PMTPMT DB

Takes

Win
#PMT-2022-0307-7966
Billy FootballBilly Football

Malik Willis threw the ball 73.72 yards at the NFL Combine

Doing some Pythagoras theorem on Malik Willis' absolute gigantic throw. So he threw it 60 yards down the field. But if you [calculate] the hypotenuse of how actually far you threw in a straight line, it got out to 73.72.

The math for air distance (hypotenuse) based on field position and width is a known way to inflate throw distances, but the 73-yard number is widely cited for that specific Malik Willis throw.
Push
#PMT-2022-0307-7967
Billy FootballBilly Football

Desmond Ridder has 'fuckable spirals'

Desmond Ridder has nice spiral, Cincinnati guy. He gives me Justin Herbert type vibes... fuckable spirals for fuckable spirals. If you see a spiral, you're like, damn that spiral sexy.

Ridder's arm talent was praised, but comparing him to Justin Herbert (one of the strongest arms in the NFL) proved to be an overvaluation.
Win
#PMT-2022-0207-12879
Jake MarshJake Marsh

Mike McDaniel will save Tua Tagovailoa's career

Dolphins hired a new head coach, Mike McDaniel. Watch that clip of his, he seems very media friendly guy, big personality. He's going to save Tua [Tagovailoa].

Under Mike McDaniel, Tua Tagovailoa led the NFL in passer rating in 2022 and yards in 2023, largely validating this take.
Push
#PMT-2022-0207-12880
Big CatBig Cat

The NFC is wide open for the next few years

Tom Brady just retired. Aaron Rodgers may go to the AFC who the fuck knows where he's going to end up. Like the NFC is going to be wide open for a little bit.

Brady eventually unretired, but the NFC power dynamic did shift as several Hall of Fame QBs left the conference or retired shortly after.
Loss
#PMT-2022-0124-12553
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Rams are the first team ever to play a Super Bowl in their own home stadium

This could be the first Superbowl ever slayed by a team in its own home stadium. It's the Rams. Make it to the Superbowl. It's never been done before.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers actually did this one year prior in Super Bowl LV (2021). The Rams became the second team to do so.
Win
#PMT-2022-0117-15470
Big CatBig Cat

Any head coach the Bears hire will fail because the organization is broken

I've come to a bad realization with it—with my wisdom in life—is that it's not the coach. It's the organization. Like whoever gets hired is going to fail because the organization will fail them... 90% chance will fail because the Bears are broken, terrible organization.

Matt Eberflus (hired shortly after this) has a losing record and the Bears have remained a bottom-tier team since.
Void
#PMT-2021-0830-9495
Big CatBig Cat

Trent Dilfer was coaching hard, not committing physical assault in his viral high school video

I hate the argument you never put your hands on a player it's like grabbing a guy by shoulder, grabbing him by the elbow. Come on. Are we really going to get upset about that. Obviously, if it's like punching choking... this, there was no malicious intent in this.

Dilfer issued an apology, but many football traditionalists agreed with Big Cat's view that it was standard tough coaching.
Loss
#PMT-2021-0830-9497
Billy FootballBilly Football

Sam Ehlinger would have beaten out Trevor Lawrence for the starting job if not for his injury

Unfortunately, Sam Ehlinger is out with a tweaked ACL... The Sam Ehlinger beating out Trevor Lawrence prediction has not come yet for now.

This was never a possibility; Trevor Lawrence was a locked-in #1 overall pick and Ehlinger was a late-round pick for a different team (Colts).
Loss
#PMT-2021-0707-10777
Youngstown BobYoungstown Bob

The Browns will win exactly 11 games in the 2021 season

I'm thinking 11 wins, regular season, nothing crazy.

The Browns went 8-9 in the 2021 season.
Void
#PMT-2021-0607-17765
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mike Vrabel builds teams based solely on player girth and size

I think I've figured out what Mike Vrabel's strategy is here... He's just trying to get the biggest dudes that he can possibly get his hands on. I think that he has the biggest starting 11, just mass-wise. He is Billy Football as a coach. He just wants pounds. And Julio Jones is a massive dude.

Subjective characterization of roster building, though the Titans did prioritize big, physical players during the Henry/Vrabel era.
Loss
#PMT-2021-0601-900
HankHank

Tim Tebow was signed by Urban Meyer purely to act as a heat shield for Trevor Lawrence

I'm also just a huge fan of the narrative that [Urban Meyer] brought in Tebow just to take off heat off Trevor Lawrence... Tebow is just going to be too much of a natural leader and take all the heat, including from the players, off Trevor Lawrence.

