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Big CatBig Cat

Frank Reich is about to be fired by the Indianapolis Colts

The real answer is Frank Reich is, the walls are closing in on him because he's had the vote of confidence and the firing of the OC. It's like the most sure sign a coach is getting fired.

Frank Reich was fired by the Colts on November 7, 2022, just five days after this episode aired.
Void
Billy FootballBilly Football

Anything done during the pandemic should be forgiven (Pandemic Amnesty)

My cool throne is pandemic amnesty. Turns out anything you do during the pandemic, we're all gonna forget about and forgive each other. I think anything should be forgiven. Like anything. No, but whatever it was, forgive me for it.

This is entirely a subjective matter of social opinion.
Win
Michael IrvinMichael Irvin

Tony Pollard is the best running back of the weekend over Derrick Henry

Tony Pollard's number one, because he took 15 rushes to get 131 yards. It's not just the number of yards. It's also how many times did I touch the ball to get it? Derrick Henry, I think had 32 carries for 219 yards... Parlor, we can't run him 30 times. That's not him. But yes, I believe that he's a true playmaker.

Pollard averaged 8.7 YPC while Henry averaged 6.8 YPC that weekend. While Henry's volume was higher, Irvin's point on efficiency is factually supported for that specific window.
Loss
Michael IrvinMichael Irvin

Odell Beckham Jr. would love to play for the Dallas Cowboys

I guarantee you I could tell you Odell would love to see Odell on the cowboy. Trust me. Trust me. I know Dale. Odell and I have had conversations about that a long time ago. Odell has to be in a place where the lights are bright. For him to be his best. You can't stick him in Cleveland. Put him in LA, put him in New York. You put him in Dallas where that light is bright.

OBJ flirted heavily with the Cowboys in 2022 but ultimately did not sign that season. He signed with the Ravens in 2023 and the Dolphins in 2024, never actually joining Dallas despite Irvin's 'guarantee'.
Push
Michael IrvinMichael Irvin

The Philadelphia Eagles are headed toward a dynasty

I was the first one to say that Philly is headed towards Dynasty. That's what I said this summer in Philly... if they had the right hand on the stairwell and the right hand on the center, if these hands work out, they can be doing something for quite a while.

The Eagles won Super Bowl LIX, beating the Chiefs 40-22 — their second Super Bowl appearance in three years. Not a dynasty yet, but trending in that direction.
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Michael IrvinMichael Irvin

Jalen Hurts is a top-tier leader in the same vein as Tom Brady

Dak is that's what, this is such a unique situation... but Jalen Hurts brings this, he brings this... what a hell of a great leader he is... you go from Carson Wentz, who's aloof and not a great leader to this dude Jalen Hurts.

Hurts led the Eagles to a Super Bowl appearance this season and was widely praised for his poise and leadership throughout the year.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kirk Cousins is the second most liked player in the NFL

I saw a study that came out that actually addresses this very question. ... And the number one most like player is Kirk Cousins. Oh, and number two, they're outta here. No, no, no, he's, sorry. He's number two. Number one. Russell Wilson.

Likability studies are subjective and vary by methodology, but various 'Q Scores' and fan polls around this time did surprisingly show Wilson and Cousins with high name recognition and neutral/positive ratings among casual fans despite internet memes.
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Big CatBig Cat

No NFL quarterback has a closer connection to their city right now than Josh Allen has with Buffalo

I don't think there is a closer connection quarterback to city right now than Josh what Josh Allen has going on in Buffalo. ... I don't think there's anyone right now [above him].

Subjective measure of fan-player relationships, but Allen's status in Buffalo remains near-mythological.
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Big CatBig Cat

Trevor Lawrence is officially back in the bust category

Trevor Lawrence is now back officially into the bust category. ... This is as rock bottom as you can be if you're a Jaguars fan because you have the guy that was supposed to be the next Peyton Manning, the surest thing. ... You can't miss and then you might miss. That's as rock bottom as it gets.

While Lawrence struggled in 2022, he eventually led the Jaguars to a playoff win that same season and earned a massive extension, making the 'bust' label incorrect in the long run.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Vikings are frauds

I guess I have to say now I had this circled on Friday show as this is the game the Vikings will be proven to be frauds. I was wrong. The Vikings won this game... [but] I agree with [PFT], I still think they're frauds.

The 13-win Vikings famously lost at home in the Wild Card round to the Giants, proving the 'fraud' label was largely accurate in a playoff context.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If the Vikings beat the Commanders next week, I will stop calling them frauds

If they beat the commanders at home next week, I will, I'll take my foot off the gas calling them frauds. But I just, I I told Jake just set a reminder and the calendar to not believe Kirk Cousins don't believe his lies.

