PMTPMT DB

Takes

Loss
Take Slip·Dec 30, 2022
#PMT-2022-1230-20087
Taylor LewanTaylor Lewan

Michigan wins and covers against TCU in the College Football Playoff

I'm a hundred percent outta Michigan. I think Michigan wins this game. I think they cover and then we'll see what happens.

TCU pulled off a massive upset, winning 51-45.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 28, 2022
#PMT-2022-1228-9568
Big CatBig Cat

Having a child is a completely transformative experience that non-parents cannot understand

That's one of those ones that like, if you don't have kids, and I'm not shaming anyone, but like when you do have a kid, you're like, oh fuck, this is completely different than anything else.

The claim is based on universal personal sentiment and psychological experience.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 28, 2022
#PMT-2022-1228-9570
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

A best man speech should be three to five minutes long

I think you have to keep it like five minutes or less. I think anyone who goes longer than that is... it's three to five minutes.

Social norms generally favor brevity in wedding toasts.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 28, 2022
#PMT-2022-1228-9575
Chris BermanChris Berman

No one circles the wagons like the Buffalo Bills

I just cranked it out on primetime. No one circles the wagons like the Buffalo Bills. And it became a war chant.

While a subjective team slogan, it is factually correct that Berman created and popularized this association.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 28, 2022
#PMT-2022-1228-9587
Jake PlummerJake Plummer

I finished my career with exactly as many touchdowns as interceptions

I threw 161 TDs in the NFL and I also threw 161 interceptions. I came out even man.

Jake Plummer's career stats are exactly 161 passing touchdowns and 161 interceptions.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 26, 2022
#PMT-2022-1226-3838
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Steve Wilkes has earned the right to be the Panthers' head coach next year

I think at this point, if you don't bring him back, I think the players that are here right now that are coming back next year are gonna be pissed off. I think they're going to be really upset about that.

The Panthers did not hire Wilkes; they hired Frank Reich.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 26, 2022
#PMT-2022-1226-3850
MaxMax

If Lane Johnson is back, the Eagles will be 100% fine

I came out of that game feeling better than I did going into it... If Lane Johnson is back by the second round of the playoffs, I'm as confident as I could be.

The Eagles dominated the NFC playoffs and reached Super Bowl LVII with Lane Johnson back.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 21, 2022
#PMT-2022-1221-10576
MaxMax

Jalen Hurts' shoulder injury will only sideline him for one to three weeks

It's a sprained shoulder. People sprain their shoulders all the time. What's the one to three weeks? One to three weeks. It's one to three weeks. Take the three weeks, give you the fourth. Take the bye from the first week of the playoffs.

Hurts missed two games (Dec 24 and Jan 1) and returned for the regular season finale on Jan 8, exactly within the 3-week window.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 21, 2022
#PMT-2022-1221-10579
Andrew WhitworthAndrew Whitworth

The Detroit Lions' offensive line is one of the best in the NFL and doesn't get enough credit

The Lions group, I mean Yeah. You know, people keep talking about, you know, Jared Goff's playing his best and the weapons they have offensively... but you also just played a Jets defense that's been getting after people and they didn't touch Jared. I mean, no Sacks, you know, barely hit him at all. That group doesn't get talked about enough, in my opinion, just because of the team's record.

The 2022-2023 Lions O-line was consistently ranked in the top 5-10 by PFF and other metrics.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 19, 2022
#PMT-2022-1219-6530
Big CatBig Cat

The Detroit Lions are officially a good football team

Lions 20, Jets 17. The Lions are good. The Lions are good. They're winning games all types of ways. They've covered six straight games for the first time since the Super Bowl was invented. They are a fun team.

The Lions finished the season 9-8 and went on to win the NFC North and reach the NFC Championship the following season.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 19, 2022
#PMT-2022-1219-6532
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chargers will finish the season 11-6

Uhoh, the Chargers are back. Chargers go 11-6. They're gonna go 11 and 6. Nine, 10, 11. They're gonna go 11 and 6.