Tebow was cut early in the preseason, and Lawrence faced significant media scrutiny regardless during a disastrous 3-14 rookie season under Meyer.
Win
#PMT-2021-0517-6506
Big CatBig Cat

Urban Meyer is trying to recreate his Florida Gators teams by moving Travis Etienne to wide receiver.

Urban Meyer is just that report that Travis Etienne is taking reps as only a wide receiver... He's trying to create Percy Harvin. I understand what he's doing, I think... He just wants to recreate the Florida team.

Meyer did openly state Etienne would take WR reps in camp, though Etienne eventually became a primary RB under Doug Pederson.
Win
#PMT-2021-0412-14667
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

NFL wide receivers wearing single-digit numbers is a 'there goes the neighborhood' moment

The NFL is just, I guess, giving clearance to wide receivers to wear single-digit numbers... It's a major There Goes the Neighborhood moment. I think it's going to happen. Peter King leaked it out, and when Peter King has a scoop like that, it's Roger Goodell just being like, Peter, you are my trial balloon.

The rule change was officially adopted by the NFL later in April 2021, allowing receivers and other positions to wear single-digit numbers.
Void
#PMT-2021-0222-15229
Big CatBig Cat

The viral video of Cam Newton getting heckled was a PR setup

I'm woke on this Cam Newton clip... It almost feels like that was kind of set up to remind everyone how awesome Cam Newton was. We'll put out a video of Cam getting disrespected so that people are forced to recall how great he is at football. Because you're right. This is the most sympathetic press Cam Newton's got in the last year.

This is a conspiracy theory that cannot be definitively proven or disproven, though most people believe it was a genuine organic moment at a camp.
Loss
#PMT-2021-0222-15230
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Cam Newton isn't fully healthy because he didn't swing on the heckling kid

That's actually what's telling me that Cam Newton isn't healthy. Because if he was, he should have just swung on the kid. Where somebody's being that disrespectful... Cam, you should be able to defend yourself.

OpinionFootballHotSarcastic
Cam Newton's choice not to hit a child is likely due to maturity and legal/career awareness rather than a shoulder injury.
Loss
#PMT-2021-0208-12325
HankHank

The Vince Lombardi Trophy should be renamed the Tom Brady Trophy

Vince Lombardi only won one. You're so greedy, Hank. It's true. He won one trophy. He won one Vince Lombardi trophy. Tom Brady's won seven. Like, come on. ... It's a crime that the championship trophy isn't named after Tom Brady.

The trophy remains the Vince Lombardi Trophy and there are no current plans to change it.
Void
#PMT-2020-1116-12134
Big CatBig Cat

I will get a tattoo of Drew Brees' touchdown total if he wins the Super Bowl

I have to get a tattoo if Drew Brees wins the Super Bowl... No, I said that if Drew Brees wins the Super Bowl, I'll get a tattoo of whatever number of touchdowns he ends up with.

Drew Brees and the Saints did not win the Super Bowl; they lost in the Divisional Round to the Buccaneers.
Loss
#PMT-2020-0908-14589
Big CatBig Cat

I'm rooting for Mitch Trubisky because 2020 needs a cool story

It's bullshit that anyone is sitting here and rooting against Mitch Trubisky. ... 2020 sucks, root for something crazy. Mitch Trubisky 2020. ... I'm ready and I have a little perspective for you from coach Matt Nagy... we're going to all support around him and give him every opportunity to have a very happy ending.

Trubisky was benched for Nick Foles in Week 3, and while he eventually returned, the 'cool story' didn't materialize as the Bears were mediocre and moved on from him after the season.
Loss
#PMT-2020-0908-14590
Billy FootballBilly Football

I'll gamble on Nathan Peterman winning a Super Bowl

There's a chance we see another Nathan Peterman. You want to get real fucking crazy with 2020? Get a Nathan Peterman tattoo. ... I'll gamble on Nathan Peterman winning a Super Bowl.

Nathan Peterman has never won a Super Bowl and has barely played since this take was made.
Void
#PMT-2020-0831-17618
Big CatBig Cat

The Jaguars' defensive window closed because they got rid of Blake Bortles

The real story is you have to score points in this league if you want to compete in AFC Championship game and they got rid of the quarterback... everyone was talking about how [the Jaguars] now have two starters left from that 2017 game... none of them mentioned that Blake Bortles also gone.

