a consumer of the product. I have turned the channel multiple times and I didn't come back to watch the game because there's been an instant replay... to stop the game to see and figure out if it's a flagrant one or [flagrant two] is too much.

This is a subjective opinion about the quality of the broadcast and the league's rules.
Loss
Chris BoshChris Bosh

The Heat will win the NBA Finals in a dramatic finish

I think I got the Heat taking Game 4... I got the [Heat] in a dramatic finish and winner take all in the next two out of three.

The Lakers won the 2020 NBA Finals in six games, defeating the Heat 4-2.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

DK Metcalf is officially a top 5 wide receiver in the NFL

DK Metcalf from the Seattle Seahawks top five wide receiver. I'm hearing that buzz... I said you were top five wide receiver actually as much shit as I give you I said that on Sunday show. I looked you up. I looked this up online.

Whether a player is 'top 5' is a subjective ranking, though Metcalf did finish the 2020 season with over 1,300 yards and 10 touchdowns.
Win
DK MetcalfDK Metcalf

I learned my lesson from fumbling at the goal line and will never let it happen again

It was a stupid mistake on my part. I really thought [I] burnt them bad and didn't think he was gonna come back... I lived and I learned. [It] definitely won't happen again.

While Metcalf has fumbled since, he has not repeated that specific 'showboating/slowing down at the goal line' mistake in his career.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

I won't apologize for their 3-1 record, but I know in my heart that the Bears stink

I'm not going to apologize for three-in-one but I know in my heart of hearts of the Bears fucking stink. Okay. Are you happy? ... the Bears are just so predictable. Sometimes.

The 2020 Bears finished 8-8 and were non-competitive in their playoff loss, confirming they were a mediocre team that inflated their record early.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Browns have finally found a distinct identity that works: run the ball and move the pocket for Baker Mayfield

They have a distinct identity that works for some reason... if you run the ball with the Browns and you have Baker [Mayfield] move the pocket and not have to throw 50 times a game, you're going to be a good football team.

The 2020 Browns finished 11-5 and won a playoff game using exactly this formula (led by Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt).
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Cowboys are currently wasting one of the greatest championship windows by building a fantasy football team with no defense

I'm starting to think that like this will go down as one of the worst uses of like a championship window a team has ever had... Jerry Jones essentially in the last few years has said I want to pay my quarterback, pay my running back, pay my wide receiver, get another wide receiver. He's building a fantasy football team and then nothing on the defense and hope it works out.

The 2020 Cowboys finished 6-10 and missed the playoffs, largely due to a historically bad defense in the first half of the season and Dak's injury.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Matthew Stafford will eventually go to a different team and win a playoff game

The my prediction for the Lions. So they're going to fire Matt Patricia. I think Matt Stafford is going to go somewhere else. And win a playoff game when one playoff game.

Stafford was traded to the Rams in 2021 and won four playoff games, including the Super Bowl, in his first season.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

DK Metcalf is currently a top three wide receiver in the NFL

DK Metcalf where we ranking him top wide receivers because he's awesome. I'd say top top three that's lets you think that's a crazy draft pick for the Seahawks.

While elite, Metcalf was rarely ranked in the consensus top three behind peers like Davante Adams, DeAndre Hopkins, and Tyreek Hill during this period.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Justin Herbert won't be a true franchise quarterback until he cleans up his skin

Justin Herbert is he's got a he's got a clean up his skin. Okay. Yeah. That's all Noxzema franchise quarterback. That's all. Once he does that I'll be like, you know what I like this guy. It's just kind of a franchise quarterback then just clean up the face a little bit.

Hot TakeFootballHotSarcastic
Herbert became an immediate star and Pro Bowler regardless of his skincare routine.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Washington will be in the playoff hunt all season because the NFC East is so terrible

I still think they're gonna be in the hunt though. They're in the NFC East is so bad that you guys going to be in the hunt. No matter what your record is.

Washington won the division with a 7-9 record, proving PFT right that they would be in it until the end despite a poor record.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Teddy Bridgewater doesn't get enough credit and just wins games

I don't give Teddy Bridgewater enough credit. Teddy Bridgewater deserves more credit for being... now, you know getting a starting job for a rebuilding Panthers team... all he does is win and like I know they're only 2 and 2 but everyone thought... the Panthers were going to be one of the worst teams in the league.

