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Takes

Void
Dan PatrickDan Patrick

If Dan Marino played in today's NFL, he would pass for 6,000 yards in a season

Marino changed the game. Marino in today's game, he'd approach 6,000 yards probably. He'd throw for 50 [touchdowns] because that wasn't the difficulty for him. He was doing that before. And he is convincing Don Shula a defensive minded head coach to let him throw the ball as much as he wants.

This is a hypothetical 'what if' that cannot be proven, making it inherently subjective.
Loss
Dan PatrickDan Patrick

Mike White will win more games as the Dolphins starter this year than Tua Tagovailoa

My spiciest NFL take is Mike White will win more games for the Dolphins than Tua Tagovailoa. I just did this the other day. I'm rooting for him [Tua]... I'll take that back. No, I'll stand by it.

Tua Tagovailoa started all 17 games for the Dolphins in 2023, leading them to 11 wins. Mike White played in only 6 games and did not start or win a game. This was spectacularly wrong.
Loss
Dan PatrickDan Patrick

Tom Brady will come out of retirement to play for the New York Jets

Tom Brady comes out of retirement. And he comes out of retirement to play for the Jets.

Tom Brady remained retired throughout the 2023 season and beyond. The Jets stuck with Aaron Rodgers (until his injury) and then Zach Wilson.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Dak Prescott will throw so many interceptions in the first month of the season that he will decide to retire from football

Dak Prescott retires from throwing too many interceptions... he retires this year. He throws so many interceptions in the first month of the season. He is like, I can't, I'm so bad at football. I'm retiring.

Dak Prescott had one of his best seasons, throwing for 36 touchdowns and only 9 interceptions, finishing 2nd in MVP voting.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kirk Cousins will win at least one or two playoff games this season

I actually think this is the year for Kirk Cousins. I think he wins one, maybe two playoff games. I'm backing on him. I I'm like a pendulum with Kirk... I saw him on that show 'Quarterback' and he's just the nicest person in the world.

Kirk Cousins tore his Achilles in Week 8 and the Vikings missed the playoffs, making playoff wins impossible.
Void
Dan PatrickDan Patrick

Trey Lance is not a better quarterback than Cooper Rush

But Trey Lance isn't better than Cooper Rush. [Big Cat: I don't know.] No. You think? No.

Trey Lance never played a snap for the Cowboys in 2023, serving as the emergency third QB while Rush remained the primary backup, suggesting the team agreed with the assessment.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Kansas City Chiefs are testing the public with the Travis Kelce and Chris Jones news to invite doubt before the season

They are testing us with the Kansas City Chiefs. First Chris Jones sits out, is maybe not gonna play week one. Now Travis unfortunately has a hyperextension in his knee... They're basically at the buzzer... saying, 'Hey, let's invite all the doubters... let's have this doubt creep in so that we can have that rat poison in the locker room.'

The Chiefs went on to win the Super Bowl despite early struggles and Travis Kelce's Week 1 absence, suggesting they indeed managed the adversity well.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

I am betting the Lions money line against the Chiefs in Week 1

I'm going Lions money line... I this is gonna be a coming out party of the Lions. We're all betting the Lions on Thursday, which is a terrible, terrible thing for the Lions. All due respect past me was a shithead... but we're all betting it.

The Lions defeated the Chiefs 21-20 in the NFL season opener.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I will never bet on the Los Angeles Chargers again

So here's one thing that I will trust. Pass me on. Do not believe the c words. Do not believe their lies. Right. I am not going, if I'm gonna move off the Chiefs, I'm not going to the team in Los Angeles. I'm not gonna do that.

Subjective stance on a team's reliability based on past trauma.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm betting Commanders minus 7 against the Cardinals in Week 1

Commanders minus seven. Can I just say that? Will you allow me to take Commanders minus seven?... This, this is my makeup for Texas Tech. I'm doubling down. Commies or bust.