The Jaguars did collapse after 2017, but consensus attributes it to the defense leaving and Bortles' play declining, not his absence.
Loss
#PMT-2020-0831-17619
Big CatBig Cat

Jimmy Graham and Cole Kmet will be a dynamic duo for the Bears

Everyone knows [Jimmy Graham] is an elite blocker... they got Cole Kmet and Jimmy Graham. Dynamic duo. If we just get half of their production from last year, we're going to be great.

Jimmy Graham had a mediocre season (8 TDs) and Cole Kmet was a rookie; they were not a dominant 'dynamic duo' in terms of league-wide impact.
Loss
#PMT-2020-0824-3168
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Bill Belichick will sign Earl Thomas to replace Patrick Chung

Maybe this belcheck move. Maybe Belichick picks him up. They lost Patrick Chung for the year. They get real Thomas as like an impact veteran that everybody else has given up on

The Patriots never signed Earl Thomas, and he actually never played in the NFL again after being cut by the Ravens.
Loss
#PMT-2020-0817-4387
Big CatBig Cat

Alex Smith looks like he still can't play football despite being cleared

He doesn't look like he can play football. His leg. I think I could play football better than he could play football. I don't he couldn't he couldn't avoid the rush of his five-year-old spraying like Dasani on them and then they put out pictures of his leg and it's like to see turbine not well his leg is in basically a Forever cast right now.

Alex Smith not only returned but played in 8 games in 2020, leading Washington to the playoffs and winning NFL Comeback Player of the Year.
Win
#PMT-2020-0803-3017
Big CatBig Cat

Mike Glennon is the perfect quarterback for people to use in Kaepernick comparison tweets

Every year we have to have at least one quarterback that's the perfect person for half of Twitter to quote tweet and be like Colin Kaepernick isn't on an NFL team but this person. Yes, Mike Glennon is like the perfect person to focus our attention on there.

This accurately reflects a recurring trend on sports Twitter whenever Glennon signed a contract.
Loss
#PMT-2020-0727-12631
Big CatBig Cat

I'm unloading on Mitchell Trubisky whenever the game temperature is exactly 66 degrees

Mr. Trubisky has by far the highest quarterback rating in the NFL when it's exactly 66 degrees... I'm absolutely going to open up my weather app every single Sunday morning. And if it's 66, I'm unloading on Mitchell Trubisky.

Hot TakeFootballHotSarcastic
Trubisky was benched for Nick Foles early in the 2020 season, and 'Mitch Weather' did not save his Bears career.
Loss
#PMT-2020-0720-19848
Billy FootballBilly Football

Swag Kelly is the second-fastest quarterback in the NFL

Swag Kelly thinks he's the second fastest quarterback in the NFL, which I agree with... I think he's going to be like a sleeper that's just going to come out of nowhere and get thrown into a game.

Kelly's documented speed and athleticism do not rank him above the likes of Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray, or other elite dual-threat QBs.
Loss
#PMT-2020-0629-16237
HankHank

The Patriots are going to make the Super Bowl with Cam Newton

Cam Newton is going to be the starter. It's going to be electric. The Patriots are going to make the Super Bowl. It's going to be the Patriots and the Bucs and I'm going to be so excited.

The Patriots finished 7-9 and missed the playoffs. While the Bucs won the Super Bowl, the Patriots were nowhere near it.
Push
#PMT-2020-0629-16238
Billy FootballBilly Football

Bill Belichick has always wanted a mobile quarterback to experiment with new offensive schemes

Belichick's always talking about how he wants a mobile quarterback... belch I was like, I want to get rid of you [Brady] and get a cool new toy that can run around. So like the football like porn that's going to come out of this like the X's and O's and blocking schemes... Bellatrix brain with like a mobile quarterback.

While the offense was adapted for Newton's running ability, it was statistically one of the worst passing offenses in the league and didn't revolutionize the game.
Push
#PMT-2020-0511-15449
Big CatBig Cat

Roger Goodell will use a technicality to prevent Dave Portnoy from documenting the auction-won MNF game

I think they're going to figure out a technicality, right?... if he [Goodell] just had to sit with Goodell with no content being made. That's actually the ultimate own back on Dave. You just have to sit with this miserable person for an entire night and listen to him talk... and you can't make content out of it. That would kill Dave.

