PMTPMT DB

Takes

Loss
Take Slip·Jan 10, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0110-7331
Big CatBig Cat

The 49ers, Ravens, and Chiefs money line parlay is a can't-lose bet

The 49ers, the Ravens, the Chiefs. Parlay them all, plus 105 on BetMGM, even money everywhere else... How does that lose? I don't see a way that it does.

The Ravens lost to the Titans (28-12) the very next day, busting the parlay.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0103-11838
Big CatBig Cat

The Buffalo Bills will beat the Houston Texans 17-10 on Saturday

The final score will be 17 to 10. Yep, and the Buffalo Bills will win. Whoo. Okay, put it in stone.

The Houston Texans won 22-19 in overtime.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0103-11839
Big CatBig Cat

The Patriots will beat the Titans easily and make everyone look stupid

This feels like one of those games where everyone is going to talk themselves into the Patriots being done... they're going to beat the Titans easily and everyone's be like damn we feel stupid.

The Titans defeated the Patriots 20-13, marking Tom Brady's final game as a Patriot.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 3, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0103-11841
Big CatBig Cat

The Eagles are my lock of the year against the Seahawks

I'm taking the Eagles because it's Tony's it's my Tony Danza lock the lock of the Year. Okay. I mean, I'm not an idiot. I'm going to also take Tony Danza.

PredictionFootballHotSarcastic
The Seahawks won 17-9.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 26, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1226-7589
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks will beat the 49ers on Sunday Night Football

I feel like I don't have faith in either of those teams. But that just feels like a Seahawks win. You close your eyes and you just see it's probably drizzling.

The 49ers won 26-21, stopping the Seahawks inches short of the goal line in the final seconds.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 20, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1220-8833
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chicago Bears will beat the Kansas City Chiefs outright

I like Chicago. I like the Bears to win outright. How do you think they will ya fuck with me? I that's my entire logic behind. This is to just give you a victory that you can't do anything with.

The Chiefs crushed the Bears 26-3 on Sunday Night Football.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 13, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1213-17881
Big CatBig Cat

Kirk Cousins cannot win games in California

Cousins can't play on the Left Coast though. He is something like 0-8 in California.

The Vikings beat the Chargers 39-10 in Carson, CA, just two days after this episode, ending his winless streak in the state.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 6, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1206-16967
Big CatBig Cat

The Buccaneers will finish 8-8 and franchise tag Jameis Winston

My favorites the Bucks. I think the Bucks are going to finish 8-8 I do. I think Jameis is going to get franchise tagged. I do, I hope so I really do.

The Bucs finished 7-9 and Jameis Winston was not franchise tagged; they signed Tom Brady instead.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 27, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1127-17032
Big CatBig Cat

I love the over in Bills vs. Cowboys on Thanksgiving

Fellas, I love this over. This is going to be my over of the day. Because you've got to have at least one over on Thanksgiving. It's a lot going against Buffalo. Buffalo on the road. Different defense at home. Very good defense on the road. Maybe not as good. And also, teams have been able to run a little bit on the Bills. Guess who the Cowboys have? Zeke.

The Bills beat the Cowboys 26-15. Total points: 41. The over/under was 46.5, so the under hit.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 22, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1122-15719
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Always bet the over when Joe Buck is calling the game

I'll tie this right into our picks for the weekend. It makes me have to take the over in the Cowboys Patriots game... Joe Buck is I'm pretty sure is going to be announcing it... you always bet the over when Buck's calling.

The Patriots beat the Cowboys 13-9, a total of 22 points, which was well under the closing total of 44.5.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 22, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1122-15724
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jets +3 against the Raiders is the start of a run to the playoffs

My Underdog is the Jets... Jets plus 3 the run the table. Yeah, they're good. We're in the middle the early stages the table runner. Yes, but I think that they could handle the business at home.

The Jets beat the Raiders 34-3, but they did not 'run the table.' They lost to the winless Bengals the following week and finished the season 7-9, missing the playoffs.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1115-15128
Big CatBig Cat

If the Raiders beat the Bengals by 20 points, they are a playoff team

I'm kind of in on the Raiders making the playoffs... if the Raiders win by 20 points or more I think playoff Town. Yeah. I'm on playoff Town Raiders.

The Raiders beat the Bengals 17-10 (not by 20+) and ultimately finished 7-9, missing the playoffs.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 8, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1108-1167
HankHank

Baker Mayfield has a broken hand

Baker's hand might be broken. That's why he's not playing so well... Are you reporting that Baker Mayfield might have a broken hand? From sources.