The Commanders won 20-16, failing to cover the -7 spread.
Win
HankHank

Dabo Swinney is cooked because he refuses to embrace the transfer portal and NIL

Clemson though, done. Dabo. It's so bury—so great. Burying Dabo. Bury him... Dabo is not a likable guy. You had your run. And it does—it is kind of nice. If Dabo didn't say all the stuff about NIL and transfer portal, I, I would feel a little bit worse. But he's so resistant to change when college football has so drastically changed in the last five years.

Clemson finished the 2023 season 9-4, their first season with 4+ losses since 2011, supporting the idea of a significant decline from elite status.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

Dabo Swinney's refusal to adapt to NIL and the transfer portal is his downfall

He's so resistant to change when college football has so drastically changed in the last five years. It's kind of great to be like, dude, all you had to do was embrace it and realize that everything is changing around you. You gotta change. Like Nick Saban has always changed.

Clemson has continued to struggle to maintain its previous elite status compared to programs that embraced the portal, though they remain competitive.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Jacksonville Jaguars will represent the AFC in the Super Bowl

Jacksonville's a slam dunk in their division... But here's why. They're, they're a really good team this year to keep an eye on to go to the Super Bowl, which I think they're going to by the way... If they don't win 13 games it's a disaster by the way. They're gonna score 500 points.

The Jaguars finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs entirely in 2023.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Russell Wilson was never the elite quarterback people thought he was and is now unfixable

Is Russell Wilson unfixable? Yeah. To ever be the quarterback that everybody thought he was. Yes. He's never gonna be that. He never was. That he was a good functional quarterback who had the top ranked scoring defense four straight years in the league... they made it easy on him.

While Wilson improved slightly under Payton, he was ultimately benched and released, supporting the 'unfixable' and 'not elite' sentiment.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The New England Patriots have one of the worst rosters and offensive lines in the NFL

You look at that roster, ugh. It's bad. The offensive line isn't good. The questions about Mac Jones, the receivers... they're the worst quarterback team in the division... New England's one of [the worst O-lines]. Their line stinks.

The Patriots finished 4-13, the worst record in the AFC East, and Mac Jones was eventually benched.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Detroit Lions are still one year away from truly learning how to win

What have they ever won? Right. And you have to learn how to win. This is the year you, you try and figure it out and then next year I think they're gonna be a much better team.

The Lions actually arrived in 2023, making the NFC Championship game, making Prisco's 'one year away' claim slightly conservative.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The Green Bay Packers will win the NFC North in 2023

Division winners. Eagles Packers. Yes. The Packers are winning that division, the 49ers and the Saints... Jordan Love is gonna surprise everybody... I think sitting for three years has helped him and going there and watching him practice this summer... he's got a different feel to him.

The Packers finished 9-8 and made the playoffs as a wildcard, but the Lions won the NFC North.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Sam Howell will surprise people and lead the Commanders to a Wild Card spot

I think Sam Howell's gonna surprise everybody. I do... he's gonna have a good year for them. It can't be any worse than they were at quarterback the last couple years... Wild Card. Dallas, Washington.

The Commanders finished 4-13 and Howell led the league in interceptions; they did not make the playoffs.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

This will be the 'year before the year' for Justin Fields' breakout

I think this is the year before the year for Justin Fields. They added some weapons for him. He's gonna improve as a passer. He's gonna learn how to win... as the rushing yards come down, the passing yards go up. That's a good thing for a young quarterback.

Fields did not have a significant passing breakout and was eventually traded to the Steelers after the 2023 season.
Win
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

NFL teams will start running the ball more to counter off-coverage defensive schemes

Running the ball is going to come back. Running backs aren't gonna come back, but running the ball is going to come back. Everybody's played the schemes last year... off coverage. Make quarterbacks be patient. So what do you do? Pound it, pound it, pound it.

The league has seen a resurgence in heavy run schemes and 12-personnel looks to exploit light boxes, validating Prisco's schematic trend call.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

Trevor Lawrence will win the NFL MVP award

Trevor Lawrence for MVP too... Their offense is what Calvin Ridley will mean to that offense is going to change the way they play.