The NFL eventually barred Dave Portnoy from the night after a background check, preventing the meet-up from happening entirely.
Win
#PMT-2020-0420-14035
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Leaked Wonderlic scores are a smokescreen designed to hurt Tua Tagovailoa's draft stock

They were also incorrect leaked Wonderlic scores all that which tells me it's smokescreen season for someone out there. Like someone wants the rest of the NFL to believe that Tua is dumb because they gave Tua a 13 in the first Wonderlic score. It's not true at all. That's not what he got.

Tua's actual score was reported as an 18 or 19 by most reliable sources, proving the '13' report was likely inaccurate or a rough draft leak.
Win
#PMT-2020-0413-16347
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am officially back on the Tua Tagovailoa train now that the lefty witchcraft is gone

Watching [Tua Tagovailoa] throw with an NFL ball looks good. Like the witchcraft is gone or whatever... I think it goes from looking like it's spinning clockwise to looking like it's spinning counterclockwise now that it has the stripes off. So I'm fully on board the Tua train.

Tua was drafted 5th overall and has had a successful NFL career, justifying the hype, though for less superstitious reasons.
Loss
#PMT-2020-0217-693
Big CatBig Cat

The NFL has audio from the Miles Garrett/Mason Rudolph incident but is refusing to release it.

The NFL should just they have to have they've got out here. Now, they know they've got audio... I think the NFL had audio because you'll remember they have audio that they play like every Tuesday on Showtime... and their excuse was they have a guy who pushes a button to stop recording in between plays. That doesn't exist.

The NFL has consistently stated no such audio exists from the helmet-swinging incident. While fans suspect it might, there is no proof it was recorded and hidden.
Loss
#PMT-2020-0203-5114
HankHank

Tom Brady will return to the Patriots on a $30 million per year deal

He said he's not going anywhere in the advertisement, and then a report came out today that the Patriots are willing to pay him $30 million a year... I feel good about Brady coming back.

Tom Brady left the Patriots and signed with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in March 2020.
Void
#PMT-2020-0127-4426
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm only joining an XFL team if I have a real chance to make the roster

The practice squad offer is apparently legit. Like I'm going to get a contract if I want to go down that road... in which case I'm only going down that road if they give me an opportunity to work my way onto a team. I'm not just going to be on practice squad a year.

PFT never actually signed a contract or played for an XFL team, as the 2020 season was cut short by COVID-19 and the bit eventually faded.
Void
#PMT-2020-0113-7907
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Josh McDaniels staying in New England is a beta move

Josh McDaniels is back in New England... He brought his wife with him to his interview. Kind of a beta move... Apparently, they went out for lunch at some country club with Haslam... and it was a guys-only place. So his wife had to go out to lunch [elsewhere].

Subjective commentary on McDaniels' decision/process.
Void
#PMT-2020-0106-4845
Big CatBig Cat

Derrick Henry would rush for 400 yards in an NFL game if given 57 carries

If he played the worst team in the NFL, he could probably get, if he ran him 57 times, he could probably get 400 yards.

The NFL record for rushing yards in a game is 296 (Adrian Peterson) on 30 carries. 400 yards would require over 7 yards per carry on 57 attempts, which is statistically improbable but theoretically possible for Henry in his prime.
Loss
#PMT-2019-0916-8757
HankHank

The Patriots will finish the season 18-1 with a Super Bowl victory

My official prediction was one random loss, like one fluke loss in the regular season. ... They could lose a regular season game and then go 18-1 [and win the Super Bowl].

The Patriots finished 12-4 and lost in the Wild Card round to the Titans. They did not win the Super Bowl.
Win
#PMT-2019-0916-8758
Big CatBig Cat

Urban Meyer will definitely coach football again

My who's back is Urban Meyer because Urban Meyer said he misses football. Oh, you think? That actually could just be that because he's definitely going to coach. So shout out all the people who said that he actually was retiring for real this time. You're an idiot.

Urban Meyer eventually returned to coach the Jacksonville Jaguars in 2021.
Loss
#PMT-2019-0819-13497
HankHank

Josh Gordon will be on the Patriots for the entire 2019 season

He's [been suspended] for zero weeks. [How many weeks will he be on the team?] All of them. [If he gets cut or leaves] Hank gets a cat.

Josh Gordon was placed on IR and eventually waived by the Patriots in October 2019, joining the Seahawks.
Win
#PMT-2019-0812-11707
Big CatBig Cat

The Derek Carr media hype machine is funny because we know he isn't a superstar

The Derek Carr media hype machine that's trying to get behind a guy who we really know who he is, and that's not a terrible quarterback, but he's not a superstar quarterback, is very, very funny to me. Because they're basically trying to wheel themselves into Derek Carr as our starter.