Fact ClaimFootballHotSarcastic
Mayfield did suffer a hand injury on Dec 1, 2019, later in the season, but there was no broken hand at the time of this episode (Nov 8).
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 25, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1025-2526
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears will kill the Chargers this weekend

I think the Bears are going to kill the Chargers. I do... They will win this game easily because the Chargers' offense has problems. Their offensive line has problems. The Chargers are a soft football team.

The Chargers beat the Bears 17-16 after a missed game-winning field goal by Eddy Pineiro.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 25, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1025-2527
HankHank

The Chiefs will beat the Packers outright without Patrick Mahomes

What do you think the line would be if Mahomes was playing?... I think they're going to win outright.

The Packers won 31-24.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 18, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1018-19064
Big CatBig Cat

The Giants, Niners, and Seahawks will all win to complete a 'Can't Lose Parlay'

I got the Giants... I got the Niners guaranteed... and I got the Seahawks against the F-word Ravens frauds.

The parlay lost. The Giants lost to the Cardinals and the Seahawks lost to the Ravens. The Ravens were also definitively not frauds (14-2).
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 18, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1018-19065
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kirk Cousins will have a typical 'bad' game against the Lions with one TD and two INTs

This feels to me like a Cousins one touchdown to two interceptions game, maybe get Adam Thielen killed on a cross route... a very hilarious fumble six.

Cousins actually had an elite game, throwing for 337 yards and 4 touchdowns with 0 interceptions in a win over Detroit.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 11, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1011-2985
Big CatBig Cat

The Rams, Ravens, and Cowboys moneyline parlay cannot lose

My can't-lose parlay: the Rams moneyline, the Ravens moneyline, the Cowboys moneyline. I think that's plus odds... I don't see how a single one of those losses. Grams... that is a hungry dog run fast... Rams need it. Ravens will not lose just put that one away to play the Bengals and the Cowboys will not lose their playing the Jets.

The Ravens beat the Bengals, but the Rams lost 20-7 to the 49ers and the Cowboys lost 24-22 to the then-winless Jets.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 11, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1011-2986
HankHank

The 49ers might not be good because they lost fullback Kyle Juszczyk

The 49ers lost a very key component to their attack in Monday night. They lost their fullback Kyle Juszczyk... they're going to struggle to fill that role because Juszczyk is really, really good. Correct, and they use them in a way that is kind of key to their offense.

The 49ers finished 13-3 and went to the Super Bowl that season, proving they were indeed quite good despite the injury.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 4, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1004-11101
Big CatBig Cat

My 'Can't Lose' Parlay for Week 5 is the Bears, Eagles, Patriots, and Chiefs

The Can't Lose Parlay of the week. It cannot lose. Drumroll. The Bears, Khalil Mack, revenge game. Philly, they're not losing to the Jets. The Patriots, they're not losing to the Redskins. And then you get to just sit back and enjoy the Sunday night football game and have the Chiefs.

The parlay lost. While the Eagles and Patriots won, the Bears lost to the Raiders and the Chiefs lost to the Colts on Sunday Night Football.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 4, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1004-11103
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens are severely overrated

I do think the Ravens are severely overrated. ... They've done a major comeback to earth for the last couple weeks.

The Ravens went on to win 12 straight games after this take, finishing 14-2. Lamar Jackson won MVP unanimously. They were definitively not overrated in the regular season, though they did lose their first playoff game.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 27, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-0927-15119
Big CatBig Cat

Patrick Mahomes will throw for 6,000 yards

He's still going to throw for 6,000 yards. When I say he's taken a step back, I mean he went from 100 out of 100 to like 99.5 out of 100.

Mahomes finished the 2019 season with 4,031 passing yards in 14 games. No quarterback has ever reached 6,000 yards in a season.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 27, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-0927-15120
Big CatBig Cat

My 'No-Lose' Parlay: Colts, Chiefs, and Rams Moneyline

This is going to be my no-lose parlay of the week... Colts, no chance they lose to the Raiders. Chiefs, no chance they lose to the Lions. Rams, no chance they lose to the Bucs... It will not lose. And if it does, pretend that you don't know me.

The parlay failed. While the Chiefs won (34-30), the Colts lost to the Raiders (24-31) and the Rams lost to the Bucs (40-55).
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 20, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-0920-18298
Big CatBig Cat

The Chiefs will cover -6.5 against the Ravens

I will go with... The Chiefs, minus six and a half, because are we sure the Ravens are as good as they think? I don't think that we are sure. They beat the Dolphins, who stink, and they barely beat the Cardinals on the road.