Lamar Jackson won the 2023 NFL MVP. Trevor Lawrence was not a finalist.
Loss
Pete PriscoPete Prisco

The 49ers will win the Super Bowl against the Jaguars

Jacksonville beats Buffalo in Jacksonville [in the AFC Championship]... San Francisco beats the Eagles in San Francisco because they have a favorable division. And then the 49ers... Kyle Shanahan finally wins his ring and is anointed best coach in the league.

The 49ers made the Super Bowl but lost to the Kansas City Chiefs. The Jaguars did not reach the Super Bowl.
Void
Dalvin CookDalvin Cook

Running backs should not be subject to the franchise tag

I think we're one of the positions that I think should not be on a tag. I think, you know, the beat, the beat that we take, the, the overload. You know, if you're one of those great and one of those special players, you get the overload. You get 400 touches a year damn near. So it's like, no, I think we shouldn't, we shouldn't be able to get a tag.

This is a subjective opinion on NFL labor rules.
Win
Dalvin CookDalvin Cook

I shouldn't have been draftable if I were playing basketball because power forwards make more money

I'd be seeing these, seeing these contracts come out. I'd be like, 'Whoa man, like, I think I'm in the wrong sport.'... [If my son plays], we might go be hooping or something.

Factual comparison of professional athlete salaries and position value.
Loss
Dalvin CookDalvin Cook

I believe in ghosts now because Big Cat's gambling ghost said the Jets are winning the Super Bowl

I'm starting to see the trend, man. Everything lead right up to it. Everybody's selling the Jets in the Super Bowl... I believe in ghosts now. Yes.

OpinionPop CultureHotSarcastic
The Jets did not win the Super Bowl and ghosts are not verifiable prognosticators.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Colorado will beat Nebraska by 30 points next week

I'm on your side. You're going to win by 30 against Nebraska.

Colorado beat Nebraska 36-14 on Sept 9, 2023. This was a 22-point win, which is dominant but short of the 30-point prediction.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Colorado is officially 'more back' than Nebraska

A team that had no hope and was like in utter despair has beaten Nebraska to the back meter and, and maybe Nebraska can win on Saturday and that they get more back. But right now Colorado is more back than Nebraska.

This is subjective, but Colorado's subsequent 4-8 season vs Nebraska's 5-7 season suggests neither was fully 'back', though Colorado certainly owned the national spotlight early.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If Texas beats Alabama, they will be officially 'more back' than Colorado

Now if Texas wins on Saturday, [Texas] is more back than Colorado I think. Texas and Tuscaloosa for sure. Yeah, absolutely. We're on back watch right now.

Texas defeated Alabama on the road and had a dominant season resulting in a CFP berth, while Colorado's season plateaued after a hot start.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Brian Kelly is the most unlikable coach in college football

In terms of football coaches though, [Brian Kelly] is probably the most least likable football coach in college football right now. So when you lose, I can't feel bad 'cause I just, Brian Kelly's so unlikable as a person.

This is a purely subjective opinion about a coach's likability.
Void
MaxMax

Drew Allar is the best Penn State quarterback I have seen in my lifetime

Best, best quarterback Penn State quarterback I think I've seen in my lifetime. [Drew Allar] better [than Christian Hackenberg].

Allar had a solid 2023 but struggled against top-tier opponents (Michigan, Ohio State), leading to questions about whether he lived up to this 'best ever' billing so soon.
Push
Field YatesField Yates

The Bills, Bengals, Jaguars, Chiefs, Jets, Dolphins, and Ravens will make the AFC playoffs

Division winners: Bills big time all the way in, Bengals, Jaguars, Chiefs... And then Jets, Dolphins, Ravens. So three teams from the AFC East.

