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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Powerball drawing is rigged because of the delay and lack of a live stream

Powerball rigged. So Powerball rigged. That's very suspect. Biggest Powerball in history... They delayed the drawing because officials need more time to complete protocols and they didn't live stream it.

There is no evidence the Powerball is rigged; the delay was due to security protocols in a single state.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I bet Tua Tagovailoa to win the MVP at 16 to 1

I made another bet—Tua [Tagovailoa] to win the MVP 16 to one. What's gonna, if Josh—this is, it is also based like, I hope Josh Allen's not hurt, but if he is hurt, Tua feels like he's got a lot of, lot of like people feel bad about the concussions. He's gonna have some, a lot of numbers.

Patrick Mahomes won the 2022 NFL MVP. Tua did not win.
Void
Ryan WhitneyRyan Whitney

Connor McDavid is the most dominant pro athlete in the world right now

Conor McDavid is the best pro athlete right now... Conor McDavid dominates hockey more than any other athlete in the world dominates theirs.

Inherently subjective, but McDavid's statistical output (153 points in 2022-23) supports the claim of historical dominance.
Open
Ryan WhitneyRyan Whitney

Cale Makar will be the greatest defenseman of all time

Kale Makar is number two... Kale Makar is the Conor McDavid of defense. He almost might be more valuable according to Wayne Gretzky... [Nathan McKinnon] said that this will be the greatest defenseman of all time.

Makar is still young, but already has a Norris, Calder, Conn Smythe, and Stanley Cup, making this a legitimate high-stakes projection.
Win
Ryan WhitneyRyan Whitney

The Blackhawks will likely trade Patrick Kane this season

Is [Patrick] Kane gonna get traded? That's a tough one. I would say yes. And they made it sound like it would happen at some point during the year... They'd be probably smart to trade him.

Kane was traded to the New York Rangers on February 28, 2023.
Push
Ryan WhitneyRyan Whitney

The Buffalo Sabres are a legitimate up-and-coming team with elite young talent

Things are changing in Buffalo. And Jack Eichel... there was so much baggage and drama there. It ended. They got a couple really good players in for him. And they've taken off and they have the youngest team in the NHL, I would say they have like six legit studs that are under the age 24.

The Sabres finished one point out of a playoff spot in 2022-23, showing major improvement, though they regressed the following year.
Loss
Ryan WhitneyRyan Whitney

The Colorado Avalanche will repeat as Stanley Cup champions

I think the abs [Avalanche] unfortunately will probably beat the Oilers again in the Western Conference final. And I'm picking the abs to win again.

The Avalanche lost in the first round of the 2023 playoffs to the Seattle Kraken. The Vegas Golden Knights won the Stanley Cup.
Open
Ryan WhitneyRyan Whitney

Alex Ovechkin will definitely break the NHL goal-scoring record

Is Ovie gonna get the record, just yes or no? Yes. Definitely yes.

Ovechkin is still active and chasing the record as of 2024.
Void
Jared GoffJared Goff

Dan Campbell says 'man' at least a hundred times a day

[Dan Campbell] says [the word man] at least, when we're in the building players, at least a hundred. At least. I know I'm sure he does it a lot in his interviews, but man, man, man. No, he does it a lot. Probably at least a hundred.

This is a subjective observation of a coach's habit, but confirmed by his own quarterback.
Win
Jared GoffJared Goff

Justin Fields is a tremendous player and is exceptionally fast

Justin Fields, man, he's fast. He's fast, man. 80 yards running's incredible. I will [text you], I think he's a tremendous player.

Fields set several QB rushing records in the weeks surrounding this interview, validating Goff's observation on his speed.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Jets are very much for real

The Jets get their statement win... if they can win one or even two of these three games against the Patriots, Bills, Patriots, they would have to be considered very much for real. I'm ready to consider them very much for real. Their defense is really, really fucking good.

The Jets finished the 2022 season 7-10 and missed the playoffs after a late-season collapse, though their defense remained elite.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Vikings are the worst 7-1 team of all time

I think [the Vikings] might be the worst seven and one team of all time... we know that the Vikings are a good team, we know they're fine, but like Kirk Cousins, it's gonna be very difficult for us to ever fully buy in.

The 2022 Vikings finished 13-4 with a negative point differential and lost at home to the Giants in the Wild Card round, largely validating the 'frauds' narrative.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I will get Kirk Cousins' face tattooed on my ass if the Vikings win the Super Bowl

I'm gonna get Kirk Cousins' face tattoo on my ass if they win the Super Bowl... I will do the, I was wrong tattoo. If they get to the Super Bowl... I'll also convert to whatever denomination of Christianity Kirk Cousins is.