The Chargers finished 10-7, failing to reach 11 wins.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 16, 2022
#PMT-2022-1216-7323
Big CatBig Cat

Brock Purdy walked into the best situation a low-drafted quarterback could ever have

I don't think there's a better situation that a Mr irrelevant low drafted quarterback could ever walk into than not only Kyle Shanahan, but this specific 49ers team that just has so much talent everywhere. Like their defense is great. Their running game is great. He's not really getting hit that much.

Purdy's continued success and the 49ers' dominant system support the idea that the environment was perfectly constructed for a QB of his profile.
Push
Take Slip·Dec 16, 2022
#PMT-2022-1216-7324
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are running out of gas because they lack top-end talent

It feels like they're just running outta gas in terms of talent. Their defense getting gashed on the, like last week the Panthers had 240 yards tonight. The Niners ran for five yards of carry. It just, it feels like it's getting to the end here where, where like the fact they don't have a ton of top end talent is hurting them.

The Seahawks did struggle late in the 2022 season, losing 5 of their last 8, but they actually managed to sneak into the playoffs at 9-8.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 16, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-1216-7330
HankHank

The Eagles will whomp the Bears

My favorite favorite is the Philadelphia Eagles. Ooh. Against the Bears. Yeah. This gonna be a whomping. I think it's gonna be a Whomping. Their minus nine. But you know, they've proven themselves... The bears are, are and rightfully show as they should be. Like they're tanking. Like they don't wanna win. They don't want to fight.

The Eagles won 25-20, which was far from a 'whomping.' They also failed to cover the -9 spread.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 14, 2022
#PMT-2022-1214-10737
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Patriots are officially the best bad team in the NFL

I can officially say the Patriots are the best bad team in the NFL. They made that pretty clear over the last few weeks. They're a very good, bad team. Their offense still sucks ass.

The Patriots finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs, fitting the definition of a mediocre or 'best bad' team that year.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 14, 2022
#PMT-2022-1214-10741
Big CatBig Cat

The 'Football Guy of the Year' award should be renamed the 'Mike Leach Football Guy of the Year' award

I think we should actually rename the Football Guy of the Year award for [Mike Leach] because they, that's, that's hot in the streets right now. The NBA just renamed all their awards. Yeah. So Motion to rename Football Guy of the Year Award to the Mike Leach Football Guy of the Year award.

The show did indeed rename the award in Leach's honor in following years.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 14, 2022
#PMT-2022-1214-10745
Taylor DeckerTaylor Decker

Jared Goff is playing with elite pocket presence and confidence

From a big guy's perspective looking at it over like the past six weeks, his pocket presence and his confidence in the pocket to just sit in there and trust the protection has been like really, really good. And if we know where he is at, we can block for him. We're a talented enough group and then he's just making those plays man.

Goff finished 2022 with his best numbers since his Rams peak and earned a Pro Bowl nod, confirming he was playing elite football.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 14, 2022
#PMT-2022-1214-10748
Will LevisWill Levis

My hand size is between 10.25 and 10.5 inches

I, I do, I do know I have big hands. I think it's anywhere between 10 and a quarter and 10 and a half... [PFT measures]: 10 and a half. They're huge. Whoa. They're huge.

Levis's hands were officially measured at 10 5/8 inches at the NFL Combine, confirming his claim of large hands.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 12, 2022
#PMT-2022-1212-16872
Big CatBig Cat

Jalen Hurts is the frontrunner for NFL MVP

Jalen Hurts is probably gonna win the mvp. But he, and it's a credit to him because he basically just says, I'm giving my guys a chance because I know they'll make plays for me. ... It feels like Jalen Hurts is the front runner for the mvp.

Patrick Mahomes won the 2022 NFL MVP award. Hurts finished second.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 12, 2022
#PMT-2022-1212-16890
HankHank

Tom Brady has more Super Bowls than all other current playoff quarterbacks combined

Fact of fiction. He's got more Super Bowls than all the other quarterbacks named mine. ... I think making the playoffs is a pretty good indicator of being good.