Derek Carr's career trajectory largely bore this out; he remained a middle-of-the-pack starter but never achieved superstar status, eventually leaving the Raiders.
Void
#PMT-2019-0722-4745
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Joe Flacco has cool hair

We've been inundated with so many pictures of Joe Flacco and his cool hair. Reporters out in Denver can't believe that he actually has decent hair.

Hair quality is entirely subjective.
Loss
#PMT-2019-0617-1669
Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers hates and despises Matt LaFleur

Aaron Rodgers, Matt LaFleur, not off to the best start. And I'm not making like a mountain out of a molehill. I think Aaron Rodgers hates Matt LaFleur. Despises him.

While they had public disagreements over the years, they won three straight NFC North titles together, suggesting 'despises' was an overstatement of a standard power struggle.
Win
#PMT-2019-0610-19490
Big CatBig Cat

Joe Flacco is statistically the worst starting quarterback of the last five years

Does John Elway realize that Joe Flacco statistically in the last five years is the worst starting quarterback you could have?

While 'worst' is subjective, Flacco's efficiency metrics (DYAR, DVOA, and QBR) were indeed among the bottom of qualified starters from 2014-2018.
Loss
#PMT-2019-0603-1813
Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers chugging a beer poorly has cursed the Packers

Curses are back because ever since Aaron Rodgers didn't chug his beer, which we'll get to in segments, the Bucks didn't win another game and Matt LaFleur tore his Achilles and is going to be coaching out of a cart this spring. Aaron Rodgers cursed their team, 100%.

While LaFleur did get injured, the Packers went 13-3 and Rodgers had a great season in 2019.
Win
#PMT-2019-0520-19216
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Adam Gase is the most paranoid person in the world and hiring him is a massive mistake

One other high-level evaluator with a different team said that this is the biggest mistake anyone in the NFL has made in years. Gase is crazy. He's the most paranoid person in the world. This will be like Todd Haley on crack.

Adam Gase's tenure with the Jets was widely considered a failure, resulting in a 9-23 record over two seasons.
Loss
#PMT-2019-0520-19217
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kyler Murray is actually much shorter than his listed height

I actually do think that he's short. I think he's shorter than I am... He's like 5'6", 5'7", 5'8"... I do think that Kyler Murray is running away from his true self. I think that he's like 5'8".

Hot TakeFootballFireSarcastic
Kyler Murray was officially measured at 5'10" 1/8 at the NFL Combine.
Open
#PMT-2019-0520-19218
Big CatBig Cat

The Manning family will have a quarterback in the NFL until the day we die

We're all going to die here. We're going to die before Mannings are out of the NFL. Like there are going to be Mannings in the NFL till the day we die. They're just never, they're going to outlast us as human beings.

Arch Manning is currently a high-profile college QB at Texas, and the Manning legacy remains a central pillar of NFL coverage.
Win
#PMT-2019-0318-950
Big CatBig Cat

Ryan Fitzpatrick is the perfect Dolphins quarterback because he provides 'Fitzmagic' wins during a rebuild

I don't think there's been a more perfect move in the history of the NFL than Ryan Fitzpatrick going to the Dolphins... Ryan Fitzpatrick is like the perfect, we can rebuild, but he'll give us four or five wins that will be awesome to watch so people don't get so pissed off about the team sucking.

Fitzpatrick's 2019 season with the Dolphins was exactly this; they went 5-11 with several iconic 'Fitzmagic' moments, including beating the Patriots in Week 17.
Void
#PMT-2019-0304-15478
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If the US prioritized rugby, we would be the best football country in the world

At this point, if the U.S. took our best rugby players from a young age and taught them football, we would be the best football country in the world. That's how good our rugby team is.

The U.S. is already the best football country in the world (American football). If he means soccer (football), the argument about athletic crossover is a common but unprovable debate.
Win
#PMT-2019-0211-19613
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tom Brady is a prisoner of his own success because of his extreme superstitions

Tom Brady's success is so successful and won so many Super Bowls, how many little things like this do you think he does in a day-to-day basis where he's like, well, it's helped me get to where I'm at? He's basically stuck in the most superstitious life of all time... He's permanently stuck upside down because he keeps winning Super Bowls... He's a prisoner of his own success.

Brady's superstitions and rigid lifestyle are well-documented (TB12 method, etc.).