The Vikings lost in the Wild Card round to the Giants.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Titans just have the Chiefs' number in the regular season

Chiefs Titans are win this game. Chief suck. Chief suck. Titans just have their number every regular season. They have their number.

The Titans lost this specific game 20-17 in overtime, though they kept it close as PFT suggested.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Ayahuasca has given Aaron Rodgers too much perspective to be a successful quarterback

I think there are certain jobs that you should not want to have a lot of perspective if you're performing them... he says how like he's gained a lot of perspective how this year it's like, it's, it's great to see the people that I get to go to work with... If you're an NFL quarterback... you should probably be a perspectiveless psycho.

This is a subjective psychological assessment, though Rodgers and the Packers did miss the playoffs that year.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Georgia could beat the Green Bay Packers

I think it is time that we ask the question, could Georgia beat the Green Bay Packers? I think that they could hold the Packers to under 30 points. Aaron Rodgers wouldn't throw for 300 yards against them.

The Packers, even at their worst, would almost certainly dominate the best college team due to depth and professional experience.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Justin Fields is officially the guy

I'm still, I'm still in. Just like, [Fields] is the guy. He is the guy. He's making throws... he is everything I've ever wanted... I'm on cloud nine. I'm excited for Bears games.

While Fields had an electric 2022 season, his long-term viability as a starter for the Bears ended when they traded him to the Steelers in 2024.
Push
Billy FootballBilly Football

Justin Fields' current usage is gimmicky and not sustainable in the NFL

Do you think that the usage of Justin Fields is gimmicky or sustainable?... the way he runs is not like Lamar Jackson. It's not as elusive... he takes more impacts. He's a larger body... down the stretch we saw [Cam Newton] wasn't sustainable.

Fields set the single-season QB rushing record but did eventually struggle with injuries and was traded from the Bears in 2024, partially validating concerns about the 'run-first' sustainability.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Frank Reich needs to be fired

Frank Reich needs to be fired. It's crazy that he fired the OC. He then benched Matt Ryan... everyone else is the problem except me... that was one of the worst offensive games. Everything about them is bad. They have to fire everyone.

Frank Reich was fired by the Colts on November 7, 2022—the very same day this podcast was released.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Josh McDaniels, Cliff Kingsbury, or Frank Reich will be fired before the end of the season

Who gets fired first? There's actually three guys that can get fired at this point... It's Josh McDaniels, Cliff Kingsbury and Frank Reich. No way do all three of those guys make it to the end of the season.

Frank Reich was fired on November 7, 2022 (the day this aired). Cliff Kingsbury and Josh McDaniels both finished the season, though Kingsbury was fired immediately after.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Falcons might have missed their window to win the NFC South

The concern I have as somebody that does have a future on the Falcons who win that division is we looked ahead at their schedule and... their schedule might be hardening in front of a very eyes. It is. It's getting harder... I'm agreeing that this might have been the moment and the moment might have passed.

The Buccaneers won the NFC South with an 8-9 record; the Falcons finished 7-10.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The Patriots would have been better off keeping Josh McDaniels

The Raiders would've be better off if they had just hired Rich Bisaccia and the Patriots would've been way better off if they had just somehow kept Josh McDaniels.

The Patriots offense struggled significantly under Matt Patricia/Joe Judge in 2022, supporting the idea they missed McDaniels.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm not counting the Buccaneers' win over the Rams as a real win

I'm not counting this as a win even for the Bucks. I think that this... the Rams, they're just fucking idiots. The Rams are just fucking morons. Sean McVay has become a fucking idiot... [Brady] managed to squeak out a shitty win at the end of a shitty game against a shitty team.

Both teams finished with losing records, confirming PFT's assessment that both were 'shitty'.
Win
HankHank

LeBron James is lying about when he started listening to Migos

LeBron today wore an outfit... a reporter asked him... he said 'I love Migos. I've been listening to them since I was in Miami in 2010.' The Migos didn't start putting music out until 2011 and they weren't really popular until 2013... just no reason to lie whatsoever.

Migos' first mixtape, 'Juug Season', was released in August 2011. While they formed earlier, LeBron saying he was listening to them in 2010 is chronologically unlikely.
Void
Billy FootballBilly Football

Dimitri Bivol might be one of the best pound-for-pound fighters of all time

I think Bivol might end up being one of the best pound-for-pound fighters of all time in the world. Maybe in of all time... honestly, for his legacy, which he deserves, I think he needs to fight Canelo again at 168.

Bivol is highly ranked, but 'best of all time' is a subjective and extremely high bar in boxing history.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Joe Burrow is a lock to cover after losing to the Browns

Joe Burrow is four and oh against the spread after losing to the Browns. Cause he always loses the Browns. So he bounces back. So go go with Joe Burrow there. Trust in Joe.