At the time, Brady's 7 rings far exceeded the combined total of other projected playoff QBs (Mahomes had 1, Rodgers was missing playoffs, Stafford was out).
Push
Take Slip·Dec 9, 2022
#PMT-2022-1209-12514
Big CatBig Cat

The 'Baby Bump' is a real thing that improves player performance in sports

We always talk about the baby bump. When a player, any sport has a baby, they start to perform well for a little period of time after. Is that real? I looked it up. Your child was born August 2nd. You hit three 90 the five games afterwards. Your average this year was 2 59.

Bregman's stats did indeed spike after his son's birth, and many anecdotal examples exist in sports (e.g., Fred VanVleet in the 2019 NBA Playoffs). However, it is not a scientifically proven rule for all athletes.
Push
Take Slip·Dec 7, 2022
#PMT-2022-1207-2289
Big CatBig Cat

Tom Brady will never die

Tom Brady will never die. ... Even when he got the ball back again down seven or down six, you knew he was gonna win the game.

Brady won this game but eventually retired for good after the 2022 season following a playoff loss.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 7, 2022
#PMT-2022-1207-2302
Ryan WhitneyRyan Whitney

Arbor Jacki is a fan favorite who will stick in Montreal

Arbor Jacki [Xhekaj] and then they call the boys call him wifi... he's come in as a young, this kid was working at Costco last year... defenseman, toughest shit... fan favorite in Montreal who's exceeded expectations.

Xhekaj became a permanent fixture and very popular player for Montreal due to his toughness.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 7, 2022
#PMT-2022-1207-2307
Paul BissonnettePaul Bissonnette

Jacob Chychrun will be the biggest name defenseman moved at the deadline

For trade for defenseman right now the biggest name is Jacob Chychrun and he plays for the coyotes. ... I would say that he's gonna be a big name defenseman that moves at the close to the deadline.

Chychrun was indeed the most discussed defenseman and was traded to Ottawa in March 2023.
Void
Take Slip·Dec 7, 2022·FAQ
#PMT-2022-1207-2308
Big CatBig Cat

I work 70 hours a week during the fall

I would say 70 hours a week. That doesn't really count like sitting at home watching games 70 hours a week in the fall. But then it becomes a lot less... I love football, but the idea that we could come in at 7 o'clock on a Sunday and be done in two hours [is nice].

Subjective accounting of work hours, but consistent with the show's heavy production schedule in the fall.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 2, 2022
#PMT-2022-1202-19163
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Bill O'Brien would be a great fit as the Patriots offensive coordinator

They're probably gonna get Bill O'Brien cuz he wants to come back to the nfl. He wants to leave Alabama. So I actually think that'd be, that'd be a great fit. Bring him back to New England. Yeah, bill O'Brien is a very good offensive coordinator.

Bill O'Brien was indeed hired as the Patriots OC in January 2023.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 2, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-1202-19168
Big CatBig Cat

The Chiefs will have a 'double revenge' game and beat the Bengals

The Kansas City Chiefs double revenge minus two double revenge spot. Double revenge means something. The chiefs are going for double revenge. Last year they lost in the regular season and AFC championship game. I think this is the best the chiefs are going to look all season. Is this weekend on Sunday?

The Bengals beat the Chiefs 27-24 on December 4, 2022. The double revenge narrative failed.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 2, 2022
#PMT-2022-1202-19172
Jerry O'ConnellJerry O'Connell

Don't ever bet parlays or exotics; stick to single bets

I read a book in the nineties called The Right Horse. It basically said exotics. parlays for example. You should never bet them cuz they're so enticing. And it's humans. We wanna bet a parlay even like a two game, partly... basically the book, I mean, I'll sum it all up for you, says don't do it. Bet one bet.

Mathematically, parlays increase the house edge, so this is generally accepted as sound gambling advice.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 2, 2022
#PMT-2022-1202-19173
Jerry O'ConnellJerry O'Connell

The Colts will cover +11 against the Cowboys in Week 13

The Colts are gonna cover over Dallas. I don't know, I just think, you know, my book was giving 11 points last I checked and I just think the Cols are gonna cover.