The Chiefs won 33-28, failing to cover the -6.5 spread.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 13, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-0913-9535
Big CatBig Cat

I am betting the Jets +6.5 against the Browns on Monday Night Football

I'm going to take the Jets on Monday night. Are you really? Yeah. Dude, this is a classic situation where everyone freaks out and everyone's like, oh, Sam Darnold's out. The Jets stink now. And it's six and a half points. And Trevor Simmons, he might not win the game, but he'll be good enough to keep him around.

The Browns won 23-3, covering the spread easily as Trevor Siemian got hurt and the Jets offense collapsed.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 13, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-0913-9539
Big CatBig Cat

The Bengals will beat the 49ers and cover -2

I like the Bengals, minus two. I think the 49ers, a little bit of a fraudulent win week one. Their defense played well, but Jimmy Garoppolo did not... I think the Bengals, you saw it. They actually run a 2019 offense now... I think the Bengals are going to cover at home. Minus two.

The 49ers blew out the Bengals 41-17.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 6, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-0906-16120
Big CatBig Cat

The Lions' defense will 'fuck up' the Cardinals in Week 1

I think the Detroit Lions are Going to be a little bit better than people expect. I think their defense is going to be very good and I think their defense will fuck up the Cardinals week one. Kyler Murray not-ready-for-prime-time Detroit - two and a half.

The game ended in a 27-27 tie. Kyler Murray struggled early but led a late comeback. Big Cat lost the bet (Lions -2.5).
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 6, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-0906-16121
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Dolphins will beat the Ravens in Week 1 because of 'Fitzmagic'

My dog is the Dolphins plus 6.5 against the Ravens at home. My seven-win Dolphins. Ryan Fitzmagic. It's early in the season. ... All I'm going off of is last year Ryan Fitzpatrick played well when he first got in.

The Ravens destroyed the Dolphins 59-10 in Week 1. This was one of the most incorrect takes in show history.
Loss
Take Slip·Apr 29, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-0429-18199
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Celtics can beat the Bucks in the playoffs

I was wrong about the Celtics-Bucks series. I said there was no chance in hell that the Celtics make it a series. I'm going to jump off that take now... I'd like to say I think the Celtics can beat the Bucks.

The Bucks won the next four games straight to win the series 4-1, making PFT's mid-series pivot incorrect.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 1, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-0301-15678
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The city of Philadelphia will turn on Bryce Harper within five years

I have a prediction. I think that the city of Philadelphia is going to turn on Bryce Harper within five years. Give it four, actually. I think that given Bryce's history... He's such a streaky player. He's got a little bit of an attitude sometimes. But when you're making this kind of money, there's a big, big target on your back.

Five years later (2024), Harper is arguably the most beloved athlete in Philadelphia and led them to a World Series, so the city has not turned on him.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 16, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-0116-13947
Big CatBig Cat

Jimmy Butler will go 'alpha' and have over 30.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists vs the Timberwolves.

I got a pick for you guys... Jimmy Butler's playing the Wolves for the first time... over 30.5 points, rebounds, and assists. He's going to do the same thing that he did in the practice. He's just going to go off. He's going to alpha the fuck out of him.

In the game on January 15, 2019, Jimmy Butler had only 12 points, 3 rebounds, and 2 assists (17 total PRAs), failing to hit the 30.5 mark.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 11, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-0111-13334
Big CatBig Cat

I'm taking the Colts +5 and the Over against the Chiefs

I would take the Colts plus five, and I would take the over. The Colts are 1-0, by the way... the over in this game, I love the over in this game because I don't - the Chiefs defense is so bad.

The Chiefs won 31-13. The Colts did not cover +5 and the total (44) went way under the 54.5-56.5 point line.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 11, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-0111-13335
Big CatBig Cat

I'm taking the Cowboys to win or cover against the Rams

Cowboys at Rams. Rams are minus seven... I'm taking the Cowboys. And I'm just saying it out loud. I do this every single divisional round. I always overstate what I've seen from wildcard rounds. So in my mind, I always go to divisional round and say, well, the Cowboys are 1-0 in their last one, and the Rams haven't played in a week... So the Cowboys are hot.

The Rams won 30-22, covering the 7-point spread and ending the Cowboys' season.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 11, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-0111-13339
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm taking the Chargers to beat the Patriots

I love Phil Rivers in this game. I like their running game. I like their defense... I'm taking the Chargers, baby.

The Patriots crushed the Chargers 41-28.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 27, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1227-17109
Big CatBig Cat

I am taking the over on the Alabama-Oklahoma game regardless of the total

Alabama playing Oklahoma. I'm taking the over no matter what. It's like 80, but that's one of those ones they're challenging me. Let's do it. They're telling me you won't do this, and I fucking will.