The Vikings did beat the Commanders 20-17 on November 6, 2022. PFT did technically have to stop the fraud talk for a week.
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Jake MarshJake Marsh

Tua Tagovailoa is having a better season than Justin Herbert

Tua Tagovailoa's having a better year than Justin Herbert right now. He is the guy... I think if Tua didn't get hurt, they would be at the top of the AFC right now.

Tua led the NFL in passer rating (105.5) in 2022, while Herbert's stats dipped due to injury and coaching, though Herbert is often still ranked higher long-term.
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Big CatBig Cat

If Matt Nagy had utilized Justin Fields' running ability, he would still have a coaching job

I'm gonna say something really crazy. If Matt Nagy was smart enough and he had run Justin Fields like they're doing the last few games, he'd probably still have a job.

Nagy was fired after a 6-11 season; while Fields excelled as a runner in 2022, it's speculative if that alone could have saved a coach who struggled for years with offense.
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Big CatBig Cat

Mike McCarthy must reach the NFC Championship game to keep his job

I think he needs to get the NFC Championship game. ... Because you're expected to win. ... If he loses in a comically fat fashion, for Mike McCarthy, if he looks where his brain just stops... I could see Jerry Jones firing him.

McCarthy lost in the Divisional round in 2022 and 2023, yet Jerry Jones retained him, making this prediction incorrect.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bill Belichick coaching tree has a combined 41% winning percentage as head coaches

If you look at Belichick's former coaches that have gone on to coach in the NFL, their winning percentage is 41%. Not good. They're a combined 225, 319 and one. ... The best head coach that has been a former Bill Belichick assistant coach is Bill O'Brien.

These numbers were factually accurate at the time of the podcast, reflecting the general failure of Belichick's proteges in lead roles.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

I would trade Zach Wilson for Sam Ehlinger right now

I'm in both holes. Very deep. ... Then Sam Ehlinger would probably go to the Jets. Give, let's give Zach. ... As a guy who doesn't throw interceptions, that's the kind of guy you want as your quarterback.

Sam Ehlinger was benched shortly after and has never been a viable NFL starter; while Wilson was also a bust, swapping him for Ehlinger was not the solution.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks have stolen the 'fun surprise team' narrative from the Giants

I'm dubbing this, the narrative stolen game. ... I think the Seahawks are now what the giants were in terms of the fun team that no one saw coming. ... They look for real kind of like, they kind of look for real. And they are the fun team.

The Seahawks did continue their surprising run, making the playoffs at 9-8, while the Giants also made it at 9-7-1. Both remained 'fun surprise' stories for the rest of the 2022 season.
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Big CatBig Cat

Pete Carroll is a legitimate Coach of the Year candidate

Pete Carroll's definitely in the conversation for Coach of the Year. This team was supposed to be one of the worst teams in the NFL. They, I think we quoted it last week, their over under for wins was five and a half. They're five and three right now.

Pete Carroll finished 9th in Coach of the Year voting after taking a team projected for 5 wins to the playoffs with a 9-8 record.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks will win at least 10 games this season

I kind of believe in the Seahawks. ... I'm done thinking the Seahawks are like a little nice story. I I think they can, they can absolutely rip off. I'm gonna say 10 wins. Maybe possibility the wins maybe I'm getting ahead of myself.

The Seahawks finished the regular season 9-8, falling just short of the 10-win mark.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Giants will win 10 games this season

I'm gonna tell some words to Giants fans. That should make everything fine. You're going to win 10 games this year. ... You're definitely going to win.

The Giants finished 9-7-1. They did not reach 10 wins.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Comedy is officially back on Twitter

My who's back of the week is comedy because comedy is now legal on Twitter. ... Elon Musk took over Twitter and now the reports that he's gonna charge people that have blue check marks $20 a month to keep their blue check.

Whether comedy returned to Twitter is purely subjective, though the platform's moderation policies and atmosphere changed significantly.
Loss
MaxMax

The Phillies will sweep their three home games and win the World Series without returning to Houston

I love my guys. We're gonna win the next three games. We won't even go back to Houston. ... We're gonna score so many runs this week.

The Phillies won Game 3 but lost Games 4 and 5 at home, eventually losing the series in 6 games in Houston.
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Big CatBig Cat

Tom Brady should retire right now

Today is Friday, October 28th and Tom Brady should retire. The Buccaneers are a pathetic, pathetic football team. Oh my God. Tom Brady should retire.

Brady did eventually retire following the conclusion of this 2022 season after a first-round playoff loss.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Todd Bowles is a bad head coach

Todd Bowles sucks as a coach. I'm sorry. He sucks. They get so many penalties. It's so many dumb things.

Bowles continued to face criticism throughout the 2022 and 2023 seasons, though he did lead the Bucs to a playoff win in 2023.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Ravens are back in the Super Bowl contender tier

The Ravens were phenomenal and the Ravens, like, they kind of got their their juice back in terms of of running the football. I have the Ravens back in my good tier. Maybe even, maybe even Super Bowl contender tier.