He went 4 for 7 on this list; the Bills, Chiefs, Dolphins, and Ravens made the playoffs, while the Bengals, Jaguars, and Jets missed.
Loss
Field YatesField Yates

The Steelers' consecutive non-losing seasons streak ends this year

I think this streak comes to an end this year... Someone has to be last in that division, right? And I think that's the Steelers, not the Browns.

The Steelers finished the 2023 season with a 10-7 record, extending Mike Tomlin's streak of non-losing seasons to 17. The prediction was incorrect.
Push
Field YatesField Yates

Vic Fangio is a walking top 10 defense

Vic Fangio is there and it's like, damn. He's so good. He's a walking top 10 defense.

The Dolphins' defense finished 10th in total yards allowed, satisfying the literal 'top 10' claim, though they were 22nd in points allowed.
Win
Field YatesField Yates

The Eagles, Packers, Chiefs, Cowboys, and Lions have the top five offensive lines in the NFL

Eagles number one. I will go with Packers, Chiefs, Cowboys. And Lions. Browns would be another one that I would consider.

Post-season analysis from PFF and other metrics confirmed these five units were indeed the premier offensive lines for the 2023 season.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Dak Prescott sucks

He sucks. He sucks. He sucks. Prescott sucks. He's a byproduct of the star in his helmet. He sucks.

OpinionFootballHotSarcastic
Dak Prescott had one of the best seasons of his career in 2023, leading the league in passing touchdowns and finishing as an All-Pro. He definitely did not 'suck'.
Win
Field YatesField Yates

Dak Prescott will have a bounce-back season and sign a $50M+ extension

I am a Dak guy. At some point I expect Dak to sign a pretty unbelievable extension. Like probably $50 million or more per year. And I'm right to quote, 'this will be a bounce back Dak season.'

Dak Prescott finished 2nd in MVP voting in 2023 with 36 TDs and 9 INTs, a massive bounce back. In September 2024, he signed a 4-year, $240M extension ($60M/yr), exceeding Field's $50M estimate.
Push
Field YatesField Yates

The Eagles, Vikings, Saints, 49ers, Seahawks, Cowboys, and Lions will make the NFC playoffs

Division winners: Eagles, NFC North... I took the Vikings previously... Eagles, Vikings, Saints. And then 49ers. Seahawks make it back this year. Cowboys, Lions for the seventh.

He went 4 for 7 on this list; the Eagles, 49ers, Cowboys, and Lions made the playoffs, while the Vikings, Saints, and Seahawks missed.
Loss
Field YatesField Yates

Sam Howell is a better quarterback prospect than Brock Purdy

Redraft Sam Howell right now... Sam Howell would be two [among the 2022 class behind Pickett]... It's a Brock Purdy Sam Howell conversation. I don't want to take away from a kid [Purdy] who helped [the 49ers] win a ton of games last year, but that is as brilliant of a coaching system as there is right now.

Purdy led the 49ers to a Super Bowl and was an MVP finalist, while Howell was eventually benched by the Commanders and traded.
Void
Field YatesField Yates

The NFL is due for a 'tight end tax' to correct the market for elite players like Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce would be like the 27th highest paid wide receiver if you just made him a wide receiver right now. It's absurd. We're due for like a little bit of a tight end tax because there are guys like Brock Bowers from Georgia this year is gonna be a problem. There's some legit college prospects that give me some hope that the tight end spot can get closer in line.

Whether the NFL market has seen a 'tight end tax' correction is a subjective market analysis. Tight end contracts have increased but the concept of a broad market correction is debatable.
Void
Field YatesField Yates

Geno Smith is one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL at ball placement

I'm more in than out [on Geno Smith]... accuracy is quantifiable in the sense of completion percentage, but I think there's also like a different side to it. And like Geno, his ball placement is like some of the very best in the NFL. He was absurd last year.

This is a trait-based evaluation that remains somewhat subjective, though Geno did maintain high completion and accuracy rankings.
Win
Field YatesField Yates

Jordan Addison and Zay Flowers are going too late in fantasy drafts

Jordan Addison... he's a first round pick, but he's going like way too late in drafts right now. Zay Flowers from the Ravens as well.