The Cowboys defeated the Colts 54-19. The Colts did not cover.
Win
#PMT-2022-1130-919
Big CatBig Cat

I will take Liver King back if he admits he used steroids and was just trying to recover from injury

If he just says like, yeah, guys, I'm 50 years old... I needed this stuff to like, you know, come back. Like if he basically does the, I was injured and I wanted to get back with the team real fast. Like, if he does that, I'll take him back. I'll be like, what? Fuck it, dude. Like at least you're honest now.

Liver King did eventually admit to steroid use and apologized.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 30, 2022
#PMT-2022-1130-920
Kevin O'ConnellKevin O'Connell

I prefer to go for two when down by 14 and scoring a touchdown

This is one I've come around on. I think you go for two just because you then know exactly the circumstances that you're kind of going into games with... now you get two opportunities to get those two points. And if you're able to get 'em on the first time, now you obviously know that your six points down with the ability to score and win on that next extra point.

This is a statement of coaching philosophy.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 30, 2022
#PMT-2022-1130-921
Kenny PickettKenny Pickett

I've not had a blister on my hands since junior year of high school baseball

Maybe baseball. I used to swing a baseball bat. Maybe I got a blister playing baseball in high school. So junior year of high school.

The speaker is stating a personal fact about his own history.
Loss
#PMT-2022-1128-4613
Big CatBig Cat

Wisconsin hiring Luke Fickle is a great hire

Wisconsin Badgers. Luke Fickle out of nowhere. Loved the hire. Excited because Wisconsin could not have been more like bottomed out this year. Wisconsin's back. I'm very, very excited.

Luke Fickell's Wisconsin went 5-7 in 2024, including losing 5 straight games to end the season. They missed a bowl game for the first time in 22 years. The hire has not worked out well so far.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 23, 2022
#PMT-2022-1123-9089
Taylor TwellmanTaylor Twellman

Brazil is the favorite to win the World Cup

This is Brazil's World Cup to lose boys. Yeah, it's Brazil's to lose. Yep... I just think they're more balanced than they ever have... they have more talent than anyone. There's more professional players in the world than from Brazil. They, they, they just manufacture players. It's their pastime.

Brazil lost in the Quarterfinals to Croatia on penalties.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 23, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-1123-9092
Big CatBig Cat

Tom Brady will come back from the bye and lead the Bucs to a hot streak

My favorite, favorite... I do feel like Tom Brady's bye and he's gonna come back and he's, they're gonna rattle off some wins and everyone's gonna be like, watch out for Tom Brady... I think it starts with the Browns minus three and a half.

The Bucs lost their next game to the Browns 23-17 and finished the season with a losing record (8-9).
Win
Take Slip·Nov 18, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-1118-8121
HankHank

The Commanders will beat the Texans by more than 3.5 points

Commanders minus three and a half. Personal. Thank you. Revenge game.

The Commanders defeated the Texans 23-10, easily covering the 3.5-point spread.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 18, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-1118-8123
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Patriots will beat the Jets at home

My favorite favorite, I'm gonna take the Patriots minus three and a half... Home against the Jets. 34 out of the last 40 games have been won by the Patriots against these Jets.

The Patriots won 10-3 on a walk-off punt return touchdown.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 18, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-1118-8124
Billy FootballBilly Football

The Bills will beat the Browns by more than 7.5 points

Bills by seven and a half... I think that him [Josh Allen] in a dome, he's gonna be more comfortable... the Bills need a confidence game. And confidence games usually end up in beating up on the other team.

The Bills won 31-23, covering the 7.5 spread by exactly half a point.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 18, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-1118-8127
Big CatBig Cat

The Eagles and Colts will go over 45 total points

I am going to take that over 45. I'm doing it because the Eagles cannot stop the run right now without Jordan Davis. I also am doing it because I do think the Eagles offense is gonna have a bounce back.

The final score was 17-16 (33 total points), staying well under the 45-point total.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 16, 2022
#PMT-2022-1116-4089
Big CatBig Cat

Losing the undefeated streak was the perfect outcome for the Eagles' season

I actually think that was the perfect way for the Eagles to get their first loss. Because you don't want to lose, but... they had a game that they basically had everything go wrong for them and still almost had a chance to win it at the end. Now you can just focus on cleaning up the things, the mistakes you made.