The Ravens finished 10-7 and lost in the Wild Card round to the Bengals, though Lamar Jackson missed the end of the season with an injury.
Void
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Tom Brady's marriage issues began because Gisele was unaware he was flirting with the Dolphins

There's a theory in league circles... that the issues with Tom Brady and his wife blew up when the league announced the punishment of the dolphins because of the flirtation with Brady. Cuz she had, as the theory goes, no idea he was talking to the dolphins about playing.

The timing aligned with Brady's absence from camp, but the internal dynamics of the marriage remain private and speculative.
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Mike FlorioMike Florio

Bill Belichick cannot hold his staff accountable because of nepotism with his sons

[Belichick] has got two kids working for him. And if one of those kids needs to be fired, he can't do it. And that makes it impossible for him to hold other people accountable. I think that's the root of where things kind of got wobbly... if you can't hold your kids accountable, you can't hold anybody accountable.

This is a recurring criticism of the late-stage Belichick era in New England, though it remains a subjective analysis of team dynamics.
Push
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Vikings will lose in the divisional round this year

This is a team that's gonna go 11 and six, maybe 12 and five... And they're gonna win in the wild card round if they're lucky. And then they get the shit kicked out of them by the Eagles or the Cowboys or one of the elite teams in the nfc because cousins is limited.

Florio was incredibly close. The Vikings went 13-4 and lost in the Wild Card round (not the divisional) to the Giants.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Packers are more dangerous as a low seed than a one seed

I think it's better for [the Packers] to struggle and then get into the post-season as like a six or a seven seed... When they're the one seed, they seize up. They got, you know, they think too much. Aaron Rogers is too careful... I really do think they're more dangerous if they get in by the skin of their teeth than if they rebound and win the division.

The Packers did not make the playoffs at all in 2022, so the theory was never tested.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Panthers will play hard for Steve Wilks because the locker room wants him to keep the job

The locker room is talking about how [Steve Wilks] got screwed in Arizona and they want him to have the job and they're playing for him and they're like, he means a lot to this franchise to the city... I was like, what do they care? They're out of it. And then I was like, Wait, are they out of it? ... You can delude yourself in being like, we're not out of it because mathematically we would be in first place on Sunday afternoon.

The Panthers finished the season 7-10 under Wilks and played significantly better than expected, although he did not get the permanent job.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Zach Wilson will be befuddled by the Patriots defense this weekend

I wanna talk about the Patriot's defense because the Patriot's defense I think is going to befuddle. Zach Wilson. Zach Wilson's gonna be befuddled this weekend. And the Jacks, he's gonna be so confused. Belichick knows how to fuck with befuddled quarterbacks.

The Patriots beat the Jets 22-17 that weekend; Zach Wilson threw 3 interceptions and had a 64.6 passer rating, looking very confused.
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Big CatBig Cat

Kyle Shanahan owns Sean McVay

I assume that was who you're gonna be if you were basic. Yeah, no, I agree with you. But also at some point, I feel like every time this happens... we've known for a while that Shanahan owns McVay. He's eight and four against McVay overall. Straight up.

The 49ers beat the Rams 31-14 in the game immediately following this take, further proving Shanahan's dominance.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Sam Ehlinger is mobile enough to light up the Commanders offense

I'm going Colts minus three over the commanders... Sam Ehlinger, I think he's a mobile quarterback enough to light up an offense. We see these mobile quarterbacks getting first downs, extending drives. I think the Colts gonna have the fire in their belly.

The Colts lost 17-16 to the Commanders. Ehlinger did not 'light up' the offense, throwing for 201 yards, 0 TDs, and rushing for 15 yards.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Seahawks will cover the first half and the Giants will cover the second half of their matchup

Seattle is six and one against the spread in the first half. The giants are six and one against the spread in the second half. Interesting. You can do a little double dip there if you wanted to.

The Seahawks led 10-7 at halftime (covered) and won 27-13. The Giants did not cover the second half as they were outscored 17-6 in the final two frames.
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Big CatBig Cat

Pete Carroll is not a good in-game coach

I feel like D'Amico is a very good endgame coach. And Pete Carroll, I don't think is a very good in game coach. I think Pete Carroll is, he has got a lot of strengths, but in terms of adjustments and being strategic with things like challenges, time out, stuff like that. He's not even in my top 10.

This is a subjective evaluation of a legendary coach's specific tactical shortcomings.
Loss
HankHank

The Jaguars vs. Broncos London game will be a high-scoring shootout

Taking the over 39 and a half Jaguars, Broncos... I think it's gonna be a shootout. Pre-season, everyone loved the Broncos. Jaguars saying they're one of the most fun teams. Explosive teams. Teams with a lot of potential. I think it's gonna be a shootout.