Bridgewater finished the 2020 season 4-11 as a starter. While he had a decent start, the 'just wins' narrative didn't hold up for the full season in Carolina.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Kliff Kingsbury is a fraud of a coach

Cliff... Definitely fraud. ... He's like the knockoff. Junkyard. Kyle Shanahan. ... Kliff Kingsbury is like to Jordan Belfort. Yeah, he's like comes up some penny stocks.

Kingsbury never won a playoff game and was eventually fired after a stagnant tenure in Arizona.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Texans 'officially stink' and it's not just due to a tough schedule

I think they officially stink. I don't think it's schedule fucked. I think they're just bad. That's a bad team. They just played an 0-3 Vikings team that was reeling at home and they lost... DeShaun Watson... is really good and then other times he's just, you know running for his life.

The 2020 Texans finished 4-12 and Bill O'Brien was fired shortly after this game. They were indeed a bad team.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Josh Allen's haters have been proven wrong and their arguments are done

I actually think Josh Allen haters are kind of there's kind of done. They've admitted that the wrong. Yeah, they're like gospel, you know, they actually haven't they're like little Locus.

Allen went on to finish second in MVP voting that year and established himself as a perennial elite QB.
Win
Deion SandersDeion Sanders

The Dallas Cowboys defense is ignorant and lacks passion

The Dallas Cowboys defense is ignorant is ignorant. ... it's the type of players that's out there that's putting his pathetic effort up. ... it's no want is no passion is no desire is no Playmakers.

The 2020 Cowboys defense was historically bad, setting a franchise record for points allowed.
Win
Deion SandersDeion Sanders

The Colts are a 'homecoming team' for the playoffs, not on the elite level of the Chiefs or Ravens

The Colts can win but they're not on that Elite level. They're like, they're like a homecoming team for the playoffs. That's what they are. They'll make it there, but there's just going to be a homecoming game in the playoffs.

The Colts made the playoffs as an 11-5 Wild Card team and lost immediately to the Bills in the first round.
Loss
Deion SandersDeion Sanders

Josh Allen is a bona fide baller but he is not a top five quarterback in the NFL

Josh Allen is not top 5 but Josh Allen is a bona fide baller. ... the kid is balling. He's leading. He's making plays.

Allen's 2020 stats and MVP runner-up finish put him firmly in the top 5 by the end of the season.
Loss
Deion SandersDeion Sanders

The Cowboys will win the NFC East because Jerry Jones is the greatest salesman of hope

You still think the Cowboys will win? The Cowboys will. Jerry Jones is the best advocate and salesman for Hope. Do you understand? Only the Cowboy fans because of the great Jerry Jones believes every year that they're going to win it all.

The Cowboys did not win the NFC East; the Washington Football Team won the division with a 7-9 record.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Lakers will win the NBA Finals in five games

I still think the heat will or the Lakers will probably win in five, but it was good the Jimmy Butler reminded everyone like it's not a fluke that the [Heat are] here.

The Lakers won the 2020 NBA Finals 4-2, winning in 6 games, not 5.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

This Lakers championship in the bubble counts as a ring and a half because it's the hardest ring to win

At this point if the Heat win two games it's going to be way, way worse... I've already seen the people being like this is actually the hardest ring to win. [PFT]: It's a ring and a half for LeBron this counts.

This is entirely a subjective matter of debate regarding the difficulty of the 2020 NBA Bubble.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I believe the Lions need a horrific natural disaster to turn their franchise around like the Saints

The Lions have the same type of heartbreaking losses that the Saints of the Saints just only have like one of those losses a year... the Lions need like a horrific natural disaster and then a quarterback to come and save the city.

The Lions have not experienced a turnaround following a natural disaster, and this is fundamentally a dark joke.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

I never gave up on Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold, credit Sam Darnold for that run. It was awesome. I'm happy. I never gave up on that guy. But no, I did like Sam Darnold's toughness where he got body-slammed and I think he broke his shoulder but then went into the locker room was like this might be my only chance to get a win this year. I have to play.

Big Cat has criticized Darnold frequently, making the 'never gave up' claim factually dubious but consistent with his character.

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