The Eagles finished 14-3 and made the Super Bowl, so the loss didn't derail their season and may have helped them refocus.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 16, 2022
#PMT-2022-1116-4105
Matt RyanMatt Ryan

A backup quarterback taking over is only awkward if the players make it awkward

I told him like two weeks ago, the only way this situation's gonna be awkward as if we make it awkward. So, you know, it's, it's both of us wanna play. Only one of us is gonna get to play.

Subjective professional advice from a veteran QB.
Push
Take Slip·Nov 14, 2022
#PMT-2022-1114-860
Big CatBig Cat

The Buccaneers will win 10 games and host a home playoff game

The Bucks now have everything in front of them where if they don't totally fuck up, we're gonna be sitting here. They're gonna have a home playoff game in January. [Based on their schedule] They're a 10 win team.

The Bucs finished 8-9. They did host a home playoff game (as division winners) but did not reach 10 wins.
Push
Take Slip·Nov 14, 2022
#PMT-2022-1114-863
Big CatBig Cat

The Giants will win 10 or 11 games and make the playoffs

The Giants are seven and two. I looked at their schedule. I think they're gonna win 10 games, maybe even 11. Like when you're seven and two, you're this we're we're almost at Thanksgiving. It would take a lot of fuck ups to not make the playoffs at this point.

The Giants finished 9-7-1. They did make the playoffs, but fell one win short of Big Cat's 10-win prediction.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 11, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-1111-9762
Big CatBig Cat

The Buccaneers will cover against the Seahawks in Germany because of the defense

I'm going with the Bucks. ... The Bucks. It's not never a bet on Tom Brady. The relapsing, It's a bet on their defense. I still think their defense is very good. I think their defense give the Seahawks a lot of problems.

The Buccaneers beat the Seahawks 21-16, covering the -2.5 spread.
Open
Take Slip·Nov 9, 2022
#PMT-2022-1109-9604
Ryan WhitneyRyan Whitney

Alex Ovechkin will definitely break the NHL goal-scoring record

Is Ovie gonna get the record, just yes or no? Yes. Definitely yes.

Ovechkin is still active and chasing the record as of 2024.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 9, 2022
#PMT-2022-1109-9605
Jared GoffJared Goff

Dan Campbell says 'man' at least a hundred times a day

How many times does Dan Campbell say the word man? Man, I just said at least when we're in the building players at least a hundred. At least I know, I'm sure he does it a lot in his interviews, but man, man, man. No, he does it a lot. Probably at least a, at least a hundred.

Difficult to verify exactly, but Dan Campbell's public press conferences heavily support this frequency.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 7, 2022
#PMT-2022-1107-1135
Big CatBig Cat

Pete Carroll should be in the Coach of the Year conversation

Pete Carroll should be absolutely in consideration for Coach of the Year because they traded away their franchise quarterback. Everyone picked him to be one of the worst teams in the NFL. They're now six and three... and he's made this team very, very good.

Carroll finished 9th in AP Coach of the Year voting and led the Seahawks to a surprising playoff berth.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 4, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-1104-552
Big CatBig Cat

Joe Burrow is a lock to cover after losing to the Browns

Joe Burrow is four and oh against the spread after losing to the Browns. Cause he always loses the Browns. So he bounces back. So go go with Joe Burrow there. Trust in Joe.

The Bengals beat the Panthers 42-21 in Week 9, covering the 7.5 point spread.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 31, 2022
#PMT-2022-1031-1637
Big CatBig Cat

No NFL quarterback has a closer connection to their city right now than Josh Allen has with Buffalo

I don't think there is a closer connection quarterback to city right now than Josh what Josh Allen has going on in Buffalo. ... I don't think there's anyone right now [above him].

Subjective measure of fan-player relationships, but Allen's status in Buffalo remains near-mythological.
Void
Take Slip·Oct 31, 2022
#PMT-2022-1031-1646
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

95% of NFL games are lost, not won

There was a great quote by Ian Eagle during the game. ... Ian Eagle said 95% of games in the NFL are lost and not won. ... I still don't know what the fuck he was talking about, but it makes sense.

This is a philosophical coaching platitude that can't be statistically proven but is a staple of NFL media.
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