The final score was 21-17 (38 total points), meaning it was not a shootout and the over failed by 1.5 points.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Falcons will not pass more than 13 times against the Panthers

My under is gonna be the Panthers falcons... I think both teams are just gonna wanna run the ball and we, we've established that the Falcons will not pass more than 13 times a game. So just gimme run plays all day.

Marcus Mariota threw 28 times in this game, significantly over the 13-pass threshold mentioned.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Bears' win over the Patriots was my favorite Bears game since 2018

It was probably my favorite Bears game that they've played since probably 2018 against the Rams on Sunday Night Football when we almost made our good friend Jared [Goff] cry because it was so cold and that defense was awesome.

Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Justin Fields took a big step towards being 'a guy' against the Patriots

Congratulations. I think Justin Fields took a big step towards, towards being a guy this week.

Justin Fields had a brief stretch of elite play following this game before injuries and roster limitations slowed his progress in Chicago.
Void
HankHank

Patriots fans booing Mac Jones was a bad sports town move

The fact that Patriots fans were booing Mac Jones who played well last year, took us to the playoffs and was a first round draft pick and then were chanting for Bailey Zappy. That's a bad sports town move. Ooh, that I did not like that at all.

Win
HankHank

Mac Jones remains the Patriots starter and it's his job to lose

I'm back on like it's Max job to lose. If he plays poorly then it's Bailey Zappy's job to win. And if he plays well then it's Bailey Zappy's job... No, it doesn't matter that they won or lost. If [Zappy] played well in the second half, I would've been like, he needs to be the starter going for it. He showed besides those first two drives, which were, again, he showed nothing.

Mac Jones did remain the starter for most of the season, though the quarterback controversy lingered.
Void
Billy FootballBilly Football

Matt Patricia is to blame for Mac Jones' struggles because the offense was designed for Bailey Zappy

I think the situation is much worse. I think it's Matt Patricia's fault... Mac Jones may have started in taking all the starting reps and practice, but the type of offense that the starting offense was running in that first drive was really a Bailey Zappy offense... that scheme was very different to anything they were running last year. And with that, that's because they were playing to Bailey Zappy's skill.

Loss
Jake ArrietaJake Arrieta

The Phillies will beat the Astros in seven games in the World Series

I'm gonna pick the Phillies to win it in seven on the road in Houston... as hot as they are now and what happened against the Braves and how they handled San Diego the way they did... Phillies believe they can beat anybody. Yeah. In this series, man, it's the perfect fit.

The Houston Astros defeated the Philadelphia Phillies in 6 games (4-2).
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Big CatBig Cat

I am picking the Phillies to win the World Series in seven games

I'm just gonna, I'm gonna say Phillies in seven as well because that's what my heart wants and if they Astros sweep 'em, I wouldn't be shy. Like that's you are that good? Whatever. That's fine. Let's just, we'll stay the course of Phillies in seven.

The Astros won the World Series 4-2.
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Billy FootballBilly Football

Bailey Zappy's release point is too low for the NFL

But the thing is, the downside with Zappy is that his release point is too low for the NFL. If you look at the Cleveland [game] and if you look at what he did last night, his release point is way too low causing the ball to get batted down and those interceptions.

This remained a common criticism of Zappy throughout his starts in 2022 and 2023.
Void
Taylor HeinickeTaylor Heinicke

The 'Washington Football Team' was the best name the franchise has had recently

I feel like the coolest name was the football team. I mean, I thought that was, I like that one the best. Yeah, I mean, Commanders was cool, you know, hopefully we can keep this thing rolling.

Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Justin Fields bought himself a fifth-year option with his performance against the Patriots

This is one of those moments where you wish you were us because I'm gonna be living off of like that performance from Justin Fields. He just bought in my mind his fifth year option. Like that's how overreacting I am.

The Bears declined Justin Fields' fifth-year option in May 2024 after trading him to the Pittsburgh Steelers.
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Big CatBig Cat

Brian Kelly is a really good coach despite his personality

And he's a really fucking good coach. And his teams always get better. Like they get better as a season goes along. And now, like Alabama LSU at LSU is going to be an awesome game.

Brian Kelly's LSU team did indeed beat Alabama later that season (2022) in a thriller.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Russell Westbrook's shot selection is only getting worse because of the criticism

You know, that old drill tweet like keeps screaming at me. It only makes my opinions worse. Yeah. That's what's happening with Russell Westbrooks jump shot. Yeah. Everyone's telling you, everyone's booing you and trying to get you to stop shooting... it's actually just making Westbrook shoot the ball more often.

Void
Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers is blaming his teammates for the Packers' struggles

Guys who are making too many mistakes shouldn't be playing. Gotta start cutting some reps. So it's not his fault, it's his teammate's fault.

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