The final score was 45-34 (79 points). The over of 80 lost by a single point.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 27, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1227-17110
Big CatBig Cat

I think Notre Dame might beat Clemson because I can't bet on two favorites in the same night

I can't take both favorites, so I'm taking Notre Dame, and I think they might win the game. Solely because of the other game [Alabama-Oklahoma].

Clemson dominated Notre Dame 30-3. Big Cat was very wrong.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 21, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1221-16544
Big CatBig Cat

If the Texans get a first-round bye, they will go to the Super Bowl

I firmly believe that if the Texans get a bye, they will probably go to the Super Bowl. If they don't, no.

The Texans lost this game to the Eagles, failed to get a bye, and then lost in the Wild Card round to the Colts.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 21, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1221-16546
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 2018 Bears defense is statistically better in every category than the 1985 Bears

What I found was this team [2018 Bears] is statistically better in every single defensive category than the 1985 Chicago Bears. This is the best defensive team that Chicago has ever seen.

While the 2018 Bears were the #1 defense in several categories, the 1985 Bears are widely considered superior in points allowed per game and other advanced metrics when adjusted for era. The '85 team allowed 12.4 PPG; the 2018 team allowed 17.7 PPG.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 14, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1214-18968
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If Green Bay beats Chicago, they are going to the playoffs

Green Bay wins this game, and they're going to the playoffs. Because there are a lot of things that have to happen for Green Bay to make the playoffs, and they're all going to happen. But the big question mark is, can they win this game?

The Packers lost to the Bears 24-17 and were eliminated from playoff contention shortly after.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 14, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1214-18969
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mike Tomlin gets fired if the Steelers miss the playoffs

I think Mike Tomlin gets fired if they don't make the playoffs.

The Steelers missed the playoffs, but Mike Tomlin was not fired.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 14, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1214-18972
HankHank

The Buccaneers will cover +7.5 against the Ravens

My walk of the week is going to be the Bucs. Maybe even sprinkle a little bit. The Bucs. [Against] The Ravens. Plus seven and a half.

The Ravens won 20-12, meaning the Buccaneers did not cover the +7.5 spread (they lost by 8).
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 7, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1207-1459
Big CatBig Cat

The Panthers should cut Cam Newton if they lose to the Browns

Panthers, by the way... if you lose this, maybe cut Cam Newton. Cut him. Straight up cut him.

The Panthers did lose to the Browns (26-20), and they did not cut Cam Newton.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 5, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1205-18838
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

NFL punts into the end zone should be worth two points if the punter weighs over 300 pounds

If you should have a guy who's over 300 pounds punting the ball and if they can punt it into the end zone, it's worth two points no matter where you are on the field.

This rule was never adopted.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 30, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1130-16175
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Adam Thielen is better than Calvin Johnson

Adam Thielen's better than Calvin Johnson. True. Fact. His best record just got broken by Adam Thielen, bro.

In terms of career peak, talent, and legacy, almost no objective analyst would rank Thielen above Megatron.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 21, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1121-2909
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm taking the Redskins +7.5 against the Cowboys on Thanksgiving

Listen, 7.5 is a lot to give to Colt McCoy. Colt McCoy, he's a cowboy killer... I'm going to take the Redskins.

The Cowboys beat the Redskins 31-23, covering the 7.5 spread by a half-point.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 21, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1121-2914
Big CatBig Cat

I'm taking the under in the Redskins-Cowboys Thanksgiving game

I think the under's the way to go here. 40 and a half? Yeah, I feel like both these teams are going to struggle often. They both have good defenses.

The Cowboys won 31-23, for a total of 54 points, which went well over the 40.5 line.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 9, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1109-18427
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Redskins will win the NFC East

Now I want to point out that Mike Tanyer... ran a simulation of the rest of the season... And the R-Words still won the division. So don't jump the gun on the Eagles just yet. Now I'm 100% back in on the R-Words train after learning about the simulation.

The Cowboys won the NFC East in 2018. Washington finished 7-9.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 2, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1102-19352
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Houston Texans are a legitimate Super Bowl contender

I've talked myself into the Texans are a legitimate Super Bowl contender.

The Texans won the AFC South but lost in the Wild Card round to the Colts. They were never true Super Bowl threats.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 26, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1026-19306
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Redskins will finish the season with at least 10 wins

The bottom line is the R-words [Redskins] are going to go 10-6 minimum. Maybe 11-5.

The Redskins finished the 2018 season 7-9.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 26, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1026-19307
Big CatBig Cat

The Lions are not sure they're bad and could win their division

I actually think the Lions could be okay. They could win that division, you think? Are we sure they're good? We're not sure they're bad.

The Lions finished 6-10 and last in the NFC North in 2018.
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