The Bengals beat the Panthers 42-21 in Week 9, covering the 7.5 point spread.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Phillies will beat the Astros 7-4 in Game 5 of the World Series

I do think that the Phillies come out and they win tonight. I think they mash again... I'm going with Philly's seven Astros four.

The Astros won Game 5 by a score of 3-2 and went on to win the World Series in Game 6.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Phillies will no-hit the Astros in Game 5 of the World Series

I'm gonna say Phillies five Astros zero. They get no hit. Yeah, I just, I reversed it. I reversed the no-hitter on their ass.

Not only did the Phillies lose 3-2, but the Astros actually got 9 hits in the game.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Dan Snyder is officially going to sell the Washington Commanders

I've talked to enough people behind the scenes to know that Dan Snyder is in fact going to sell the Washington Commanders. Yesterday was no joke, the second best sports day of my entire life.

The sale of the Washington Commanders to Josh Harris's group was finalized in July 2023 for $6.05 billion.
Win
Sonny DykesSonny Dykes

Max Duggan is one of the best players in college football right now

I think now [Max Duggan] is really developed into into a great quarterback. And I think one of the guys that's probably playing as well as anybody in college football right now.

Duggan was the Heisman runner-up in 2022 and led TCU to the CFP National Championship game.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Aaron Rodgers is legitimately bad right now and it is not a fluke

I think that this is like, it's not a fluke that [Aaron Rogers] sucks right now. If he wants to, this is a perfect excuse for him. Just be like, 'Yeah, my thumb is extreme. The doctor said that he is never seen a worse thumb than mine.'

Rodgers finished the 2022 season with his lowest passer rating as a starter and the Packers missed the playoffs.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Never bet on Tom Brady in a night game

The Tom Brady day verse night thing is very real and he is old. And so since he's gone to the Bucs, he's 22 and 12 against the spread at daytime and he's two and 11 against the spread at nighttime. So we gotta just make sure we never bet on Tom Brady at night again.

While a trend, it's a general betting rule he's establishing.
Loss
Sonny DykesSonny Dykes

The next big football innovation is Triple Option integrated into the Spread

I think you're gonna start maybe seeing some teams start to run a little bit more triple option... get integrated in some of the spread things, you know, a little bit of veer concept as a run game into into a spread type of offense. You talk about a pain in the rear end defensively, that would be a tough thing to defend.

Triple option integrated into spread offenses has not become the next big football innovation through 2024-25. The trend has been more toward RPOs, mobile QBs, and passing concepts rather than traditional triple option.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Teams that play the Panthers lose their following game

Do you know that teams that play the Panthers the next week, they're 0-7. Every team that's played the Panthers the following week, they lose their next game... You either you get beaten up by them and you're still sore going to the next game or they're just so bad that you think that this is what NFL football is like.

The Falcons played the Panthers in Week 8 and played the Chargers in Week 9. The Falcons lost to the Chargers, making the streak 0-8.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Sam Ehlinger is a gamer like Taylor Heinicke and looked amazing on tape

I actually watched his tape from Sam Ehlinger like play by play every snap he took and he looked amazing... He's a gamer bro. He's like what you think [Taylor] Heinicke is.

Ehlinger has failed to secure a starting job and remains a backup, showing nowhere near the 'gamer' spark seen in Heinicke's peak runs.
Win
Sonny DykesSonny Dykes

Rob Gronkowski was the most dominant college player ever

[Rob Gronkowski] was just the most dominant college football player that I'd ever been around... I remember thinking, you know, he's gonna go some to some NFL team. If he can stay healthy, he's gonna have a hell of a career. And he even surpassed my expectations.

Gronk is widely considered the greatest tight end in NFL history, validating the dominance Dykes observed.
Win
MaxMax

The Seahawks will beat the Cardinals because Arizona sucks

Seahawks plus two against Cardinals. I hate the Cardinals. Seahawks win.

The Seahawks beat the Cardinals 31-21 on November 6, 2022.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Kliff Kingsbury is officially a dead man walking at Arizona

It's so clear that Kliff Kingsbury's getting fired. I mean, the minute that Kyler Murray yelled at him on the sideline, like, I don't know. That's, I know they'll say like, 'Oh that's just football. We're just angry.'... Doesn't feel that way.

Kliff Kingsbury was fired by the Cardinals on January 9, 2023.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jets will cover the +12.5 point spread against the Bills because their defense is talented

I have the Jets actually... 12 and a half. I just think this game is gonna look a lot like think, think about what happened last week with the Cowboys and the Bears... I think that the Jets defense is really, really talented. Especially, I think they can get their front four can get to Josh Allen a little bit. Heat him up just a little.