Both receivers had productive rookie years. Addison had 10 TDs and 911 yards; Flowers had 858 yards and 5 TDs. Both outperformed their late-round ADPs.
Win
Field YatesField Yates

Ty Chandler or Roschon Johnson could steal starting running back roles this year

You have to find the running back room that you're not totally positive that the starter is gonna keep his job for the full season. There's like the non-zero chance that Ty Chandler... eventually becomes the starter. Roschon Johnson for the Bears, right? Would you be totally surprised if Roschon like had a real role at some point?

Ty Chandler did eventually supplant Alexander Mattison as the primary back in Minnesota late in the season. Roschon Johnson earned a significant role but was part of a committee in Chicago.
Win
Field YatesField Yates

Jahmyr Gibbs will be Alvin Kamara 2.0

I think [Jahmyr Gibbs] is either going to be like, holy crap, why did the Lions use a 12th overall pick on a guy and then not use him that much, or he is going to be Alvin Kamara 2.0. Like, Kamara as a rookie had 13 touchdowns, 81 catches... I feel like Jahmyr Gibbs is going to be like that.

Gibbs had a sensational rookie year with 1,261 scrimmage yards and 11 touchdowns, providing the exact Kamara-esque impact Field predicted.
Win
Field YatesField Yates

C.J. Stroud will be a better fantasy quarterback than Bryce Young because of his rushing floor

I'm a Stroud boy for Fantasy. Because in Fantasy football, you gotta remember how valuable running quarterbacks are. They set this unbelievable floor... Why take that away from an offense?

Stroud finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback (QB11) while Bryce Young struggled to stay in the top 25 (QB23).
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Nebraska shouldn't try to compete with Ohio State; they should drag teams to the depths and wait for them to drown

I think Nebraska's get it all figured out. They don't need to step it up to compete with the Ohio States of the world. They just need to drag everybody down to their level and then beat you with experience. Drag 'em to the depths and wait for them to drown.

Nebraska went 5-7 in 2023, failing to reach a bowl game, though many of their games were low-scoring slogs.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL's new helmet rule is designed to allow referees to rig games

Pretty much what they did was they gave the NFL refs the opportunity to throw a flag on any play that they want to throw a flag on. Right. For the helmet thing... Just heads up that's, that's major NFL rigged vibes right there.

This is a subjective theory about league intent and officiating patterns.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Rams are going to be the worst team in the league

And Cooper Kupp got hurt again. The Rams are going to be the worst team in the league.

The Rams were actually surprisingly good in 2023, finishing 10-7 and making the playoffs as a Wild Card team.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

My proprietary betting strategy for 2023 is to fade the Cardinals

I have a new proprietary betting strategy for this year. It's hot. Just fade The Cardinals. I don't believe their head coach. I don't believe... he did like the fire up speech for the guys... his speech was just like looking around the room being like, who here took the bus to get here? Well, you better light a fire... and I was like, fuck this guy. Yeah, I'm out.

The Cardinals were indeed poor, finishing 4-13 and generally failing to meet expectations, making 'fading' them a profitable strategy.
Win
Jerry O'ConnellJerry O'Connell

The Jets will only win eight games in 2023

I still think they're [the Jets] only gonna win 8 games. Sorry folks. I'm a Jets fan. I've seen this.

The Jets finished 7-10 after Aaron Rodgers went down in week 1, making Jerry's prediction very close and effectively correct on the under.
Loss
Jerry O'ConnellJerry O'Connell

The AFC will be an offensive juggernaut because everyone is chasing Patrick Mahomes

I think that the AFC is going to be an offensive juggernaut. And I think that really comes from Patrick Mahomes and everyone chasing him.

The 2023 NFL season actually saw a decrease in scoring across the league, including the AFC, with many star quarterbacks getting injured.

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