The Jets didn't just cover the 12.5; they won the game outright 20-17.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Zach Wilson is 'overqualified' for the NFL and that's why he struggles

The guy is so capable of throwing absolute bombs and dimes that when he can't and has to make the start decision and not make a gigantic play... he's just so good... he's overqualified for his job. Seriously. It's like, it's like he's so talented that he doesn't like other, I got it. Like people with less talented arms work on being game managers.

Wilson was benched later this season and eventually traded after being widely regarded as one of the biggest QB busts in recent years.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Lance McCullers Jr. was tipping his pitches against the Phillies

Lance McCullers was tipping all of his pitches tonight. And you saw it from the start. Like Bryce [Harper], when he went yard, he told everybody in the Phillies dugout, he's like, This guy's tipping his pitches. A bunch of stuff went viral online where you could see like the high leg kick. You could see the back leg being straight and the Phillies hit all their home runs off sinkers curves, changeups things like that.

Post-game analysis and various experts confirmed McCullers was likely tipping his pitches based on his delivery mechanics.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Dolphins, Ravens, and 49ers are now officially 'all in' for the 2022 season

The Miami Dolphins have joined the ranks of the Baltimore Ravens and the San Francisco 49ers... I'm gonna say that those three teams especially are all in right now.

The Dolphins and 49ers made deep playoff runs (49ers to the NFCCG), while the Ravens were competitive but hampered by Lamar Jackson's injury.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Jeff Wilson Jr. is the sneaky best move of the NFL trade deadline

I actually think Jeff Wilson is like the sneaky best move of the day because you have a running back who knows the Shanahan system who can now run Mike McDaniel's system. Like that was, that's one of those ones where it just, it's under the radar because there are bigger names.

Wilson had a productive rest of the season for Miami, including a big role in the offense, validating the 'sneaky' fit.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Broncos have officially surrendered on the Russell Wilson era and are in rebuild mode

The Broncos like match being Russ Wilson. Like, they basically were like, fuck this. We're we suck... we have such regret on everything that took place that we need to get picks back as fast as possible.

The Broncos fired Nathaniel Hackett shortly after, but kept Wilson for another season before eventually cutting him in 2024, confirming the 'regret' took time to fully manifest.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Justin Fields is officially the guy for the Chicago Bears

The argument that everyone made in the off season that the Bears were ruining Justin Fields by not getting him anyone. You can't then complain that they went and got [Chase Claypool]. I got my guy, I'm feeling confident about having my guy. I have, I have a guy. He is the guy... he's officially the guy. Build around Justin Fields. Everything else doesn't matter.

Fields had a historic rushing season in 2022 but was eventually traded to the Steelers in 2024 after the Bears chose to draft Caleb Williams #1 overall, meaning he was ultimately not 'the guy' long-term for them.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Justin Fields might still fail in Chicago because the Bears organization is capable of ruining him

Justin Fields might not pan out because the Bears might ruin him, but he is the guy... I believe I told myself me and my guy are gonna live forever.

Fields was eventually traded to the Steelers in 2024 after the Bears decided to draft Caleb Williams, suggesting the Bears indeed failed to build around him successfully.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Brooklyn Nets are fundamentally unfixable, even with Ime Udoka

I don't think you get to worry about the Nets. And I know that what a sucks that Ime's gone because he is a very good coach. But the Nets are not, I actually do not think they're fixable. I really don't.

The Nets eventually traded both KD and Kyrie mid-season, fully blowing up the team, proving Big Cat's 'unfixable' stance mostly correct.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 2022 Tennessee Volunteers are identical to 2019 LSU

I think that this Tennessee team is extremely close, if not almost identical to the LSU team in 2019. So far... they're comparing favorably and I think the comparisons are there for Hendon Hooker and Joe Burrow too. Both super old guys that stuck around.

2019 LSU went undefeated and won the National Title. 2022 Tennessee lost to Georgia and South Carolina, failing to make the playoff, making this comparison hyperbolic.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

LSU is the greatest college football team of all time

I mean [2019 LSU] were probably the best college football team of all time. Yeah. Yeah.

Subjective historical debate, though 2019 LSU is a common choice for this title.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kirk Cousins and the Vikings will not win the Super Bowl

I'm not going back. I've been on this take. They're not winning the Super Bowl. We will be right. I've been on this take for six years. My take on Kirk Cousins has not wavered and it never will.

The Vikings lost in the Wild Card round to the Giants, proving PFT right about them not winning the Super Bowl.

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